Nick Raposo — OGILVIE

Nick RaposoC Arkansas Travelers

Age 28 R/R 5'9" / 210 lbs AA HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION209 act + 139 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .296 / .322

PA139

HR2

K%29

BB%9

BABIP300

ISO105

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	137	122	29	3	2	1	11	37	2	1	0	238	311	320	631	82	329	27	8	280	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	137	116	31	4	2	1	17	27	2	1	0	267	370	362	732	95	337	20	12	332	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	229	212	49	17	0	6	15	68	1	1	1	231	285	396	681	165	309	30	7	291	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	229	204	55	18	0	7	23	55	1	1	1	270	346	461	807	191	336	24	10	356	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	2 teams	—	162	150	31	6	1	4	11	32	1	0	0	207	265	340	605	133	237	20	7	259	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	2 teams	—	162	145	35	7	1	4	16	25	1	0	0	241	321	386	707	145	267	15	10	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	280	262	47	9	0	7	16	70	1	0	0	179	229	294	523	115	216	25	6	225	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	280	253	52	10	0	8	25	59	1	0	0	206	280	340	619	134	237	21	9	280	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	338	302	70	13	2	5	28	72	4	4	1	232	305	338	643	106	285	21	8	284	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	338	292	73	13	2	3	37	63	4	4	1	250	341	339	680	89	306	19	11	310	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	28	AA	SEA	—	209	184	39	6	2	3	20	66	4	4	2	212	303	315	618	103	310	32	10	273	67	-8	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.2
YTD	28	AA	SEA	—	209	175	45	8	2	3	29	51	4	4	2	257	375	377	752	120	344	24	14	344	121	+5	+0	+0	+4	+6	1.5
ROS	28	AA	SEA	2%	139	124	27	5	1	2	12	40	2	2	1	217	296	322	618	105	292	29	9	278	71	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
ROS	28	MLB	SEA	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						289	33	0	267	62	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	28	AA	SEA	—	212	187	39	6	2	3	20	67	4	4	2	209	299	310	609	102	305	32	9	273	67	-8	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.2
TOT	28	AA	SEA	—	348	308	66	11	3	5	32	106	6	6	3	214	300	318	618	104	306	30	9	275	69	-12	+0	+0	+6	+10	0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	SEA	28%	303	272	59	11	2	5	25	85	3	3	1	217	290	327	617	110	291	28	8	279	72	-10	+0	-1	+5	+9	0.3
2028	30	MLB	SEA	43%	328	293	64	12	2	6	28	91	4	3	1	218	295	334	630	116	290	28	9	280	72	-10	+0	-2	+6	+9	0.3
2027	29	MLB	SEA	28%	85	77	15	3	0	1	7	24	1	1	0	195	271	273	543	78	288	28	8	269	64	-3	+0	-0	+2	+2	0.0
2028	30	MLB	SEA	43%	142	127	27	5	1	2	12	40	2	1	0	213	291	315	606	102	287	28	8	269	64	-6	+0	-1	+3	+4	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	230	207	42	8	1	3	19	65	3	2	0	203	279	295	574	92	279	28	8	269	64	-9	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	119	23	3	8	54	184	8	6	0	203	280	294	574	91	280	28	8	269	64	-26	+1	-4	+12	+18	0.1
Career	—			—	1916	1737	376	76	10	36	146	495	18	14	5	216	284	334	618	117	280	26	8	272	66	-73	+1	-3	+34	+54	1.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	127	26	3	12	50	168	6	5	2	216	284	331	615	115	279	26	8	272	66	-25	+0	-1	+12	+18	0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	137	116	31	4	2	1	17	27	2	1	0	267	370	362	732	95	337	20	12	332	112	+2	+0	—	—	+4	0.6
2022	24	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	229	204	55	18	0	7	23	55	1	1	1	270	346	461	807	191	336	24	10	356	131	+8	-0	—	—	+6	1.5
2023	25	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	108	95	22	4	0	3	12	16	1	0	0	232	324	368	692	137	250	15	11	315	100	-0	+0	—	—	+3	0.3
2023	25	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	54	50	13	3	1	1	4	9	0	0	0	260	315	420	735	160	300	17	7	326	107	+0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2024	26	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	280	253	52	10	0	8	25	59	1	0	0	206	280	340	619	134	237	21	9	280	73	-9	+0	—	—	+8	-0.1
2025	27	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	338	292	73	13	2	3	37	63	4	4	1	250	341	339	680	89	306	19	11	310	95	-2	+0	—	—	+10	0.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Gary Bennettlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA	8	1,703	20	6	239	301	327	+17	+6	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	8	2	239	301	327	+6.7	+2.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	232	4	2	217	289	327	+4	+4	0.3	0.3
	/162	664	11	6	217	289	327	+11.9	+11.5	0.8	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nick Raposo (OGILVIE)	28	50	30	45	50	214/300/318	104	306	5	6	30%	9%	69	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Javi Herrera 2009 · AAA	28	46	41→40	43→45	49	219/301/313	94	275	8	7	22%	8%	75	-0.0	211/289/313	102	278	9	9	26%	8%	69	-0.4	130/224/199	69	170	6	0	25%	9%	16	-0.7
✕Danny Mendick 2022 · MLB	28	46→49	43→45	43→50	46	225/285/331	105	277	11	8	23%	7%	72	-0.2	236/295/361	125	290	14	12	23%	7%	84	+0.6	230/289/365	135	277	15	15	22%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Jonathan Morales 2023 · AAA	28	44→47	41→40	46→30	46	215/272/307	92	262	10	4	22%	7%	60	-1.0	216/269/333	117	257	14	5	21%	6%	66	-0.6	197/248/312	115	226	14	1	20%	6%	50	-1.2
✕Spencer Kieboom 2019 · MLB	28	45	41→40	46→30	51	217/286/311	94	261	9	3	20%	8%	67	-0.5	208/267/301	93	263	8	6	23%	7%	56	-1.3	164/215/211	46	217	2	0	24%	6%	7	-1.5
✕Carlos Maldonado 2007 · MLB	28	48→50	42→40	47→40	44	233/284/332	98	296	10	5	24%	6%	71	-0.3	224/282/327	103	276	10	5	22%	7%	69	-0.4	198/259/284	86	258	7	2	25%	7%	47	-0.5
✕Israel Nunez 2014 · AAA	28	48	39→40	42→40	44	229/277/314	84	277	7	7	20%	5%	63	-0.8	254/303/352	98	309	8	6	19%	5%	84	+0.6	268/309/341	73	323	5	1	18%	3%	82	+0.1
✕Dusty Brown 2010 · AAA	28	48	43→45	46→30	45	230/291/335	105	308	10	3	28%	7%	75	-0.0	214/278/351	137	275	14	4	26%	8%	75	-0.0	197/270/356	159	242	17	2	26%	8%	72	-0.1
✕Austin Wynns 2019 · MLB	28	47→51	45	47→30	44	235/285/349	114	286	14	3	23%	6%	76	+0.1	223/276/327	104	271	13	4	22%	6%	66	-0.6	235/302/338	104	290	12	3	22%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Alex De Goti 2023 · AAA	28	44→47	42→45	51→50	49	214/289/322	109	281	8	8	26%	9%	71	-0.3	199/276/283	84	272	7	10	27%	9%	56	-1.3	177/262/235	58	247	4	10	27%	9%	36	-1.2
✕David Parrish 2007 · AAA	28	49	43→40	47→30	45	238/291/346	107	298	11	3	23%	6%	78	+0.2	210/264/320	110	259	11	5	23%	6%	60	-1.0	175/216/264	89	219	10	2	25%	4%	21	-1.7
✕Ryan Jackson 2016 · AAA	28	50→54	37→40	43→45	45	234/289/304	69	315	4	6	26%	7%	65	-0.7	214/275/273	59	298	3	7	27%	8%	52	-1.6	197/266/221	24	279	0	5	27%	8%	34	-1.1
✕Carlos Alonso 2016 · AA	28	51→52	39→40	47→40	49	240/307/329	88	290	5	7	18%	7%	80	+0.4	217/280/317	100	285	8	10	25%	7%	66	-0.6	168/232/247	80	227	5	4	27%	7%	24	-0.7
✕P.J. Higgins 2021 · AAA	28	45→55	42→45	44→40	45	222/278/323	101	280	9	7	24%	7%	66	-0.6	239/306/364	125	311	12	5	25%	8%	89	+1.0	240/298/360	120	319	11	1	27%	7%	82	+0.4
✕Seth Mejias-Brean 2019 · AAA	28	49→52	41→45	46→45	42	236/284/333	97	298	9	6	24%	5%	71	-0.3	231/278/349	118	294	13	8	25%	6%	73	-0.1	223/270/339	116	283	14	8	26%	5%	63	-0.5
✕Mike Nickeas 2011 · AAA	28	47	40	43→40	52	223/298/311	88	275	7	4	21%	9%	72	-0.2	210/270/296	86	256	7	3	20%	7%	56	-1.3	187/244/256	69	235	6	1	22%	6%	34	-0.9
✕Christian Herrera 2010 · AAA	28	47	38→40	47→45	45	223/276/299	76	279	5	7	21%	6%	59	-1.1	226/274/319	93	303	7	10	27%	5%	64	-0.8	221/270/307	86	304	6	10	28%	4%	56	-0.6
✕Steven Baron 2019 · AAA	28	46	38→45	43→50	42	218/273/289	71	301	6	5	28%	6%	55	-1.4	203/257/295	92	281	9	7	30%	6%	50	-1.7	151/212/212	61	207	7	0	30%	6%	7	-1.2
✕Alex D. Mejia 2019 · MLB	28	49→56	39→40	44→45	42	234/272/311	77	282	7	6	20%	4%	59	-1.1	250/292/356	106	301	11	7	20%	5%	81	+0.4	272/313/381	109	322	11	4	18%	5%	94	+0.9
✕Yonathan Daza 2022 · MLB	28	51→56	39→40	47→50	46	243/291/325	82	293	6	8	19%	6%	72	-0.2	244/295/324	80	291	5	6	17%	6%	73	-0.1	250/300/318	69	296	3	4	16%	5%	72	-0.1
✕Max McDowell 2022 · AAA	28	44→48	39→40	48→50	46	208/310/296	88	288	6	9	27%	8%	76	+0.0	191/275/282	91	270	9	7	31%	7%	56	-1.3	163/248/247	83	233	11	3	33%	7%	34	-1.1