Tanner Murray

LF Chicago White Sox

Age 27 R/R 6'1" / 190 lbs MLB HR +4% Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2031 ILInjured 60-Day (D60)

Overview

MLBD6040-MANROOKIEFG #514Pre-ArbFA 2032

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	24	AATB	448	.290/.330/.424	7	4	76	—	.251/.281/.363
2025	25	AAATB	572	.241/.302/.400	18	5	55	—	.212/.257/.311
2026	26	MLBCWS	33	.214/.290/.321	1	0	50	-0.2
2027PROJ	27	MLBCWS	121	.230/.279/.357	3	1	77	-0.2
2028PROJ65% MLB	28	MLBCWS	198	.229/.279/.355	4	2	77	-0.4
2029PROJ65% MLB	29	MLBCWS	215	.228/.278/.351	5	1	75	-0.6

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.2 · Next 3 projected WAR -1.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2031Service1.000First FA2032

2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Arb-1$0.2M2030Arb-2$0.4M2031Ext$0.6M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 AAA

Max EV90

K%47

Whiff%46

Z-Con%37

Speed37

Chase%23

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsJeff Mathis (age 27) · Chad Wallach (age 27) · Tomás Nido (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†77

AVG/OBP/SLG.230 / .279 / .357

PA121

HR3

K%28

BB%5

BABIP302

ISO124

MLB%100%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT40

xAVG

100.191

POWER50

Barrel%

538.7

Avg EV

7390.7

Bat Spd

7173.5

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED40

Sprint

3726.9

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2030	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	21	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	123	109	37	12	1	2	9	20	4	2	2	339	410	523	933	183	398	16	7	409	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK	FCL Rays	—	39	33	12	6	1	2	4	3	2	2	0	364	462	788	1.249	424	357	8	10	525	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	270	250	69	12	2	6	13	50	5	6	4	276	325	412	737	136	321	19	5	327	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	24	18	5	0	0	0	4	4	1	0	1	278	435	278	713		333	17	17	335	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	20	20	4	4	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	200	200	400	600	200	286	30	0	257	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	200	176	45	13	2	5	20	40	3	0	1	256	340	438	778	182	305	20	10	346	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	ROK	FCL Rays	—	15	14	6	1	0	1	1	3	0	0	0	429	467	714	1.181	286	500	20	7	512	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	448	420	122	29	3	7	21	73	4	4	0	290	330	424	754	133	335	16	5	333	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	INTL	Indios de Mayaguez	—	21	21	4	1	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	190	190	238	429	48	267	29	0	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	572	522	126	29	0	18	39	138	6	5	4	241	302	400	702	159	292	24	7	311	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	33	28	6	0	0	1	2	7	1	0	0	214	290	321	612	107	238	21	6	265	50	-2	+0	-0	-1	+1	-0.2
2026	26	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	30	23	7	1	0	2	6	7	1	2	0	304	467	609	1.075	304	357	23	20	466	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	33	28	6	0	0	1	2	7	1	0	0	214	290	321	612	107	238	21	6	265	65	-1	+0	-0	-1	+1	-0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	21	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	123	112	35	11	1	2	6	28	4	2	2	312	369	482	851	170	383	23	5	350	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	39	35	9	4	1	2	2	4	2	2	0	257	333	600	933	343	256	10	5	375	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	270	255	58	9	2	5	8	65	5	6	4	227	265	337	602	110	277	24	3	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	20	20	3	3	0	0	0	7	0	0	0	150	150	300	450	150	244	35	0	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	200	184	44	12	2	4	13	48	3	0	1	239	300	391	691	152	299	24	6	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	15	14	5	1	0	1	1	4	0	0	0	357	400	643	1.043	286	375	27	7	348	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	448	427	107	26	2	6	14	89	4	4	0	251	281	363	644	112	301	20	3	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	572	534	113	26	0	9	27	157	6	5	4	212	257	311	568	99	275	27	5	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	33	29	6	0	0	1	1	7	1	0	0	207	258	310	568	103	238	21	3	243	50	-2	+0	-0	-1	+1	-0.2
2026	26	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	30	25	6	1	0	1	4	8	1	2	0	240	367	400	767	160	313	27	13	363	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	162	147	43	16	1	3	8	32	6	4	2	293	354	476	830	184	354	20	5	356	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	162	142	49	18	2	4	13	23	6	4	2	345	422	585	1.007	239	388	14	8	437	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	294	277	62	9	2	5	8	71	6	6	5	224	261	325	586	101	279	24	3	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	294	268	74	12	2	6	17	54	6	6	5	276	333	403	736	127	322	18	6	327	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	235	219	51	16	2	4	13	59	3	0	1	233	285	379	664	146	301	25	6	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA RAW	3 teams	—	235	210	55	18	2	6	21	49	3	0	1	262	336	452	789	190	316	21	9	349	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	469	447	113	28	2	6	15	93	4	4	0	253	283	365	648	112	305	20	3	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	469	441	126	30	3	7	21	79	4	4	0	286	324	415	739	129	332	17	4	327	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	572	534	113	26	0	9	27	157	6	5	4	212	257	311	568	99	280	27	5	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA RAW	Durham Bulls	—	572	522	126	29	0	18	39	138	6	5	4	241	302	400	702	159	292	24	7	311	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	63	54	12	1	0	2	5	15	2	2	0	222	311	352	663	130	263	24	8	300	89	-1	+0	-0	-1	+1	-0.0
2026	26	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	63	51	13	1	0	3	8	14	2	2	0	255	377	451	828	196	286	22	13	361	89	-1	+0	-0	-1	+1	-0.0
2021	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	162	147	43	16	1	3	8	32	6	4	2	293	354	476	830	184	352	20	5	356	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	294	278	62	9	2	5	8	71	6	6	5	223	261	324	585	101	277	24	3	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	235	217	51	16	2	4	13	59	3	0	1	235	285	382	668	147	299	25	6	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	469	447	113	28	2	6	15	93	4	4	0	253	283	365	648	112	301	20	3	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	572	534	113	26	0	9	27	157	6	5	4	212	257	311	568	99	275	27	5	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	63	56	12	1	0	2	5	15	2	2	0	214	311	339	651	125	274	24	8	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	469	447	113	28	2	6	15	93	4	4	0	253	283	365	648	112	301	20	3	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	572	534	113	26	0	9	27	157	6	5	4	212	257	311	568	99	275	27	5	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	63	56	12	1	0	2	5	15	2	2	0	214	311	339	651	125	274	24	8	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	27	MLB MLE	CWS	100%	180	167	38	8	0	4	9	51	2	2	1	230	278	354	633	125	301	28	5	282	77	-5	+0	-0	-2	+4	0.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	27	MLB CTX	CWS	100%	121	113	25	5	0	3	6	34	1	1	0	230	279	357	636	126	302	28	5	283	77	-3	+0	-0	-1	+3	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	CWS	65%	305	282	65	13	1	7	16	85	4	3	1	229	278	352	631	124	300	28	5	281	77	-9	+0	-1	-3	+7	-0.6
2029	29	MLB MLE	CWS	65%	331	306	69	14	1	7	18	93	4	2	1	227	278	349	626	122	298	28	5	280	75	-10	+0	-2	-4	+7	-0.8
2030	30	MLB MLE	CWS	65%	347	321	72	15	1	7	19	97	4	1	1	225	276	344	620	119	295	28	5	277	74	-11	-0	-3	-4	+8	-1.0
2028	28	MLB CTX	CWS	65%	198	184	41	9	0	4	10	55	2	2	1	229	279	355	634	125	300	28	5	283	77	-6	+0	-1	-2	+4	-0.4
2029	29	MLB CTX	CWS	65%	215	199	45	9	0	5	12	60	2	1	1	228	278	351	630	124	299	28	6	281	75	-6	-0	-1	-2	+5	-0.6
2030	30	MLB CTX	CWS	65%	226	210	47	10	0	5	12	63	2	1	0	226	277	347	623	121	296	28	5	279	74	-7	+0	-2	-2	+5	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	672	621	139	28	0	15	36	185	7	4	2	224	274	341	615	118	292	28	5	280	74	-20	+0	-4	-8	+15	-1.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	601	135	27	0	15	35	179	7	4	2	225	276	344	620	120	292	28	5	280	74	-20	+0	-4	-7	+14	-1.7
Career	—	MLE		—	2899	2700	625	143	10	53	135	736	40	28	15	231	278	351	629	119	296	25	5	277	74	-34	+0	-7	-13	+25	-2.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	605	140	32	2	12	30	165	9	6	3	231	278	350	628	119	296	25	5	277	74	-19	+0	-4	-7	+14	-1.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Larry Stahl'64-'73 * career totals — 9 seasons, 1,889 PA	2.8	1,889	36	22	235*	297*	387*	-16	+11	2.4	2.9
/162	664	13	8	-5.5	+3.9	0.8	pk7: 4
#3John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Roman Mejias'55-'64 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,905 PA	2.9	1,905	54	22	248*	290*	401*	-14	-3	0.9	1.6
/162	664	19	8	-4.8	-1.2	0.3	pk7: 2
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.2	773	17	5	228	275	351	+1	-0	0.1	0.1
/162	664	15	4	+0.7	-0.1	0.1	pk7: 0
#6Jolbert Cabrera'98-'08 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,531 PA	2.3	1,531	18	38	247*	295*	354*	-3	-9	-1.1	-0.7
/162	664	8	16	-1.4	-4.0	-0.5	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tanner Murray (OGILVIE)	27	40	45→50	40	40	228/276/351	124	301	3	2	28%	5%	77	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jeff Mathis 2010 · MLB	27	41→48	45→50	40→45	46	207/275/323	116	262	13	5	26%	8%	70	-0.9	199/246/309	110	261	12	6	27%	5%	55	-1.9	208/255/312	104	282	8	1	28%	5%	60	-0.4
✕Chad Wallach 2019 · MLB	27	40→50	45→50	42→40	42	202/268/320	118	275	13	4	31%	7%	67	-1.1	214/283/341	127	298	14	5	31%	8%	77	-0.3	191/254/323	133	259	17	2	33%	7%	61	-0.7
✕Tomás Nido 2021 · MLB	27	45	47→45	47→30	40	229/266/363	134	283	15	5	25%	5%	75	-0.5	230/269/336	106	298	11	5	26%	5%	70	-0.9	224/259/304	81	291	8	1	25%	4%	57	-0.7
✕Cam Devanney 2024 · AAA	27	43→42	48→50	43→45	45	219/284/368	149	274	15	7	26%	7%	84	+0.1	216/277/360	144	293	16	8	30%	6%	79	-0.2	205/266/344	140	282	16	7	32%	6%	69	-0.8
✕Yu Chang 2023 · MLB	27	44→47	49→50	42→45	43	225/290/378	153	296	17	5	29%	7%	88	+0.5	222/282/375	153	286	20	12	29%	7%	84	+0.2	187/223/337	149	216	25	18	28%	3%	53	-0.7
✕Jared Sandberg 2006 · MLB	28	41→43	48→50	42→40	44	208/278/350	141	277	16	4	30%	8%	77	-0.3	190/252/308	118	264	12	7	31%	7%	58	-1.7	166/221/288	122	235	10	6	33%	6%	39	-1.5
✕José Rondon 2021 · MLB	27	41→51	49→50	45→50	42	214/268/357	142	272	17	8	28%	6%	75	-0.5	231/291/389	158	281	20	10	25%	8%	91	+0.6	216/273/378	162	248	24	7	24%	7%	80	-0.0
✕Adam Abraham 2014 · AAA	27	45	44→45	40	44	221/282/341	120	291	12	4	28%	7%	76	-0.4	225/281/331	106	280	10	7	22%	7%	74	-0.6	217/274/309	92	249	9	2	16%	7%	67	-0.3
✕Craig Tatum 2010 · MLB	27	43→47	42→45	42→30	41	212/257/315	103	270	10	3	25%	5%	60	-1.6	212/270/288	76	271	6	6	22%	7%	59	-1.7	210/274/249	39	268	0	4	20%	8%	52	-0.6
✕Jesus Flores 2012 · MLB	27	42→39	45→50	47→30	36	212/244/336	124	280	13	4	29%	4%	60	-1.6	194/226/295	101	246	10	4	25%	4%	44	-2.8	177/207/262	85	221	9	1	25%	3%	27	-1.6
✕Dominic Miroglio 2022 · AA	27	42	44→45	43→40	43	209/272/326	117	281	11	5	29%	7%	69	-0.9	220/287/360	140	261	14	6	21%	8%	83	+0.1	209/274/376	167	219	18	2	15%	7%	78	-0.1
✕Lucas May 2012 · MLB	27	42→43	47→55	43→45	42	212/270/347	135	278	15	6	29%	7%	74	-0.6	195/233/301	106	268	10	6	30%	4%	48	-2.5	179/206/266	87	250	7	3	31%	3%	27	-1.6
✕Jesus Alberto Vega 2008 · AAA	26	42	45	39→40	41	213/266/333	120	276	13	5	28%	6%	68	-1.0	217/275/328	111	275	11	4	24%	6%	70	-0.8	223/286/338	115	271	12	0	22%	6%	74	-0.3
✕Guillermo Quiroz 2009 · MLB	27	44	43→45	46→50	43	217/266/322	105	271	11	4	24%	6%	65	-1.2	215/259/329	114	273	11	3	24%	5%	64	-1.3	204/260/329	125	265	13	1	27%	6%	64	-0.6
✕Matt Macri 2008 · AAA	26	45→40	48→55	42→45	41	231/277/374	143	287	16	7	25%	5%	82	+0.0	217/266/363	146	277	15	6	27%	5%	76	-0.4	205/257/348	143	263	14	4	27%	5%	66	-0.7
✕Martín Maldonado 2014 · MLB	27	43→51	46→50	41→40	43	218/279/344	126	273	14	4	26%	6%	76	-0.4	215/286/340	125	271	14	4	25%	8%	78	-0.3	214/290/359	146	262	18	1	25%	8%	85	+0.1
✕Alan Trejo 2022 · MLB	26	41→46	49→55	42→45	39	211/249/365	154	266	15	5	27%	5%	70	-0.9	229/274/370	141	290	15	8	26%	5%	80	-0.1	227/276/351	124	287	14	8	25%	5%	75	-0.3
✕Aramis Garcia 2019 · MLB	26	43→42	49→50	43→45	36	220/260/363	142	291	18	2	31%	4%	73	-0.6	210/260/349	139	305	17	3	35%	6%	70	-0.8	190/228/307	117	250	16	3	31%	3%	47	-0.8
✕Xavier Fernández 2022 · AAA	27	44	48→45	47→40	43	226/277/355	129	272	17	6	24%	6%	78	-0.3	234/283/352	118	280	12	4	20%	6%	79	-0.2	237/286/356	119	279	11	1	19%	6%	78	-0.2
✕Shawn Bowman 2012 · AAA	27	46→42	49→50	44→40	37	233/273/379	146	305	17	4	30%	5%	82	-0.0	215/257/333	118	302	13	5	32%	5%	65	-1.2	200/239/304	104	282	12	1	33%	4%	49	-1.8

Tanner Murray

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps