Cody Adcock
P
Dayton Dragons
Age 24
RHP
6'4" / 205 lbs
A+
2026 ROS PROJECTION37 act + 67 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 146137vR 128
ERA5.68
FIP5.68
K%18.7%
BB%17.1%
K-BB%1.6%
ROS IP67
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 104 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 5 | 0 | 10 | 43 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.9 | 25.6% | 18.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.59 | 5.85 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 5 | 0 | 10 | 43 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.9 | 25.6% | 18.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.59 | 6.00 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 0 | 51 | 222 | 60 | 25 | 1 | 0% | 1.8 | 20.2% | 13.2% | 7.0% | 0.5% | 3.91 | 3.34 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 0 | 51 | 222 | 60 | 25 | 1 | 0% | 1.8 | 27.0% | 11.3% | 15.8% | 0.5% | 3.91 | 2.47 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | 40 | 0 | 62 | 286 | 69 | 41 | 10 | 0% | 1.6 | 18.6% | 16.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.19 | 5.54 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | 40 | 0 | 62 | 286 | 69 | 41 | 10 | 0% | 1.6 | 24.1% | 14.3% | 9.8% | 3.5% | 4.19 | 4.94 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 23 | 0 | 37 | 158 | 48 | 27 | 0 | 0% | 1.6 | 25.7% | 21.8% | 3.9% | 0.0% | 2.95 | 3.69 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | CIN | 64 | 0 | 67 | 284 | 53 | 48 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.7% | 17.1% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 5.68 | 5.68 | -0.8 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18.7% | 17.1% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 5.68 | 5.68 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 104 | 442 | 101 | 75 | 8 | — | — | 22.9% | 17.1% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 4.71 | 4.98 | +0.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 18.7% | 17.1% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 5.68 | 5.30 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | CIN | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 56 | 43 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.6% | 15.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 5.43 | 5.36 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | CIN | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 58 | 42 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.0% | 14.7% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 5.30 | 5.26 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | CIN | 28 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 24 | 19 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.6% | 15.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 5.43 | 5.36 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | CIN | 43 | 0 | 45 | 190 | 38 | 28 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.0% | 14.7% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 5.30 | 5.26 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 71 | 0 | 75 | 316 | 63 | 47 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.8% | 14.9% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 5.35 | 4.92 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 169 | 126 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.8% | 14.9% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 5.35 | 4.92 | +1.1 | ||
| Career | — | 96 | 0 | 159 | 709 | 150 | 119 | 13 | 0% | 1.7 | 21.1% | 16.8% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 3.90 | 4.46 | +1.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 121 | 0 | 200 | 890 | 188 | 149 | 16 | 0% | 1.7 | 21.1% | 16.8% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 3.90 | 4.46 | +2.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Cody Adcock (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.68 | 18.7% | 17.1% | 3.0% | — | 5.31 | 19.8% | 4.9% | 136 | -0.37 | — | — | — |
| Brett Lockwood R 2026 · 5.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.51 | 16.2% | 15.5% | 3.3% | .312 | 4.61 | 11.0% | -6.3% | 79 | -0.90 | 4.29 | 132 | 90 |
| Taylor Floyd R 2026 · 4.92 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.92 | 19.6% | 18.4% | 2.1% | .305 | 4.56 | 19.8% | 10.2% | 184 | -0.36 | 3.34 | 334 | 89 |
| Jacob Webb R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.50 | 19.8% | 15.3% | 2.1% | .283 | 4.49 | 19.0% | 8.6% | 139 | -0.01 | 3.34 | 252 | 88 |
| Kris Hall R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.65 | 18.3% | 17.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 7.02 | 12.7% | -7.8% | 34 | +2.37 | 4.65 | 106 | 88 |
| Cody Scroggins R 2026 · 5.62 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.62 | 17.4% | 15.1% | 3.8% | .263 | 4.25 | 18.6% | 4.4% | 59 | -1.37 | 3.67 | 108 | 87 |
| Jacob Morris R 2026 · 5.72 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.72 | 18.0% | 19.6% | 3.0% | .218 | 4.72 | 18.7% | -2.4% | 46 | -1.00 | 4.72 | 102 | 87 |
| Kevin Kopps R 2027 · 4.78 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.78 | 20.2% | 15.1% | 2.7% | .278 | 4.59 | 16.5% | 2.8% | 182 | -0.19 | 3.64 | 237 | 87 |
| Josh Harlow R 2026 · 5.71 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.71 | 17.1% | 21.3% | 2.5% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.52 | 107 | 87 |
| Jeff Soptic R 2026 · 5.27 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.27 | 15.5% | 17.2% | 2.4% | .237 | 5.45 | 13.6% | -1.7% | 68 | +0.18 | 5.27 | 124 | 86 |
| Noah Murdock R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.72 | 19.8% | 17.1% | 2.1% | .314 | 3.29 | 23.1% | 8.5% | 130 | -1.43 | 2.48 | 292 | 86 |
| David Trexler R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.91 | 17.7% | 13.4% | 2.9% | .313 | 4.44 | 18.3% | 4.8% | 31 | -0.47 | 4.44 | 100 | 86 |
| Tyler Bradt R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.09 | 19.0% | 18.7% | 2.2% | .241 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 135 | 86 |
| Ryan Sublette R 2026 · 5.61 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.61 | 21.4% | 22.3% | 2.7% | .278 | 5.16 | 19.4% | 2.8% | 102 | -0.45 | 3.73 | 203 | 86 |
| Everhett Hazelwood R 2026 · 5.67 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.67 | 19.0% | 15.4% | 4.0% | .343 | 10.98 | 17.5% | 0.6% | 14 | +5.31 | 5.32 | 117 | 86 |
| Billy Seidl R 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.87 | 18.3% | 14.2% | 2.8% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.34 | 102 | 85 |
| Sal Biasi R 2025 · 5.19 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.19 | 20.1% | 15.8% | 3.3% | .295 | 7.85 | 15.3% | -0.2% | 23 | +2.66 | 4.68 | 188 | 85 |
| Tanner Duncan R 2026 · 5.45 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.45 | 17.5% | 14.8% | 3.6% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 123 | 84 |
| Craig Schlitter R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.76 | 22.7% | 15.4% | 3.0% | .298 | 4.44 | 14.7% | 4.2% | 171 | -0.32 | 4.07 | 222 | 84 |
| Jonathan Teaney R 2025 · 6.06 FIP | 23 | SU | 6.06 | 16.4% | 15.7% | 4.3% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.70 | 108 | 83 |
| Rob Huber R 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.67 | 15.7% | 14.7% | 1.9% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 117 | 83 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 68 | 19.4% | 15.6% | 1.14 | 5.47 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |