Luis Bolivar — OGILVIE

Luis BolivarCF DSL Mariners

Age 22 R/R 6'1" / 160 lbs ROK K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 54 proj PA

wRC+†49

AVG/OBP/SLG.186 / .257 / .262

PA4

HR0

K%34

BB%8

ISO76

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	18	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	160	135	22	3	1	0	19	65	4	5	3	163	285	200	485	37	310	41	12	237	47	-10	-0	—	—	+3	-0.7
2023	19	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	190	158	27	7	0	0	27	66	2	9	0	171	298	215	513	44	290	35	14	249	55	-10	+2	—	—	+4	-0.4
2024	20	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	82	63	11	4	0	0	13	25	2	4	3	175	333	238	571	63	282	30	16	268	68	-3	-0	—	—	+2	-0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	160	143	12	2	0	0	11	96	4	5	3	84	171	98	269	14	245	60	7	136	-22	-23	-0	—	—	+3	-2.0
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	190	169	18	4	0	0	17	93	2	9	0	107	197	130	327	24	229	49	9	159	-6	-24	+2	—	—	+4	-1.8
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	82	67	8	3	0	0	9	36	2	4	3	119	244	164	408	45	218	44	11	186	12	-9	-0	—	—	+2	-0.7
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	160	143	12	2	0	0	11	96	4	5	3	84	171	98	269	14	250	60	7	136	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	—	160	135	22	3	1	0	19	65	4	5	3	163	285	200	485	37	310	41	12	237	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	190	169	18	4	0	0	17	93	2	9	0	107	197	130	327	24	234	49	9	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	—	190	158	27	7	0	0	27	66	2	9	0	171	298	215	513	44	290	35	14	249	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	82	67	8	3	0	0	9	36	2	4	3	119	244	164	408	45	250	44	11	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	—	82	63	11	4	0	0	13	25	2	4	3	175	333	238	571	63	282	30	16	268	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	160	144	12	2	0	0	11	96	4	5	3	83	171	97	268	14	245	60	7	136	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	190	169	18	4	0	0	17	93	2	9	0	107	197	130	327	24	229	49	9	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	82	71	8	3	0	0	9	36	2	4	3	113	244	155	399	42	218	44	11	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	190	169	18	4	0	0	17	93	2	9	0	107	197	130	327	24	229	49	9	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	82	71	8	3	0	0	9	36	2	4	3	113	244	155	399	42	218	44	11	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	22	MLB MLE	SEA	0%	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						286	25	0	241	49	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	SEA	34%	108	98	20	4	1	1	8	35	1	2	0	204	271	296	567	92	288	32	7	255	58	-5	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.2
2027	23	MLB CTX	SEA	34%	37	34	6	1	0	0	3	12	0	1	0	176	243	206	449	29	286	32	8	245	58	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	37	34	6	1	0	0	3	12	0	1	0	176	243	206	449	29	273	32	8	245	5	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	597	106	18	0	0	53	211	0	18	0	178	245	208	452	30	275	32	8	245	5	-32	+4	+0	+2	+14	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	544	481	58	13	1	1	45	261	9	20	6	121	209	158	367	37	256	48	8	176	5	-6	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	575	69	16	1	1	54	312	11	24	7	120	210	157	366	37	255	48	8	176	5	-32	+2	+0	+2	+14	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Bolivar (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	186/257/262	75	286	0	1	34%	8%	49	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕David Masters 2015 · A	22	39→37	36→45	47→40	40	183/249/251	68	277	3	8	33%	7%	43	-2.8	179/238/250	71	242	6	4	27%	6%	38	-3.2	192/262/321	129	263	16	1	32%	7%	61	-0.6
✕Brandon Lewis 2021 · A	22	42→35	39→50	49→30	41	203/264/289	86	290	7	6	31%	6%	57	-1.8	197/250/365	168	291	23	3	39%	6%	71	-0.8	177/231/332	154	254	22	1	39%	5%	54	-1.4
✕Fabian Pertuz 2023 · A	22	37→34	40	49→55	33	186/229/277	91	285	8	9	37%	4%	41	-3.0	175/226/265	90	273	8	12	37%	5%	38	-3.2	148/203/228	80	231	8	13	38%	5%	19	-2.4
✕Justin Twine 2018 · A	22	36→32	37→40	47→50	31	177/217/248	70	278	4	7	37%	3%	30	-3.8	212/252/296	84	302	6	10	30%	4%	53	-2.1	214/250/302	88	318	6	14	33%	3%	53	-1.2
✕Caleb Hamilton 2017 · A	22	39	39→45	48→45	45	184/268/268	85	290	5	5	36%	9%	55	-1.9	177/255/277	100	266	8	5	34%	9%	52	-2.2	141/235/256	115	206	16	3	39%	10%	39	-1.0
✕Chris Roller 2019 · A	22	39	41→45	51→55	42	192/267/295	103	286	9	14	34%	8%	61	-1.5	205/269/313	108	292	7	12	30%	6%	65	-1.2	178/265/281	103	258	10	19	32%	8%	56	-1.0
✕Julio Carrion 2021 · A	22	39	38→40	50→45	38	186/255/265	79	301	6	6	38%	7%	49	-2.4	185/264/273	88	311	8	5	40%	8%	55	-1.9	163/244/248	85	289	9	3	43%	7%	40	-1.2
✕Mikell Granberry 2018 · A	22	39	39→45	47→45	38	186/242/277	91	282	4	6	34%	6%	47	-2.6	215/284/323	108	302	8	7	29%	8%	73	-0.6	225/307/355	130	299	13	7	27%	10%	87	+0.1
✕Jawuan Harris 2019 · A	22	40→28	40	51→55	42	188/270/283	95	293	7	14	35%	8%	59	-1.6	164/256/247	83	313	6	19	45%	9%	47	-2.6	125/229/196	72	258	5	26	48%	10%	23	-2.1
✕Arturo De Freitas 2023 · A	22	35	39→45	45→40	34	174/222/255	81	277	7	4	39%	5%	34	-3.5	184/241/265	81	306	8	5	40%	6%	44	-2.8	141/191/216	75	260	9	0	47%	5%	11	-1.0
✕Juan Zabala 2021 · A	22	40	39→40	48→50	37	189/252/274	85	300	6	6	37%	6%	50	-2.3	212/274/306	94	301	9	13	30%	7%	65	-1.2	206/268/289	83	286	8	16	29%	7%	56	-0.8
✕J.C. Millan 2018 · A	22	40	37→40	45→30	36	194/235/270	76	278	4	8	31%	4%	41	-3.0	218/265/312	94	270	8	6	22%	6%	63	-1.4	223/270/312	90	261	9	4	18%	6%	61	-0.6
✕Matt Pita 2019 · A	22	40	36→50	50→55	39	191/246/261	70	278	3	8	31%	6%	44	-2.8	182/235/267	85	267	4	12	32%	4%	42	-2.9	160/214/264	104	229	7	19	33%	3%	31	-1.2
✕Cadyn Grenier 2019 · A	22	41→38	39→40	48→50	36	192/247/284	92	313	5	8	38%	6%	49	-2.4	192/264/291	99	321	8	8	39%	8%	59	-1.7	178/263/269	91	283	7	11	36%	9%	51	-1.6
✕EJ Andrews Jr. 2023 · A	22	40→28	40→45	52→50	39	192/253/287	95	306	8	10	38%	7%	53	-2.1	170/242/280	110	278	11	11	40%	8%	48	-2.5	141/220/250	109	227	12	11	41%	8%	31	-1.9
✕Ismael Alcantara 2021 · A	22	44→29	38→45	57→50	41	201/270/281	80	317	5	16	36%	8%	58	-1.7	210/268/333	123	318	12	13	36%	6%	69	-0.9	199/258/307	108	299	12	16	35%	6%	56	-1.0
✕Claudio Finol 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	46→45	40	194/253/278	85	271	5	6	29%	6%	51	-2.3	196/253/280	84	275	6	9	29%	6%	51	-2.2	192/260/271	78	271	9	12	31%	7%	51	-0.6
✕Malvin Matos 2019 · A	22	43→38	39→45	48→50	44	207/272/295	88	279	6	10	26%	7%	62	-1.4	207/272/314	107	293	11	11	31%	7%	67	-1.1	192/261/297	104	266	13	13	31%	7%	55	-1.5
✕Robertico Medina 2016 · A	22	35	39→40	51→45	40	167/256/251	85	295	7	9	42%	9%	47	-2.5	187/276/261	74	337	5	6	41%	10%	57	-1.8	149/259/185	36	298	2	3	44%	13%	32	-1.3
✕Arturo Guerrero 2023 · A	22	39	39→40	50	33	175/252/262	87	322	6	12	44%	6%	48	-2.5	190/262/285	95	361	7	9	46%	7%	57	-1.8	139/222/239	100	303	10	9	53%	6%	35	-0.7