Ivan Melendez

1B Reno Aces

Age 27 R/R 6'1" / 245 lbs AAA HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

AAAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035

MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	25	AAAARI	98	.292/.351/.483	3	0	92	—	.253/.299/.396
2025	25	AAARI	282	.258/.351/.480	16	2	59	—	.183/.262/.306
2026	26	AAAARI	50	.222/.286/.378	2	0	45	—	.174/.224/.261
2027PROJ10% MLB	27	MLBARI	17	.214/.276/.352	0	0	74	-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB	28	MLBARI	80	.214/.276/.350	2	0	74	-0.2

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.8M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Max EV88

BB%16

K%14

Whiff%10

Speed10

Z-Con%4

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 95%

CompsBrett Carroll (age 27) · Brad Glenn (age 27) · D.J. Peterson (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†74

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .276 / .352

PA17

HR0

K%29

BB%6

BABIP285

ISO62

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER60

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	22	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	106	87	18	3	1	3	10	20	9	0	0	207	349	368	717	161	234	19	9	333	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	170	153	42	5	1	12	10	60	5	0	2	275	339	556	895	281	361	35	6	385	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	256	226	61	17	1	18	21	86	8	4	0	270	353	593	946	323	350	34	8	406	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	97	83	19	5	1	2	10	27	4	1	0	229	340	386	726	157	315	28	10	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	442	399	95	10	1	22	34	133	9	3	1	238	312	434	746	195	299	30	8	332	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA	Reno Aces	—	98	89	26	6	1	3	7	24	1	0	0	292	351	483	834	191	365	24	7	364	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	282	244	63	6	0	16	28	69	7	2	0	258	351	480	831	221	290	24	10	364	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA	Reno Aces	—	50	45	10	1	0	2	3	16	1	0	0	222	286	378	663	156	286	32	6	292	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	22	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	106	90	16	3	1	2	7	27	9	0	0	178	302	300	602	122	213	25	7	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	170	155	29	4	1	5	8	73	5	0	2	187	250	323	573	135	293	43	5	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	256	233	45	12	1	13	14	118	8	4	0	193	263	421	683	227	300	46	5	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	442	410	78	8	1	14	23	160	9	3	1	190	249	317	566	127	270	36	5	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	98	91	23	5	1	2	5	28	1	0	0	253	299	396	695	143	328	29	5	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	282	252	46	4	0	9	20	87	7	2	0	183	262	306	567	123	230	31	7	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	50	46	8	1	0	1	2	19	1	0	0	174	224	261	485	87	261	38	4	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	106	90	16	3	1	2	7	27	9	0	0	178	302	300	602	122	230	25	7	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A RAW	Visalia Rawhide	—	106	87	18	3	1	3	10	20	9	0	0	207	349	368	717	161	234	19	9	333	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	523	476	91	19	2	23	27	234	17	5	2	191	260	384	644	193	306	45	5	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	523	462	122	27	3	32	41	173	17	5	2	264	346	543	889	279	346	33	8	385	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	442	410	78	8	1	14	23	160	9	3	1	190	249	317	566	127	271	36	5	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA RAW	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	442	399	95	10	1	22	34	133	9	3	1	238	312	434	746	195	299	30	8	332	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	380	343	70	9	1	12	25	115	8	2	0	204	274	341	615	137	264	30	7	268	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	380	333	89	12	1	19	35	93	8	2	0	267	351	480	832	213	311	24	9	364	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	50	46	8	1	0	1	2	19	1	0	0	174	224	261	485	87	259	38	4	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA RAW	Reno Aces	—	50	45	10	1	0	2	3	16	1	0	0	222	286	378	663	156	286	32	6	292	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	106	89	16	3	1	2	7	27	9	0	0	180	302	303	605	124	213	25	7	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	523	474	91	19	2	23	27	234	17	5	2	192	260	386	646	194	297	45	5	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	442	407	78	8	1	14	23	160	9	3	1	192	249	319	568	128	270	36	5	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	380	344	70	9	1	12	25	115	8	2	0	203	274	340	614	137	255	30	7	268	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	50	47	8	1	0	1	2	19	1	0	0	170	224	255	480	85	261	38	4	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	24	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	442	407	78	8	1	14	23	160	9	3	1	192	249	319	568	128	270	36	5	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	380	344	70	9	1	12	25	115	8	2	0	203	274	340	614	137	255	30	7	268	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	50	47	8	1	0	1	2	19	1	0	0	170	224	255	480	85	261	38	4	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	27	MLB MLE	ARI	10%	200	182	39	6	1	6	12	62	4	2	0	211	272	349	621	138	278	31	6	278	74	-6	+0	+0	-4	+4	-0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	27	MLB CTX	ARI	10%	17	16	3	1	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	214	276	352	628	138	285	29	6	281	74	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	ARI	31%	259	237	50	7	1	8	16	79	4	1	0	210	272	347	619	136	277	31	6	277	74	-8	+0	-1	-5	+6	-0.8
2028	28	MLB CTX	ARI	31%	80	74	16	3	0	2	5	25	1	0	0	214	276	350	626	136	284	31	6	280	74	-2	+0	-0	-1	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	80	74	16	3	0	2	5	25	1	0	0	216	275	338	613	122	298	31	6	280	66	-2	+0	-0	-1	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	601	129	24	0	16	41	203	8	0	0	215	274	334	608	120	296	31	6	280	66	-20	+0	-2	-12	+14	-2.0
Career	—	MLE		—	1930	1757	346	52	7	65	110	686	51	12	3	197	264	345	610	149	277	36	6	266	66	-13	+0	-1	-8	+9	-1.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	117	18	2	22	37	231	17	4	1	198	265	346	611	149	278	36	6	266	66	-20	+1	-1	-12	+14	-1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ivan Melendez (OGILVIE)	27	45	60	45	45	209/270/346	137	278	5	1	31%	6%	74	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brett Carroll 2010 · MLB	27	43→46	51→55	41→50	42	223/278/388	165	275	19	4	26%	6%	86	+0.3	211/276/349	138	265	15	10	26%	6%	76	-0.4	203/269/334	132	257	15	10	26%	6%	69	-0.7
✕Brad Glenn 2014 · AAA	27	42→46	51→55	43→45	40	220/268/381	161	283	20	4	30%	6%	80	-0.1	223/270/356	133	299	14	4	29%	6%	75	-0.5	219/263/341	123	295	13	1	30%	5%	66	-0.7
✕D.J. Peterson 2019 · AAA	27	44→45	48→55	45→40	39	224/266/360	137	289	16	5	28%	5%	75	-0.5	212/261/348	136	287	16	8	31%	5%	70	-0.8	163/233/307	144	211	19	2	33%	6%	49	-1.0
✕Evan White 2022 · MLB	26	41→51	52→55	43→40	41	215/273/375	160	287	21	5	32%	7%	82	-0.0	215/282/375	160	270	19	7	27%	8%	84	+0.2	169/244/357	189	183	25	0	25%	8%	63	-0.2
✕Richie Shaffer 2018 · MLB	27	37→40	50→55	46→40	41	196/269/346	151	286	19	5	37%	8%	74	-0.6	186/251/323	137	309	16	6	42%	7%	61	-1.5	116/174/233	116	201	14	0	49%	6%	9	-2.1
✕Kyle Jensen 2015 · AAA	27	37→47	52→55	44→40	40	199/265/361	162	274	20	4	35%	7%	76	-0.4	206/257/372	166	289	21	3	35%	5%	75	-0.5	189/236/345	156	267	20	0	37%	5%	59	-1.2
✕Jeremy Barfield 2015 · AAA	27	43→48	47→55	43→30	46	219/280/351	132	270	15	4	25%	8%	78	-0.3	208/269/340	132	268	15	4	27%	7%	72	-0.7	187/247/330	143	232	19	1	29%	6%	58	-0.7
✕Trey Amburgey 2022 · AAA	27	46→45	47→50	49→50	39	226/273/372	146	309	14	6	31%	6%	80	-0.2	208/261/336	128	302	14	7	34%	6%	68	-1.0	159/210/268	109	224	15	2	36%	6%	30	-1.4
✕Hunter Owen 2021 · AAA	27	42→39	52→55	43→40	34	215/277/379	164	309	21	5	36%	5%	84	+0.2	200/258/332	132	313	16	6	39%	6%	66	-1.1	168/219/294	126	260	19	3	42%	5%	41	-1.8
✕Anthony Gallas 2015 · AAA	27	41	50	44→40	37	217/255/374	157	281	18	4	30%	4%	74	-0.5	214/257/359	145	281	17	5	29%	5%	71	-0.8	204/248/349	145	258	17	2	28%	4%	63	-1.1
✕Mike Bianucci 2013 · AAA	27	40	51→60	44→40	37	214/259/365	151	269	20	4	29%	4%	74	-0.6	225/268/403	178	269	24	4	26%	5%	86	+0.3	219/257/410	191	249	27	2	25%	4%	82	-0.0
✕Ruben Cardenas 2024 · AAA	26	41→43	50→55	41→50	42	212/273/363	152	285	19	8	32%	7%	78	-0.3	229/289/397	168	278	20	13	25%	6%	92	+0.7	230/284/427	197	249	27	16	20%	4%	95	+0.5
✕Devin Harris 2015 · AA	27	39→40	50→55	44→40	38	204/250/362	158	273	18	3	32%	5%	70	-0.9	209/255/351	142	283	15	6	31%	5%	68	-1.0	194/239/336	142	254	16	4	30%	5%	55	-1.4
✕Chris Jacobs 2016 · AAA	27	43→39	48→55	46→40	43	218/291/358	140	299	16	3	31%	8%	84	+0.2	214/270/321	107	313	11	6	33%	6%	67	-1.1	176/210/255	79	269	12	0	39%	3%	26	-0.8
✕José Rondon 2021 · MLB	27	41→51	49→50	45→50	42	214/268/357	142	272	17	8	28%	6%	75	-0.5	231/291/389	158	281	20	10	25%	8%	91	+0.6	216/273/378	162	248	24	7	24%	7%	80	-0.0
●Trayce Thompson 2018 · MLB	27	38→48	48→60	46→50	42	202/254/345	143	260	16	8	29%	6%	67	-1.1	179/229/326	147	262	19	10	38%	6%	53	-2.1	203/291/407	204	286	27	7	37%	10%	95	+0.6
✕Sean Halton 2014 · MLB	27	45→55	48→50	46→40	42	227/283/371	144	290	15	5	27%	6%	84	+0.1	218/270/326	108	287	10	4	26%	6%	68	-1.0	213/265/303	90	280	7	2	26%	5%	59	-1.0
✕Elier Hernandez 2022 · AAA	27	40→50	46→50	45→50	36	204/251/322	119	283	15	8	33%	5%	60	-1.6	237/285/377	140	307	14	10	26%	5%	86	+0.3	245/292/388	143	313	13	10	25%	5%	87	+0.3
✕Jeff Deardorff 2006 · AAA	27	43	51→50	47→50	46	226/282/381	155	276	19	7	26%	7%	86	+0.3	214/269/352	138	286	15	11	29%	7%	74	-0.6	189/243/316	127	256	14	12	31%	6%	53	-1.2
✕Nick Schulz 2018 · AAA	27	42→50	47→45	43→45	44	213/281/346	133	281	15	7	29%	8%	78	-0.3	197/268/313	116	289	13	8	34%	8%	65	-1.2	152/234/238	86	233	11	6	38%	8%	34	-2.0