Winder Diaz — OGILVIE

Winder Diaz3B FCL Nationals

Age 23 S/R 6'3" / 170 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 70 proj PA

wRC+†46

AVG/OBP/SLG.186 / .263 / .262

PA70

HR1

K%34

BB%8

ISO77

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	172	146	23	3	1	0	17	50	6	6	3	158	272	192	464	34	235	29	10	218	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	172	135	28	4	2	0	28	34	6	6	3	207	367	267	634	59	272	20	16	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	188	161	28	6	2	1	22	58	3	7	4	174	285	255	540	81	260	31	12	246	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	188	147	37	9	3	1	36	39	3	7	4	252	409	374	783	122	330	21	19	359	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	82	72	14	2	0	0	7	38	2	2	2	194	284	222	506	28	412	46	9	227	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	82	68	19	3	0	0	11	27	2	2	2	279	395	324	719	44	463	33	13	335	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	141	117	16	3	0	1	16	62	6	4	1	137	273	188	461	51	273	44	11	217	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	141	109	23	4	0	2	24	43	6	4	1	211	381	303	684	92	323	30	17	325	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	23	MLB	WSH	—	70	63	12	2	0	1	6	24	1	1	0	190	271	270	541	79	286	34	9	245	46	-4	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	WSH	30%	109	97	20	3	1	2	9	36	2	1	0	206	287	320	607	113	288	33	8	257	55	-6	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.2
2027	24	MLB	WSH	30%	33	30	5	1	0	0	3	11	0	0	0	167	242	200	442	33	288	33	9	247	47	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	33	30	5	1	0	0	3	11	0	0	0	167	242	200	442	33	263	33	9	247	47	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	99	20	0	0	59	217	0	0	0	168	243	201	444	34	265	33	9	247	47	-39	+0	+0	+2	+18	-1.9
Career	—			—	762	656	113	19	4	5	77	268	20	21	10	172	279	236	515	64	278	35	10	234	37	-54	+0	+0	+3	+22	-3.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	560	96	16	3	4	66	229	17	18	9	171	279	232	511	61	277	35	10	234	37	-46	+0	+0	+2	+18	-2.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	172	135	28	4	2	0	28	34	6	6	3	207	367	267	634	59	272	20	16	304	91	-2	+0	—	—	+5	0.3
2022	19	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	188	147	37	9	3	1	36	39	3	7	4	252	409	374	783	122	330	21	19	359	133	+7	-0	—	—	+5	1.2
2023	20	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	82	68	19	3	0	0	11	27	2	2	2	279	395	324	719	44	463	33	13	335	115	+1	-0	—	—	+2	0.3
2024	21	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	141	109	23	4	0	2	24	43	6	4	1	211	381	303	684	92	323	30	17	325	107	+1	+0	—	—	+4	0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Winder Diaz (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	186/263/262	76	286	1	1	34%	8%	46	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andy Yerzy 2021 · A	23	35	38→50	49→40	35	174/224/252	77	276	5	7	37%	5%	25	-3.5	182/265/327	145	260	18	6	36%	8%	64	-0.8	160/246/298	138	227	19	4	38%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Kenneth Williams 2009 · A	23	41	38→45	49→45	41	193/266/275	82	297	4	9	34%	7%	50	-1.8	204/249/290	86	303	5	6	33%	5%	45	-2.1	211/257/316	105	286	7	4	28%	5%	52	-0.8
✕Jobduan Morales 2014 · A	23	38	37→40	49→40	43	181/247/254	73	273	5	4	34%	8%	36	-2.7	197/257/282	85	305	6	5	35%	7%	46	-2.0	190/250/277	88	302	6	3	37%	7%	43	-1.0
✕Nick Quintana 2021 · A	23	39	40→45	50→45	37	189/243/279	90	293	7	9	36%	6%	40	-2.4	181/265/289	108	254	11	5	31%	9%	54	-1.4	161/255/263	101	223	11	3	31%	10%	40	-1.3
✕Rey Bruguera 2015 · A	23	41	38→40	43→50	40	199/252/273	74	288	6	6	32%	6%	42	-2.3	190/256/261	71	300	5	5	35%	8%	41	-2.3	147/230/190	43	242	3	0	37%	9%	10	-1.8
✕Gerard Hall 2011 · A	23	41→39	37→40	49→50	44	195/254/270	74	274	4	12	29%	7%	42	-2.3	214/267/300	86	306	4	10	29%	6%	55	-1.4	225/274/314	90	324	0	8	29%	6%	59	-0.6
✕Chris Hess 2018 · A	23	39→34	37→45	49→30	38	187/245/270	83	282	3	5	33%	6%	39	-2.5	194/251/308	114	284	11	4	34%	4%	52	-1.6	181/239/309	128	257	14	1	34%	4%	46	-1.6
✕J.T. Arruda 2022 · A	24	39→41	38→40	54→55	42	186/251/269	83	279	5	13	33%	8%	41	-2.3	201/275/292	91	299	6	20	32%	9%	58	-1.2	205/267/297	93	281	9	23	29%	7%	52	-0.8
✕Raymel Flores 2018 · AA	23	41	37→45	46→50	37	195/248/264	68	297	4	11	34%	6%	38	-2.6	193/245/263	70	290	4	11	33%	6%	37	-2.7	153/200/189	36	233	0	13	33%	5%	-6	-1.7
✕Chase Simpson 2016 · A	24	41→37	42→45	51→45	45	199/269/307	108	284	9	6	32%	8%	59	-1.1	190/254/306	116	279	10	6	34%	7%	53	-1.5	164/230/284	120	238	10	3	34%	7%	34	-1.1
✕Shaver Hansen 2011 · A	23	36	39→40	53→45	35	174/230/262	88	292	6	10	40%	6%	30	-3.1	196/243/283	87	297	6	8	34%	5%	40	-2.4	191/233/269	78	279	4	6	32%	5%	30	-1.8
✕Jonny Butler 2022 · A	23	44→31	40→45	50→55	43	208/271/296	88	303	7	9	32%	8%	56	-1.3	195/261/304	109	286	9	16	33%	7%	55	-1.4	172/247/285	113	246	10	19	32%	8%	41	-1.3
✕Caleb Hamilton 2019 · A	24	34	41→45	45	46	172/252/271	98	253	7	6	33%	9%	43	-2.2	186/255/287	101	275	10	8	33%	8%	48	-1.9	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Connor Blair 2022 · A	24	37	39→45	48→45	45	178/255/258	80	271	7	11	34%	9%	40	-2.4	199/285/312	113	313	12	8	37%	9%	68	-0.5	163/272/277	114	257	15	5	39%	11%	52	-0.5
✕Estee Harris 2008 · A	23	37→31	40→50	49→50	36	182/234/272	91	293	8	13	39%	6%	35	-2.8	218/265/340	122	373	12	12	42%	5%	66	-0.6	212/254/349	137	373	14	14	45%	4%	59	-0.4
✕Brock Carpenter 2018 · A	23	37	41→40	48→30	42	184/257/280	96	282	10	6	36%	8%	47	-1.9	201/263/302	101	330	8	6	38%	7%	55	-1.4	188/249/306	119	317	7	3	40%	7%	46	-0.7
✕Gilbert Gomez 2015 · A	23	42→35	37→40	42→50	46	192/272/273	81	300	4	8	34%	10%	52	-1.6	182/255/263	81	285	5	9	34%	9%	42	-2.3	104/179/148	44	165	2	5	36%	8%	-20	-2.0
✕Oliver Dominguez 2013 · A	24	40	40	50→45	45	194/265/290	97	275	7	10	31%	8%	53	-1.5	200/256/298	98	292	8	7	32%	7%	50	-1.7	161/205/243	82	230	8	0	33%	5%	13	-1.0
✕Alex Hall 2022 · A	23	41	39→45	46→40	35	193/243/283	90	311	6	6	38%	6%	41	-2.3	174/240/274	100	301	10	4	42%	7%	39	-2.5	140/215/237	97	230	11	1	42%	8%	17	-1.6
✕Joe Cronin 2018 · A	24	36	40→45	46→50	45	178/268/270	92	268	8	8	34%	9%	50	-1.7	186/274/284	98	291	9	9	36%	9%	56	-1.3	170/264/263	93	267	9	10	36%	9%	45	-1.0