Garrett Spain

RF Wichita Wind Surge

Age 26 L/R 5'9" / 178 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	24	AAAMIL	43	.162/.262/.216	0	3	17	—	.158/.238/.211
2025	24	AAMIL	486	.207/.287/.377	16	6	33	—	.158/.220/.269
2026	25	AAMIN	501	.244/.341/.463	22	23	72	—	.193/.269/.357
2027PROJ2% MLB	26	MLBMIN	5	.186/.253/.323	0	0	61	-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB	27	MLBMIN	90	.188/.256/.324	2	2	62	-0.3

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

ISO81

Speed76

wOBA67

BB%62

wRC+57

Chase%45

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsMark Contreras (age 26) · Will Robertson (age 26) · Ronnie Dawson (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.186 / .253 / .323

PA5

HR0

K%40

BB%7

BABIP253

ISO136

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	20	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	62	59	10	0	0	0	2	17	0	0	2	169	197	169	366		233	27	3	168	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	337	291	63	13	3	6	40	92	5	10	3	216	321	344	665	127	294	27	12	305	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	366	325	78	24	3	12	35	100	5	6	5	240	323	443	766	203	308	27	10	339	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	369	329	55	9	1	11	34	99	2	12	2	167	248	301	549	134	201	27	9	249	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	43	37	6	2	0	0	4	15	1	3	0	162	262	216	478	54	261	35	9	226	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	486	430	89	17	4	16	39	131	9	6	7	207	287	377	663	170	251	27	8	293	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	501	430	105	22	3	22	58	137	7	23	7	244	341	463	804	219	303	27	12	353	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	20	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	62	60	9	0	0	0	1	22	0	0	2	150	164	150	314		235	35	2	151	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	337	303	53	8	3	5	28	124	5	10	3	175	256	271	527	96	269	37	8	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	366	335	58	18	2	7	25	131	5	6	5	173	241	301	543	128	257	36	7	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	369	341	46	7	1	7	24	121	2	12	2	135	196	223	419	88	180	33	7	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	43	38	6	2	0	0	3	18	1	3	0	158	238	211	449	53	246	42	7	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	486	443	70	13	3	10	26	172	9	6	7	158	220	269	488	111	216	35	5	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	501	451	87	17	3	17	40	167	7	23	7	193	269	357	626	164	257	33	8	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	62	60	9	0	0	0	1	22	0	0	2	150	164	150	314		231	35	2	151	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A RAW	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	62	59	10	0	0	0	2	17	0	0	2	169	197	169	366		233	27	3	168	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	337	303	53	8	3	5	28	124	5	10	3	175	256	271	527	96	274	37	8	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+ RAW	Vancouver Canadians	—	337	291	63	13	3	6	40	92	5	10	3	216	321	344	665	127	294	27	12	305	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	366	335	58	18	2	7	25	131	5	6	5	173	241	301	543	128	258	36	7	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ RAW	Vancouver Canadians	—	366	325	78	24	3	12	35	100	5	6	5	240	323	443	766	203	308	27	10	339	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	369	341	46	7	1	7	24	121	2	12	2	135	196	223	419	88	183	33	7	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA RAW	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	369	329	55	9	1	11	34	99	2	12	2	167	248	301	549	134	201	27	9	249	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	529	481	76	15	3	10	29	189	10	9	7	158	221	264	485	106	227	36	5	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	529	467	95	19	4	16	43	146	10	9	7	203	285	364	649	161	252	28	8	288	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	501	451	87	17	3	17	40	167	7	23	7	193	269	357	626	164	259	33	8	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA RAW	Wichita Wind Surge	—	501	430	105	22	3	22	58	137	7	23	7	244	341	463	804	219	303	27	12	353	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	62	61	9	0	0	0	1	22	0	0	2	148	164	148	311		235	35	2	151	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	337	301	53	8	3	5	28	124	5	10	3	176	256	272	528	96	269	37	8	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	366	333	58	18	2	7	25	131	5	6	5	174	241	303	544	129	257	36	7	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	369	340	46	7	1	7	24	121	2	12	2	135	196	224	420	88	180	33	7	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	529	485	76	15	3	10	29	189	10	9	7	157	221	262	483	105	218	36	5	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	501	449	87	17	3	17	40	167	7	23	7	194	269	359	628	165	257	33	8	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	23	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	369	340	46	7	1	7	24	121	2	12	2	135	196	224	420	88	180	33	7	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	529	485	76	15	3	10	29	189	10	9	7	157	221	262	483	105	218	36	5	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	501	449	87	17	3	17	40	167	7	23	7	194	269	359	628	165	257	33	8	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	MIN	2%	380	346	64	12	2	10	26	125	5	9	3	186	253	322	575	136	253	33	7	259	61	-18	+1	+0	-4	+8	-0.7
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	26	MLB CTX	MIN	2%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	186	253	323	576	137	253	40	0	259	61	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	MIN	27%	336	305	58	11	2	9	24	109	4	8	3	188	255	324	579	136	254	32	7	260	62	-15	+0	+0	-4	+7	-1.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	MIN	27%	90	83	15	3	0	2	6	29	1	2	1	188	256	324	580	136	255	32	7	261	62	-4	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	90	83	15	3	0	2	6	29	1	2	1	181	244	289	534	108	250	32	7	261	46	-4	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	599	108	22	0	14	43	209	7	14	7	180	243	287	530	107	250	32	7	261	46	-29	+0	+0	-7	+14	-2.3
Career	—	MLE		—	2750	2504	429	84	15	62	188	945	36	74	31	171	239	291	531	120	242	34	7	236	46	-27	+1	+0	-6	+13	-2.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	102	20	4	15	44	223	9	17	7	172	240	296	536	123	243	34	7	236	46	-30	+1	+0	-7	+14	-2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Garrett Spain (OGILVIE)	26	35	50	45	35	184/251/319	135	253	7	6	33%	7%	61	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Mark Contreras 2021 · AA	26	36→39	43→50	47→55	38	183/247/296	112	267	11	13	34%	6%	53	-2.1	201/262/336	135	294	15	19	35%	6%	68	-1.0	197/259/326	130	285	15	24	35%	6%	62	-1.1
✕Will Robertson 2024 · AA	26	37→41	50	45	39	198/255/352	154	274	17	7	34%	6%	70	-0.9	201/266/344	143	287	16	5	34%	7%	72	-0.7	195/264/336	141	278	16	2	34%	7%	67	-0.8
✕Ronnie Dawson 2021 · AAA	26	38→48	46→45	48→55	37	192/260/321	129	290	14	16	37%	6%	64	-1.3	216/282/319	103	300	9	15	29%	7%	72	-0.7	214/283/310	96	295	8	16	28%	7%	67	-0.8
✕Connor Panas 2019 · AA	26	41→42	45	45→40	40	208/268/329	121	273	13	5	28%	6%	69	-0.9	214/277/337	123	278	12	8	27%	6%	74	-0.6	172/258/322	149	210	16	6	26%	7%	60	-0.3
✕Devin Foyle 2022 · AA	25	41→39	46→45	48→45	44	207/273/338	131	273	14	10	29%	7%	72	-0.7	214/284/324	110	273	10	7	24%	8%	74	-0.6	194/281/260	67	243	5	0	21%	9%	55	-0.7
✕Justin Toerner 2023 · AAA	26	40	42→40	48→50	45	193/287/295	103	289	10	10	34%	9%	70	-0.9	192/283/307	115	279	12	11	33%	10%	70	-0.8	124/235/230	107	167	13	9	33%	11%	35	-1.2
✕Mason Martin 2024 · AAA	25	35→36	50→55	46→45	38	182/255/333	151	294	18	9	42%	8%	65	-1.2	198/276/341	143	354	17	10	45%	8%	75	-0.5	124/217/264	141	282	18	7	58%	8%	36	-0.6
✕Cole Cummings 2024 · AA	26	39→37	47→45	48→45	43	198/277/328	130	276	15	5	32%	8%	72	-0.7	193/260/301	108	308	11	8	38%	7%	59	-1.6	167/236/260	93	283	9	9	41%	7%	40	-2.6
✕Collin DeLome 2011 · AAA	25	36→39	50→55	52→50	33	193/240/346	153	274	18	13	36%	4%	62	-1.4	204/256/331	127	307	13	14	36%	5%	65	-1.2	205/258/332	127	316	11	16	37%	4%	63	-0.7
✕Camden Duzenack 2021 · AA	26	34→36	46→50	48→50	39	184/243/305	121	244	14	10	31%	6%	54	-2.0	209/255/340	131	279	14	10	30%	5%	65	-1.2	211/258/338	126	272	14	10	27%	5%	64	-0.6
✕Patrick Dorrian 2022 · AAA	26	40→38	47→50	47→45	42	202/269/336	134	296	14	6	36%	8%	71	-0.8	192/258/329	137	289	16	6	37%	8%	65	-1.2	172/239/299	127	255	16	5	38%	7%	48	-1.4
✕Grae Kessinger 2024 · MLB	26	40→30	45	46→50	48	204/282/322	118	264	14	13	28%	9%	73	-0.6	200/274/299	99	273	9	11	28%	9%	64	-1.3	159/229/234	75	220	6	10	29%	7%	30	-1.6
✕Tristan Gray 2022 · AAA	26	42→36	47→50	42→40	42	214/275/350	136	287	14	5	30%	7%	76	-0.4	189/242/343	154	266	20	4	36%	5%	63	-1.4	197/252/324	127	261	14	3	29%	6%	61	-1.0
✕Dustin Lawley 2015 · AAA	26	38→42	49→50	45	37	200/242/348	149	265	16	6	32%	5%	63	-1.3	196/236/315	119	269	12	9	31%	4%	53	-2.1	171/204/270	99	232	9	10	31%	3%	28	-2.4
✕Adam Calderone 2011 · AAA	27	40→41	47→50	45	39	206/251/349	143	262	14	9	28%	5%	66	-1.1	205/251/330	125	268	12	12	27%	5%	61	-1.5	162/194/257	95	204	5	16	23%	4%	20	-1.0
✕Tyler Marincov 2018 · AA	26	41	45→50	44→50	39	207/261/331	125	288	13	9	32%	6%	66	-1.1	197/254/334	137	295	17	11	37%	6%	65	-1.2	166/221/292	126	240	18	14	39%	6%	42	-1.8
✕Daniel Amaral 2023 · AA	26	42	46→40	48→55	42	209/269/335	126	284	13	14	30%	7%	70	-0.8	228/297/333	105	298	8	27	25%	8%	80	-0.2	233/309/320	88	303	5	48	23%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Seth Fortenberry 2010 · AA	26	36→41	43→45	51→50	42	182/255/296	114	271	11	10	35%	8%	57	-1.8	190/253/290	100	306	7	9	37%	7%	53	-2.1	154/208/242	88	288	0	4	44%	6%	22	-0.8
✕Aaron Shackelford 2023 · AAA	26	33→32	51→50	50→45	36	185/239/342	157	266	20	8	38%	6%	61	-1.5	190/257/325	135	287	15	10	37%	7%	64	-1.3	166/255/281	116	248	12	10	36%	9%	52	-1.5
✕Will Wilson 2024 · AAA	26	40→39	48→50	44→45	41	207/264/341	134	274	17	6	31%	7%	70	-0.8	206/265/303	97	274	10	8	27%	7%	61	-1.5	191/253/271	79	256	8	7	27%	7%	47	-1.8