Kyle Amendt — OGILVIE

Kyle Amendt P Reno Aces

Age 26 RHP 6'4" / 237 lbs AAA peak 0.2 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 112104vR 96

ERA4.14

FIP4.14

K%27.9%

BB%13.2%

K-BB%14.7%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 5 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CMD3040

K†6565

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	0	12	47	25	9	0	0%	1.2	53.2%	19.1%	34.0%	0.0%	0.00	1.03	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	0	12	47	25	9	0	0%	1.2	53.2%	19.1%	34.0%	0.0%	0.00	1.03	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	10	0	12	47	25	9	0	0%	1.2	53.2%	19.1%	34.0%	0.0%	0.00	1.18	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	43	0	44	186	75	24	2	0%	1.0	32.3%	12.7%	19.5%	1.1%	2.86	2.57	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	43	0	44	186	75	24	2	0%	1.0	32.3%	12.7%	19.5%	1.1%	2.86	2.57	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	43	0	44	186	75	24	2	0%	1.0	40.3%	12.9%	27.4%	1.1%	2.86	1.92	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	27	0	30	132	42	19	1	0%	1.1	26.4%	13.0%	13.5%	0.9%	3.03	3.02	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	27	0	30	132	42	19	1	0%	1.1	26.4%	13.0%	13.5%	0.9%	3.03	3.02	—
2025	25	AAA RAW	Reno Aces	27	0	30	132	42	19	1	0%	1.1	31.8%	14.4%	17.4%	0.8%	3.03	2.63	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	26	MLB	ARI	5	0	5	21	6	3	1	0%	1.0	27.9%	13.2%	14.7%	2.4%	4.14	4.14	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	ARI	56	0	59	247	68	32	6	0%	1.0	27.4%	12.9%	14.5%	2.5%	4.18	4.19	+0.2
2028	28	MLB MLE	ARI	54	0	57	240	65	31	6	0%	1.1	27.0%	12.8%	14.2%	2.7%	4.25	4.29	+0.2
2027	27	MLB CTX	ARI	24	0	25	106	29	14	3	0%	1.0	27.4%	12.9%	14.5%	2.5%	4.18	4.19	+0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	ARI	34	0	36	152	41	19	4	0%	1.1	27.0%	12.8%	14.2%	2.7%	4.25	4.29	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		58	0	60	255	69	33	7	0%	1.0	27.2%	12.8%	14.4%	2.6%	4.22	3.87	+0.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	228	109	23	0%	1.1	27.2%	12.8%	14.4%	2.6%	4.22	3.87	+1.6
Career	—	MLE		80	0	86	365	120	50	3	0%	1.1	32.8%	13.6%	19.2%	0.9%	2.52	2.53	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		187	0	200	852	280	116	7	0%	1.1	32.8%	13.6%	19.2%	0.9%	2.52	2.53	+0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kyle Amendt (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.14	27.9%	13.2%	2.4%	—	4.24	27.2%	14.4%	115	+0.10	—	—	—
Jeff Ames R 2017 · 3.94 FIP	26	SU	3.94	25.1%	13.4%	2.3%	.310	4.65	25.4%	10.8%	79	+0.71	3.85	272	87
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	87
Jon Edwards R 2015 · 3.40 FIP	27	SU	3.40	31.7%	13.1%	2.4%	.264	2.40	30.3%	22.6%	30	-1.00	2.40	132	86
Zac Leigh R 2023 · 3.84 FIP	25	SU	3.84	28.1%	11.7%	3.0%	.282	4.58	19.9%	3.7%	131	+0.74	3.70	201	86
Brandon Cunniff R 2015 · 4.28 FIP	26	SU	4.28	24.5%	13.2%	2.9%	.256	4.32	20.3%	9.0%	115	+0.04	3.89	180	86
Brooks Kriske R 2019 · 3.47 FIP	25	SU	3.47	26.1%	12.2%	1.9%	.245	4.95	28.6%	16.5%	41	+1.48	3.15	246	86
Michael Flynn R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	26.5%	11.2%	3.7%	.299	4.42	20.8%	10.2%	92	+0.11	3.89	168	86
Jackson Kelley R 2023 · 3.80 FIP	23	SU	3.80	26.5%	13.1%	2.3%	.313	3.65	21.6%	10.7%	165	-0.15	3.21	218	85
Maikel Cleto R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	26	SU	3.79	25.8%	12.1%	2.4%	.214	3.13	25.0%	15.3%	55	-0.66	2.59	156	85
Dustin Antolin R 2016 · 3.43 FIP	26	SU	3.43	23.9%	13.1%	1.3%	.286	4.35	16.2%	1.8%	50	+0.92	2.95	159	85
Peyton Gray R 2021 · 4.27 FIP	26	SU	4.27	29.2%	14.1%	3.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	159	85
Ronald Peña R 2018 · 4.19 FIP	26	SU	4.19	23.4%	11.6%	2.9%	.273	4.52	18.7%	7.1%	88	+0.33	3.72	187	84
Brad Boxberger R 2015 · 3.93 FIP	27	SU	3.93	27.3%	10.0%	3.4%	.280	4.09	28.5%	17.2%	107	+0.16	3.01	363	84
Jason Stoffel R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	26	SU	3.61	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.49	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.12	3.49	103	83
Jordan Gore R 2021 · 3.20 FIP	26	SU	3.20	25.8%	11.9%	1.4%	.223	5.37	15.2%	-3.3%	46	+2.17	3.20	113	83
Luis Ramirez R 2016 · 3.71 FIP	24	SU	3.71	24.0%	12.6%	1.9%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	3.71	104	82
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.86	25.0%	14.1%	144	-0.48	3.15	191	82
Lucas Wepf R 2023 · 3.62 FIP	23	SU	3.62	27.6%	10.7%	2.7%	.323	3.97	26.2%	13.8%	136	+0.35	2.90	195	82
Matt Blackham R 2019 · 3.90 FIP	26	SU	3.90	25.4%	12.0%	2.6%	.206	6.85	26.9%	8.7%	25	+2.95	2.08	187	82
Blake Smith R 2015 · 3.17 FIP	27	SU	3.17	23.3%	10.5%	1.3%	.290	3.59	22.4%	13.8%	71	+0.42	3.17	124	82

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	58	27.5%	13.0%	0.99	4.19
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Carl Edwards Jr. ('23)	1.2	50	28.7%	12.4%	0.76	3.05
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
José Leclerc ('24)	1.7	57	31.6%	12.8%	0.76	3.33