Camden Minacci — OGILVIE

Camden Minacci P Rocket City Trash Pandas

Age 24 RHP 6'3" / 215 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION47 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 105

ERA4.66

FIP4.66

K%20.1%

BB%11.6%

K-BB%8.5%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 53 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4550

CMD3035

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	7	0	8	43	10	1	0	0%	1.2	23.3%	2.3%	20.9%	0.0%	5.40	1.43	—
2023	21	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	7	0	8	43	10	1	0	0%	1.2	23.3%	2.3%	20.9%	0.0%	5.40	1.43	—
2023	21	A RAW	Inland Empire 66ers	7	0	8	43	10	1	0	0%	1.2	23.3%	2.3%	20.9%	0.0%	5.40	1.06	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	45	0	49	217	68	21	4	0%	1.1	24.8%	10.9%	13.9%	2.3%	3.31	3.67	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	45	0	49	217	68	21	4	0%	1.1	24.8%	10.9%	13.9%	2.3%	3.31	3.67	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	45	0	49	217	68	21	4	0%	1.1	31.3%	9.7%	21.7%	1.8%	3.31	2.67	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	47	0	61	270	59	25	3	0%	1.3	17.7%	10.2%	7.5%	1.3%	4.60	3.61	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	47	0	61	270	59	25	3	0%	1.3	17.7%	10.2%	7.5%	1.3%	4.60	3.61	—
2025	23	AA RAW	Rocket City Trash Pandas	47	0	61	270	59	25	3	0%	1.3	21.9%	9.3%	12.6%	1.1%	4.60	3.03	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	38	0	47	201	59	21	1	0%	1.2	23.8%	11.5%	12.3%	0.6%	3.66	2.88	—
YTD	24	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	38	0	47	201	59	21	1	0%	1.2	23.8%	11.5%	12.3%	0.6%	3.66	2.88	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	AA RAW	LAA	38	0	47	201	59	21	1	0%	1.2	29.4%	10.4%	18.9%	0.5%	3.66	2.22	—
ROS	24	MLB MLE	LAA	6	0	6	26	5	3	1	0%	1.0	20.1%	11.6%	8.5%	2.6%	4.66	4.66	-0.0
2026 TOT	24	MLB MLE	LAA	—	—	53	227	64	24	2	—	—	28.3%	10.6%	17.7%	0.7%	3.78	3.08	+1.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	LAA	65	0	68	287	60	32	7	0%	1.0	20.9%	11.1%	9.8%	2.6%	4.58	4.54	+0.0
2028	26	MLB MLE	LAA	65	0	68	287	61	31	8	0%	1.0	21.3%	10.9%	10.3%	2.6%	4.53	4.50	+0.0
2029	27	MLB MLE	LAA	64	0	67	283	60	31	8	0%	1.0	21.4%	10.9%	10.4%	2.7%	4.53	4.53	+0.0
2030	28	MLB MLE	LAA	62	0	65	274	58	30	8	0%	1.0	21.3%	11.0%	10.3%	2.8%	4.58	4.61	-0.0
2027	25	MLB CTX	LAA	29	0	30	127	26	14	3	0%	1.0	20.9%	11.1%	9.8%	2.6%	4.58	4.54	+0.0
2028	26	MLB CTX	LAA	43	0	45	190	40	21	5	0%	1.0	21.3%	10.9%	10.3%	2.6%	4.53	4.50	+0.0
2029	27	MLB CTX	LAA	50	0	52	220	47	24	6	0%	1.0	21.4%	10.9%	10.4%	2.7%	4.53	4.53	+0.0
2030	28	MLB CTX	LAA	52	0	55	232	49	26	6	0%	1.1	21.3%	11.0%	10.3%	2.8%	4.58	4.61	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		174	0	182	769	163	85	21	0%	1.0	21.2%	11.0%	10.3%	2.7%	4.55	4.17	+0.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	179	93	23	0%	1.1	21.2%	11.0%	10.3%	2.7%	4.55	4.17	+0.9
Career	—	MLE		137	0	165	731	159	75	10	0%	1.2	21.8%	10.3%	11.5%	1.3%	3.99	3.30	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		166	0	200	888	194	91	12	0%	1.2	21.8%	10.3%	11.5%	1.3%	3.99	3.30	+0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Camden Minacci (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.66	20.1%	11.6%	2.6%	—	4.52	21.2%	10.2%	203	-0.14	—	—	—
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.15	16.7%	9.9%	244	+0.68	4.47	299	95
Alex Palsha R 2016 · 3.84 FIP	24	SU	3.84	20.6%	10.4%	2.1%	.288	3.83	15.3%	4.4%	77	-0.01	3.40	134	93
Todd Van Steensel R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	24	SU	3.79	22.5%	11.6%	2.0%	.294	3.31	19.3%	6.5%	157	-0.48	2.87	223	92
Matt Lollis R 2015 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	18.5%	12.2%	2.7%	.237	4.95	19.2%	4.7%	56	+0.39	4.56	120	90
Ben Hecht R 2019 · 4.51 FIP	24	SU	4.51	22.7%	12.9%	3.1%	.293	7.98	14.1%	-11.4%	13	+3.47	4.39	155	90
Matt Carasiti R 2015 · 3.85 FIP	24	SU	3.85	17.8%	9.8%	1.8%	.309	3.26	24.8%	15.5%	104	-0.59	2.80	312	89
Johnny Barbato R 2016 · 3.73 FIP	24	SU	3.73	22.4%	11.2%	2.0%	.282	4.66	21.1%	11.6%	105	+0.93	2.59	304	89
Aaron Kurcz R 2015 · 3.98 FIP	24	SU	3.98	22.4%	13.6%	1.9%	.331	4.05	16.1%	8.0%	105	+0.07	3.31	213	89
Colby Morris R 2021 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.76	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.65	4.11	105	89
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	89
Cameron Gann R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	24	SU	4.22	21.4%	12.4%	2.5%	.296	5.36	21.1%	6.8%	23	+1.14	3.58	146	88
Bryan Pope R 2023 · 3.96 FIP	24	SU	3.96	19.4%	9.5%	2.4%	.332	5.20	12.7%	-0.3%	22	+1.24	3.96	148	88
Davison Palermo R 2023 · 4.32 FIP	23	SU	4.32	19.0%	12.4%	2.3%	.246	5.02	18.8%	6.8%	174	+0.70	4.32	218	88
Austin Ross R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	24	SU	4.41	20.7%	9.6%	3.4%	.281	5.19	21.2%	5.7%	55	+0.78	4.41	121	88
Ryan Ledbetter R 2016 · 4.76 FIP	24	SU	4.76	18.5%	12.3%	3.0%	.338	—	—	—	—	—	4.76	124	87
Guido Knudson R 2015 · 3.50 FIP	25	SU	3.50	20.7%	11.1%	1.4%	.255	4.69	17.5%	6.7%	47	+1.19	3.50	106	87
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	87
Hunter Dula R 2023 · 4.86 FIP	24	SU	4.86	20.1%	12.1%	3.5%	.301	4.06	19.8%	10.2%	37	-0.80	3.91	132	87
Tanner Jacobson R 2023 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.8%	13.8%	2.1%	.313	4.89	21.1%	5.4%	115	+0.80	4.09	168	87
Dylan Hall R 2022 · 3.47 FIP	24	SU	3.47	19.0%	9.6%	1.4%	.305	5.75	17.8%	4.9%	107	+2.28	3.47	153	87

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	67	21.0%	11.1%	1.03	4.58
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Archie Bradley ('21)	2.2	74	23.2%	9.8%	0.85	3.93
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Junior Guerra ('21)	2.5	84	21.3%	11.0%	1.16	4.04
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84