Camden Minacci
P
Rocket City Trash Pandas
Age 24
RHP
6'3" / 215 lbs
AA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION21 act + 67 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124115vR 106
ERA4.65
FIP4.65
K%20.1%
BB%11.5%
K-BB%8.6%
ROS IP67
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 88 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | 7 | 0 | 8 | 43 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 23.3% | 2.3% | 20.9% | 0.0% | 5.40 | 1.43 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | 7 | 0 | 8 | 43 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 23.3% | 2.3% | 20.9% | 0.0% | 5.40 | 1.06 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 0 | 49 | 217 | 68 | 21 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.8% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 2.4% | 3.31 | 3.73 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 0 | 49 | 217 | 68 | 21 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 31.3% | 9.7% | 21.7% | 1.8% | 3.31 | 2.67 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | 47 | 0 | 61 | 270 | 59 | 25 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 17.7% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 1.3% | 4.60 | 3.59 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | 47 | 0 | 61 | 270 | 59 | 25 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.9% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 1.1% | 4.60 | 3.03 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | 18 | 0 | 21 | 87 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.5% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 1.4% | 3.05 | 3.41 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | LAA | 64 | 0 | 67 | 284 | 57 | 33 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.1% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 2.6% | 4.65 | 4.65 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | LAA | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.1% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 2.6% | 4.65 | 4.65 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 88 | 371 | 79 | 41 | 8 | — | — | 21.3% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 2.2% | 4.27 | 4.36 | +0.8 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 20.1% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 2.6% | 4.65 | 4.27 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | LAA | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 60 | 32 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.9% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 2.6% | 4.57 | 4.54 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | LAA | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 61 | 31 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.3% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 2.6% | 4.52 | 4.50 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | LAA | 64 | 0 | 67 | 283 | 60 | 31 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.4% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 2.7% | 4.52 | 4.53 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | LAA | 29 | 0 | 30 | 127 | 26 | 14 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.9% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 2.6% | 4.57 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | LAA | 43 | 0 | 45 | 190 | 40 | 21 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.3% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 2.6% | 4.52 | 4.50 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | LAA | 50 | 0 | 52 | 220 | 47 | 24 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.4% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 2.7% | 4.52 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 123 | 0 | 129 | 543 | 115 | 59 | 14 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.2% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 2.6% | 4.53 | 4.14 | +1.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 179 | 92 | 22 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 2.6% | 4.53 | 4.14 | +2.9 | ||
| Career | — | 117 | 0 | 139 | 617 | 129 | 61 | 10 | 0% | 1.2 | 21.0% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 1.6% | 3.96 | 3.46 | +3.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 169 | 0 | 200 | 890 | 187 | 88 | 14 | 0% | 1.2 | 21.0% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 1.6% | 3.96 | 3.46 | +4.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Camden Minacci (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.65 | 20.1% | 11.5% | 2.6% | — | 4.52 | 21.2% | 10.2% | 203 | -0.13 | — | — | — |
| Max Alba R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.24 | 20.6% | 12.6% | 2.3% | .290 | 5.06 | 17.4% | 10.5% | 207 | +0.82 | 4.24 | 262 | 94 |
| Alex Palsha R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.84 | 20.6% | 10.4% | 2.1% | .288 | 3.90 | 15.3% | 4.4% | 77 | +0.06 | 3.40 | 134 | 93 |
| Todd Van Steensel R 2026 · 3.69 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.69 | 22.5% | 11.6% | 1.9% | .294 | 3.33 | 19.3% | 6.5% | 157 | -0.36 | 2.87 | 223 | 91 |
| Matt Carasiti R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.12 | 17.8% | 9.8% | 2.3% | .309 | 3.23 | 24.8% | 15.5% | 104 | -0.89 | 2.88 | 312 | 90 |
| Matt Lollis R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.59 | 18.5% | 12.2% | 2.8% | .237 | 5.05 | 19.2% | 4.7% | 56 | +0.46 | 4.59 | 120 | 90 |
| Aaron Kurcz R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 22.4% | 13.6% | 2.4% | .331 | 4.29 | 16.1% | 8.0% | 105 | +0.06 | 3.44 | 213 | 90 |
| Ben Hecht R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.56 | 22.7% | 12.9% | 3.2% | .293 | 7.95 | 14.1% | -11.4% | 13 | +3.39 | 4.55 | 155 | 89 |
| Johnny Barbato R 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.73 | 22.4% | 11.2% | 2.0% | .282 | 4.95 | 21.1% | 11.6% | 105 | +1.22 | 2.65 | 304 | 89 |
| Colby Morris R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 2.7% | .291 | 5.76 | 16.2% | 4.4% | 54 | +1.53 | 4.23 | 105 | 88 |
| Harrison Cohen R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.55 | 22.4% | 13.4% | 3.0% | .282 | 4.01 | 23.3% | 9.5% | 99 | -0.54 | 2.09 | 146 | 88 |
| Nick Altermatt R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.63 | 21.2% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .282 | 3.31 | 22.5% | 16.6% | 72 | -0.32 | 2.25 | 121 | 88 |
| Cameron Gann R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.16 | 21.4% | 12.4% | 2.4% | .296 | 5.44 | 21.1% | 6.8% | 23 | +1.28 | 3.52 | 146 | 88 |
| Ryan Ledbetter R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.63 | 18.5% | 12.3% | 2.8% | .338 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.63 | 124 | 88 |
| Hunter Dula R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.79 | 20.1% | 12.1% | 3.4% | .301 | 4.05 | 19.8% | 10.2% | 37 | -0.74 | 3.85 | 132 | 88 |
| Bryan Pope R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.87 | 19.4% | 9.5% | 2.2% | .332 | 5.00 | 12.7% | -0.3% | 22 | +1.13 | 3.87 | 148 | 88 |
| Dylan Hall R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.54 | 19.0% | 9.6% | 1.5% | .305 | 6.14 | 17.8% | 4.9% | 107 | +2.60 | 3.54 | 153 | 88 |
| Guido Knudson R 2027 · 3.49 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.49 | 20.7% | 11.1% | 1.3% | .255 | 4.83 | 17.5% | 6.7% | 47 | +1.34 | 3.49 | 106 | 87 |
| Jack Sinclair R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.72 | 19.2% | 12.5% | 3.0% | .258 | 3.96 | 20.5% | 8.1% | 161 | -0.76 | 2.82 | 285 | 87 |
| David Goforth R 2028 · 4.11 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.11 | 17.4% | 9.8% | 2.3% | .287 | 4.58 | 14.1% | 3.6% | 184 | +0.47 | 3.92 | 256 | 87 |
| Colby Blueberg R 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.61 | 22.7% | 11.5% | 1.8% | .315 | 4.51 | 20.3% | 9.8% | 50 | +0.90 | 2.36 | 229 | 87 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 68 | 20.9% | 11.1% | 1.01 | 4.56 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Scott Oberg ('19) | 5 | 51 | 21.5% | 9.3% | 0.91 | 3.85 |