Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 10 | 0 | 12 | 47 | 25 | 9 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 53.2% | 19.1% | 34.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.03 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 10 | 0 | 12 | 47 | 25 | 9 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 53.2% | 19.1% | 34.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.18 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 43 | 0 | 44 | 186 | 75 | 24 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 32.8% | 13.9% | 18.9% | 0.9% | 2.86 | 2.59 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 43 | 0 | 44 | 186 | 75 | 24 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 40.3% | 12.9% | 27.4% | 1.1% | 2.86 | 1.92 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA | Reno Aces | 27 | 0 | 30 | 132 | 42 | 19 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.0% | 15.1% | 12.9% | 1.0% | 3.03 | 3.22 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA | Reno Aces | 27 | 0 | 30 | 132 | 42 | 19 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 31.8% | 14.4% | 17.4% | 0.8% | 3.03 | 2.63 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | ARI | 57 | 0 | 60 | 251 | 73 | 39 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.1% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 2.4% | 4.31 | 4.31 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | ARI | 56 | 0 | 59 | 247 | 71 | 37 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.5% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 2.6% | 4.34 | 4.35 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | ARI | 54 | 0 | 57 | 240 | 67 | 35 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.0% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 2.7% | 4.39 | 4.43 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | ARI | 24 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 30 | 16 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.5% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 2.6% | 4.34 | 4.35 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | ARI | 34 | 0 | 36 | 152 | 43 | 22 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.0% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 2.7% | 4.39 | 4.43 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 58 | 0 | 60 | 255 | 72 | 37 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.2% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 2.6% | 4.37 | 4.02 | +0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 238 | 122 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.2% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 2.6% | 4.37 | 4.02 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 80 | 0 | 86 | 365 | 123 | 55 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 33.7% | 15.0% | 18.7% | 0.8% | 2.52 | 2.62 | +2.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 187 | 0 | 200 | 852 | 287 | 128 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 33.7% | 15.0% | 18.7% | 0.8% | 2.52 | 2.62 | +6.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Kyle Amendt (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.31 | 29.1% | 15.4% | 2.4% | — | 4.39 | 28.3% | 13.6% | 115 | +0.08 | — | — | — |
| Jon Edwards R 2027 · 3.54 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.54 | 31.7% | 13.1% | 2.7% | .264 | 2.30 | 30.3% | 22.6% | 30 | -1.24 | 2.30 | 132 | 85 |
| Jeff Ames R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.89 | 25.1% | 13.4% | 2.2% | .310 | 4.58 | 25.4% | 10.8% | 79 | +0.69 | 3.89 | 272 | 84 |
| Peyton Gray R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.31 | 29.2% | 14.1% | 3.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.87 | 138 | 84 |
| Michael Stryffeler R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.35 | 30.4% | 17.3% | 3.0% | .277 | 4.75 | 19.4% | 1.1% | 33 | +0.40 | 2.43 | 140 | 84 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.16 | 24.5% | 13.2% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.34 | 20.3% | 9.0% | 115 | +0.18 | 3.78 | 180 | 83 |
| Cole Uvila R 2025 · 3.18 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.18 | 27.6% | 15.5% | 0.8% | .246 | 3.67 | 20.3% | 6.8% | 98 | +0.49 | 3.16 | 155 | 83 |
| Eric Orze R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.96 | 28.8% | 12.7% | 3.1% | .261 | 3.34 | 22.7% | 12.8% | 112 | -0.62 | 3.06 | 331 | 82 |
| Brooks Kriske R 2025 · 3.52 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.52 | 26.1% | 12.2% | 2.0% | .245 | 5.01 | 28.6% | 16.5% | 41 | +1.49 | 3.00 | 246 | 82 |
| Collin Baumgartner R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.62 | 23.9% | 12.3% | 1.8% | .291 | 6.27 | 19.1% | -8.3% | 16 | +2.65 | 3.05 | 134 | 82 |
| Zach Franklin R 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.48 | 29.2% | 11.7% | 2.5% | .265 | 5.47 | 27.4% | 21.2% | 41 | +1.99 | 3.48 | 138 | 81 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 81 |
| Dustin Antolin R 2026 · 3.35 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.35 | 23.9% | 13.1% | 1.1% | .286 | 4.36 | 16.2% | 1.8% | 50 | +1.01 | 2.90 | 159 | 81 |
| Maikel Cleto R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 25.8% | 12.1% | 2.0% | .214 | 3.04 | 25.0% | 15.3% | 55 | -0.50 | 2.59 | 156 | 80 |
| Eric Cerantola R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.28 | 27.5% | 14.0% | 3.2% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.53 | 281 | 80 |
| Jordan Gore R 2026 · 3.24 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.24 | 25.8% | 11.9% | 1.5% | .223 | 5.47 | 15.2% | -3.3% | 46 | +2.23 | 3.24 | 113 | 79 |
| Argenis Angulo R 2025 · 4.12 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.12 | 27.6% | 13.4% | 3.0% | .263 | 6.61 | 21.0% | 5.6% | 58 | +2.49 | 3.07 | 245 | 79 |
| Nelson L. Alvarez R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.09 | 23.4% | 14.2% | 2.1% | .282 | 4.63 | 18.5% | 9.4% | 35 | +0.54 | 2.53 | 233 | 79 |
| Yosver Zulueta R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.47 | 24.7% | 13.0% | 1.5% | .339 | 4.39 | 22.9% | 7.5% | 129 | +0.92 | 3.20 | 314 | 79 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.34 | 23.4% | 11.6% | 3.2% | .273 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 88 | +0.18 | 3.57 | 187 | 79 |
| Luis Ramirez R 2024 · 3.58 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.58 | 24.0% | 12.6% | 1.7% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 104 | 79 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 58 | 28.5% | 14.9% | 0.99 | 4.35 |
| Kyle Barraclough ('19) | 5 | 50 | 29.0% | 14.1% | 0.86 | 3.53 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |
| José Leclerc ('24) | 6 | 57 | 31.6% | 12.8% | 0.76 | 3.33 |