John Zorrilla — OGILVIE

John ZorrillaSS FCL Pirates

Age 22 R/R 6'1" / 173 lbs ROK HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 39 proj PA

wRC+†45

AVG/OBP/SLG.174 / .250 / .253

PA3

HR0

K%39

BB%8

ISO80

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	18	ROK	DSL PIT Gold	—	137	102	12	3	0	4	33	65	2	5	0	118	343	265	608	147	242	47	24	301	90	-2	+1	—	—	+3	0.2
2023	19	ROK	DSL Pirates Gold	—	104	83	17	5	1	2	20	39	1	11	1	205	365	361	727	157	357	38	19	337	114	+2	+2	—	—	+2	0.6
2024	20	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	30	26	4	0	0	0	4	13	0	2	0	154	267	154	421		308	43	13	214	31	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL PIT Gold	—	137	114	4	1	0	1	21	97	2	5	0	35	197	70	267	35	182	71	15	157	-8	-18	+1	—	—	+3	-1.4
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	104	91	10	3	0	1	12	58	1	11	1	110	221	176	397	66	274	56	12	197	19	-10	+2	—	—	+2	-0.6
2024	20	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	30	27	2	0	0	0	3	18	0	2	0	74	167	74	241		251	60	10	128	-27	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL PIT Gold	—	137	114	4	1	0	1	21	97	2	5	0	35	197	70	267	35	188	71	15	157	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL PIT Gold	—	137	102	12	3	0	4	33	65	2	5	0	118	343	265	608	147	242	47	24	301	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	104	91	10	3	0	1	12	58	1	11	1	110	221	176	397	66	281	56	12	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Gold	—	104	83	17	5	1	2	20	39	1	11	1	205	365	361	727	157	357	38	19	337	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	30	27	2	0	0	0	3	18	0	2	0	74	167	74	241		222	60	10	128	-27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	FCL Pirates	—	30	26	4	0	0	0	4	13	0	2	0	154	267	154	421		308	43	13	214	-27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL PIT Gold	—	137	113	4	1	0	1	21	97	2	5	0	35	197	71	268	35	182	71	15	157	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	104	90	10	3	0	1	12	58	1	11	1	111	221	178	399	67	274	56	12	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	30	27	2	0	0	0	3	18	0	2	0	74	167	74	241		251	60	10	128	-27	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	104	90	10	3	0	1	12	58	1	11	1	111	221	178	399	67	274	56	12	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	30	27	2	0	0	0	3	18	0	2	0	74	167	74	241		251	60	10	128	-27	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	22	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						289	33	0	235	45	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	PIT	34%	106	95	17	3	1	1	9	39	1	3	0	179	257	263	520	84	291	37	8	247	53	-6	+1	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
2027	23	MLB CTX	PIT	34%	36	33	5	1	0	0	3	13	0	1	0	152	222	182	404	30	289	36	8	238	53	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	36	33	5	1	0	0	3	13	0	1	0	152	222	182	404	30	250	36	8	238	16	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	596	90	18	0	0	54	235	0	18	0	151	222	181	403	30	249	36	8	238	16	-36	+4	+0	+7	+14	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	380	330	33	7	1	3	45	213	4	21	1	100	216	155	371	55	261	56	12	191	16	-6	+1	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	564	57	12	2	5	77	364	7	36	2	101	218	156	374	55	264	56	12	191	16	-36	+4	+0	+7	+14	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
John Zorrilla (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	174/250/253	79	289	0	1	39%	8%	45	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ismael Alcantara 2021 · A	22	44→29	38→45	57→50	41	201/270/281	80	317	5	16	36%	8%	58	-1.7	210/268/333	123	318	12	13	36%	6%	69	-0.9	199/258/307	108	299	12	16	35%	6%	56	-1.0
✕Fabian Pertuz 2023 · A	22	37→34	40	49→55	33	186/229/277	91	285	8	9	37%	4%	41	-3.0	175/226/265	90	273	8	12	37%	5%	38	-3.2	148/203/228	80	231	8	13	38%	5%	19	-2.4
✕Arturo Guerrero 2023 · A	22	39	39→40	50	33	175/252/262	87	322	6	12	44%	6%	48	-2.5	190/262/285	95	361	7	9	46%	7%	57	-1.8	139/222/239	100	303	10	9	53%	6%	35	-0.7
✕Jordyn Adams 2022 · A	22	39→41	40→45	52→60	35	184/242/266	82	321	8	16	43%	7%	44	-2.8	197/254/290	93	307	8	29	36%	6%	54	-2.0	188/249/290	102	288	11	26	37%	7%	50	-1.3
✕Jawuan Harris 2019 · A	22	40→28	40	51→55	42	188/270/283	95	293	7	14	35%	8%	59	-1.6	164/256/247	83	313	6	19	45%	9%	47	-2.6	125/229/196	72	258	5	26	48%	10%	23	-2.1
✕Robertico Medina 2016 · A	22	35	39→40	51→45	40	167/256/251	85	295	7	9	42%	9%	47	-2.5	187/276/261	74	337	5	6	41%	10%	57	-1.8	149/259/185	36	298	2	3	44%	13%	32	-1.3
✕Chris Roller 2019 · A	22	39	41→45	51→55	42	192/267/295	103	286	9	14	34%	8%	61	-1.5	205/269/313	108	292	7	12	30%	6%	65	-1.2	178/265/281	103	258	10	19	32%	8%	56	-1.0
✕EJ Andrews Jr. 2023 · A	22	40→28	40→45	52→50	39	192/253/287	95	306	8	10	38%	7%	53	-2.1	170/242/280	110	278	11	11	40%	8%	48	-2.5	141/220/250	109	227	12	11	41%	8%	31	-1.9
✕Sean McLain 2023 · A	22	42→34	40	51→50	40	201/272/293	92	308	8	13	35%	7%	62	-1.4	186/260/277	91	280	8	9	34%	7%	54	-2.0	169/248/255	86	251	8	11	34%	7%	42	-1.7
✕Kadon Morton 2023 · A	22	40→36	42→45	50→55	37	181/256/285	104	333	10	11	45%	8%	54	-2.0	174/240/263	89	345	8	14	48%	7%	42	-2.9	113/179/169	56	249	5	22	53%	6%	-4	-2.9
✕Julio Carrion 2021 · A	22	39	38→40	50→45	38	186/255/265	79	301	6	6	38%	7%	49	-2.4	185/264/273	88	311	8	5	40%	8%	55	-1.9	163/244/248	85	289	9	3	43%	7%	40	-1.2
✕Cadyn Grenier 2019 · A	22	41→38	39→40	48→50	36	192/247/284	92	313	5	8	38%	6%	49	-2.4	192/264/291	99	321	8	8	39%	8%	59	-1.7	178/263/269	91	283	7	11	36%	9%	51	-1.6
✕Korry Howell 2021 · A	22	44→34	37→40	50→55	41	199/266/267	68	319	4	16	36%	8%	53	-2.1	193/275/324	131	311	13	22	39%	8%	71	-0.8	170/260/301	131	273	14	28	40%	8%	59	-0.8
✕Justin Twine 2018 · A	22	36→32	37→40	47→50	31	177/217/248	70	278	4	7	37%	3%	30	-3.8	212/252/296	84	302	6	10	30%	4%	53	-2.1	214/250/302	88	318	6	14	33%	3%	53	-1.2
✕Junior Perez 2022 · A	21	38→39	42→50	54→55	36	173/244/281	108	326	9	17	46%	8%	49	-2.4	182/254/294	112	319	11	24	43%	8%	56	-1.9	167/239/308	141	259	16	25	40%	8%	52	-1.7
✕Darel Belen 2022 · A	22	41	38→40	48→50	39	187/261/269	82	327	6	10	41%	8%	53	-2.1	171/242/254	83	420	7	7	56%	7%	42	-2.9	48/130/105	57	137	9	3	69%	6%	-33	-1.6
✕D.J. Wilson 2019 · A	22	37	41→50	50	39	183/242/281	98	279	7	13	36%	7%	47	-2.5	183/249/280	97	308	9	14	40%	8%	51	-2.3	104/190/192	88	178	12	21	47%	9%	9	-1.5
✕Caleb Hamilton 2017 · A	22	39	39→45	48→45	45	184/268/268	85	290	5	5	36%	9%	55	-1.9	177/255/277	100	266	8	5	34%	9%	52	-2.2	141/235/256	115	206	16	3	39%	10%	39	-1.0
✕David Masters 2015 · A	22	39→37	36→45	47→40	40	183/249/251	68	277	3	8	33%	7%	43	-2.8	179/238/250	71	242	6	4	27%	6%	38	-3.2	192/262/321	129	263	16	1	32%	7%	61	-0.6
✕Luis Aviles Jr. 2017 · A	22	38→42	39→50	50→55	32	187/219/274	87	291	6	12	37%	4%	36	-3.4	196/235/270	74	306	6	23	36%	4%	41	-3.0	198/240/336	138	265	15	22	31%	4%	57	-1.1