Po-Yu Chen

P Altoona Curve

Age 25 RHP 6'1" / 201 lbs AA peak 0.4 · 2028

Overview

AAPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	22	AAPIT	27	25	134	4.03	3.79	16.8%	7.5%	—	K 13.6% · BB 8.3% · FIP 4.63
2025	23	MIX2 levels	29	26	113	5.11	4.09	19.0%	10.6%	—	K 15.5% · BB 11.4% · FIP 4.83
2026	24	MIX3 levels	13	9	34	9.79	5.42	19.1%	13.0%	—	K 13.6% · BB 13.4% · FIP 6.17
2027PROJ	25	MLBPIT	10	10	60	5.57	5.57	13.8%	12.3%	-0.4
2028PROJ44% MLB	26	MLBPIT	7	7	44	5.40	5.37	15.4%	11.8%	-0.2
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBPIT	10	10	63	5.32	5.32	15.9%	11.5%	-0.3

Next 3 projected WAR -1.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff40Control45Command40

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsJoel Hanrahan (age 25) · Johendí Jiminian (age 25) · Ryan Jensen (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 139131vR 123

ERA5.57

FIP5.57

K%13.8%

BB%12.3%

K-BB%1.5%

Proj IP60

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL4545

CMD4040

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	10	42	175	44	12	2	100%	4.2	17.6%	8.1%	9.5%	1.1%	2.57	3.26	—
2021	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	10	10	42	175	44	12	2	100%	4.2	25.1%	6.9%	18.3%	1.1%	2.57	2.48	—
2022	20	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	22	22	98	420	103	36	8	100%	4.5	18.1%	10.1%	8.0%	2.2%	4.58	4.07	—
2022	20	A RAW	Bradenton Marauders	22	22	98	420	103	36	8	100%	4.5	24.5%	8.6%	16.0%	1.9%	4.58	3.16	—
2023	21	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	25	24	120	506	124	43	21	96%	4.8	18.9%	9.8%	9.1%	4.3%	4.44	5.11	—
2023	21	A+ RAW	Greensboro Grasshoppers	25	24	120	506	124	43	21	96%	4.8	24.5%	8.5%	16.0%	4.2%	4.44	4.39	—
2024	22	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	27	25	134	573	96	43	12	93%	5.0	13.6%	8.3%	5.3%	3.0%	4.03	4.63	—
2024	22	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	27	25	134	573	96	43	12	93%	5.0	13.6%	8.3%	5.3%	3.0%	4.03	4.63	—
2024	22	AA RAW	Altoona Curve	27	25	134	573	96	43	12	93%	5.0	16.8%	7.5%	9.2%	2.1%	4.03	3.79	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	26	113	511	97	54	11	90%	3.9	15.5%	11.4%	4.1%	2.9%	5.11	4.83	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	26	113	511	97	54	11	90%	3.9	15.5%	11.4%	4.1%	2.9%	5.11	4.83	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	26	113	511	97	54	11	90%	3.9	19.0%	10.6%	8.4%	2.2%	5.11	4.09	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	13	9	34	162	31	21	6	69%	2.6	13.6%	13.4%	0.2%	4.6%	9.79	6.17	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	13	9	34	162	31	21	6	69%	2.6	13.6%	13.4%	0.2%	4.6%	9.79	6.17	—
2026	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	13	9	34	162	31	21	6	69%	2.6	19.1%	13.0%	6.2%	3.7%	9.79	5.42	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	PIT	10	10	60	253	35	31	8	100%	6.0	13.8%	12.3%	1.5%	3.1%	5.57	5.57	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	PIT	17	17	101	428	66	50	13	100%	6.0	15.4%	11.8%	3.6%	3.1%	5.40	5.37	-0.5
2029	27	MLB MLE	PIT	17	17	100	422	67	49	13	100%	5.9	15.9%	11.5%	4.4%	3.1%	5.32	5.32	-0.5
2030	28	MLB MLE	PIT	16	16	97	409	66	47	13	100%	6.1	16.1%	11.5%	4.6%	3.2%	5.32	5.35	-0.5
2031	29	MLB MLE	PIT	15	15	92	391	62	45	13	100%	6.2	16.0%	11.6%	4.3%	3.4%	5.39	5.46	-0.6
2032	30	MLB MLE	PIT	14	14	87	367	57	44	13	100%	6.2	15.6%	11.9%	3.7%	3.6%	5.54	5.63	-0.7
2028	26	MLB CTX	PIT	7	7	44	186	29	22	6	100%	6.3	15.4%	11.8%	3.6%	3.1%	5.40	5.37	-0.2
2029	27	MLB CTX	PIT	10	10	63	266	42	31	8	100%	6.3	15.9%	11.5%	4.4%	3.1%	5.32	5.32	-0.3
2030	28	MLB CTX	PIT	12	12	73	308	50	35	10	100%	6.1	16.1%	11.5%	4.6%	3.2%	5.32	5.35	-0.4
2031	29	MLB CTX	PIT	13	13	76	321	51	37	11	100%	5.8	16.0%	11.6%	4.3%	3.4%	5.39	5.46	-0.5
2032	30	MLB CTX	PIT	12	12	75	317	49	38	11	100%	6.2	15.6%	11.9%	3.7%	3.6%	5.54	5.63	-0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		55	55	331	1398	221	163	46	100%	6.0	15.8%	11.7%	4.2%	3.3%	5.40	5.05	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	133	98	28	100%	6.0	15.8%	11.7%	4.2%	3.3%	5.40	5.05	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		126	116	541	2347	381	233	73	92%	4.3	16.2%	9.9%	6.3%	3.1%	4.69	4.68	-2.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		47	43	200	868	141	86	27	92%	4.3	16.2%	9.9%	6.3%	3.1%	4.69	4.68	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Po-Yu Chen (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.57	13.8%	12.3%	3.1%	—	5.35	15.8%	4.2%	298	-0.22	—	—	—
Joel Hanrahan R 2007 · 5.58 FIP	25	SP	5.58	17.4%	15.4%	3.6%	.318	3.06	27.8%	18.1%	218	-2.52	2.08	397	84
Johendí Jiminian R 2018 · 5.25 FIP	25	SP	5.25	14.0%	11.4%	3.5%	.282	4.41	13.9%	4.4%	94	-0.84	4.01	419	84
Ryan Jensen R 2001 · 5.03 FIP	25	SP-	5.03	13.5%	13.0%	2.6%	.285	4.82	13.4%	5.2%	185	-0.21	4.35	253	84
Ike Buxton R 2024 · 4.45 FIP	24	SP	4.45	15.4%	13.1%	1.8%	.341	4.97	13.8%	-5.5%	46	+0.52	4.45	196	82
Sam Wolff R 2016 · 5.72 FIP	25	SP	5.72	13.9%	15.0%	3.5%	.278	3.15	25.1%	15.5%	106	-2.57	2.66	178	81
Bryce Warrecker R 2024 · 5.43 FIP	22	SP	5.43	11.3%	11.7%	3.3%	.271	3.82	20.1%	9.6%	91	-1.61	2.47	154	81
James Proctor R 2022 · 4.39 FIP	24	SP	4.39	14.0%	12.5%	1.6%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	109	81
Ben Anderson R 2022 · 4.59 FIP	24	SP	4.59	13.0%	12.0%	1.9%	.270	4.31	14.4%	6.0%	217	-0.28	3.80	399	81
J.P. Massey R 2024 · 4.72 FIP	24	SP	4.72	16.1%	14.2%	2.1%	.283	5.71	15.5%	-1.3%	46	+0.99	4.72	195	81
Jake Peppers R 2024 · 5.02 FIP	22	SP	5.02	15.3%	12.2%	3.0%	.293	5.15	14.8%	-1.3%	89	+0.13	4.83	186	80
Brian Bannister R 2006 · 4.93 FIP	25	SP-	4.93	11.1%	11.7%	2.3%	.234	4.32	13.3%	6.6%	502	-0.61	3.97	667	80
Justin Miller R 2002 · 5.01 FIP	24	SP-	5.01	14.5%	13.6%	2.6%	.280	5.41	12.5%	2.1%	82	+0.40	2.63	373	80
Hayden Merda R 2023 · 5.17 FIP	23	SP	5.17	16.1%	15.3%	2.7%	.325	4.59	25.5%	10.9%	108	-0.58	4.20	203	79
Jake Bockenstedt R 2024 · 6.05 FIP	24	SP	6.05	17.0%	13.1%	5.0%	.322	4.35	16.8%	5.4%	126	-1.70	3.74	218	79
Clayton Mortensen R 2009 · 5.68 FIP	24	SP	5.68	8.7%	8.7%	4.0%	.308	4.84	17.1%	7.7%	100	-0.84	4.31	383	79
Jacob Meador R 2024 · 5.34 FIP	23	SP-	5.34	15.6%	14.0%	3.2%	.301	6.73	14.7%	-6.6%	50	+1.39	5.34	139	79
Joe Nathan R 2000 · 5.19 FIP	25	SP-	5.19	14.3%	13.8%	2.8%	.262	3.30	26.3%	16.8%	79	-1.89	1.25	929	79
J.P. France R 2019 · 5.32 FIP	24	SP-	5.32	17.9%	13.9%	3.6%	.285	4.24	26.3%	15.2%	225	-1.08	4.04	577	79
Britt Reames R 2000 · 4.49 FIP	26	SP	4.49	18.2%	12.9%	2.4%	.230	4.35	21.9%	11.5%	163	-0.14	3.76	204	78
Alejandro Martinez R 2015 · 4.46 FIP	26	SP-	4.46	17.5%	10.9%	2.7%	.393	4.24	9.2%	3.9%	53	-0.22	4.24	166	78

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 3,327 pitcher careers (1,251 from 1990-2025 + 2,076 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.7	90	15.6%	11.7%	1.26	5.41
Jesse Winters ('19-'23, -2 WAR*)	2.0	81	13.7%*	11.0%*	1.29*	5.12*
Charlie Bishop ('52-'55, -1 WAR*)	1.5	98	16.9%*	11.2%*	1.30*	5.49*
Mac Suzuki ('02)	2.3	93	15.4%	12.5%	1.29	5.72
Bob McGraw ('17-'29, -2 WAR*)	3.0	99	16.8%*	11.0%*	1.21*	5.01*
Bobby Jones ('04)	1.6	81	15.1%	12.9%	1.25	5.77
Victor Santos ('07)	3.0	86	15.6%	10.2%	1.29	5.21