Tommy White
3B Las Vegas Aviators| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | AOAK | 119 | .224/.303/.299 | 2 | 0 | 36 | — | .191/.252/.236 |
| 2025 | 22 | AA/A+/INTL2 orgs | 481 | .278/.347/.440 | 15 | 6 | 85 | — | .230/.277/.363 |
| 2026 | 23 | AAA/AAOAK | 346 | .303/.358/.465 | 10 | 2 | 105 | — | .288/.334/.426 |
| 2026 | 23 | MLBOAK | 195 | .254/.273/.328 | 3 | 0 | 65 | -0.2 | |
| 2027PROJ45% MLB | 24 | MLBOAK | 70 | .256/.293/.372 | 1 | 0 | 82 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ51% MLB | 25 | MLBOAK | 164 | .257/.297/.382 | 4 | 1 | 86 | 0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ54% MLB | 26 | MLBOAK | 188 | .258/.299/.387 | 4 | 1 | 88 | 0.2 |
Tools · Recent Form · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 21 | A | Stockton Ports | — | 119 | 107 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 224 | 303 | 299 | 602 | 75 | 262 | 18 | 8 | 280 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AA | Midland RockHounds | — | 113 | 106 | 33 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 311 | 354 | 387 | 741 | 75 | 364 | 15 | 6 | 335 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 282 | 254 | 66 | 18 | 0 | 11 | 22 | 37 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 260 | 329 | 461 | 789 | 201 | 264 | 13 | 8 | 347 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | INTL | Mesa Solar Sox | — | 86 | 72 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 292 | 400 | 444 | 844 | 153 | 290 | 9 | 10 | 378 | 142 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | MLB | Athletics | — | 195 | 189 | 48 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 254 | 273 | 328 | 601 | 74 | 296 | 18 | 3 | 268 | 65 | -8 | -0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | -0.2 |
| 2026 | 23 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 252 | 231 | 70 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 35 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 303 | 351 | 489 | 840 | 186 | 319 | 14 | 5 | 365 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AA | Midland RockHounds | — | 94 | 83 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 301 | 376 | 398 | 774 | 96 | 343 | 14 | 9 | 348 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 195 | 189 | 48 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 254 | 273 | 328 | 601 | 74 | 296 | 18 | 3 | 268 | 68 | -7 | -0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | -0.2 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 119 | 110 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 191 | 252 | 236 | 488 | 45 | 238 | 24 | 5 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 113 | 108 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 287 | 319 | 352 | 670 | 65 | 345 | 19 | 4 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 282 | 261 | 54 | 12 | 0 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 207 | 261 | 368 | 629 | 161 | 215 | 17 | 5 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | MLB MLE | Athletics | — | 195 | 189 | 47 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 249 | 268 | 317 | 586 | 69 | 296 | 18 | 3 | 264 | 65 | -8 | -0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | -0.2 |
| 2026 | 23 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 252 | 234 | 67 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 42 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 286 | 327 | 440 | 767 | 154 | 309 | 17 | 4 | 326 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 94 | 85 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 294 | 355 | 388 | 743 | 94 | 333 | 17 | 6 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 119 | 110 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 191 | 252 | 236 | 488 | 45 | 247 | 24 | 5 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A RAW | Stockton Ports | — | 119 | 107 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 224 | 303 | 299 | 602 | 75 | 262 | 18 | 8 | 280 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 481 | 446 | 104 | 20 | 0 | 13 | 24 | 85 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 233 | 285 | 365 | 650 | 132 | 259 | 18 | 5 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 481 | 432 | 120 | 25 | 0 | 15 | 38 | 62 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 278 | 347 | 440 | 787 | 162 | 293 | 13 | 8 | 349 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 541 | 508 | 139 | 20 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 93 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 274 | 310 | 386 | 696 | 112 | 312 | 17 | 4 | 302 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 541 | 503 | 143 | 22 | 2 | 13 | 25 | 83 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 284 | 327 | 414 | 741 | 129 | 315 | 15 | 5 | 327 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 119 | 109 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 193 | 252 | 239 | 491 | 46 | 238 | 24 | 5 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 481 | 446 | 104 | 20 | 0 | 13 | 24 | 85 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 233 | 285 | 365 | 650 | 132 | 252 | 18 | 5 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 541 | 509 | 139 | 20 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 93 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 273 | 310 | 385 | 695 | 112 | 309 | 17 | 4 | 302 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 119 | 109 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 193 | 252 | 239 | 491 | 46 | 238 | 24 | 5 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 481 | 446 | 104 | 20 | 0 | 13 | 24 | 85 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 233 | 285 | 365 | 650 | 132 | 252 | 18 | 5 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 541 | 509 | 139 | 20 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 93 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 273 | 310 | 385 | 695 | 112 | 309 | 17 | 4 | 302 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB MLE | OAK | 45% | 380 | 357 | 89 | 14 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 67 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 250 | 287 | 362 | 650 | 113 | 285 | 18 | 4 | 289 | 82 | -8 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +8 | 0.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB CTX | OAK | 45% | 70 | 66 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 256 | 293 | 372 | 665 | 116 | 293 | 17 | 4 | 295 | 82 | -2 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +2 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 25 | MLB MLE | OAK | 51% | 321 | 301 | 75 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 57 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 251 | 291 | 372 | 663 | 121 | 285 | 18 | 4 | 295 | 86 | -6 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +7 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB MLE | OAK | 54% | 349 | 327 | 83 | 13 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 63 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 252 | 294 | 378 | 671 | 126 | 285 | 18 | 4 | 298 | 88 | -5 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +8 | 0.3 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB MLE | OAK | 54% | 350 | 327 | 82 | 13 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 64 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 250 | 294 | 376 | 670 | 126 | 285 | 18 | 5 | 298 | 88 | -5 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +8 | 0.3 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB MLE | OAK | 54% | 346 | 322 | 80 | 13 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 65 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 248 | 293 | 373 | 666 | 125 | 285 | 19 | 5 | 296 | 87 | -6 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +7 | 0.2 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB MLE | OAK | 53% | 333 | 310 | 76 | 12 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 64 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 246 | 292 | 369 | 660 | 123 | 283 | 19 | 5 | 294 | 85 | -6 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +7 | 0.0 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB MLE | OAK | 52% | 321 | 299 | 72 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 63 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 242 | 288 | 360 | 648 | 118 | 282 | 20 | 5 | 289 | 82 | -7 | +0 | -3 | +1 | +7 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB CTX | OAK | 51% | 164 | 154 | 41 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 257 | 297 | 382 | 679 | 124 | 294 | 18 | 4 | 301 | 86 | -3 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB CTX | OAK | 54% | 188 | 176 | 45 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 34 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 258 | 299 | 387 | 686 | 129 | 294 | 18 | 4 | 304 | 88 | -3 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +4 | 0.2 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB CTX | OAK | 54% | 189 | 176 | 46 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 35 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 256 | 300 | 386 | 685 | 129 | 294 | 19 | 5 | 304 | 88 | -3 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +4 | 0.2 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB CTX | OAK | 54% | 188 | 175 | 45 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 35 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 254 | 299 | 383 | 681 | 128 | 293 | 19 | 5 | 302 | 87 | -3 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB CTX | OAK | 53% | 177 | 164 | 42 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 34 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 252 | 297 | 378 | 675 | 126 | 292 | 19 | 5 | 300 | 85 | -3 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +4 | 0.0 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB CTX | OAK | 52% | 168 | 156 | 40 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 33 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 248 | 293 | 370 | 663 | 121 | 290 | 20 | 5 | 295 | 82 | -4 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +4 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1269 | 1190 | 307 | 50 | 6 | 28 | 55 | 235 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 258 | 298 | 381 | 678 | 123 | 299 | 19 | 4 | 296 | 83 | -26 | +0 | -5 | +6 | +27 | 0.3 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 610 | 157 | 26 | 3 | 14 | 28 | 120 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 257 | 297 | 379 | 676 | 121 | 298 | 18 | 4 | 296 | 83 | -13 | +0 | -3 | +3 | +14 | 0.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3316 | 3096 | 769 | 122 | 9 | 76 | 149 | 609 | 43 | 17 | 9 | 248 | 292 | 367 | 660 | 119 | 285 | 18 | 4 | 290 | 83 | -45 | +0 | -10 | +10 | +51 | 0.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 607 | 151 | 24 | 2 | 15 | 29 | 119 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 249 | 291 | 369 | 661 | 120 | 285 | 18 | 4 | 290 | 83 | -12 | +0 | -3 | +3 | +14 | 0.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAALas Vegas Aviators · 252 PAwOBA .360 → .326 (−34)K% 13.9% → 16.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.89% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 16.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 3.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.98% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 1.96% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.98% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.023 | ×1.050 | 23.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.12% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.023 | ×1.050 | 5.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.02% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.023 | ×1.050 | 1.06% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.59% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 3.37% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.
Result: wOBA .360 → .326; ISO .186 → .151; BABIP .319 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AAMidland RockHounds · 94 PAwOBA .343 → .315 (−28)K% 13.8% → 16.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.83% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 16.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.51% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 6.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.13% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 1.90% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 26.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 6.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.43% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 1.17% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .343 → .315; ISO .096 → .085; BABIP .343 → .333. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Lansing Lugnuts · 282 PAwOBA .340 → .270 (−69)K% 13.1% → 17.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.12% | ÷0.969 | ×1.270 | — | — | 17.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.80% | ÷1.048 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 5.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.42% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 1.13% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.05% | ÷1.078 | ×0.920 | ×1.014 | ×1.012 | 14.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.29% | ÷1.199 | ×0.810 | ×1.014 | ×1.012 | 5.76% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×1.014 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.07% | ÷0.921 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 4.46% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 116, 2B 140, 3B 130, K 94, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.
Result: wOBA .340 → .270; ISO .201 → .162; BABIP .264 → .215. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAMidland RockHounds · 113 PAwOBA .326 → .288 (−38)K% 15.0% → 18.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.04% | ÷0.988 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.58% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.19% | ÷1.078 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 4.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.34% | ÷1.012 | ×0.920 | ×1.033 | ×1.042 | 29.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.62% | ÷1.131 | ×0.840 | ×1.033 | ×1.042 | 4.49% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.033 | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.12% | ÷1.043 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 0.90% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 102, 2B 126, 3B 130, K 98, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.
Result: wOBA .326 → .288; ISO .075 → .059; BABIP .364 → .345. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AStockton Ports · 119 PAwOBA .273 → .221 (−52)K% 17.6% → 23.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.65% | ÷1.015 | ×1.360 | — | — | 23.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.56% | ÷1.021 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 5.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.52% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 2.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.26% | ÷1.004 | ×0.920 | ×0.993 | ×1.015 | 21.48% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.33% | ÷0.979 | ×0.830 | ×0.993 | ×1.015 | 1.99% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×0.993 | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.33% | ÷1.164 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 1.62% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 133, 1B 101, 2B 96, 3B 80, K 103, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.
Result: wOBA .273 → .221; ISO .075 → .053; BABIP .262 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .