Tommy White3B Las Vegas Aviators
Age 23 R/R 6'0" / 220 lbs AAA HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2031
2026 ROS PROJECTION346 act + 230 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†91
AVG/OBP/SLG.252 / .297 / .387
PA230
HR6
K%18
BB%4
BABIP286
ISO135
MLB%10%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -5.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-5BATRUN: -1.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-1RUNFLD: -0.8 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-1FLDPOS: +2.1 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +16.3 runs (Replacement-level credit)+16REPTotal WAR: +1.20+1.2WAR
0.01.02.00.01.11.41.51.51.3+$38M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit post-control
Tools · ContractCON 51 / POW 49
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT51
scouting grade only
POWER49
scouting grade only
EYE30
scouting grade only
SPEED34
scouting grade only
DEFENSE44
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb
MLB Debut   2026
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2031
First FA Year   2032
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSPre-Arb$0.3M+0.0$0.2M+$0.0M (cut)
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M+1.1$8M+$7M
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+1.4$10M+$9M
2029Arb-1$3M+1.5$10M+$7M
2030Arb-2$5M+1.5$9M+$6M
2031Arb-3$6M+1.3$7M+$3M
Totals $16M $44M +$33M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202421 AStockton Ports 119110 20201 6273 00 182244227471 45232 235 218 25
202421 AStockton Ports 119107 24202 9213 00 224303299602 75262 188 280 72
202522 A+3 teams 481447 9617014 23928 62 215266347612 132238 195 261 58
202522 A+3 teams 481432 12025015 38628 62 278347440787 162293 138 349 126
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD23 AAAOAK 346320 851428 14627 23 266311397708 131302 184 307 93 -3 -1 +0 +1 +10 0.8
YTD23 AAAOAK 346314 9517210 20487 23 303358465823 162326 146 360 134 +13 -1 +0 +1 +10 2.4
ROS23 AAAOAK 10% 230214 54916 10424 21 252297387684 135289 184 304 91 -2 +0 -1 +1 +7 0.4
ROS23 MLBOAK 10% 2322 6101 140 00 273304455759 182287 174 290 80 -1 +0 -0 +0 +1 0.0
FULL23 AAAOAK 369342 911529 15667 23 266310401711 135301 184 306 92 -3 -1 -0 +1 +10 0.8
TOT23 AAAOAK 576534 13923314 2410411 44 260305393698 133296 184 306 92 -5 -1 -1 +2 +16 1.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202724 MLBOAK 42% 548509 13123215 261018 33 257304399703 141289 185 307 93 -4 -1 -2 +2 +16 1.1
202825 MLBOAK 58% 563521 13323216 291048 43 255305399704 144290 185 312 97 -2 -0 -2 +2 +16 1.4
202926 MLBOAK 65% 568525 13424216 301068 43 255306400706 145290 195 314 98 -1 -0 -2 +2 +16 1.5
203027 MLBOAK 66% 567523 13223216 311078 43 252304396700 143290 195 314 98 -1 -0 -2 +2 +16 1.5
203128 MLBOAK 67% 562517 13123216 321078 33 253307398705 145289 196 313 98 -2 -1 -3 +2 +16 1.3
203229 MLBOAK 66% 555511 13023216 311078 32 254307401708 147288 196 311 96 -2 -0 -3 +2 +16 1.2
203330 MLBOAK 65% 547504 12622215 311077 32 250303391693 141287 206 308 94 -4 -0 -4 +2 +15 1.0
203431 MLBOAK 65% 537495 12221214 301067 22 246299382681 135284 206 304 90 -6 -0 -5 +2 +15 0.6
202724 MLBOAK 42% 232216 54916 11433 11 250296384680 134287 195 294 83 -4 -0 -1 +1 +7 0.2
202825 MLBOAK 58% 324300 761319 16605 22 253302393696 140287 195 298 87 -5 -0 -1 +1 +9 0.4
202926 MLBOAK 65% 367339 8515110 20695 22 251302389692 139287 195 300 88 -5 -0 -1 +1 +10 0.5
203027 MLBOAK 66% 375346 8715111 21715 22 251304396700 145287 196 301 88 -5 -0 -1 +1 +11 0.5
203128 MLBOAK 67% 377348 8715111 21725 22 250302394696 144287 196 300 87 -5 -0 -2 +1 +11 0.5
203229 MLBOAK 66% 366337 8415110 21705 22 249303389692 139286 196 298 86 -6 -0 -2 +1 +10 0.3
203330 MLBOAK 65% 357329 8214110 20705 21 249302389691 140285 206 295 84 -6 +0 -3 +1 +10 0.2
203431 MLBOAK 65% 348320 781319 20695 21 244299375674 131282 206 291 81 -8 +0 -3 +1 +10 0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career 27692557 639110877 15152838 1513 250302390691 140286 195 297 86 -45 -2 -14 +10 +78 2.7
/ 162G 650600 15026218 351249 43 250301390691 140286 195 297 86 -11 -0 -3 +2 +18 0.7
Career 52774876 120921017145 279100677 3424 248299387686 139283 195 303 90 -57 -3 -23 +19 +150 8.7
/ 162G 650601 14926218 341249 43 248298388685 140284 195 303 90 -7 -0 -3 +2 +18 1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202421 AStockton Ports 119107 24202 9213 00 224303299602 75262 188 280 72 -4 +0 +3 -0.0
202522 AAMidland RockHounds 113106 33501 7170 01 311354387741 75364 156 335 114 +2 -0 +3 0.5
202522 A+Lansing Lugnuts 282254 6618011 22374 30 260329461789 201264 138 347 124 +7 +1 +8 1.6
202522 INTLMesa Solar Sox 8672 21203 984 31 292400444844 153290 910 378 147 +5 +0 +2 0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Vinny Castillalast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 3,579 PA
73,57911711253299421-2+1410.810.8
/162664222-0.3+2.52.0pk7: 11
#2Maikel Francolast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 3,573 PA
93,5731305244293414+13-59.39.6
/162664241+2.4-1.01.7pk7: 10
#3Yangervis Solartelast yr '19
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,645 PA
62,645756258315408+9+39.49.4
/162664192+2.4+0.72.4pk7: 9
#4Brett Lawrielast yr '16
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,417 PA
62,4177141261315419+9+19.49.4
/1626642011+2.4+0.32.6pk7: 9
#5Trevor Plouffelast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA
73,17810312243306411+14-188.48.4
/162664223+2.8-3.81.8pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons
52,7787816254302397+10-127.16.8
/162664194+2.4-2.91.7pk7: 7
#6Tim Beckhamlast yr '19
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,743 PA
51,7436313248301431+19-136.16.1
/162664245+7.1-4.82.3pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Tommy White (OGILVIE) 23 40→51 40→49 40→34 30 260/305/393 133296 144 18% 4% 92 +1.2
Brian Rey
2022 · AAA
24 48 46→50 40→45 44 238/300/363 125275 147 19% 5% 87 +0.8 222/278/326 104275 109 23% 5% 68 -0.5 193/242/264712396921%2%32-0.8
Michael Wing
2012 · A
23 49→50 47→55 35→40 41 244/290/381 137307 154 25% 5% 87 +0.8 216/256/337 121284 115 27% 4% 61 -1.0 227/268/39016329318428%4%80+0.2
Edinson Rincon
2014 · AA
23 51→55 44→50 38→30 40 251/281/366 116303 114 22% 4% 79 +0.3 223/270/304 81299 65 26% 6% 58 -1.2 210/261/260502922027%5%39-1.1
Gio Urshela
2015 · AAA
23 45→55 49→55 40 42 229/260/379 150247 163 16% 4% 73 -0.1 229/261/338 109261 112 17% 4% 63 -0.9 285/330/46017533121220%6%122+2.0
Christian Villanueva
2014 · AA
23 44→47 48→55 43→50 38 223/272/368 145286 159 28% 4% 76 +0.1 208/254/348 140253 164 25% 5% 63 -0.8 226/284/40818225625323%6%91+0.9
Andrew Knizner
2018 · AA
23 50 46→50 42→40 45 250/297/378 128279 133 16% 5% 89 +1.0 246/296/366 120285 134 18% 5% 85 +0.7 218/299/36114225717222%7%83+0.2
Chris Durbin
2006 · AA
24 49→51 48→50 41→40 44 246/293/393 147288 156 20% 6% 92 +1.2 226/282/344 118280 96 22% 6% 74 -0.1 211/272/3131022656321%6%60-0.7
Jamie Westbrook
2019 · AAA
24 47→55 47→50 44→45 41 240/275/374 134271 166 19% 4% 79 +0.3 241/294/390 149277 184 20% 6% 91 +1.1 249/316/39114329215420%7%97+1.2
Lenyn Sosa
2023 · MLB
23 48→51 46→50 39→40 39 240/276/366 127295 154 24% 4% 77 +0.1 238/270/379 141289 184 24% 4% 78 +0.2 246/275/38513929018422%3%80+0.2
Willie Cabrera
2010 · AA
23 51→53 44→50 39→45 45 249/289/368 119278 115 16% 5% 82 +0.5 242/285/359 117270 98 14% 5% 79 +0.3 242/285/3591162668812%5%75-0.0
Josh Vitters
2012 · AA
22 45→48 48→50 39→45 40 230/265/369 139260 166 19% 3% 73 -0.1 216/260/358 142262 187 25% 5% 69 -0.4 196/242/33013424518628%5%50-1.0
Phillip Cuadrado
2007 · A
23 49→51 48→50 37→40 43 247/303/388 140299 164 23% 5% 95 +1.4 225/284/351 126291 135 26% 6% 77 +0.1 183/249/29911523912028%6%46-0.6
Armando Alvarez
2017 · A
23 45 45→55 41→50 41 227/251/341 115249 134 16% 3% 59 -1.1 217/251/319 102255 94 19% 4% 53 -1.5 241/297/41917827823922%7%97+0.9
Joshua Fuentes
2017 · A
24 46→52 45→50 41→45 39 229/277/353 125283 135 24% 4% 75 -0.0 235/269/370 135305 125 26% 3% 75 -0.0 226/257/35913330012428%3%64-0.7
Bobby Wilson
2007 · AA
24 50→52 46→50 35→40 45 249/289/377 129276 133 16% 5% 85 +0.7 243/288/360 117283 114 18% 6% 80 +0.4 241/289/34910828810020%6%74-0.0
Chris Gimenez
2007 · A
24 41→51 46→50 40→45 43 207/289/341 134261 135 25% 6% 78 +0.2 230/308/388 158289 194 26% 8% 97 +1.5 228/310/38816028520326%9%96+1.0
Jose Miranda
2022 · AAA
24 53→57 49→50 41→40 44 266/310/414 148295 184 17% 5% 104 +2.0 258/306/400 142294 164 18% 5% 98 +1.6 256/305/39313729314217%5%94+1.0
Chris Marrero
2011 · AA
23 48→52 47→55 37→30 40 242/286/377 136306 162 26% 5% 84 +0.6 244/292/361 117303 123 23% 6% 82 +0.5 239/279/39916028219022%5%85+0.4
Luis Exposito
2010 · AA
23 47→49 47→50 42→30 38 239/274/376 138300 154 26% 4% 79 +0.3 225/272/343 118283 123 24% 6% 69 -0.4 212/262/32111027110025%6%57-0.5
Dilson Herrera
2018 · MLB
24 45→55 47→50 41→50 42 231/276/364 133284 169 25% 5% 76 +0.1 215/272/379 164283 218 31% 6% 79 +0.3 192/255/36016825423634%6%65-0.4