Luis Bolivar — OGILVIE

Luis BolivarCF DSL Mariners

Age 22 R/R 6'1" / 160 lbs ROK HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 54 proj PA

wRC+†43

AVG/OBP/SLG.187 / .258 / .262

PA54

HR0

K%34

BB%8

ISO76

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	160	143	12	2	0	0	11	98	4	5	3	84	171	98	269	14	261	61	7	132	-41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	160	135	22	3	1	0	19	65	4	5	3	163	285	200	485	37	310	41	12	237	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	190	169	19	4	0	0	17	91	2	9	0	112	202	136	338	24	241	48	9	160	-19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	190	158	27	7	0	0	27	66	2	9	0	171	298	215	513	44	290	35	14	249	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	82	67	8	3	0	0	9	36	2	4	3	119	244	164	408	45	250	44	11	194	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	82	63	11	4	0	0	13	25	2	4	3	175	333	238	571	63	282	30	16	268	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	22	MLB	SEA	—	54	49	9	2	0	0	4	18	1	1	0	184	259	224	484	41	286	33	7	242	43	-3	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	SEA	34%	108	97	20	4	1	1	9	35	1	2	0	206	280	299	579	93	288	32	8	255	53	-6	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.2
2028	24	MLB	SEA	46%	237	214	43	8	1	4	19	75	2	4	1	201	272	304	576	103	290	32	8	264	60	-11	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.3
2027	23	MLB	SEA	34%	37	34	6	1	0	0	3	12	0	1	0	176	243	206	449	29	286	32	8	246	46	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
2028	24	MLB	SEA	46%	109	98	21	4	1	2	9	35	1	2	0	214	287	337	624	122	287	32	8	254	53	-6	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	146	132	27	5	1	2	12	47	1	3	0	205	276	303	579	98	298	32	8	252	51	-8	+1	+0	+1	+4	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	120	22	4	9	53	209	4	13	0	204	274	301	575	97	297	32	8	252	51	-36	+3	+0	+2	+18	-1.3
Career	—			—	831	739	111	23	2	5	69	353	12	25	7	150	234	207	441	57	275	42	8	205	15	-79	+2	+0	+3	+24	-5.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	87	18	2	4	54	276	9	20	5	151	234	209	443	59	275	42	8	205	15	-62	+2	+0	+2	+18	-4.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	160	135	22	3	1	19	65	4	5	3	163	285	200	485	37	310	41	12	237	40	-11	-0	—	—	+5	-0.7
2023	19	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	190	158	27	7	0	27	66	2	9	0	171	298	215	513	44	290	35	14	249	49	-11	+2	—	—	+5	-0.4
2024	20	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	82	63	11	4	0	13	25	2	4	3	175	333	238	571	63	282	30	16	268	64	-3	-0	—	—	+2	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	200	3	3	199	268	293	+1	+5	-0.4	-0.2
	/162	664	9	11	199	268	293	+2.4	+16.6	-1.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Bolivar (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	187/258/262	75	286	0	1	34%	8%	43	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕David Masters 2015 · A	22	38→36	36→45	47→40	40	182/248/249	67	278	3	8	34%	7%	35	-2.8	175/232/242	67	239	6	4	28%	6%	27	-3.3	194/263/331	137	266	18	1	33%	7%	59	-0.5
✕Fabian Pertuz 2023 · A	22	37→33	41→40	49→55	33	185/229/278	92	285	8	9	37%	4%	33	-2.9	172/223/263	91	273	9	12	38%	5%	28	-3.2	143/198/223	80	227	9	13	40%	5%	4	-2.5
✕Caleb Hamilton 2017 · A	22	39	39→45	48→45	45	184/268/268	85	290	5	5	36%	9%	50	-1.8	175/256/274	99	265	8	5	34%	9%	46	-2.0	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Justin Twine 2018 · A	22	35→31	36→45	46→50	30	172/213/238	66	275	4	7	38%	3%	16	-4.1	211/251/299	88	302	6	10	31%	4%	48	-1.9	216/252/313	97	321	8	14	34%	3%	50	-1.0
✕Jawuan Harris 2019 · A	22	40→24	40	51→55	42	188/270/283	95	293	7	14	35%	8%	54	-1.4	158/251/236	78	308	5	19	45%	9%	35	-2.8	116/220/180	64	246	5	26	49%	10%	6	-2.4
✕Julio Carrion 2021 · A	22	39	38→40	50→45	38	186/255/265	79	301	6	6	38%	7%	43	-2.2	180/259/263	83	314	7	5	41%	7%	44	-2.1	156/236/234	78	290	8	3	45%	7%	25	-1.3
✕Mikell Granberry 2018 · A	22	39	39→45	47→45	38	186/242/277	91	282	4	6	34%	6%	40	-2.4	215/284/323	108	302	8	7	29%	8%	69	-0.4	225/307/355	130	299	13	7	27%	10%	85	+0.2
✕Juan Zabala 2021 · A	22	40	39→40	48→50	37	189/252/274	85	300	6	6	37%	6%	43	-2.2	211/273/309	98	301	9	13	31%	7%	61	-1.0	203/266/291	88	284	10	16	30%	7%	50	-0.7
✕Matt Pita 2019 · A	22	40	36→50	50→55	39	191/246/261	70	278	3	8	31%	6%	37	-2.7	183/235/270	87	270	5	12	32%	4%	35	-2.8	163/217/273	111	235	8	19	33%	3%	25	-1.1
✕Brandon Lewis 2021 · A	22	42→36	39→55	49→30	41	203/264/290	86	289	7	6	30%	6%	52	-1.6	200/253/377	177	299	25	3	40%	6%	72	-0.2	180/234/343	163	262	24	1	40%	5%	52	-1.1
✕Arturo De Freitas 2023 · A	22	35	39→45	45→40	34	173/222/254	81	276	7	4	39%	5%	24	-3.5	183/241/264	81	308	8	5	40%	6%	36	-2.7	115/169/126	12	224	0	0	46%	5%	-33	-1.4
✕Ignacio Valdez 2016 · A	21	34	39→45	48→50	38	168/235/254	87	269	6	8	38%	7%	31	-3.0	170/233/292	122	289	14	4	43%	7%	40	-2.4	133/182/263	130	199	17	0	43%	5%	8	-1.1
✕Robertico Medina 2016 · A	22	35	39→40	51→45	40	167/256/251	85	295	7	9	42%	9%	40	-2.4	187/276/261	74	337	5	6	41%	10%	51	-1.7	149/259/185	36	298	2	3	44%	13%	23	-1.3
✕Chris Hess 2018 · A	23	39→34	37→45	49→30	38	187/245/270	83	282	3	5	33%	6%	39	-2.5	194/251/308	114	284	11	4	34%	4%	52	-1.6	181/239/309	128	257	14	1	34%	4%	46	-1.6
✕Nick Quintana 2021 · A	23	39	40→45	50→45	37	189/243/279	90	293	7	9	36%	6%	40	-2.4	181/265/289	108	254	11	5	31%	9%	54	-1.4	161/255/263	101	223	11	3	31%	10%	40	-1.3
✕Claudio Finol 2022 · A	22	40	39→40	46→45	40	193/251/277	85	270	5	6	30%	6%	43	-2.2	194/250/277	83	275	7	9	30%	6%	43	-2.2	181/246/258	77	260	9	12	32%	7%	35	-0.7
✕Ismael Alcantara 2021 · A	22	44→28	38→45	57→50	41	201/270/281	80	317	5	16	36%	8%	53	-1.5	213/271/338	125	320	13	13	35%	6%	68	-0.5	202/261/313	111	301	12	16	35%	6%	53	-0.8
✕Arturo Guerrero 2023 · A	22	39	39→40	50	33	175/250/262	88	323	6	12	44%	6%	40	-2.4	190/262/286	96	363	8	9	46%	7%	51	-1.7	140/224/242	103	306	11	9	53%	6%	27	-0.7
✕Frank Veliz 2022 · A	22	39	38→30	47→55	37	188/240/264	76	290	5	7	36%	6%	35	-2.8	192/252/277	85	327	6	6	40%	7%	43	-2.2	129/202/202	72	244	6	0	46%	7%	1	-0.9
✕Raul Siri 2018 · A	23	39	38→40	51→50	42	192/251/271	80	265	6	11	29%	7%	42	-2.3	199/264/283	84	349	5	9	41%	7%	51	-1.7	149/237/238	89	307	4	14	47%	8%	28	-0.6