Gabriel Agrazal prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Gabriel Agrazal P ACL Cubs

Age 22 RHP 6'1" / 185 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 14 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115107vR 98

ERA4.29

FIP4.29

K%22.7%

BB%8.6%

K-BB%14.1%

ROS IP14

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	7	2	16	67	9	5	0	29%	2.3	9.1%	9.3%	-0.2%	0.0%	5.06	3.51	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Red	7	2	16	67	9	5	0	29%	2.3	13.4%	7.5%	6.0%	0.0%	5.06	2.91	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	12	11	47	190	37	14	2	92%	3.9	13.2%	9.2%	4.0%	1.6%	2.30	4.01	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Blue	12	11	47	190	37	14	2	92%	3.9	19.5%	7.4%	12.1%	1.1%	2.30	2.97	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	19	0	24	108	21	6	0	0%	1.2	13.2%	6.9%	6.3%	0.0%	5.70	2.86	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	19	0	24	108	21	6	0	0%	1.2	13.2%	6.9%	6.3%	0.0%	5.70	2.86	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	ACL Cubs	19	0	24	108	21	6	0	0%	1.2	19.4%	5.6%	13.9%	0.0%	5.70	2.09	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	22	MLB	CHC	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	22.7%	8.6%	14.1%	3.0%	4.29	4.29	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	CHC	19	0	20	84	20	7	2	0%	1.1	23.5%	8.3%	15.2%	2.9%	4.21	4.16	+0.1
2027	23	MLB CTX	CHC	10	0	10	42	10	4	1	0%	1.0	23.5%	8.3%	15.2%	2.9%	4.21	4.16	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	42	10	3	1	0%	1.1	23.5%	8.3%	15.2%	2.9%	4.21	3.78	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	203	61	20	0%	1.1	23.5%	8.3%	15.2%	2.9%	4.21	3.78	+1.8
Career	—	MLE		38	13	87	365	46	31	3	34%	2.3	12.5%	8.6%	3.9%	0.8%	3.74	3.58	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		88	30	200	842	105	72	7	34%	2.3	12.5%	8.6%	3.9%	0.8%	3.74	3.58	+0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Gabriel Agrazal (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.29	22.7%	8.6%	3.0%	—	4.16	23.5%	15.2%	20	-0.13	—	—	—
Cole Stapler R 2017 · 3.83 FIP	22	SW	3.83	19.2%	6.0%	2.9%	.266	3.31	18.1%	13.2%	220	-0.52	3.26	255	85
Daniel Bies R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	22	SW	3.96	24.5%	6.8%	3.8%	.339	3.17	20.3%	11.0%	89	-0.79	3.17	115	85
Austin Hutchison R 2017 · 4.05 FIP	22	SW	4.05	19.7%	6.0%	3.4%	.340	4.55	18.7%	9.2%	213	+0.50	3.51	235	84
Carson Rudd R 2021 · 3.39 FIP	22	SP-	3.39	25.4%	10.6%	2.0%	.351	5.24	21.6%	5.6%	193	+1.85	3.39	242	82
Kyle Zimmer R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	23	SW	3.74	21.8%	8.6%	2.5%	.293	4.55	20.4%	9.0%	33	+0.81	2.08	276	82
Kyle Zurak R 2017 · 3.96 FIP	22	SU	3.96	21.2%	9.4%	2.6%	.302	3.42	16.7%	7.5%	121	-0.54	3.20	181	81
Jonathan Papelbon R 2005 · 3.93 FIP	24	SW	3.93	23.0%	10.1%	2.7%	.305	1.90	31.3%	26.8%	196	-2.03	1.33	726	81
Yon Castro R 2021 · 3.20 FIP	22	SW	3.20	20.5%	8.5%	1.4%	.297	4.52	19.5%	8.8%	167	+1.32	3.20	274	80
Clark Beeker R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	23	SW	4.04	20.0%	7.1%	3.2%	.270	4.35	11.6%	6.4%	244	+0.31	4.04	287	80
David Davalillo R 2023 · 3.33 FIP	20	SW	3.33	18.6%	6.8%	1.7%	.292	3.31	20.9%	12.4%	308	-0.02	2.96	325	80
Brendan Collins R 2022 · 3.67 FIP	22	SW	3.67	21.8%	10.3%	2.0%	.294	3.86	20.2%	5.1%	54	+0.19	3.67	122	79
Clayton McGinness R 2019 · 3.85 FIP	22	SW	3.85	19.4%	4.5%	3.3%	.291	4.63	18.7%	7.8%	84	+0.78	3.85	106	79
Franco Aleman R 2022 · 3.95 FIP	22	SW	3.95	21.3%	8.2%	2.9%	.391	2.98	28.9%	18.9%	114	-0.97	2.28	226	79
William Fleming R 2021 · 4.12 FIP	22	SW	4.12	22.6%	4.9%	4.2%	.267	5.08	13.2%	4.0%	334	+0.96	4.02	449	78
Ben Anderson R 2021 · 4.84 FIP	23	SW	4.84	19.8%	9.4%	4.0%	.309	4.02	16.2%	7.7%	147	-0.82	3.80	399	78
Cody Palmquist R 2016 · 4.31 FIP	22	SU	4.31	21.9%	9.0%	3.5%	.278	6.02	14.7%	7.1%	62	+1.71	4.31	104	78
Nick Gallagher R 2018 · 4.26 FIP	22	SW	4.26	17.2%	7.1%	3.1%	.310	4.55	22.4%	7.1%	90	+0.29	4.10	196	77
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.26	16.4%	8.7%	208	+1.06	4.20	277	77
Parker Curry R 2017 · 3.73 FIP	23	SU	3.73	22.5%	8.2%	2.7%	.341	4.62	18.6%	11.6%	193	+0.89	3.73	256	77
J.T. Hintzen R 2018 · 3.22 FIP	22	SU	3.22	20.1%	7.0%	1.7%	.303	4.37	24.1%	15.1%	123	+1.15	3.22	205	76