Frederick BencosmeIF Chesapeake Baysox
Age 23 L/R 6'0" / 160 lbs AA HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
2026 ROS PROJECTION290 act + 193 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†73
AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .287 / .337
PA193
HR4
SB6
K%19
BB%8
BABIP259
ISO114
MLB%2%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -8.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-9BATRUN: +2.7 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+3RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.0 runs (Positional adjustment)+0POSREP: +13.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+14REPTotal WAR: +0.80+0.8WAR
0.00.51.00.00.30.50.70.7+$16M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT40
scouting grade only
POWER40
scouting grade only
EYE40
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.7$2M+$2M
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.7$2M+$1M
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $2M $4M +$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202118 ROKDSL Orioles 2 — 158147 34432 6262 103 231271340611 109267 164 256 54 — — — — — —
202118 ROKDSL Orioles 2 — 158142 44642 11182 103 310368451818 141341 117 357 131 — — — — — —
202219 A2 teams — 291269 80922 19521 86 297346368714 71361 187 315 99 — — — — — —
202219 A2 teams — 291259 801033 29401 86 309381405786 97355 1410 353 129 — — — — — —
202320 A+Aberdeen IronBirds — 476431 891542 38923 286 206275274549 67257 198 245 46 — — — — — —
202320 A+Aberdeen IronBirds — 476414 1021832 55673 286 246339319658 72288 1412 303 90 — — — — — —
202421 AABowie Baysox — 504462 881325 321123 285 190247260507 69239 226 226 31 — — — — — —
202421 AABowie Baysox — 504445 1071838 49823 285 240320348668 108277 1610 301 88 — — — — — —
202522 AAChesapeake Baysox — 227204 37704 14441 32 181237275512 93208 196 222 28 — — — — — —
202522 AAChesapeake Baysox — 227198 38706 20371 32 192269318588 126203 169 259 56 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD23 AABAL — 290259 611309 25542 90 236308390698 154263 199 305 92 -3 +2 +0 +0 +8 0.7
YTD23 AABAL — 290248 6715010 36422 90 270367452819 181288 1412 361 134 +11 +2 +0 +0 +8 2.2
ROS23 AABAL 2% 193175 39804 15371 61 222287337624 114256 198 280 73 -6 +1 +0 +0 +5 0.0
ROS23 MLBBAL 2% 44 1000 010 00 250250250500 260 250 280 73 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
FULL23 AABAL — 294263 621309 25552 90 236307388695 152264 199 305 91 -3 +2 +0 +0 +8 0.7
TOT23 AABAL — 483434 10021013 40913 151 230300368668 138261 198 295 84 -9 +3 +0 +0 +14 0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202724 MLBBAL 31% 416378 841619 32803 111 222288341629 119260 198 287 78 -10 +2 +0 +0 +12 0.3
202825 MLBBAL 45% 448406 9318111 36873 112 229297360656 131262 198 293 82 -9 +1 +0 +0 +13 0.5
202926 MLBBAL 51% 467423 9819112 38913 122 232300366666 135264 198 295 84 -8 +2 +0 +0 +13 0.7
203027 MLBBAL 53% 471426 9819112 39923 122 230299364663 134264 208 296 85 -8 +2 +0 +0 +13 0.7
202724 MLBBAL 31% 129117 26503 10251 30 222289342631 120264 198 287 78 -3 +1 +0 +0 +4 0.1
202825 MLBBAL 45% 200181 42815 16391 51 232298370668 138267 208 292 82 -4 +1 +0 +0 +6 0.2
202926 MLBBAL 51% 238215 511016 19462 61 237305377682 140268 198 295 84 -4 +1 +0 +0 +7 0.3
203027 MLBBAL 53% 247223 521016 20482 61 233302368670 135268 198 296 84 -4 +1 +0 +0 +7 0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 818740 17233320 651596 203 232300366666 134269 198 293 83 -16 +3 +0 +0 +23 1.0
/ 162G— — 650588 13626216 521265 162 231299364663 133267 198 293 83 -13 +2 +0 +0 +18 0.8
Career— — 36513321 7401281563 26971323 12930 223286327613 104264 207 273 67 -137 +14 +0 +0 +103 -2.0
/ 162G— — 650591 13223311 481274 235 223286328614 105265 207 273 67 -24 +3 +0 +0 +18 -0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202118 ROKDSL Orioles 2 — 158142 44642 11182 103 310368451818 141341 117 357 131 +6 +1 — — +4 1.1
202219 A+Aberdeen IronBirds — 4139 6210 290 01 154195256452 103200 225 202 13 -4 -0 — — +1 -0.3
202219 ADelmarva Shorebirds — 250220 74823 27311 85 336411432843 95380 1211 378 147 +13 -0 — — +7 2.1
202320 A+Aberdeen IronBirds — 476414 1021832 55673 286 246339319658 72288 1412 303 90 -5 +3 — — +13 1.2
202421 AABowie Baysox — 504445 1071838 49823 285 240320348668 108277 1610 301 88 -7 +4 — — +14 1.1
202522 AAChesapeake Baysox — 227198 38706 20371 32 192269318588 126203 169 259 56 -11 -0 — — +6 -0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA
82,7118155233305399-12-134.14.5
/1626642013-2.9-3.21.0pk7: 5
#2Shane Halterlast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,744 PA
51,7444111247305396-6+83.93.9
/162664164-2.1+3.01.5pk7: 4
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA
62,3474631241304367-5+73.83.8
/162664139-1.3+1.91.1pk7: 4
#4Hernán Pérezlast yr '19
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,811 PA
61,8114569252281387-0+123.73.7
/1626641625-0.0+4.51.3pk7: 4
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA
51,9142978242303347-6+62.72.7
/1626641027-2.0+2.21.0pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons
28202021229294360+0+01.01.0
/1626641617+0.0+0.00.8pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Frederick Bencosme (OGILVIE) 23 40 40 45 40 230/300/368 138261 1315 19% 8% 84 +0.8 ————————— —————————
✕Alvaro Ramirez
2009 · A 		23 45 38→40 49→55 46 213/277/299 86263 515 20% 6% 60 -1.0 238/293/315 77287 516 18% 5% 70 -0.3 298/358/3757733042710%5%111+1.0
✕Chris Pieters
2018 · A 		23 45 41→45 51→55 44 215/279/319 105286 713 26% 7% 66 -0.6 207/259/301 94296 611 30% 6% 53 -1.5 165/200/2195425201533%4%4-0.8
✕Mason Williams
2015 · AA 		23 47→53 40→50 49→55 46 223/269/313 90261 714 18% 6% 59 -1.1 247/284/323 76298 416 17% 5% 68 -0.5 246/291/37512930115723%6%81+0.3
✕Ramiro Rodriguez
2021 · AA 		23 42 40 50 48 204/285/300 96281 818 28% 9% 64 -0.8 200/261/296 96312 911 36% 7% 53 -1.5 146/208/210642387840%6%4-1.2
✕Raynel Delgado
2023 · AA 		23 40→50 39→40 49→60 43 195/265/283 88276 715 30% 7% 51 -1.7 229/292/326 97319 823 29% 7% 73 -0.1 242/304/3369433383228%7%76+0.1
✕Franklin Rollin
2019 · AAA 		23 44 40 50→55 41 211/255/302 91263 718 22% 4% 50 -1.7 199/250/282 83267 713 27% 5% 43 -2.2 144/191/1813720431330%4%-10-1.4
✕Austin Davidson
2016 · A 		23 37→40 43→45 41→45 43 188/254/291 103226 118 22% 5% 50 -1.8 219/283/334 115270 107 22% 7% 72 -0.2 227/291/35112427911622%7%77+0.1
✕Carlos Alvarez
2011 · AAA 		23 47 43→45 48→45 44 228/285/337 109294 1112 26% 6% 73 -0.1 229/288/361 132290 1410 25% 7% 81 +0.4 245/326/331862986618%9%88+0.3
✕Chris Meyers
2022 · A 		23 40→44 42→55 51→45 45 198/266/301 103259 911 26% 7% 56 -1.3 220/277/364 144296 176 30% 6% 78 +0.2 223/282/38015729120330%6%81+0.3
✕Noe Becerra
2010 · AAA 		23 44 39→30 43→40 48 213/275/293 80267 77 23% 8% 57 -1.2 232/280/318 86272 77 17% 6% 66 -0.6 274/319/333593103012%5%84+0.2
✕Terrin Vavra
2021 · A 		24 45→44 41→45 47→50 47 217/272/316 99263 812 21% 7% 62 -0.9 245/319/353 108323 811 24% 9% 92 +1.2 262/341/36810634571124%9%100+0.6
●Blake Tekotte
2010 · A 		23 43→48 43→55 50→55 47 213/273/320 107259 1015 22% 7% 63 -0.8 223/283/386 163289 1921 29% 7% 85 +0.7 215/274/386171284212331%7%78+0.1
✕Darius Hill
2021 · A 		23 44→54 41→45 47→45 46 215/260/314 99248 98 18% 6% 56 -1.3 254/291/349 95313 86 20% 5% 77 +0.1 262/301/358963187519%5%80+0.3
✕Preston Beck
2014 · A 		23 42→44 39→45 49→45 48 203/270/289 86254 610 22% 8% 55 -1.4 210/278/321 111267 98 24% 8% 66 -0.6 211/276/32811726310723%8%65-0.6
●Nathan Church
2023 · A 		23 42→52 37→45 50→55 45 200/271/273 73253 510 22% 6% 52 -1.6 232/285/317 85275 616 17% 6% 68 -0.5 254/302/376123289131817%6%87+0.6
✕Manuel Bobadilla
2007 · AAA 		23 42 39→45 47→45 47 202/253/284 82236 79 18% 6% 46 -2.0 221/289/333 112276 126 23% 8% 74 -0.1 234/306/34110728711421%8%81+0.2
✕Andrew Aplin
2014 · A 		23 43→53 41→40 51→55 52 208/275/308 100242 814 18% 8% 61 -1.0 228/300/310 82280 622 19% 9% 72 -0.2 227/300/2987128552721%9%67-0.4
✕Rodrigo Aguirre
2007 · AAA 		23 43 43→30 48→45 39 216/258/329 113286 1114 28% 5% 59 -1.1 230/271/336 106267 108 17% 5% 66 -0.6 267/312/347802974211%6%82+0.2
✕Gage Green
2017 · A 		24 43 40→45 46→50 40 208/269/298 90288 910 30% 6% 56 -1.3 205/262/294 89283 78 29% 6% 53 -1.5 175/222/236622320023%4%22-0.7
✕Juan Perez
2015 · A 		23 41→51 41→45 50→55 40 204/244/303 98263 816 25% 5% 46 -2.0 216/258/311 95284 817 25% 5% 54 -1.4 227/271/349122293142427%5%67-0.3