Brennon McNair — OGILVIE

Brennon McNairSS Columbia Fireflies

Age 24 R/R 5'11" / 185 lbs A HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 144 proj PA

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .258 / .299

PA144

HR2

K%28

BB%7

ISO107

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	ACL Royals Gold	—	39	31	10	1	0	2	3	9	3	4	2	323	432	548	981	226	400	23	8	412	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	ACL Royals	—	180	156	36	5	4	6	17	50	5	7	3	231	326	429	755	199	294	28	9	333	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	256	215	41	6	5	2	35	98	4	19	2	191	315	293	608	102	336	38	14	284	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	320	269	52	15	2	8	39	107	6	9	6	193	309	353	662	160	282	33	12	297	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	INTL	Brisbane Bandits	—	161	137	34	7	0	11	21	48	1	11	2	248	352	540	892	292	291	30	13	384	146	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	368	322	63	16	3	9	36	106	7	12	3	196	290	348	638	152	260	29	10	288	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	ACL Royals Gold	—	39	32	9	1	0	2	2	13	3	4	2	281	378	500	878	219	321	33	5	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	180	163	24	3	2	4	10	73	5	7	3	147	219	264	483	117	224	41	6	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	256	225	28	4	3	1	25	140	4	19	2	124	224	182	407	58	307	55	10	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	320	282	38	11	2	5	26	151	6	9	6	135	223	241	464	106	243	47	8	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	368	334	44	12	2	6	24	147	7	12	3	132	205	234	439	102	209	40	7	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	ACL Royals Gold	—	39	32	9	1	0	2	2	13	3	4	2	281	378	500	878	219	412	33	5	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	ACL Royals Gold	—	39	31	10	1	0	2	3	9	3	4	2	323	432	548	981	226	400	23	8	412	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	180	163	24	3	2	4	10	73	5	7	3	147	219	264	483	117	227	41	6	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	ACL Royals	—	180	156	36	5	4	6	17	50	5	7	3	231	326	429	755	199	294	28	9	333	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	256	225	28	4	3	1	25	140	4	19	2	124	224	182	407	58	318	55	10	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A RAW	Columbia Fireflies	—	256	215	41	6	5	2	35	98	4	19	2	191	315	293	608	102	336	38	14	284	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	481	427	57	17	2	8	39	227	7	20	8	133	218	239	457	105	251	47	8	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	481	406	86	22	2	19	60	155	7	20	8	212	323	416	740	204	285	32	12	326	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	368	334	44	12	2	6	24	147	7	12	3	132	205	234	439	102	209	40	7	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A RAW	Columbia Fireflies	—	368	322	63	16	3	9	36	106	7	12	3	196	290	348	638	152	260	29	10	288	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	ACL Royals Gold	—	39	34	9	1	0	2	2	13	3	4	2	265	378	471	849	206	321	33	5	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	180	163	24	3	2	4	10	73	5	7	3	147	219	264	483	117	224	41	6	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	256	225	28	4	3	1	25	140	4	19	2	124	224	182	407	58	307	55	10	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	481	432	57	17	2	8	39	227	7	20	8	132	218	236	454	104	243	47	8	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	368	334	44	12	2	6	24	147	7	12	3	132	205	234	439	102	209	40	7	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	481	432	57	17	2	8	39	227	7	20	8	132	218	236	454	104	243	47	8	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	368	334	44	12	2	6	24	147	7	12	3	132	205	234	439	102	209	40	7	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	KC	0%	380	346	67	15	2	6	26	108	5	7	2	194	260	301	562	107	260	28	7	255	59	-19	+1	+0	+4	+8	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	KC	30%	160	146	29	6	1	3	11	45	2	3	1	198	265	311	575	113	261	28	7	260	62	-7	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.2
2029	26	MLB MLE	KC	44%	263	239	47	10	1	5	19	73	3	5	1	200	268	316	584	116	263	28	7	264	65	-11	+1	+0	+3	+6	-0.2
2030	27	MLB MLE	KC	49%	326	295	60	13	2	6	24	90	4	6	2	201	270	318	588	117	264	28	7	266	66	-13	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.2
2031	28	MLB MLE	KC	51%	364	331	67	14	2	7	26	100	4	6	2	202	270	319	589	116	265	27	7	266	66	-15	+0	-1	+4	+8	-0.3
2028	25	MLB CTX	KC	30%	48	44	9	2	0	1	3	13	1	1	0	196	263	304	567	109	260	27	6	257	62	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2029	26	MLB CTX	KC	44%	116	106	21	4	1	2	8	32	1	2	1	198	266	310	575	112	261	28	7	261	65	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	KC	49%	160	145	29	6	1	3	12	44	2	3	1	199	267	312	579	113	262	28	8	262	66	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
2031	28	MLB CTX	KC	51%	187	169	33	7	1	3	14	52	2	3	1	200	268	312	580	112	263	28	7	263	66	-8	+0	-0	+2	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	511	464	92	19	3	9	37	141	6	9	3	198	266	310	577	112	262	28	7	261	45	-21	+1	-0	+5	+11	-0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	117	24	4	11	47	179	8	11	4	198	267	308	575	110	262	28	7	261	45	-27	+1	-0	+7	+14	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	2581	2323	391	86	16	44	190	949	41	85	25	168	244	276	519	108	258	37	7	234	45	-53	+2	-1	+13	+27	-1.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	99	22	4	11	48	239	10	21	6	169	244	277	521	108	260	37	7	234	45	-27	+1	-0	+7	+14	-0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.0	655	12	11	200	265	315	+7	+9	-0.1	-0.1
/162	664	12	11	+7.1	+9.1	-0.1	pk7: 0
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brennon McNair (OGILVIE)	24	25	40	50	40	192/258/299	106	260	2	3	28%	7%	59	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	178/253/255	77	262	8	14	33%	8%	47	-2.6	205/278/293	88	286	6	12	28%	9%	64	-1.3	205/285/293	88	279	5	13	26%	9%	65	-0.6
✕Tony Bullard 2024 · A	24	40	44→40	52→50	43	202/263/315	113	267	12	12	29%	7%	63	-1.3	214/271/319	105	285	9	12	27%	6%	68	-1.0	210/267/311	102	278	9	13	27%	6%	61	-0.5
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	38→30	42→45	48→50	41	192/253/286	94	259	11	15	30%	6%	53	-2.1	198/271/310	112	262	13	14	28%	8%	66	-1.1	186/264/278	92	250	9	8	27%	8%	55	-0.8
✕Nick Quintana 2022 · A	24	32→40	43→45	47→45	44	169/250/274	105	239	11	6	33%	8%	50	-2.3	190/273/295	105	264	10	5	30%	9%	63	-1.3	177/267/274	97	242	10	3	29%	10%	54	-1.0
✕David Sheaffer 2019 · A	24	35	42→50	52→40	39	182/228/283	101	243	10	7	29%	5%	42	-2.9	209/254/329	120	292	12	5	31%	5%	63	-1.4	190/235/299	108	268	11	1	32%	5%	47	-0.8
✕Connor Kaiser 2021 · A	24	38	42→45	46→50	46	189/265/291	102	263	10	6	30%	8%	59	-1.7	193/262/310	117	276	12	11	32%	8%	62	-1.4	179/257/294	115	257	12	17	33%	9%	54	-0.8
✕Camden Duzenack 2019 · A	24	39→36	39→50	46→50	41	191/253/277	87	252	5	11	26%	5%	51	-2.3	186/241/309	123	254	15	9	32%	5%	54	-2.0	211/258/338	126	272	14	10	27%	5%	64	-0.6
✕Sam Praytor 2024 · A	25	37	42→45	49→55	40	187/249/289	101	268	10	6	33%	6%	53	-2.1	203/271/315	112	272	11	8	28%	8%	67	-1.1	191/269/298	107	248	11	9	26%	8%	59	-0.5
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A	25	38	40→45	48→30	43	189/253/279	90	264	9	6	31%	7%	51	-2.2	212/279/326	114	294	12	3	30%	8%	72	-0.7	205/275/317	113	280	13	1	30%	9%	66	-0.6
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	36	36→40	52→50	41	177/235/240	63	250	4	15	30%	6%	35	-3.4	215/285/296	81	280	8	14	24%	8%	67	-1.1	210/285/284	74	270	8	16	24%	8%	62	-0.6
✕Jackson Cluff 2021 · A	24	40→30	42→45	51→60	40	198/262/303	106	282	9	12	32%	6%	60	-1.6	182/252/273	91	277	7	13	35%	6%	50	-2.3	178/268/298	120	261	12	28	34%	10%	60	-0.9
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	37	42→40	49→50	48	187/274/289	103	259	10	13	30%	10%	63	-1.4	200/295/298	98	281	9	11	29%	10%	72	-0.7	182/296/265	82	256	7	11	28%	12%	63	-0.8
✕Ismael Alcantara 2023 · AA	24	38→30	45	50	37	195/253/316	121	280	13	12	34%	6%	60	-1.6	211/268/301	90	312	8	17	33%	6%	61	-1.5	216/273/285	69	324	7	24	33%	6%	57	-1.2
✕Jay Brossman 2009 · A	24	41→36	43→45	46→45	40	206/255/316	110	267	10	9	27%	5%	61	-1.5	197/247/320	123	252	13	8	27%	5%	58	-1.7	178/226/306	128	217	16	7	26%	5%	46	-0.7
✕Xorge Carrillo 2013 · A	24	42	43→40	49→30	40	209/255/316	107	273	11	8	28%	6%	59	-1.6	242/294/324	82	299	6	4	20%	5%	76	-0.4	241/298/321	80	287	7	1	18%	5%	75	-0.2
✕Joe Donovan 2023 · A	24	34	43→45	51→40	36	174/246/284	110	279	11	7	40%	6%	51	-2.3	198/254/306	108	309	9	5	37%	5%	58	-1.7	198/252/314	115	294	9	0	34%	4%	55	-0.7
✕Brady Policelli 2019 · A	24	41→38	42→45	51→50	41	202/255/309	107	269	9	14	28%	6%	59	-1.7	195/256/310	115	270	10	14	30%	7%	59	-1.6	176/242/291	115	244	11	15	31%	7%	47	-1.7
✕Joe Cronin 2018 · A	24	36	41→45	46→50	44	179/263/272	92	266	8	8	34%	8%	55	-2.0	185/271/281	96	287	9	9	35%	9%	59	-1.6	166/261/256	90	258	9	10	36%	9%	48	-1.2
✕Jacob Wetzel 2024 · A	24	38→34	41→45	50	44	185/262/277	92	271	8	12	33%	8%	55	-2.0	199/275/320	121	288	9	14	31%	9%	69	-0.9	196/279/346	150	275	11	17	30%	10%	75	-0.3
✕Collin Price 2024 · A	24	37→36	43→50	43→45	44	186/262/299	114	266	11	4	33%	9%	60	-1.6	190/264/324	134	268	16	7	33%	8%	67	-1.1	176/256/317	141	243	18	8	34%	8%	60	-1.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps