Davis Diaz

C Midland RockHounds

Age 24 R/R 5'10" / 188 lbs AA HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

Scout OFP40ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	22	A+OAK	242	.218/.312/.280	2	2	29	—	.173/.242/.223
2025	22	AOAK	190	.250/.390/.355	0	6	74	—	.210/.316/.290
2026	23	AAOAK	217	.292/.394/.411	4	10	101	—	.266/.347/.359
2026	23	A+OAK	127	.302/.417/.491	3	1	109	—	.250/.339/.384
2027PROJ2% MLB	24	MLBOAK	6	.225/.304/.326	0	0	76	0.0
2028PROJ28% MLB	25	MLBOAK	105	.228/.307/.337	2	2	80	0.2
2029PROJ44% MLB	26	MLBOAK	177	.230/.308/.342	3	3	81	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$1M2034Arb-2$0.4M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Whiff%91

Z-Con%89

Speed54

K%42

Chase%38

BB%31

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 9, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 82%

CompsJonathan Esqueda (age 24) · Abrahan Gutierrez (age 24) · Tyler Smith (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†76

AVG/OBP/SLG.225 / .304 / .326

PA6

HR0

K%17

BB%17

BABIP290

ISO102

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$10M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 44 / POW 37

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT44

scouting grade only

POWER37

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.7M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Arb-1	$1M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	21	A	Stockton Ports	—	68	53	12	3	0	0	8	9	7	0	0	226	397	283	680	57	273	13	12	334	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	242	211	46	7	0	2	28	38	1	2	1	218	312	280	592	62	254	16	12	276	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	Stockton Ports	—	190	152	38	10	3	0	29	28	6	6	3	250	390	355	746	105	299	15	15	342	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	81	74	16	1	0	2	7	20	0	2	1	216	284	311	595	95	269	25	9	273	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	217	185	54	8	1	4	24	33	7	10	2	292	394	411	804	119	336	15	11	365	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	127	106	32	11	0	3	19	16	2	1	0	302	417	491	908	189	333	13	15	405	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	37	28	9	1	0	1	8	6	0	1	0	321	472	464	937	143	364	16	22	413	166	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	21	A MLE	Stockton Ports	—	68	55	11	3	0	0	6	12	7	0	0	200	353	255	607	55	244	18	9	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	—	242	220	38	5	0	2	19	50	1	2	1	173	242	223	464	50	209	21	8	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Stockton Ports	—	190	162	34	9	2	0	19	38	6	6	3	210	316	290	606	80	261	20	10	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	—	81	76	14	1	0	1	5	24	0	2	1	184	235	237	471	53	261	30	6	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	217	192	51	7	1	3	17	40	7	10	2	266	347	359	707	94	318	18	8	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	—	127	112	28	9	0	2	13	20	2	1	0	250	339	384	723	134	296	16	10	330	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Stockton Ports	—	68	55	11	3	0	0	6	12	7	0	0	200	353	255	607	55	256	18	9	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	Stockton Ports	—	68	53	12	3	0	0	8	9	7	0	0	226	397	283	680	57	273	13	12	334	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	432	382	72	13	2	2	38	87	7	8	4	188	274	249	523	60	235	20	9	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	432	363	84	17	3	2	57	66	7	8	4	231	347	311	658	80	273	15	13	305	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	4 teams	—	462	412	103	19	1	8	39	92	9	14	3	250	328	359	687	109	303	20	8	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA RAW	4 teams	—	462	393	111	21	1	10	58	75	9	14	3	282	387	417	804	135	326	16	13	364	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Stockton Ports	—	68	55	11	3	0	0	6	12	7	0	0	200	353	255	607	55	244	18	9	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	432	384	72	13	2	2	38	87	7	8	4	188	274	247	521	60	232	20	9	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	4 teams	—	462	411	103	19	1	8	39	92	9	14	3	251	328	360	688	109	301	20	8	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	A MLE	Stockton Ports	—	68	55	11	3	0	0	6	12	7	0	0	200	353	255	607	55	244	18	9	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	432	384	72	13	2	2	38	87	7	8	4	188	274	247	521	60	232	20	9	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	4 teams	—	462	411	103	19	1	8	39	92	9	14	3	251	328	360	688	109	301	20	8	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	OAK	2%	380	339	75	14	1	6	32	92	6	7	2	219	298	316	614	97	281	24	8	281	76	-11	+1	+0	+7	+8	0.7
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	OAK	2%	6	5	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	225	304	326	630	101	290	17	17	287	76	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	OAK	28%	369	329	73	14	1	6	31	89	6	6	2	222	301	326	628	105	282	24	8	286	80	-9	+0	+0	+7	+8	0.6
2029	26	MLB MLE	OAK	44%	406	362	80	15	1	7	35	97	6	6	2	223	303	332	635	109	282	24	9	289	81	-9	+0	+0	+7	+9	0.8
2030	27	MLB MLE	OAK	50%	419	373	84	16	1	8	36	101	7	6	2	223	303	333	636	110	282	24	9	289	82	-9	+0	+0	+7	+9	0.8
2031	28	MLB MLE	OAK	55%	424	379	84	16	1	8	36	102	6	5	2	223	301	332	634	110	282	24	8	288	81	-10	+0	-0	+8	+9	0.7
2032	29	MLB MLE	OAK	56%	420	375	83	15	1	8	36	102	6	4	2	221	299	330	629	109	281	24	9	286	80	-10	+0	-1	+8	+9	0.5
2033	30	MLB MLE	OAK	56%	414	370	81	15	1	7	35	102	6	3	2	218	296	322	618	104	279	25	8	281	77	-12	-0	-2	+7	+9	0.3
2034	31	MLB MLE	OAK	57%	389	349	75	14	1	6	32	97	5	2	4	214	291	312	603	98	276	25	8	275	72	-13	-1	-3	+7	+8	-0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	OAK	28%	105	93	21	4	0	2	9	25	2	2	0	228	307	337	644	109	291	24	9	292	80	-3	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.2
2029	26	MLB CTX	OAK	44%	177	157	36	7	1	3	15	42	3	3	1	230	308	342	651	113	291	24	8	295	81	-4	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.3
2030	27	MLB CTX	OAK	50%	211	188	44	9	1	4	18	51	3	3	1	230	308	343	652	114	291	24	9	295	82	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2031	28	MLB CTX	OAK	55%	232	207	48	10	1	4	20	56	3	3	1	229	307	342	649	114	291	24	9	294	81	-5	+0	-0	+4	+5	0.4
2032	29	MLB CTX	OAK	56%	233	208	48	10	1	4	20	57	3	2	1	227	305	340	645	112	290	24	9	292	80	-6	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.3
2033	30	MLB CTX	OAK	56%	233	208	47	9	1	4	20	57	3	2	1	224	301	332	633	107	288	24	9	287	77	-7	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.2
2034	31	MLB CTX	OAK	57%	220	197	44	9	1	3	18	55	3	1	2	220	296	321	618	102	284	25	8	281	72	-7	-1	-1	+4	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1411	1258	288	58	6	24	120	343	20	16	7	229	306	342	648	113	294	24	9	291	77	-36	+0	-3	+25	+31	1.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	580	133	27	3	11	55	158	9	7	3	229	306	343	649	114	295	24	8	291	77	-16	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	4123	3671	809	152	11	65	351	959	70	60	25	220	301	321	621	101	279	23	9	282	77	-80	+0	-5	+56	+68	4.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	128	24	2	10	55	151	11	9	4	221	301	321	622	100	280	23	8	282	77	-16	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Brian Schneider'00-'12 * career totals — 12 seasons, 3,570 PA	5.4	3,570	67	4	238*	309*	359*	+63	-0	9.0	8.8
/162	664	12	1	+11.7	-0.1	1.7	pk7: 9
#3Randy Hundley'64-'77 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,797 PA	5.7	3,797	82	12	236*	295*	383*	+68	+0	8.0	8.7
/162	664	14	2	+11.8	+0.0	1.4	pk7: 9
#4Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
#5Frank House'50-'61 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,187 PA	3.3	2,187	47	6	243*	292*	382*	+39	+0	5.1	5.3
/162	664	14	2	+11.9	+0.0	1.5	pk7: 5
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	2.1	1,417	25	15	221	296	328	+25	+0	2.9	2.8
/162	664	12	7	+11.9	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Davis Diaz (OGILVIE)	24	40→44	25→37	40	50	217/296/313	96	281	5	6	24%	8%	76	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jonathan Esqueda 2009 · AAA	24	46	40→30	41→45	45	221/281/309	88	281	8	7	24%	7%	68	-1.0	228/282/333	105	293	9	11	24%	6%	74	-0.5	243/287/324	82	312	5	11	23%	5%	70	-0.3
✕Abrahan Gutierrez 2024 · AA	24	44→41	42→45	43→40	46	214/283/317	104	276	10	4	25%	8%	72	-0.7	219/267/300	81	280	6	5	23%	5%	61	-1.5	225/261/287	62	286	4	2	22%	4%	51	-0.5
✕Tyler Smith 2015 · AA	24	49→54	41→40	47→50	48	235/305/339	103	298	8	10	23%	8%	84	+0.1	233/291/317	84	297	6	8	22%	7%	74	-0.6	226/283/300	74	288	5	7	22%	6%	63	-1.0
✕Jeff Dragicevich 2007 · AA	24	48	39→40	42→40	47	224/296/316	92	308	6	5	27%	8%	76	-0.4	229/301/344	115	314	12	5	29%	8%	84	+0.1	228/304/350	122	308	14	2	29%	9%	84	+0.1
✕Nick Allen 2023 · MLB	24	47→57	40	47→50	46	226/282/319	93	278	8	13	21%	7%	71	-0.8	244/302/334	90	290	7	16	17%	7%	81	-0.1	253/316/328	75	310	5	13	19%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Anthony Mulrine 2022 · AAA	24	43	41→40	44→40	43	210/288/306	96	284	9	5	28%	6%	72	-0.7	185/265/261	76	264	6	5	30%	7%	53	-2.1	141/230/189	48	210	3	1	31%	7%	22	-1.4
✕Alex De Goti 2019 · AAA	24	45→48	43→45	43→50	42	220/274/331	111	279	10	8	25%	6%	71	-0.8	223/280/341	118	287	11	7	25%	6%	76	-0.4	215/283/323	108	279	9	6	25%	8%	70	-0.7
✕Adam Weisenburger 2014 · AA	25	44	40	40→30	45	210/287/300	90	281	7	4	26%	7%	70	-0.9	217/296/302	85	276	6	4	22%	8%	73	-0.6	211/294/286	74	262	4	2	19%	8%	67	-0.6
✕Travis Harrison 2017 · AA	24	44→50	38→40	42→45	46	207/286/293	86	290	5	9	28%	8%	68	-1.0	189/274/282	93	286	6	9	33%	8%	61	-1.5	139/245/223	84	222	4	5	35%	9%	36	-1.8
✕Luis Vázquez 2024 · AAA	24	46→47	46→45	42→50	42	227/286/351	124	297	14	10	28%	6%	80	-0.1	228/285/350	122	302	13	11	28%	6%	80	-0.2	221/274/331	110	296	12	13	28%	5%	67	-0.4
✕Ali Sánchez 2021 · AAA	24	49	38→45	44→40	44	232/276/314	82	282	5	5	19%	5%	67	-1.1	241/291/335	94	314	9	4	25%	6%	78	-0.3	247/298/343	95	318	11	1	25%	7%	79	-0.1
✕Onix Vega 2023 · AAA	24	45	39→30	47→45	45	214/286/297	82	285	6	7	26%	7%	68	-1.0	202/274/271	69	262	5	6	23%	8%	57	-1.8	187/269/229	42	239	2	5	21%	9%	45	-1.0
✕Alsander Womack 2024 · AA	25	47	41→45	44→45	49	227/294/320	93	276	10	7	21%	8%	76	-0.4	218/278/305	87	281	8	10	24%	7%	66	-1.1	186/233/224	38	248	3	12	25%	5%	30	-0.9
✕Chadwick Tromp 2019 · AAA	24	48	39→45	42→40	45	229/282/312	83	281	6	5	20%	6%	69	-0.9	224/277/365	141	281	17	5	26%	6%	80	-0.1	213/269/334	121	264	14	0	25%	7%	67	-0.5
✕Phil Avlas 2007 · AA	24	49	44→40	41→45	50	240/303/360	120	283	11	7	20%	8%	88	+0.5	220/274/299	79	269	6	8	19%	7%	63	-1.4	210/259/259	49	258	3	7	19%	6%	47	-1.1
✕Owen Miller 2021 · AA	24	48→54	41→45	43→50	44	233/282/334	101	281	9	6	20%	6%	74	-0.5	240/291/356	116	304	11	7	23%	6%	83	+0.1	244/296/361	116	305	10	8	22%	6%	85	+0.2
✕Luis Carpio 2021 · AA	24	46→43	41→45	38→50	47	222/285/321	99	280	8	7	23%	8%	72	-0.7	207/265/299	92	292	7	10	30%	7%	60	-1.6	191/250/276	84	273	7	10	31%	7%	46	-1.3
✕Adan Velazquez 2014 · AAA	24	52→54	42→45	43→50	44	250/296/361	111	303	9	8	20%	6%	85	+0.2	242/280/333	91	298	8	6	21%	4%	72	-0.7	235/269/306	71	291	6	5	21%	4%	60	-0.9
✕Gilberto Celestino 2023 · MLB	24	49→53	40→45	48→55	49	233/303/328	95	299	8	8	24%	8%	81	-0.1	239/313/332	93	310	8	12	23%	9%	86	+0.3	244/318/324	80	322	7	14	24%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Orlando Mercado 2009 · AA	24	44	42→45	39→40	57	215/308/316	101	247	10	4	17%	11%	81	-0.1	231/299/304	73	267	5	4	14%	8%	74	-0.6	234/295/297	64	268	4	2	14%	8%	69	-0.5

Davis Diaz

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps