Brayan Rijo — OGILVIE

Brayan RijoOF ACL Reds

Age 22 R/R 5'11" / 160 lbs ROK HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 61 proj PA

wRC+†38

AVG/OBP/SLG.185 / .245 / .264

PA61

HR1

K%35

BB%7

ISO81

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	147	140	27	1	2	1	7	64	0	6	6	193	231	250	481	57	347	44	5	211	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	147	136	40	1	4	1	11	44	0	6	6	294	347	382	729	88	429	30	7	328	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	DSL Reds	—	175	161	27	3	0	0	5	76	4	9	4	168	212	186	398	19	314	43	3	176	-7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	DSL Reds	—	175	158	40	6	0	0	8	52	4	9	4	253	306	291	597	38	374	30	5	269	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	ACL Reds	—	97	88	5	1	0	1	6	55	0	4	1	57	117	102	219	45	118	57	6	121	-49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	ACL Reds	—	97	84	10	2	1	2	10	40	0	4	1	119	213	238	451	119	182	41	10	205	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	ACL Reds	—	107	98	13	2	0	0	6	46	1	5	1	133	190	153	344	20	250	43	6	170	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	ACL Reds	—	107	93	20	5	1	0	11	31	1	5	1	215	305	290	595	75	323	29	10	272	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	22	MLB	CIN	—	61	57	11	2	0	1	4	22	0	1	0	193	246	281	527	88	286	36	7	235	38	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	CIN	34%	109	99	19	3	1	1	8	37	1	2	0	192	259	273	532	81	288	34	7	248	48	-6	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.4
2027	23	MLB	CIN	34%	37	34	7	1	0	1	3	13	0	1	0	206	270	324	594	118	291	35	8	244	45	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	37	34	7	1	0	1	3	13	0	1	0	206	270	324	594	118	300	35	8	244	45	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	597	124	18	0	18	53	228	0	18	0	208	272	328	601	121	302	35	8	244	45	-40	+4	+0	-4	+18	-2.3
Career	—			—	696	643	102	12	3	4	36	300	6	27	12	159	210	205	416	47	286	43	5	191	5	-75	+1	+0	-4	+20	-6.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	601	96	11	3	4	34	280	6	25	11	160	213	208	421	48	287	43	5	191	5	-70	+1	+0	-4	+18	-5.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	147	136	40	1	4	1	11	44	0	6	6	294	347	382	729	88	429	30	7	328	109	+2	-1	—	—	+4	0.5
2022	18	ROK	DSL Reds	—	175	158	40	6	0	0	8	52	4	9	4	253	306	291	597	38	374	30	5	269	64	-7	+0	—	—	+5	-0.2
2023	19	ROK	ACL Reds	—	97	84	10	2	1	2	10	40	0	4	1	119	213	238	451	119	182	41	10	205	15	-9	+0	—	—	+3	-0.6
2024	20	ROK	ACL Reds	—	107	93	20	5	1	0	11	31	1	5	1	215	305	290	595	75	323	29	10	272	66	-4	+1	—	—	+3	-0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brayan Rijo (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	185/245/264	80	286	1	1	35%	7%	38	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Fabian Pertuz 2023 · A	22	37→33	41→40	49→55	33	185/229/278	92	285	8	9	37%	4%	33	-2.9	172/223/263	91	273	9	12	38%	5%	28	-3.2	143/198/223	80	227	9	13	40%	5%	4	-2.5
✕Ignacio Valdez 2016 · A	21	34	39→45	48→50	38	168/235/254	87	269	6	8	38%	7%	31	-3.0	170/233/292	122	289	14	4	43%	7%	40	-2.4	133/182/263	130	199	17	0	43%	5%	8	-1.1
✕Jawuan Harris 2019 · A	22	40→24	40	51→55	42	188/270/283	95	293	7	14	35%	8%	54	-1.4	158/251/236	78	308	5	19	45%	9%	35	-2.8	116/220/180	64	246	5	26	49%	10%	6	-2.4
✕David Masters 2015 · A	22	38→36	36→45	47→40	40	182/248/249	67	278	3	8	34%	7%	35	-2.8	175/232/242	67	239	6	4	28%	6%	27	-3.3	194/263/331	137	266	18	1	33%	7%	59	-0.5
✕Walking Cabrera 2023 · A	22	37→34	42→45	47→45	40	188/245/295	107	268	10	8	33%	7%	46	-2.0	203/253/315	112	302	12	9	35%	6%	54	-1.4	191/237/303	112	281	15	10	37%	5%	43	-1.2
✕Justin Twine 2018 · A	22	35→31	36→45	46→50	30	172/213/238	66	275	4	7	38%	3%	16	-4.1	211/251/299	88	302	6	10	31%	4%	48	-1.9	216/252/313	97	321	8	14	34%	3%	50	-1.0
✕Caleb Hamilton 2017 · A	22	39	39→45	48→45	45	184/268/268	85	290	5	5	36%	9%	50	-1.8	175/256/274	99	265	8	5	34%	9%	46	-2.0	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕EJ Andrews Jr. 2023 · A	22	40→28	40→45	52→50	38	191/251/287	95	312	8	10	39%	7%	46	-2.0	168/240/275	107	279	11	11	41%	8%	39	-2.5	139/217/244	105	226	11	11	41%	8%	20	-2.0
✕Julio Carrion 2021 · A	22	39	38→40	50→45	38	186/255/265	79	301	6	6	38%	7%	43	-2.2	180/259/263	83	314	7	5	41%	7%	44	-2.1	156/236/234	78	290	8	3	45%	7%	25	-1.3
✕Arturo Guerrero 2023 · A	22	39	39→40	50	33	175/250/262	88	323	6	12	44%	6%	40	-2.4	190/262/286	96	363	8	9	46%	7%	51	-1.7	140/224/242	103	306	11	9	53%	6%	27	-0.7
✕Brandon Lewis 2021 · A	22	42→36	39→55	49→30	41	203/264/290	86	289	7	6	30%	6%	52	-1.6	200/253/377	177	299	25	3	40%	6%	72	-0.2	180/234/343	163	262	24	1	40%	5%	52	-1.1
✕Robertico Medina 2016 · A	22	35	39→40	51→45	40	167/256/251	85	295	7	9	42%	9%	40	-2.4	187/276/261	74	337	5	6	41%	10%	51	-1.7	149/259/185	36	298	2	3	44%	13%	23	-1.3
✕Misael Urbina 2023 · A	21	38→29	42→45	49→50	44	189/258/299	110	261	8	12	30%	8%	53	-1.5	172/250/256	84	262	6	9	34%	9%	38	-2.6	154/242/228	74	235	5	8	33%	9%	26	-2.0
✕Luis Aviles Jr. 2017 · A	22	38→40	39→50	49→55	32	186/218/269	84	287	6	12	37%	4%	26	-3.4	192/232/265	73	306	6	23	37%	4%	31	-3.0	196/238/335	139	267	15	22	32%	4%	50	-1.1
✕Darel Belen 2022 · A	22	41	39→40	48→50	39	187/261/269	82	328	6	10	42%	8%	46	-2.0	169/241/249	80	456	6	7	59%	7%	33	-2.9	37/123/86	49	139	8	3	75%	7%	-58	-1.7
✕Matt Pita 2019 · A	22	40	36→50	50→55	39	191/246/261	70	278	3	8	31%	6%	37	-2.7	183/235/270	87	270	5	12	32%	4%	35	-2.8	163/217/273	111	235	8	19	33%	3%	25	-1.1
✕Edwin Díaz 2018 · A	22	33→31	40→50	47→40	37	170/225/259	88	261	8	3	37%	6%	27	-3.3	174/236/291	117	279	12	4	40%	7%	41	-2.3	158/222/310	152	235	22	4	42%	7%	38	-1.2
✕Will Banfield 2022 · A	22	31→35	40→50	48→30	34	163/215/254	91	259	8	4	39%	5%	22	-3.7	193/230/321	128	266	15	3	33%	4%	46	-2.0	194/236/296	102	269	12	0	32%	4%	39	-1.2
✕Mikell Granberry 2018 · A	22	39	39→45	47→45	38	186/242/277	91	282	4	6	34%	6%	40	-2.4	215/284/323	108	302	8	7	29%	8%	69	-0.4	225/307/355	130	299	13	7	27%	10%	85	+0.2
✕Welinton Ramirez 2009 · A	22	41→36	39→40	49→50	36	197/250/279	83	300	6	12	35%	5%	43	-2.2	198/238/292	94	325	8	11	40%	4%	41	-2.3	178/210/274	97	304	9	11	44%	3%	22	-2.6