Roiber Talavera — OGILVIE

Roiber Talavera P ACL Mariners

Age 23 RHP 6'0" / 160 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 17 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133125vR 117

ERA5.27

FIP5.27

K%20.4%

BB%14.8%

K-BB%5.6%

ROS IP17

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 17 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	9	2	16	77	15	9	2	22%	1.7	13.2%	14.6%	-1.4%	3.6%	6.89	5.82	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	9	2	16	77	15	9	2	22%	1.7	19.5%	11.7%	7.8%	2.6%	6.89	4.57	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	6	5	21	82	24	7	1	83%	3.5	19.9%	10.7%	9.2%	1.7%	1.29	3.69	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	6	5	21	82	24	7	1	83%	3.5	29.3%	8.5%	20.7%	1.2%	1.29	2.43	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	6	3	6	35	10	6	1	50%	0.9	28.6%	17.1%	11.4%	2.9%	19.06	4.43	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	6	3	6	35	10	6	1	50%	0.9	28.6%	17.1%	11.4%	2.9%	19.06	5.04	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	11	2	29	131	35	16	1	18%	2.7	18.2%	15.3%	2.9%	1.2%	3.99	4.18	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	11	2	29	131	35	16	1	18%	2.7	18.2%	15.3%	2.9%	1.2%	3.99	4.18	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	11	2	29	131	35	16	1	18%	2.7	26.7%	12.2%	14.5%	0.8%	3.99	2.79	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	14	2	27	135	20	20	3	14%	2.0	10.1%	18.5%	-8.4%	3.5%	5.60	6.52	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	14	2	27	135	20	20	3	14%	2.0	10.1%	18.5%	-8.4%	3.5%	5.60	6.52	—
2025	21	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	14	2	27	135	20	20	3	14%	2.0	14.8%	14.8%	0.0%	2.2%	5.60	5.26	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	SEA	16	0	17	72	15	11	2	0%	1.1	20.4%	14.8%	5.6%	3.0%	5.27	5.27	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	SEA	24	0	25	106	23	14	3	0%	1.1	21.3%	13.0%	8.4%	3.0%	5.04	4.95	-0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	SEA	10	0	11	46	10	6	1	0%	1.1	21.3%	13.0%	8.4%	3.0%	5.04	4.95	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	0	11	45	10	6	1	0%	1.1	21.3%	13.0%	8.4%	3.0%	5.04	4.57	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	186	111	19	0%	1.1	21.3%	13.0%	8.4%	3.0%	5.04	4.57	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		46	14	99	460	74	71	12	30%	2.2	16.1%	15.4%	0.6%	2.5%	5.18	5.07	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		93	28	200	929	149	143	23	30%	2.2	16.1%	15.4%	0.6%	2.5%	5.18	5.07	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Roiber Talavera (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.27	20.4%	14.8%	3.0%	—	4.95	21.3%	8.4%	25	-0.32	—	—	—
Tyler Santana R 2021 · 4.28 FIP	23	SU	4.28	20.3%	15.1%	1.8%	.333	4.37	16.0%	5.7%	259	+0.09	3.37	401	84
Alec Barger R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SW	4.55	21.7%	13.6%	2.8%	.289	4.17	21.3%	9.4%	148	-0.38	3.85	242	83
Blake Holub R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	21.7%	15.3%	2.4%	.339	3.73	23.4%	12.7%	156	-0.82	3.22	258	83
Trent Fennell R 2019 · 4.08 FIP	23	SW	4.08	20.6%	12.2%	2.1%	.328	5.52	19.4%	3.5%	107	+1.44	4.08	163	83
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	83
Joey Matulovich R 2019 · 5.52 FIP	22	SW	5.52	19.8%	14.6%	4.1%	.378	5.04	20.5%	8.9%	133	-0.48	3.22	201	82
Sam Ryan R 2021 · 4.38 FIP	22	SW	4.38	16.4%	14.7%	1.5%	.328	3.85	13.7%	2.9%	49	-0.53	3.80	178	81
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	80
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.34	19.4%	10.8%	193	+0.10	3.88	257	80
Jhonny Polanco R 2015 · 4.75 FIP	23	SW	4.75	18.9%	14.2%	2.6%	.283	4.06	21.3%	5.7%	48	-0.69	4.06	116	80
Radhames Liz R 2007 · 5.07 FIP	23	SW	5.07	19.7%	18.0%	2.5%	.301	5.66	14.5%	2.3%	84	+0.59	2.81	219	80
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	79
Heath Slatton R 2017 · 5.56 FIP	23	SW	5.56	17.9%	12.9%	4.3%	.382	—	—	—	—	—	2.46	120	78
Todd Peterson R 2021 · 5.11 FIP	23	SW	5.11	18.4%	10.3%	4.1%	.279	4.83	15.0%	4.3%	124	-0.28	4.45	175	78
Luis Romero R 2017 · 5.00 FIP	23	SU	5.00	22.1%	11.9%	4.1%	.367	4.26	21.6%	12.5%	132	-0.74	4.00	293	78
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	78
Blake Quinn R 2017 · 5.41 FIP	23	SW	5.41	16.9%	15.3%	3.3%	.328	4.42	17.1%	3.3%	48	-0.99	4.42	122	77
James Acuna R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	23	SU	5.12	21.3%	17.0%	3.0%	.302	4.33	19.4%	4.6%	60	-0.79	4.33	107	77
Nick Lockhart R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	22	SW	4.63	16.1%	10.6%	2.8%	.274	—	—	—	—	—	4.44	140	76
Hunter Parsons R 2021 · 5.38 FIP	24	SU	5.38	21.4%	15.3%	3.9%	.247	4.78	21.8%	10.2%	115	-0.60	4.73	183	76