Caden Rose

OF Portland Sea Dogs

Age 25 R/R 5'9" / 185 lbs AA HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	23	AABOS	290	.160/.289/.284	6	11	22	—	.126/.230/.206
2026	24	AABOS	251	.212/.329/.321	3	12	48	—	.176/.269/.258
2027PROJ2% MLB	25	MLBBOS	5	.183/.266/.274	0	0	52	-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB	26	MLBBOS	91	.187/.270/.286	1	2	56	-0.3

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

Speed74

Chase%72

BB%69

wRC+30

wOBA29

K%26

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsChris Roller (age 26) · Jack Conley (age 25) · Toby Welk (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†52

AVG/OBP/SLG.183 / .266 / .274

PA5

HR0

K%40

BB%8

BABIP275

ISO90

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	22	A+	Greenville Drive	—	101	91	17	1	1	4	7	33	3	0	0	187	267	352	619	165	241	33	7	280	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	Salem Red Sox	—	42	34	12	6	0	0	5	10	3	3	1	353	476	529	1.006	176	500	24	12	448	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	102	85	19	4	0	2	16	29	1	5	0	224	353	341	694	118	315	28	16	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	290	243	39	6	3	6	30	119	14	11	4	160	289	284	573	123	275	41	10	269	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	251	212	45	12	1	3	31	73	6	12	1	212	329	321	650	108	307	29	12	301	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	22	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	101	93	13	1	1	3	5	45	3	0	0	140	208	269	477	129	206	45	5	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	42	36	9	4	0	0	3	14	3	3	1	250	357	361	718	111	426	33	7	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	290	253	32	4	2	4	20	148	14	11	4	126	230	206	435	79	261	51	7	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	251	221	39	10	1	2	22	89	6	12	1	176	269	258	527	81	276	35	9	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	245	224	37	8	1	5	14	102	7	8	1	165	237	277	514	112	274	42	6	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	INTL RAW	3 teams	—	245	210	48	11	1	6	28	72	7	8	1	229	339	376	715	148	318	29	11	327	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	290	253	32	4	2	4	20	148	14	11	4	126	230	206	435	79	272	51	7	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA RAW	Portland Sea Dogs	—	290	243	39	6	3	6	30	119	14	11	4	160	289	284	573	123	275	41	10	269	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	251	221	39	10	1	2	22	89	6	12	1	176	269	258	527	81	282	35	9	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA RAW	Portland Sea Dogs	—	251	212	45	12	1	3	31	73	6	12	1	212	329	321	650	108	307	29	12	301	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	245	222	37	8	1	5	14	102	7	8	1	167	237	279	516	113	271	42	6	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	290	254	32	4	2	4	20	148	14	11	4	126	230	205	435	79	261	51	7	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	251	221	39	10	1	2	22	89	6	12	1	176	269	258	527	81	276	35	9	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	22	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	245	222	37	8	1	5	14	102	7	8	1	167	237	279	516	113	271	42	6	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	290	254	32	4	2	4	20	148	14	11	4	126	230	205	435	79	261	51	7	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	251	221	39	10	1	2	22	89	6	12	1	176	269	258	527	81	276	35	9	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	BOS	2%	301	268	48	10	1	4	23	102	7	7	2	177	261	266	527	88	266	34	8	245	52	-17	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.8
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	25	MLB CTX	BOS	2%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	183	266	274	540	91	275	40	0	250	52	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	BOS	31%	295	263	47	10	1	4	23	98	7	6	1	182	265	278	543	96	267	33	8	251	56	-15	+1	+0	-2	+6	-1.0
2028	26	MLB CTX	BOS	31%	91	82	14	3	0	1	7	30	2	2	0	187	270	286	556	98	277	33	8	256	56	-5	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	91	82	14	3	0	1	7	30	2	2	0	171	253	244	497	73	255	33	8	256	44	-5	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	99	21	0	7	50	214	14	14	0	169	251	241	491	72	252	33	8	256	44	-34	+3	+0	-4	+14	-2.1
Career	—	MLE		—	1319	1173	193	40	6	18	97	517	40	42	8	165	252	255	507	90	272	39	7	233	44	-29	+1	+0	-3	+12	-2.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	96	20	3	9	48	255	20	21	4	166	254	258	512	92	275	39	7	233	44	-36	+2	+0	-4	+14	-2.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Caden Rose (OGILVIE)	25	20	40	50	45	176/259/263	88	266	3	5	34%	8%	52	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chris Roller 2023 · AA	26	38	39→45	50→55	41	184/249/269	85	263	6	14	31%	6%	47	-2.5	191/270/312	121	306	13	16	39%	8%	66	-1.1	174/262/298	124	289	14	19	41%	9%	58	-1.1
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA	25	35	41→45	50→45	39	176/239/272	96	267	8	7	36%	7%	45	-2.7	203/269/313	110	288	10	8	31%	7%	65	-1.2	192/265/298	106	267	9	5	30%	8%	56	-0.9
✕Toby Welk 2022 · AA	25	39→34	43→45	48→45	42	194/261/307	112	266	11	9	30%	7%	61	-1.5	204/263/312	108	293	10	7	32%	7%	63	-1.4	195/242/309	114	278	11	0	33%	5%	53	-0.6
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	38→30	42→45	48→50	41	192/253/286	94	259	11	15	30%	6%	53	-2.1	198/271/310	112	262	13	14	28%	8%	66	-1.1	186/264/278	92	250	9	8	27%	8%	55	-0.8
✕Lucas Dunn 2024 · AAA	25	40→39	40	50	44	191/274/286	94	288	8	13	34%	9%	61	-1.5	191/261/280	89	295	8	11	35%	8%	55	-2.0	147/217/217	70	238	6	10	38%	7%	23	-1.8
✕Joe Cronin 2019 · AA	25	37	40→45	45→50	44	180/271/269	89	284	8	7	36%	9%	57	-1.8	194/276/296	102	294	9	11	34%	8%	64	-1.3	166/256/268	102	246	9	13	34%	9%	49	-1.2
✕Gunnar Heidt 2018 · AA	25	39→41	42→45	47→50	39	194/249/297	103	282	10	12	34%	6%	54	-2.0	200/253/299	99	308	9	13	36%	6%	55	-1.9	206/258/303	97	296	7	9	31%	6%	55	-1.3
✕Connor Blair 2022 · A	24	37	39→45	48→45	45	178/254/257	79	269	6	11	34%	9%	47	-2.5	194/282/305	111	306	12	8	37%	10%	69	-0.9	148/263/256	108	232	14	5	39%	12%	50	-0.8
✕Jonathan Engelmann 2022 · AA	25	38	43→45	47→45	41	190/259/297	106	273	11	9	33%	7%	58	-1.7	197/262/324	127	287	13	9	34%	7%	65	-1.2	146/212/290	145	198	17	9	36%	6%	36	-0.8
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	37	42→40	49→50	48	187/274/289	103	259	10	13	30%	10%	63	-1.4	200/295/298	98	281	9	11	29%	10%	72	-0.7	182/296/265	82	256	7	11	28%	12%	63	-0.8
✕Brandon Parker 2024 · AA	25	40	44→45	49→50	42	194/274/309	115	303	11	11	37%	8%	67	-1.1	198/257/323	125	322	14	12	40%	6%	63	-1.3	160/214/294	134	257	17	12	44%	4%	38	-1.4
✕Ismael Alcantara 2023 · AA	24	38→30	45	50	37	195/253/316	121	280	13	12	34%	6%	60	-1.6	211/268/301	90	312	8	17	33%	6%	61	-1.5	216/273/285	69	324	7	24	33%	6%	57	-1.2
✕Connor Kaiser 2022 · AA	25	37	43→45	47→50	44	188/256/297	109	258	11	5	31%	8%	57	-1.8	196/270/312	116	292	12	14	34%	9%	65	-1.2	182/266/286	104	281	10	16	36%	9%	56	-1.0
✕Travis Becktel 2008 · A	25	43→36	40	49→50	42	206/268/304	98	294	7	15	31%	7%	62	-1.4	205/257/312	107	300	8	15	32%	6%	60	-1.6	190/230/303	113	281	7	19	34%	4%	44	-1.0
✕Max Burt 2022 · AAA	25	41→35	42→45	49→55	37	205/252/307	102	288	10	9	32%	5%	57	-1.8	192/247/306	114	275	13	21	34%	6%	55	-1.9	169/229/255	86	251	9	26	34%	5%	35	-1.6
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	178/253/255	77	262	8	14	33%	8%	47	-2.6	205/278/293	88	286	6	12	28%	9%	64	-1.3	205/285/293	88	279	5	13	26%	9%	65	-0.6
✕Jackson Cluff 2022 · AA	25	40→30	40→45	49→60	38	193/260/279	86	281	7	12	32%	5%	55	-2.0	179/254/280	101	276	9	16	36%	8%	53	-2.1	178/268/298	120	261	12	28	34%	10%	60	-0.9
✕Jordan Brewer 2024 · AA	26	39	42→45	52→55	42	194/265/298	104	279	10	18	33%	7%	61	-1.5	206/270/319	113	269	10	14	26%	6%	67	-1.1	192/257/305	113	242	10	14	24%	6%	57	-1.0
✕Julian Escobedo 2023 · AA	25	39→38	41→40	48→50	41	192/258/288	96	263	8	14	29%	6%	55	-1.9	207/273/319	112	287	10	14	30%	7%	68	-1.0	180/253/308	127	261	11	20	33%	6%	55	-0.4
✕Michael O'Neill 2017 · AA	25	42→41	39→45	49→55	37	204/251/292	87	294	7	16	32%	5%	53	-2.1	211/261/316	105	304	10	20	32%	5%	62	-1.4	209/259/308	100	301	10	23	33%	5%	57	-1.4