Cody Adcock — OGILVIE

Cody Adcock P Chattanooga Lookouts

Age 24 RHP 6'4" / 205 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION63 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 143135vR 127

ERA5.78

FIP5.78

K%18.7%

BB%17.5%

K-BB%1.2%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 69 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL2525

CMD3535

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	5	0	10	43	11	8	2	0%	1.9	25.6%	18.6%	7.0%	4.7%	5.59	5.85	—
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	5	0	10	43	11	8	2	0%	1.9	25.6%	18.6%	7.0%	4.7%	5.59	5.85	—
2023	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	5	0	10	43	11	8	2	0%	1.9	25.6%	18.6%	7.0%	4.7%	5.59	6.00	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	0	51	222	60	25	1	0%	1.8	20.2%	13.2%	7.0%	0.5%	3.91	3.36	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	0	51	222	60	25	1	0%	1.8	20.2%	13.2%	7.0%	0.5%	3.91	3.36	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	0	51	222	60	25	1	0%	1.8	27.0%	11.3%	15.8%	0.5%	3.91	2.47	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	40	0	62	286	69	41	10	0%	1.6	18.6%	16.5%	2.1%	3.9%	4.19	5.75	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	40	0	62	286	69	41	10	0%	1.6	18.6%	16.5%	2.1%	3.9%	4.19	5.75	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	Dayton Dragons	40	0	62	286	69	41	10	0%	1.6	24.1%	14.3%	9.8%	3.5%	4.19	4.94	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	39	0	63	275	86	41	6	0%	1.6	24.8%	16.8%	8.0%	2.6%	3.88	4.57	—
YTD	24	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	39	0	63	275	86	41	6	0%	1.6	24.8%	16.8%	8.0%	2.6%	3.88	4.57	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	A+ RAW	CIN	16	0	26	111	37	21	0	0%	1.6	33.3%	18.9%	14.4%	0.0%	3.16	2.68	—
2026	24	AA RAW	CIN	23	0	37	164	49	20	6	0%	1.6	29.9%	12.2%	17.7%	3.7%	4.38	4.13	—
ROS	24	MLB MLE	CIN	6	0	6	26	5	5	1	0%	1.0	18.7%	17.5%	1.2%	3.0%	5.78	5.78	-0.1
2026 TOT	24	MLB MLE	CIN	—	—	69	301	91	46	7	—	—	30.2%	15.1%	15.1%	2.3%	4.05	4.68	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	CIN	65	0	68	287	56	45	9	0%	1.0	19.6%	15.5%	4.1%	3.0%	5.52	5.44	-0.7
2028	26	MLB MLE	CIN	65	0	68	287	58	43	9	0%	1.0	20.0%	15.0%	5.0%	3.0%	5.38	5.34	-0.6
2029	27	MLB MLE	CIN	64	0	67	283	57	42	9	0%	1.0	20.2%	14.8%	5.4%	3.1%	5.32	5.32	-0.6
2030	28	MLB MLE	CIN	62	0	65	274	55	41	9	0%	1.0	20.2%	14.8%	5.4%	3.2%	5.35	5.38	-0.6
2027	25	MLB CTX	CIN	29	0	30	127	25	20	4	0%	1.0	19.6%	15.5%	4.1%	3.0%	5.52	5.44	-0.3
2028	26	MLB CTX	CIN	43	0	45	190	38	28	6	0%	1.0	20.0%	15.0%	5.0%	3.0%	5.38	5.34	-0.4
2029	27	MLB CTX	CIN	50	0	52	220	44	32	7	0%	1.0	20.2%	14.8%	5.4%	3.1%	5.32	5.32	-0.4
2030	28	MLB CTX	CIN	52	0	55	232	47	34	7	0%	1.1	20.2%	14.8%	5.4%	3.2%	5.35	5.38	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		174	0	182	769	154	115	24	0%	1.0	20.0%	15.0%	5.1%	3.1%	5.38	4.98	-0.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	169	126	26	0%	1.1	20.0%	15.0%	5.1%	3.1%	5.38	4.98	-1.0
Career	—	MLE		112	0	185	826	177	131	22	0%	1.7	21.5%	15.8%	5.6%	2.6%	4.08	4.72	-2.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		121	0	200	891	191	141	23	0%	1.7	21.5%	15.8%	5.6%	2.6%	4.08	4.72	-1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Cody Adcock (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.78	18.7%	17.5%	3.0%	—	5.37	19.9%	4.8%	203	-0.41	—	—	—
Brett Lockwood R 2021 · 5.46 FIP	24	SU	5.46	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.58	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.88	4.24	132	89
Taylor Floyd R 2022 · 4.84 FIP	24	SU	4.84	19.6%	18.4%	1.9%	.305	4.30	19.8%	10.2%	184	-0.54	3.48	359	88
Cody Scroggins R 2021 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.4%	15.1%	3.3%	.263	4.28	18.6%	4.4%	59	-1.07	3.78	108	88
Jacob Morris R 2015 · 5.43 FIP	24	SU	5.43	18.0%	19.6%	2.5%	.218	4.77	18.7%	-2.4%	46	-0.66	4.77	102	87
Kris Hall R 2015 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	18.3%	17.8%	1.5%	.281	7.01	12.7%	-7.8%	34	+2.38	4.63	106	87
Jeff Soptic R 2015 · 5.30 FIP	24	SU	5.30	15.5%	17.2%	2.5%	.237	5.52	13.6%	-1.7%	68	+0.22	5.30	124	87
Ryan Sublette R 2023 · 5.72 FIP	24	SU	5.72	21.4%	22.3%	2.9%	.278	5.09	18.9%	3.4%	102	-0.63	3.74	203	86
Jonathan Teaney R 2019 · 5.65 FIP	23	SU	5.65	16.4%	15.7%	3.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.77	108	86
Everhett Hazelwood R 2023 · 5.70 FIP	24	SU	5.70	19.0%	15.4%	4.1%	.343	9.36	17.5%	0.6%	14	+3.66	5.23	117	85
Sal Biasi R 2019 · 5.22 FIP	23	SU	5.22	20.1%	15.8%	3.3%	.295	7.66	15.3%	-0.2%	23	+2.44	4.68	188	84
Stefan Raeth R 2023 · 4.62 FIP	22	SU	4.62	18.0%	15.4%	2.0%	.309	4.73	17.5%	8.3%	124	+0.11	4.51	173	84
David Trexler R 2015 · 4.62 FIP	24	SU	4.62	17.7%	13.4%	2.4%	.313	4.44	18.3%	4.8%	31	-0.18	4.44	100	84
Tanner Duncan R 2019 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	17.5%	14.8%	3.4%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	3.28	123	84
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	84
Ocean Gabonia R 2023 · 5.04 FIP	22	SU	5.04	15.4%	14.6%	2.5%	.283	3.29	19.1%	10.9%	91	-1.75	2.79	144	84
Tommy DeJuneas R 2019 · 5.15 FIP	23	SU	5.15	20.8%	18.8%	2.6%	.324	5.65	13.7%	-3.9%	51	+0.50	3.93	178	83
Alaska Abney R 2023 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	18.8%	13.8%	3.0%	.301	3.89	17.4%	7.9%	104	-1.03	3.38	207	83
Austin Glorius R 2017 · 6.09 FIP	24	SU	6.09	18.7%	21.0%	3.5%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	141	83
Rob Huber R 2016 · 4.73 FIP	24	SU	4.73	15.7%	14.7%	2.0%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.90	117	83
Yunior Montero R 2017 · 5.21 FIP	24	SU	5.21	21.3%	17.6%	3.1%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	127	82

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	67	19.7%	15.5%	1.18	5.47
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77