Jose Geraldo — OGILVIE

Jose Geraldo P Everett AquaSox

Age 26 RHP 5'10" / 185 lbs A+

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 29 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121113vR 105

ERA4.64

FIP4.64

K%20.4%

BB%9.1%

K-BB%11.3%

ROS IP29

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 29 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	21	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	19	0	28	109	43	11	1	0%	1.5	26.8%	12.6%	14.2%	1.3%	1.29	3.14	—
2021	21	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	19	0	28	109	43	11	1	0%	1.5	39.4%	10.1%	29.4%	0.9%	1.29	1.67	—
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	0	31	145	39	12	2	0%	1.3	18.9%	9.9%	9.0%	2.0%	6.46	3.85	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	0	31	145	39	12	2	0%	1.3	26.9%	8.3%	18.6%	1.4%	6.46	2.58	—
2024	24	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	2	0	2	7	3	1	0	0%	1.0	42.9%	14.3%	28.6%	0.0%	0.00	1.29	—
2024	24	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	2	0	2	7	3	1	0	0%	1.0	42.9%	14.3%	28.6%	0.0%	0.00	1.29	—
2024	24	A RAW	Modesto Nuts	2	0	2	7	3	1	0	0%	1.0	42.9%	14.3%	28.6%	0.0%	0.00	1.60	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	49	218	55	17	6	0%	1.2	19.0%	9.1%	9.9%	3.3%	4.25	4.47	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	49	218	55	17	6	0%	1.2	19.0%	9.1%	9.9%	3.3%	4.25	4.47	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	39	0	49	218	55	17	6	0%	1.2	25.2%	7.8%	17.4%	2.8%	4.25	3.49	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	33	0	47	204	54	23	7	0%	1.4	20.4%	13.0%	7.4%	4.3%	4.21	5.38	—
YTD	26	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	33	0	47	204	54	23	7	0%	1.4	20.4%	13.0%	7.4%	4.3%	4.21	5.38	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	A+ RAW	SEA	33	0	47	204	54	23	7	0%	1.4	26.5%	11.3%	15.2%	3.4%	4.21	4.18	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	SEA	43	0	45	191	40	18	6	0%	1.1	20.7%	9.2%	11.5%	3.2%	4.63	4.64	-0.0
2028	28	MLB MLE	SEA	42	0	44	185	38	17	6	0%	1.0	20.8%	9.3%	11.4%	3.3%	4.67	4.71	-0.1
2027	27	MLB CTX	SEA	16	0	17	72	15	7	2	0%	1.1	20.7%	9.2%	11.5%	3.2%	4.63	4.64	-0.0
2028	28	MLB CTX	SEA	25	0	26	110	23	10	4	0%	1.0	20.8%	9.3%	11.4%	3.3%	4.67	4.71	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		40	0	42	179	37	17	6	0%	1.1	20.7%	9.3%	11.4%	3.2%	4.65	4.30	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	174	80	28	0%	1.1	20.7%	9.3%	11.4%	3.2%	4.65	4.30	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		116	0	156	683	143	75	20	0%	1.3	20.9%	11.0%	9.8%	3.0%	4.09	4.36	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		148	0	200	874	182	96	26	0%	1.3	20.9%	11.0%	9.8%	3.0%	4.09	4.36	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jose Geraldo (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.64	20.4%	9.1%	3.1%	—	4.67	20.7%	11.4%	89	+0.03	—	—	—
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.55	17.5%	6.5%	168	+0.67	3.88	202	89
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	26	SU	4.46	19.9%	9.8%	3.3%	.278	4.79	22.7%	10.3%	89	+0.33	2.64	315	88
Jason Stoffel R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	26	SU	3.61	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.49	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.12	3.49	103	88
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	87
Shawn Armstrong R 2017 · 4.21 FIP	26	SU	4.21	22.1%	9.2%	3.3%	.282	3.18	26.9%	17.2%	144	-1.03	1.79	651	86
Ronald Peña R 2018 · 4.19 FIP	26	SU	4.19	23.4%	11.6%	2.9%	.273	4.52	18.7%	7.1%	88	+0.33	3.72	187	85
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	85
Daniel Corcino R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	21.7%	11.4%	2.2%	.292	4.91	19.0%	7.9%	223	+0.98	3.84	299	85
Colton Murray R 2016 · 3.97 FIP	26	SU	3.97	21.2%	9.4%	2.7%	.295	4.27	21.8%	13.1%	41	+0.30	3.34	187	85
Rob Scahill R 2015 · 3.91 FIP	28	SU	3.91	16.9%	7.7%	2.3%	.288	3.34	17.9%	10.1%	171	-0.57	3.06	201	85
Kyle Winkler R 2016 · 3.70 FIP	26	SU	3.70	23.1%	8.7%	2.6%	.234	3.53	18.4%	8.3%	43	-0.17	2.97	114	85
Juan Ramon Noriega R 2017 · 4.45 FIP	26	SU	4.45	21.3%	8.3%	3.8%	.243	3.44	24.8%	17.1%	57	-1.01	3.44	198	84
Brett McKinney R 2017 · 4.66 FIP	26	SU	4.66	18.5%	9.9%	3.4%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	3.43	183	84
Hunter Parsons R 2023 · 4.88 FIP	26	SU	4.88	22.0%	10.0%	4.3%	.274	6.70	25.5%	9.0%	29	+1.82	4.73	183	84
Seth Frankoff R 2015 · 4.01 FIP	26	SU	4.01	19.6%	7.4%	2.9%	.312	4.29	20.0%	11.3%	177	+0.28	2.88	263	84
Jacob Bosiokovic R 2019 · 3.84 FIP	25	SU	3.84	17.2%	9.8%	1.7%	.289	4.21	24.7%	12.1%	62	+0.37	3.84	181	84
Carlos Gonzalez R 2016 · 3.78 FIP	26	SU	3.78	18.2%	8.7%	2.0%	.266	4.37	14.3%	2.3%	36	+0.59	3.75	154	84
Cole Johnson R 2015 · 3.52 FIP	26	SU	3.52	17.4%	8.4%	1.5%	.311	3.61	14.0%	9.2%	49	+0.09	3.52	101	83
Jonathan Hughes R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	17.1%	9.2%	2.7%	.283	3.54	17.1%	4.9%	50	-0.77	3.44	219	83
Jhan Mariñez R 2015 · 3.50 FIP	26	SU	3.50	23.1%	9.3%	2.1%	.244	3.70	18.9%	11.1%	168	+0.20	3.16	253	83

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.6	39	20.6%	9.2%	1.24	4.65
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Mike Mayers ('23)	1.2	47	24.3%	7.8%	1.50	4.47