Jack Crowder

P Delmarva Shorebirds

Age 25 RHP 6'4" / 225 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	23	MIX2 levels	20	4	75	5.40	2.66	25.9%	8.4%	—	K 19.4% · BB 9.9% · FIP 3.63
2026	24	MIX3 levels	19	0	29	5.28	3.27	29.9%	11.0%	—	K 21.7% · BB 15.4% · FIP 5.54
2027PROJ	25	MLBBAL	57	0	60	5.00	5.00	19.4%	12.2%	-0.3
2028PROJ43% MLB	26	MLBBAL	28	0	29	4.92	4.91	20.0%	11.9%	-0.1
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBBAL	40	0	42	4.89	4.90	20.3%	11.8%	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff40Control45Command45

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsConor Steinbaugh (age 25) · Jarret Whorff (age 25) · Stephen Johnson (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128120vR 112

ERA5.00

FIP5.00

K%19.4%

BB%12.2%

K-BB%7.2%

Proj IP60

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL4545

CMD4545

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	4	75	320	83	27	4	20%	3.8	19.4%	9.9%	9.5%	1.7%	5.40	3.63	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	4	75	320	83	27	4	20%	3.8	19.4%	9.9%	9.5%	1.7%	5.40	3.63	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	4	75	320	83	27	4	20%	3.8	25.9%	8.4%	17.5%	1.2%	5.40	2.66	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	19	0	29	127	38	14	3	0%	1.5	21.7%	15.4%	6.3%	4.2%	5.28	5.54	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	19	0	29	127	38	14	3	0%	1.5	21.7%	15.4%	6.3%	4.2%	5.28	5.54	—
2026	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	19	0	29	127	38	14	3	0%	1.5	29.9%	11.0%	18.9%	2.4%	5.28	3.27	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	BAL	57	0	60	253	49	31	7	0%	1.1	19.4%	12.2%	7.2%	2.9%	5.00	5.00	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	BAL	64	0	68	285	57	34	8	0%	1.1	20.0%	11.9%	8.1%	2.9%	4.92	4.91	-0.3
2029	27	MLB MLE	BAL	63	0	66	281	57	33	8	0%	1.1	20.3%	11.8%	8.5%	3.0%	4.89	4.90	-0.3
2030	28	MLB MLE	BAL	61	0	64	272	55	32	8	0%	1.1	20.3%	11.8%	8.5%	3.1%	4.92	4.96	-0.3
2028	26	MLB CTX	BAL	28	0	29	122	25	15	4	0%	1.0	20.0%	11.9%	8.1%	2.9%	4.92	4.91	-0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	BAL	40	0	42	177	36	21	5	0%	1.1	20.3%	11.8%	8.5%	3.0%	4.89	4.90	-0.2
2030	28	MLB CTX	BAL	46	0	48	203	41	24	6	0%	1.0	20.3%	11.8%	8.5%	3.1%	4.92	4.96	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		113	0	119	502	102	59	15	0%	1.1	20.2%	11.8%	8.4%	3.0%	4.91	4.55	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	171	99	25	0%	1.1	20.2%	11.8%	8.4%	3.0%	4.91	4.55	+0.0
Career	—	MLE		39	4	104	447	90	51	11	10%	2.7	20.1%	11.4%	8.6%	2.4%	5.37	4.17	-0.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		75	8	200	860	172	98	21	10%	2.7	20.1%	11.4%	8.6%	2.4%	5.37	4.17	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jack Crowder (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.00	19.4%	12.2%	2.9%	—	4.92	20.2%	8.4%	198	-0.08	—	—	—
Conor Steinbaugh R 2024 · 4.74 FIP	25	SU	4.74	16.0%	9.9%	3.2%	.281	6.29	15.0%	2.1%	44	+1.55	4.74	111	87
Jarret Whorff R 2024 · 4.04 FIP	25	SU	4.04	18.9%	10.2%	2.3%	.271	4.52	19.6%	12.0%	123	+0.48	3.88	257	87
Stephen Johnson R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	16.7%	12.7%	3.4%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	141	87
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	87
Emmanuel Chapman R 2024 · 4.08 FIP	25	SW	4.08	19.7%	10.6%	2.4%	.256	4.52	17.8%	1.3%	117	+0.44	3.81	198	86
Wil Jensen R 2023 · 4.88 FIP	25	SU	4.88	20.2%	12.1%	3.5%	.284	3.48	22.7%	14.3%	84	-1.40	3.48	368	86
Jordan Milbrath R 2017 · 4.05 FIP	25	SU	4.05	19.9%	10.4%	2.4%	.272	3.61	19.6%	9.7%	129	-0.44	3.19	386	85
Juan Paniagua R 2015 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	15.7%	11.9%	2.6%	.262	4.63	16.2%	1.8%	93	-0.06	4.57	151	85
Ryan Conroy R 2022 · 4.75 FIP	25	SU	4.75	19.3%	12.6%	3.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	106	85
Cody Tucker R 2024 · 4.97 FIP	25	SU	4.97	22.0%	12.0%	4.0%	.272	5.36	15.8%	-1.9%	40	+0.39	4.97	105	85
Chase Plymell R 2023 · 4.23 FIP	25	SU	4.23	19.2%	13.0%	2.0%	.330	4.49	14.0%	6.3%	162	+0.26	3.81	291	85
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	84
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.35	15.0%	3.8%	156	+0.89	4.46	215	84
Barrett Loseke R 2022 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	21.7%	10.1%	3.4%	.311	5.24	23.5%	12.2%	22	+0.82	4.42	152	84
Garrett Apker R 2024 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	19.8%	11.2%	2.1%	.288	8.46	15.4%	-7.6%	11	+4.45	4.01	101	84
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	83
Austin Ross R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	24	SU	4.41	20.7%	9.6%	3.4%	.281	5.19	21.2%	5.7%	55	+0.78	4.41	121	83
Ross Ohlendorf R 2008 · 4.73 FIP	25	SW	4.73	16.3%	9.3%	3.3%	.357	4.63	15.4%	7.7%	324	-0.10	3.30	617	83
Adam Warren R 2013 · 4.09 FIP	25	SU	4.09	19.3%	8.5%	2.8%	.306	3.43	20.5%	13.1%	275	-0.66	2.65	548	83
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	82

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.3	64	20.0%	11.9%	1.16	4.93
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Mike Matthews ('05)	1.2	61	16.3%	11.3%	1.07	4.54
Bill Scherrer ('82-'88, 1 WAR*)	1.6	62	20.7%*	10.2%*	1.19*	4.44*