Juan Martinez — OGILVIE

Juan Martinez P Daytona Tortugas

Age 24 RHP 6'1" / 160 lbs A peak 0.3 · 2029

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 67 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 154146vR 138

ERA6.36

FIP6.36

K%11.4%

BB%17.6%

K-BB%-6.3%

ROS IP67

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 67 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF2525

CTRL3030

CMD2020

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	11	9	45	199	50	23	1	82%	4.1	17.1%	14.4%	2.6%	0.6%	4.03	3.84	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	11	9	45	199	50	23	1	82%	4.1	25.1%	11.6%	13.6%	0.5%	4.03	2.70	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	12	6	38	181	42	9	2	50%	3.2	15.8%	6.2%	9.6%	1.6%	4.97	3.43	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	ACL Reds	12	6	38	181	42	9	2	50%	3.2	23.2%	5.0%	18.2%	1.1%	4.97	2.28	—
2023	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	5	30	148	32	20	0	42%	2.5	14.2%	16.5%	-2.2%	0.0%	7.42	3.98	—
2023	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	5	30	148	32	20	0	42%	2.5	21.6%	13.5%	8.1%	0.0%	7.42	2.97	—
2024	21	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	11	6	39	167	35	16	3	55%	3.6	15.5%	11.3%	4.2%	2.2%	3.89	4.41	—
2024	21	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	11	6	39	167	35	16	3	55%	3.6	15.5%	11.3%	4.2%	2.2%	3.89	4.41	—
2024	21	A RAW	Daytona Tortugas	11	6	39	167	35	16	3	55%	3.6	21.0%	9.6%	11.4%	1.8%	3.89	3.53	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	9	56	254	38	33	4	60%	3.8	11.1%	15.8%	-4.7%	2.1%	5.59	5.32	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	9	56	254	38	33	4	60%	3.8	11.1%	15.8%	-4.7%	2.1%	5.59	5.32	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	9	56	254	38	33	4	60%	3.8	15.0%	13.0%	2.0%	1.6%	5.59	4.43	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	CIN	11	11	67	283	32	50	8	100%	6.1	11.4%	17.6%	-6.3%	2.9%	6.36	6.36	-1.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	CIN	11	11	68	287	40	46	8	100%	6.2	13.9%	16.0%	-2.1%	2.9%	6.02	5.93	-0.8
2029	26	MLB MLE	CIN	11	11	68	287	44	44	8	100%	6.2	15.4%	15.4%	0.0%	2.9%	5.80	5.74	-0.6
2030	27	MLB MLE	CIN	11	11	67	283	45	43	8	100%	6.1	15.8%	15.2%	0.6%	3.0%	5.71	5.71	-0.6
2031	28	MLB MLE	CIN	11	11	65	274	44	42	8	100%	5.9	15.9%	15.2%	0.7%	3.1%	5.72	5.75	-0.6
2028	25	MLB CTX	CIN	5	5	29	122	17	20	4	100%	5.8	13.9%	16.0%	-2.1%	2.9%	6.02	5.93	-0.3
2029	26	MLB CTX	CIN	8	8	45	190	29	29	6	100%	5.6	15.4%	15.4%	0.0%	2.9%	5.80	5.74	-0.4
2030	27	MLB CTX	CIN	9	9	52	220	35	33	7	100%	5.8	15.8%	15.2%	0.6%	3.0%	5.71	5.71	-0.5
2031	28	MLB CTX	CIN	9	9	55	232	37	35	7	100%	6.1	15.9%	15.2%	0.7%	3.1%	5.72	5.75	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		30	30	181	762	118	117	23	100%	6.0	15.4%	15.4%	0.1%	3.0%	5.79	5.38	-1.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	131	130	25	100%	6.0	15.4%	15.4%	0.1%	3.0%	5.79	5.38	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		61	35	209	949	138	123	13	57%	3.4	14.5%	13.0%	1.5%	1.4%	5.09	4.28	-2.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		58	34	200	910	132	118	13	57%	3.4	14.5%	13.0%	1.5%	1.4%	5.09	4.28	-2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Juan Martinez (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.36	11.4%	17.6%	2.9%	—	5.79	15.1%	-0.5%	203	-0.57	—	—	—
Andrew Thurman R 2016 · 6.31 FIP	24	SP-	6.31	14.4%	16.9%	4.2%	.291	2.59	16.8%	9.6%	25	-3.72	2.59	264	82
Oscar Verdugo R 2015 · 6.33 FIP	25	SP-	6.33	10.5%	13.9%	4.3%	.241	5.78	10.8%	-1.8%	74	-0.55	5.01	144	81
Boone Whiting R 2015 · 5.33 FIP	25	SP-	5.33	11.3%	13.9%	2.6%	.337	4.88	10.9%	4.8%	132	-0.45	4.88	227	80
Kyle Larsen R 2024 · 5.54 FIP	21	SP-	5.54	15.8%	17.9%	2.8%	.274	4.95	19.9%	6.2%	83	-0.59	4.83	143	79
Wirkin Estevez R 2016 · 5.39 FIP	24	SW	5.39	10.7%	13.4%	2.7%	.316	4.46	12.3%	3.5%	179	-0.93	4.37	238	78
Drew Conover R 2024 · 6.25 FIP	23	SW	6.25	15.6%	29.8%	1.3%	.272	5.19	12.6%	-3.4%	106	-1.06	4.49	145	78
Tyler Brashears R 2017 · 5.47 FIP	23	SW	5.47	12.1%	13.0%	3.2%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.58	156	78
Orlando Gonzalez R 2024 · 6.34 FIP	21	SP-	6.34	13.8%	18.8%	3.7%	.155	4.18	18.9%	4.9%	71	-2.16	3.83	114	78
Ted Stuka R 2021 · 5.72 FIP	24	SW	5.72	12.4%	23.4%	1.3%	.262	6.22	15.9%	-13.1%	41	+0.50	5.36	105	77
Cobi Johnson R 2019 · 5.52 FIP	23	SP-	5.52	16.0%	14.8%	3.5%	.257	4.54	19.9%	1.4%	41	-0.98	4.54	140	77
Zach Willeman R 2019 · 5.57 FIP	23	SW	5.57	10.8%	15.0%	2.7%	.296	4.98	21.3%	7.8%	108	-0.59	4.05	264	76
Jacob Meador R 2024 · 5.34 FIP	23	SP-	5.34	15.6%	14.0%	3.2%	.301	6.73	14.7%	-6.6%	50	+1.39	5.34	139	76
Luis Martinez-Gomez R 2024 · 5.22 FIP	21	SP-	5.22	13.9%	15.4%	2.5%	.237	4.69	20.8%	6.1%	105	-0.53	3.76	133	76
Jorge Sosa R 2002 · 5.77 FIP	25	SW	5.77	11.1%	12.4%	3.7%	.228	4.55	15.7%	5.5%	362	-1.22	4.06	773	75
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	74
Mitchell Boggs R 2008 · 5.80 FIP	24	SP-	5.80	7.9%	13.4%	3.0%	.298	3.63	18.0%	8.6%	186	-2.17	3.21	330	74
David Whitehead R 2016 · 6.00 FIP	24	SW	6.00	10.7%	19.2%	2.5%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	4.35	217	74
Pedro Garcia R 2018 · 6.06 FIP	23	SW	6.06	12.6%	24.0%	1.8%	.242	—	—	—	—	—	3.35	144	73
Johnny Hellweg R 2013 · 5.63 FIP	24	SP	5.63	5.6%	16.0%	1.8%	.298	5.82	9.6%	-8.1%	82	+0.19	2.98	140	71
Dane Myers R 2019 · 5.32 FIP	23	SW	5.32	12.2%	11.5%	3.3%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	4.26	125	71

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	67	14.5%	15.9%	1.15	5.92
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Mike Mohler ('01)	2.1	60	15.0%	12.4%	0.97	4.99
C.J. Nitkowski ('05)	2.4	68	15.8%	11.9%	1.07	5.37
Matt Perisho ('05)	1.4	69	15.2%	12.2%	1.37	6.39