Frederick Bencosme

IF Chesapeake Baysox
Age 24 L/R 6'0" / 160 lbs AA HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2370ETA2029MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202421AABowie Baysox504.240/.320/.34882855—.214/.274/.292
202522AABAL227.192/.269/.3186338—.187/.247/.281
202623AABAL429.260/.355/.428131384—.232/.303/.362
2027PROJMLE24MLBBAL4.224/.289/.3430075-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB25MLBBAL79.226/.292/.3492178-0.0
2029PROJ45% MLB26MLBBAL134.227/.293/.3523279-0.0
Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$0.2M2034Ext$5M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
Whiff%92
Z-Con%87
K%86
BB%67
ISO62
wOBA61
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.1 / P90 2.5, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 85%
CompsChantz Mack (age 24) · Nathan Panther (age 25) · Conner Capel (age 24)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†75
AVG/OBP/SLG.224 / .289 / .343
PA4
HR0
K%25
BB%8
BABIP264
ISO115
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -6.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-6BATRUN: +0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.0 runs (Positional adjustment)+0POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.00.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT40
scouting grade only
POWER40
scouting grade only
EYE40
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2033Arb-1$0.2M———
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-0.8M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202118 ROKDSL Orioles 2 — 158142 44642 11182 103 310368451818 141341 117 357 36 — — — — — —
202219 A+Aberdeen IronBirds — 4139 6210 290 01 154195256452 103200 225 202 -7 — — — — — —
202219 ADelmarva Shorebirds — 250220 74823 27311 85 336411432843 95380 1211 378 113 — — — — — —
202320 A+Aberdeen IronBirds — 476414 1021832 55673 286 246339319658 72288 1412 303 49 — — — — — —
202421 AABowie Baysox — 504445 1071838 49823 285 240320348668 108277 1610 301 55 — — — — — —
202522 AAChesapeake Baysox — 227198 38706 20371 32 192269318588 126203 169 259 38 — — — — — —
202623 AAChesapeake Baysox — 429369 9621113 52732 130 260355428783 168290 1712 346 84 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202118 ROK MLEDSL Orioles 2 — 158146 28421 7222 103 192239267506 75212 144 221 36 — — — — — —
202219 A+ MLEAberdeen IronBirds — 4140 6210 1120 01 150171250421 100180 292 158 -7 — — — — — —
202219 A MLEDelmarva Shorebirds — 250228 72722 20401 85 316375390765 75369 168 335 113 — — — — — —
202320 A+ MLEAberdeen IronBirds — 476434 901532 35893 286 207271270541 62250 197 241 49 — — — — — —
202421 AA MLEBowie Baysox — 504459 981535 351033 285 214274292566 78256 207 249 55 — — — — — —
202522 AA MLEChesapeake Baysox — 227203 38704 15431 32 187247281527 94199 197 225 38 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLEChesapeake Baysox — 429384 8918110 37892 130 232303362665 130269 219 292 84 — — — — — —
202118 ROK MLEDSL Orioles 2 — 158146 28421 7222 103 192239267506 75218 144 221 36 — — — — — —
202118 ROK RAWDSL Orioles 2 — 158142 44642 11182 103 310368451818 141341 117 357 36 — — — — — —
202219 A MLE2 teams — 291267 77922 21521 86 288343360702 71350 187 310 96 — — — — — —
202219 A RAW2 teams — 291259 801033 29401 86 309381405786 97355 1410 353 96 — — — — — —
202320 A+ MLEAberdeen IronBirds — 476434 901532 35893 286 207271270541 62255 197 241 49 — — — — — —
202320 A+ RAWAberdeen IronBirds — 476414 1021832 55673 286 246339319658 72288 1412 303 49 — — — — — —
202421 AA MLEBowie Baysox — 504459 981535 351033 285 214274292566 78263 207 249 55 — — — — — —
202421 AA RAWBowie Baysox — 504445 1071838 49823 285 240320348668 108277 1610 301 55 — — — — — —
202522 AA MLEChesapeake Baysox — 227203 38704 15431 32 187247281527 94214 197 225 38 — — — — — —
202522 AA RAWChesapeake Baysox — 227198 38706 20371 32 192269318588 126203 169 259 38 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLEChesapeake Baysox — 429384 8918110 37892 130 232303362665 130274 219 292 84 — — — — — —
202623 AA RAWChesapeake Baysox — 429369 9621113 52732 130 260355428783 168290 1712 346 84 — — — — — —
202118 ROK MLEDSL Orioles 2 — 158148 28421 7222 103 189239264502 74212 144 221 36 — — — — — —
202219 A MLE2 teams — 291267 77922 21521 86 288343360702 71342 187 310 96 — — — — — —
202320 A+ MLEAberdeen IronBirds — 476435 901532 35893 286 207271269540 62250 197 241 49 — — — — — —
202421 AA MLEBowie Baysox — 504461 981535 351033 285 213274291564 78256 207 249 55 — — — — — —
202522 AA MLEChesapeake Baysox — 227209 38704 15431 32 182247273519 91199 197 225 38 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLEChesapeake Baysox — 429387 8918110 37892 130 230303359662 129269 219 292 84 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202421 AA MLEBowie Baysox — 504461 981535 351033 285 213274291564 78256 207 249 55 — — — — — —
202522 AA MLEChesapeake Baysox — 227209 38704 15431 32 182247273519 91199 197 225 38 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLEChesapeake Baysox — 429387 8918110 37892 130 230303359662 129269 219 292 84 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202724 MLB MLEBAL 2% 380346 771518 29762 81 221285335621 115260 208 279 75 -11 +1 +0 +0 +8 0.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202724 MLB CTXBAL 2% 44 1000 010 00 224289343632 119264 250 284 75 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202825 MLB MLEBAL 31% 255232 521015 20511 51 223288341629 118261 208 283 78 -7 +1 +0 +0 +6 -0.1
202926 MLB MLEBAL 45% 301272 611216 24612 51 224290344634 121263 208 285 79 -8 +1 +0 +0 +7 -0.0
203027 MLB MLEBAL 49% 319289 641217 25652 61 224290345635 121263 208 285 79 -8 +1 +0 +0 +7 -0.0
203128 MLB MLEBAL 52% 325294 661317 26682 61 223290343633 120264 218 285 79 -8 +1 -1 +0 +7 -0.1
203229 MLB MLEBAL 52% 320289 641217 26682 51 222288340629 119264 218 283 78 -9 +1 -1 +0 +7 -0.2
203330 MLB MLEBAL 52% 314284 621216 25672 51 219285332617 114262 218 278 74 -10 +1 -2 +0 +7 -0.4
202825 MLB CTXBAL 31% 7973 16302 6160 10 226292349641 123265 208 288 78 -2 +0 +0 +0 +2 -0.0
202926 MLB CTXBAL 45% 134121 27503 11271 20 227293352645 125266 208 290 79 -3 +0 +0 +0 +3 -0.0
203027 MLB CTXBAL 49% 157142 32604 13321 30 227294353647 125267 208 290 79 -4 +1 +0 +0 +3 0.0
203128 MLB CTXBAL 52% 168152 36714 13351 30 227293351645 125268 218 289 79 -4 +1 -0 +0 +4 -0.0
203229 MLB CTXBAL 52% 165150 34704 13351 30 225292348640 123268 218 287 78 -4 +1 -1 +0 +4 -0.1
203330 MLB CTXBAL 52% 162147 32603 13351 30 222288340628 118266 228 283 74 -5 +1 -1 +0 +4 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 865785 17734120 691805 150 225292348640 122266 218 288 70 -23 +3 -2 +0 +19 -0.3
/ 162G— A+C — 650590 13426115 521354 110 227295351645 124268 218 288 70 -17 +2 -2 +0 +14 -0.3
Career— MLE — 41293744 8311471866 31282024 12629 222286324610 102265 208 271 70 -55 +4 -4 +0 +44 -1.0
/ 162G— MLE — 650589 13023310 491294 205 221285321606 100264 208 271 70 -17 +1 -1 +0 +14 -0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAChesapeake Baysox · 429 PAwOBA .340 → .292 (−48)K% 17.0% → 20.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.02%÷1.000×1.220——20.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.12%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0128.59%
HBP% /PA0.47%—×0.850—×1.0120.40%
Singles /BIP20.61%÷1.000×0.970×0.980×1.01219.83%
Doubles /BIP7.09%÷1.000×0.860×0.980×1.0126.05%
Triples /BIP0.34%÷1.000×0.950×0.980×1.0120.32%
Home runs /BIP4.39%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0123.47%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.

Result: wOBA .340 → .292; ISO .168 → .140; BABIP .290 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAChesapeake Baysox · 227 PAwOBA .256 → .225 (−30)K% 16.3% → 19.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.30%÷1.044×1.220——19.05%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.81%÷0.987×0.700—×1.0276.42%
HBP% /PA0.44%—×0.850—×1.0270.38%
Singles /BIP15.53%÷0.957×0.970×0.983×1.02715.90%
Doubles /BIP4.35%÷0.970×0.860×0.983×1.0273.89%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.950×0.983×1.0270.00%
Home runs /BIP3.73%÷1.248×0.780—×1.0272.39%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 150, 1B 91, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 109, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.

Result: wOBA .256 → .225; ISO .126 → .094; BABIP .203 → .199. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AABowie Baysox · 504 PAwOBA .295 → .249 (−46)K% 16.3% → 20.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.27%÷0.970×1.220——20.45%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.72%÷1.028×0.700—×1.0426.90%
HBP% /PA0.60%—×0.850—×1.0420.53%
Singles /BIP21.49%÷1.008×0.970×0.961×1.04220.70%
Doubles /BIP4.96%÷1.062×0.860×0.961×1.0424.02%
Triples /BIP0.83%÷1.135×0.950×0.961×1.0420.69%
Home runs /BIP2.20%÷1.249×0.780—×1.0421.43%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 150, 1B 102, 2B 112, 3B 127, K 94, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.961.

Result: wOBA .295 → .249; ISO .108 → .079; BABIP .277 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Aberdeen IronBirds · 476 PAwOBA .297 → .241 (−56)K% 14.1% → 18.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.08%÷0.986×1.310——18.70%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.55%÷0.982×0.600—×1.0277.25%
HBP% /PA0.63%—×0.770—×1.0270.50%
Singles /BIP22.77%÷1.037×0.870×1.014×1.02719.88%
Doubles /BIP5.19%÷0.980×0.780×1.014×1.0274.30%
Triples /BIP0.86%÷0.900×0.850×1.014×1.0270.85%
Home runs /BIP0.58%÷0.912×0.880—×1.0270.57%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 107, 2B 96, 3B 80, K 97, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.

Result: wOBA .297 → .241; ISO .072 → .065; BABIP .288 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ADelmarva Shorebirds · 250 PAwOBA .370 → .335 (−35)K% 12.4% → 15.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA12.40%÷1.061×1.360——15.89%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.80%÷0.979×0.690—×1.0307.84%
HBP% /PA0.40%—×0.780—×1.0300.32%
Singles /BIP32.28%÷0.955×0.920×1.002×1.03032.10%
Doubles /BIP4.23%÷0.976×0.830×1.002×1.0303.71%
Triples /BIP1.06%÷1.150×0.910×1.002×1.0300.86%
Home runs /BIP1.59%÷1.128×0.800—×1.0301.16%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 91, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 112, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.

Result: wOBA .370 → .335; ISO .095 → .077; BABIP .380 → .369. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 A+Aberdeen IronBirds · 41 PAwOBA .197 → .158 (−40)K% 22.0% → 29.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.95%÷0.991×1.310——29.02%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.88%÷0.966×0.600—×1.0423.16%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.770—×1.0420.00%
Singles /BIP10.00%÷0.980×0.870—×1.0429.25%
Doubles /BIP6.67%÷0.955×0.780—×1.0425.68%
Triples /BIP3.33%÷0.964×0.850—×1.0423.06%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.029×0.880—×1.0420.00%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 96, 2B 91, 3B 93, K 98, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .197 → .158; ISO .103 → .084; BABIP .200 → .180. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 DSLDSL Orioles 2 · 158 PAwOBA .348 → .221 (−127)K% 11.4% → 13.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA11.39%÷1.000×1.220——13.90%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.33%÷1.000×0.700—×0.9954.41%
HBP% /PA1.27%—×0.700—×0.9950.88%
Singles /BIP25.81%÷1.000×0.680×0.951×0.99516.60%
Doubles /BIP4.84%÷1.000×0.600×0.951×0.9952.75%
Triples /BIP3.23%÷1.000×0.600×0.951×0.9951.83%
Home runs /BIP1.61%÷1.000×0.470—×0.9950.75%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.951.

Result: wOBA .348 → .221; ISO .141 → .078; BABIP .341 → .212. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).