Drew Christo

P Rome Emperors

Age 24 RHP 6'5" / 240 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	22	AATL	5	1	9	3.12	1.72	35.7%	14.3%	—	K 35.7% · BB 14.3% · FIP 1.89
2026	23	MIX2 levels	33	0	47	5.36	4.23	20.6%	11.8%	—	K 14.1% · BB 14.3% · FIP 5.34
2027PROJ	24	MLBATL	22	0	23	5.34	5.34	17.2%	13.2%	-0.2
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBATL	17	0	18	5.12	5.04	18.8%	11.9%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsJulio Mateo (age 24) · Francisco Del Rosario (age 25) · Grayson Thurman (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 135126vR 118

ERA5.34

FIP5.34

K%17.2%

BB%13.2%

K-BB%4.0%

Proj IP23

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 23 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	22	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	5	1	9	42	15	6	0	20%	1.7	35.7%	14.3%	21.4%	0.0%	3.12	1.89	—
2025	22	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	5	1	9	42	15	6	0	20%	1.7	35.7%	14.3%	21.4%	0.0%	3.12	1.89	—
2025	22	A RAW	Augusta GreenJackets	5	1	9	42	15	6	0	20%	1.7	35.7%	14.3%	21.4%	0.0%	3.12	1.72	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	0	47	204	42	24	5	0%	1.4	14.1%	14.3%	-0.2%	3.0%	5.36	5.34	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	0	47	204	42	24	5	0%	1.4	14.1%	14.3%	-0.2%	3.0%	5.36	5.34	—
2026	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	0	47	204	42	24	5	0%	1.4	20.6%	11.8%	8.8%	2.5%	5.36	4.23	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	ATL	22	0	23	97	17	13	3	0%	1.0	17.2%	13.2%	4.0%	3.0%	5.34	5.34	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	ATL	41	0	43	181	34	21	5	0%	1.0	18.8%	11.9%	6.9%	3.0%	5.12	5.04	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	ATL	17	0	18	76	14	9	2	0%	1.1	18.8%	11.9%	6.9%	3.0%	5.12	5.04	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		18	0	18	78	15	9	2	0%	1.0	18.8%	11.9%	6.9%	3.0%	5.12	4.66	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	163	98	22	0%	1.0	18.8%	11.9%	6.9%	3.0%	5.12	4.66	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		38	1	56	246	44	35	6	3%	1.5	17.8%	14.3%	3.5%	2.5%	5.01	4.75	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		137	4	200	884	157	126	22	3%	1.5	17.8%	14.3%	3.5%	2.5%	5.01	4.75	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Drew Christo (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.34	17.2%	13.2%	3.0%	—	5.04	18.8%	6.9%	43	-0.30	—	—	—
Julio Mateo R 2002 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	16.0%	12.8%	2.1%	.277	4.23	17.5%	13.8%	232	-0.31	3.42	318	91
Francisco Del Rosario R 2006 · 5.13 FIP	25	SU	5.13	19.4%	13.0%	3.7%	.290	3.93	19.7%	10.3%	26	-1.20	3.93	194	90
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	89
Casey Fien R 2009 · 5.17 FIP	25	SU	5.17	17.0%	11.3%	3.8%	.306	2.79	22.7%	19.2%	35	-2.38	2.79	308	89
Cody Scroggins R 2021 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.4%	15.1%	3.3%	.263	4.28	18.6%	4.4%	59	-1.07	3.78	108	88
Michael Bowden R 2011 · 4.93 FIP	24	SU	4.93	18.9%	12.2%	3.4%	.271	4.22	17.1%	8.1%	77	-0.71	3.21	269	87
Rafael Dolis R 2012 · 5.19 FIP	24	SU	5.19	13.9%	12.7%	3.0%	.287	4.02	15.8%	1.5%	66	-1.17	2.80	200	87
Miles Mikolas R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	23	SU	4.56	16.0%	10.4%	2.7%	.275	4.29	14.9%	8.6%	57	-0.27	3.13	1,386	87
Tanner Duncan R 2019 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	17.5%	14.8%	3.4%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	3.28	123	87
Morgan McSweeney R 2022 · 5.16 FIP	24	SU	5.16	18.0%	13.9%	3.3%	.278	4.31	16.6%	6.6%	107	-0.85	3.20	213	87
Josh Harlow R 2024 · 5.17 FIP	23	SU	5.17	18.5%	13.5%	3.5%	.266	5.73	17.1%	-4.2%	51	+0.56	5.17	107	87
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	86
Davison Palermo R 2024 · 5.31 FIP	24	SU	5.31	16.3%	11.2%	4.0%	.261	4.90	19.8%	7.4%	136	-0.41	4.32	220	86
Billy Seidl R 2024 · 4.53 FIP	24	SU	4.53	18.3%	14.2%	2.2%	.250	—	—	—	—	—	3.34	102	86
Michael Blazek R 2013 · 5.52 FIP	24	SU	5.52	16.7%	15.5%	3.4%	.241	3.81	19.8%	10.3%	97	-1.71	2.99	238	86
Lendy Castillo R 2012 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	14.8%	13.6%	2.4%	.361	4.81	13.9%	1.0%	49	-0.07	4.41	116	86
Marc Brakeman R 2018 · 4.67 FIP	24	SU	4.67	18.3%	13.7%	2.5%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.85	156	86
Stephen Perakslis R 2015 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	14.6%	9.9%	2.6%	.254	3.99	16.9%	9.9%	190	-0.55	3.07	211	86
Luke Stofel R 2024 · 4.26 FIP	22	SU	4.26	17.6%	12.4%	2.0%	.328	4.42	14.0%	1.8%	147	+0.16	4.26	188	86
Cayne Ueckert R 2019 · 4.26 FIP	23	SU	4.26	17.5%	14.9%	1.4%	.306	5.92	22.7%	5.0%	78	+1.66	3.95	205	86

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	33	18.2%	12.3%	1.16	5.20
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Pedro Borbón ('03)	1.4	45	18.5%	11.1%	1.10	4.68
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12