Gleiner Diaz P Inland Empire 66ers
Age 22 RHP 6'0" / 170 lbs A peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION37 act + 21 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119110vR 100
ERA4.39
FIP4.39
K%22.1%
BB%9.1%
K-BB%13.0%
ROS IP21
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 57 IP
K: +6.3 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+6KBB: +4.9 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)+5BBCONTACT: -8.5 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-9CONTACTSTAM: +2.3 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: +0.53 (57 IP)+0.5WAR
0.00.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202117ROKDSL Mariners1702398271900%1.418.7%24.2%-5.5%0.0%2.744.59
202117ROKDSL Mariners1702398271900%1.427.6%19.4%8.2%0.0%2.743.23
202319ROKDSL Mariners119451874721082%4.117.1%14.0%3.1%0.0%2.403.43
202319ROKDSL Mariners119451874721082%4.125.1%11.2%13.9%0.0%2.402.41
202420MIX2 levels21028136291620%1.314.5%10.4%4.1%1.8%4.134.18
202420MIX2 levels21028136291620%1.321.3%11.8%9.6%1.5%4.133.66
202521MIX2 levels29039180421240%1.316.4%8.2%8.3%4.0%7.154.96
202521MIX2 levels29039180421240%1.323.3%6.7%16.7%2.2%7.153.20
▸ 2026 Season
202622AInland Empire 66ers2403715350540%1.524.2%3.9%20.3%3.4%5.403.41+0.5
ROS22MLBSEA200218719830%1.022.1%9.1%13.0%2.9%4.394.39+0.0
ROS22MLBSEA022.1%9.1%13.0%2.9%4.394.39
2026 TOT22MLBSEA572406913728.8%5.4%23.5%2.7%5.043.76+0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202723MLBSEA200219021830%1.122.9%8.7%14.2%2.9%4.294.24+0.1
202723MLBSEA100114611410%1.122.9%8.7%14.2%2.9%4.294.24+0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career100114410410%1.122.9%8.7%14.2%2.9%4.293.86+0.1
/ 200 IP190020084419076190%1.122.9%8.7%14.2%2.9%4.293.86+3.6
Career102917275413785159%1.718.1%11.2%6.9%2.0%4.454.08+2.7
/ 200 IP1191020087715999179%1.718.1%11.2%6.9%2.0%4.454.08+3.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Gleiner Diaz (OGILVIE) 4.39 22.1%9.1%2.9% 4.24 22.9%14.2%21 -0.15
Cody Palmquist R 2026 · 4.04 FIP 22 SU 4.04 21.9%9.0%3.0%.278 5.78 14.7%7.1%62 +1.74 4.04 104 93
Addison Russ R 2026 · 3.90 FIP 22 SU 3.90 22.2%7.9%3.1%.324 3.02 25.6%17.5%121 -0.88 2.96 194 91
Heath Holder R 2027 · 4.16 FIP 23 SU 4.16 21.1%10.1%2.8%.287 3.13 22.3%13.1%247 -1.03 2.74 367 91
Michael Gomez R 2026 · 3.38 FIP 22 SU 3.38 22.6%9.2%1.9%.283 3.78 17.9%8.3%110 +0.40 3.33 286 91
Corey Copping R 2026 · 4.12 FIP 22 SU 4.12 21.4%8.7%3.1%.265 4.55 19.6%6.7%179 +0.43 3.41 214 90
Collin Kober R 2026 · 3.39 FIP 22 SU 3.39 21.3%7.5%2.1%.268 3.04 24.0%17.9%128 -0.35 2.40 294 89
Kyle Zurak R 2026 · 3.96 FIP 22 SU 3.96 21.2%9.4%2.6%.302 3.48 16.7%7.5%121 -0.48 3.28 181 89
Reilly Hovis R 2027 · 4.03 FIP 23 SU 4.03 21.1%7.7%3.2%.250 4.41 19.8%6.4%50 +0.38 4.03 130 89
Devon Roedahl R 2026 · 3.94 FIP 22 SU 3.94 19.7%6.7%3.0%.305 4.92 16.5%9.2%100 +0.98 3.94 122 88
Tyler Bray R 2027 · 4.08 FIP 23 SU 4.08 22.3%9.1%3.1%.356 3.17 17.9%7.6%114 -0.91 2.81 152 88
Kenny Oakley R 2026 · 3.50 FIP 22 SU 3.50 23.8%9.1%2.3%.348 3.65 17.3%7.8%115 +0.15 3.00 144 88
Luke Bell R 2027 · 3.89 FIP 23 SU 3.89 20.4%9.9%2.3%.295 5.85 13.1%1.3%66 +1.96 3.89 110 88
Chris Gau R 2025 · 4.76 FIP 21 SU 4.76 20.0%8.6%4.1%.290 3.23 29.5%23.5%37 -1.53 2.88 211 88
David Garner R 2026 · 3.94 FIP 22 SU 3.94 21.7%10.0%2.6%.282 4.65 19.8%5.2%98 +0.71 3.94 154 87
Owen Holt R 2027 · 3.89 FIP 23 SU 3.89 20.7%10.2%2.3%.258 4.52 18.7%6.4%107 +0.63 3.89 145 87
Peyton Williams R 2027 · 3.53 FIP 23 SU 3.53 22.3%10.3%1.8%.311 5.00 22.2%10.2%100 +1.47 3.53 123 87
Kevin Coulter R 2026 · 3.27 FIP 22 SU 3.27 21.0%7.4%1.8%.287 4.31 16.1%7.6%92 +1.04 3.27 128 87
Ricardo Velez R 2028 · 4.48 FIP 24 SU 4.48 22.4%10.9%3.5%.261 4.12 18.8%8.1%138 -0.36 3.77 166 86
Austin Smith R 2027 · 4.00 FIP 23 SU 4.00 22.7%10.0%2.8%.274 5.05 16.3%0.7%52 +1.05 4.00 134 86
Vince Vannelle R 2028 · 3.77 FIP 24 SU 3.77 19.9%8.6%2.3%.282 5.34 15.3%4.5%76 +1.57 3.77 105 86