Cody Adcock — OGILVIE

Cody Adcock P Dayton Dragons

+0.0 WAR

Age 24 RHP 6'4" / 205 lbs A+ peak 0.2 · 2027

ERA4.84

FIP4.84

xFIP—

SIERA—

K%21.5%

BB%12.1%

K-BB%9.4%

IP58

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.2peak

2027

STUF4545

CTRL2525

CMD3535

K†5050

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	K%	BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2023	21	A	Daytona Tortugas	5	0	10	43	11	8	2	—	—	—	5.59	—	—
2024	22	A+	Dayton Dragons	28	0	51	222	60	25	1	20.2%	13.2%	0.6%	3.91	3.37	+0.9
2025	23	A+	Dayton Dragons	40	0	62	286	69	41	10	18.6%	16.5%	3.8%	4.19	5.71	-0.5
▸ 2026 Season
2026	24	A+	Dayton Dragons	2	0	2	11	4	3	0	—	—	—	4.50	—	—
ROS	24	MLB	CIN	58	—	58	247	52	36	7	20.9%	14.5%	3.0%	5.21	5.21	-0.2
2026 Total	24	MLB	CIN	—	—	60	258	56	39	7	21.6%	15.1%	2.9%	5.19	5.04	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
2027	25	MLB	CIN	59	—	59	250	54	33	7	21.5%	13.3%	3.0%	5.04	4.99	-0.0
2028	26	MLB	CIN	59	—	59	250	55	32	7	21.9%	12.9%	3.0%	4.94	4.92	+0.0
2029	27	MLB	CIN	59	—	59	248	54	32	7	22.0%	12.8%	3.0%	4.90	4.89	+0.0
2030	28	MLB	CIN	58	—	58	244	54	31	7	21.9%	12.7%	3.0%	4.90	4.91	+0.0
2031	29	MLB	CIN	56	—	56	239	52	31	7	21.8%	12.8%	3.1%	4.93	4.95	0.0
2032	30	MLB	CIN	55	—	55	231	50	30	7	21.6%	12.9%	3.1%	4.98	5.01	-0.0
2033	31	MLB	CIN	53	—	53	223	48	29	7	21.4%	13.0%	3.2%	5.04	5.09	-0.1
2034	32	MLB	CIN	51	—	51	214	45	28	7	21.1%	13.2%	3.3%	5.12	5.18	-0.1
2035	33	MLB	CIN	48	—	48	205	43	27	7	20.8%	13.4%	3.4%	5.21	5.27	-0.2
2036	34	MLB	CIN	46	—	46	195	40	26	7	20.4%	13.6%	3.5%	5.31	5.38	-0.2
2037	35	MLB	CIN	43	—	43	183	37	25	7	20.1%	13.8%	3.6%	5.43	5.51	-0.3
2038	36	MLB	CIN	41	—	41	171	34	24	6	19.6%	14.0%	3.7%	5.56	5.64	-0.3
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career	—			75	0	125	562	113	87	14	20.1%	15.6%	2.5%	4.19	4.75	+0.8
/ 200 IP	—			120	0	200	902	181	140	22	20.1%	15.6%	2.5%	4.19	4.75	+1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Cody Adcock (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.21	20.9%	14.5%	3.0%	—	4.93	21.8%	8.8%	177	-0.28	—	—	—
Craig Schlitter R 2026 · 4.61 FIP	24	SW	4.61	22.7%	15.4%	2.7%	.298	4.70	14.7%	4.2%	171	+0.09	4.23	222	94
Max Alba R 2026 · 4.50 FIP	24	SW	4.50	20.6%	12.6%	2.8%	.290	4.91	17.8%	11.6%	162	+0.41	4.50	217	93
Brandon Johnson R 2026 · 4.91 FIP	24	SW	4.91	22.4%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	4.68	22.3%	12.1%	127	-0.23	3.38	188	93
Kevin Kopps R 2027 · 4.59 FIP	25	SW	4.59	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.54	16.5%	2.8%	182	-0.05	3.49	237	92
Orlando Ortiz-Mayr R 2026 · 4.58 FIP	24	SW	4.58	21.0%	13.2%	2.9%	.341	4.72	15.7%	4.0%	343	+0.14	4.04	404	92
Jacob Webb R 2026 · 4.56 FIP	24	SW	4.56	19.8%	15.3%	2.2%	.283	4.53	18.5%	9.4%	111	-0.03	3.33	223	90
Zach Linginfelter R 2026 · 5.56 FIP	24	SW	5.56	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.02	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.54	3.62	109	90
Jarret Whorff R 2026 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	3.96	20.3%	11.1%	143	-0.28	3.84	206	90
Ben Hecht R 2026 · 4.51 FIP	24	SW	4.51	22.7%	12.9%	3.1%	.293	7.98	14.1%	-11.4%	13	+3.47	4.42	155	90
Pat Light R 2026 · 4.34 FIP	24	SW	4.34	20.9%	14.5%	2.1%	.270	4.39	16.4%	2.8%	110	+0.05	4.15	172	90
David Trexler R 2026 · 4.58 FIP	24	SW	4.58	17.7%	13.4%	2.3%	.313	4.44	18.3%	4.8%	31	-0.14	4.44	100	89
Carlos Contreras R 2026 · 4.31 FIP	24	SW	4.31	22.2%	15.6%	2.0%	.271	4.48	11.9%	2.4%	40	+0.17	4.31	107	89
David Griffin R 2027 · 4.42 FIP	25	SW	4.42	19.2%	11.9%	2.6%	.279	5.32	15.6%	5.5%	168	+0.90	4.42	239	88
Antonio Knowles R 2026 · 4.57 FIP	24	SW	4.57	20.9%	15.1%	2.4%	.250	3.24	23.1%	15.7%	44	-1.33	3.24	201	88
Tommy Kahnle R 2027 · 4.17 FIP	25	SW	4.17	23.8%	14.8%	2.2%	.284	2.58	30.9%	21.0%	165	-1.59	1.53	433	87
Matt Lollis R 2026 · 4.56 FIP	24	SW	4.56	18.5%	12.2%	2.7%	.237	5.00	19.2%	4.7%	56	+0.44	4.56	120	87
Ryan Ledbetter R 2026 · 4.75 FIP	24	SW	4.75	18.5%	12.3%	3.0%	.338	—	—	—	—	—	4.75	124	87
Grayson Thurman R 2026 · 4.71 FIP	24	SU	4.71	19.5%	14.1%	2.7%	.319	4.82	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.11	4.56	132	87
Josh Graham R 2026 · 4.82 FIP	24	SW	4.82	20.4%	15.1%	2.8%	.327	4.41	18.0%	10.1%	70	-0.41	2.15	254	86
Hunter Dula R 2026 · 4.90 FIP	24	SW	4.90	20.1%	12.1%	3.6%	.301	4.06	19.8%	10.2%	37	-0.84	3.90	132	86

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.