Khristian Curtis

P Altoona Curve

Age 25 RHP 6'5" / 215 lbs AA

Overview

AARP40-MANROOKIE

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	22	APIT	18	16	75	4.06	4.23	25.4%	12.2%	—	K 18.8% · BB 14.4% · FIP 5.48
2025	23	MIX2 levels	27	26	111	3.90	3.61	25.1%	9.7%	—	K 19.1% · BB 11.3% · FIP 4.60
2026	24	MIX3 levels	28	17	107	4.86	4.10	26.1%	12.9%	1.0	K 22.1% · BB 13.0% · FIP 4.65
2027PROJ	25	MLBPIT	22	22	131	4.67	4.99	21.6%	13.2%	-0.1
2028PROJ48% MLB	26	MLBPIT	10	10	63	4.77	4.88	21.9%	12.7%	0.0
2029PROJ66% MLB	27	MLBPIT	14	14	85	4.81	4.87	21.9%	12.3%	0.0

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.0 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

xwOBA vs64

FB Velo62

Whiff%37

K%10

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 6, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 81%

CompsJake Lee (age 24) · Alfredo Figaro (age 25) · Carlos Torres (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128120vR 112

ERA4.67

FIP4.99

K%21.6%

BB%13.2%

K-BB%8.3%

Proj IP131

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 131 IP

Grades · Statcast · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—45

STUF5055

CTRL—40

CMD3045

K†5050

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p6295.4

Whiff%

p3723.5%

p1014.9%

xwOBA vs

p640.298

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	22	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	18	16	75	319	81	39	10	89%	4.2	18.8%	14.4%	4.4%	3.9%	4.06	5.48	—
2024	22	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	18	16	75	319	81	39	10	89%	4.2	18.8%	14.4%	4.4%	3.9%	4.06	5.48	—
2024	22	A RAW	Bradenton Marauders	18	16	75	319	81	39	10	89%	4.2	25.4%	12.2%	13.2%	3.1%	4.06	4.23	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	26	111	474	119	46	12	96%	4.1	19.1%	11.3%	7.8%	3.1%	3.90	4.60	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	26	111	474	119	46	12	96%	4.1	19.1%	11.3%	7.8%	3.1%	3.90	4.60	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	26	111	474	119	46	12	96%	4.1	25.1%	9.7%	15.4%	2.5%	3.90	3.61	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	28	17	107	464	121	60	13	61%	3.8	22.1%	13.0%	9.1%	3.2%	4.86	4.65	+0.3
2026	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	28	17	107	464	121	60	13	61%	3.8	22.1%	13.0%	9.1%	3.2%	4.86	4.65	+0.3
2026	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	28	17	107	464	121	60	13	61%	3.8	26.1%	12.9%	13.1%	2.8%	4.86	4.10	+1.0
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			6	0	21	87	13	12	1	0%	3.5	14.9%	13.8%	1.1%	1.1%	4.71	4.20	+0.1
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	PIT	22	22	131	553	119	73	17	100%	6.0	21.6%	13.2%	8.3%	3.0%	4.67	4.99	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	PIT	22	22	131	552	121	70	17	100%	5.9	21.9%	12.7%	9.3%	3.0%	4.77	4.88	+0.0
2029	27	MLB MLE	PIT	21	21	129	543	119	67	17	100%	6.1	21.9%	12.3%	9.6%	3.1%	4.81	4.87	+0.0
2030	28	MLB MLE	PIT	21	21	125	527	115	65	17	100%	5.9	21.8%	12.3%	9.5%	3.2%	4.87	4.93	-0.0
2031	29	MLB MLE	PIT	20	20	119	503	107	62	17	100%	6.0	21.2%	12.4%	8.8%	3.3%	4.98	5.07	-0.2
2032	30	MLB MLE	PIT	19	19	112	473	97	60	17	100%	5.9	20.5%	12.7%	7.8%	3.5%	5.16	5.28	-0.5
2028	26	MLB CTX	PIT	10	10	63	266	58	34	8	100%	6.3	21.9%	12.7%	9.3%	3.0%	4.77	4.88	+0.0
2029	27	MLB CTX	PIT	14	14	85	359	79	44	11	100%	6.1	21.9%	12.3%	9.6%	3.1%	4.81	4.87	+0.0
2030	28	MLB CTX	PIT	16	16	96	405	88	50	13	100%	6.0	21.8%	12.3%	9.5%	3.2%	4.87	4.93	-0.0
2031	29	MLB CTX	PIT	16	16	99	418	89	52	14	100%	6.2	21.2%	12.4%	8.8%	3.3%	4.98	5.07	-0.2
2032	30	MLB CTX	PIT	16	16	97	410	84	52	14	100%	6.1	20.5%	12.7%	7.8%	3.5%	5.16	5.28	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		79	73	461	1946	411	243	61	92%	5.8	21.1%	12.5%	8.6%	3.1%	4.92	4.62	+1.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	32	200	844	178	105	26	92%	5.8	21.1%	12.5%	8.6%	3.1%	4.92	4.62	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		73	59	293	1257	253	160	42	81%	4.0	20.1%	12.7%	7.4%	3.3%	4.30	4.84	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		50	40	200	857	172	109	29	81%	4.0	20.1%	12.7%	7.4%	3.3%	4.30	4.84	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Khristian Curtis (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.99	21.6%	13.2%	3.0%	—	4.89	21.9%	9.4%	384	-0.10	—	—	—
Jake Lee R 2019 · 4.65 FIP	24	SP-	4.65	25.7%	12.4%	3.9%	.296	3.52	18.7%	10.3%	40	-1.13	2.78	181	81
Alfredo Figaro R 2009 · 4.98 FIP	25	SP-	4.98	19.3%	12.0%	3.6%	.370	4.42	7.2%	-1.5%	15	-0.56	3.75	143	81
Carlos Torres R 2009 · 5.24 FIP	26	SP-	5.24	16.9%	11.5%	3.9%	.284	3.59	18.2%	7.3%	67	-1.65	2.89	604	78
Lisalverto Bonilla R 2014 · 4.32 FIP	24	SP-	4.32	20.5%	13.3%	2.3%	.208	3.88	19.8%	10.2%	210	-0.44	3.22	242	78
Blair Henley R 2021 · 5.02 FIP	24	SP-	5.02	20.8%	12.2%	3.9%	.450	4.51	17.7%	5.4%	170	-0.51	3.97	187	78
Andrew Politi R 2021 · 5.21 FIP	25	SP-	5.21	21.0%	12.2%	4.3%	.320	4.04	22.9%	13.8%	138	-1.17	3.38	292	76
Ricky Castro R 2024 · 3.99 FIP	24	SP-	3.99	20.4%	8.6%	2.8%	.287	5.11	19.0%	10.6%	178	+1.12	3.99	241	76
Tanner Hall R 2024 · 4.67 FIP	22	SP-	4.67	18.8%	11.2%	3.2%	.295	5.33	10.1%	-4.6%	72	+0.66	4.67	137	76
Luis Quiñones R 2022 · 4.77 FIP	25	SP	4.77	23.5%	17.5%	2.6%	.289	4.80	22.4%	10.8%	160	+0.03	3.69	326	76
Britt Reames R 2000 · 4.49 FIP	26	SP	4.49	18.2%	12.9%	2.4%	.230	4.35	21.9%	11.5%	163	-0.14	3.76	204	76
Joel Hanrahan R 2007 · 5.58 FIP	25	SP	5.58	17.4%	15.4%	3.6%	.318	3.06	27.8%	18.1%	218	-2.52	2.08	397	76
Michael Knorr R 2024 · 5.56 FIP	24	SP-	5.56	21.6%	12.5%	4.9%	.314	4.95	22.3%	9.7%	83	-0.61	4.30	181	75
Sean Mooney R 2022 · 4.70 FIP	24	SP-	4.70	24.7%	13.5%	3.6%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	102	74
Ramon Ramirez R 2008 · 4.31 FIP	25	SP-	4.31	20.0%	10.5%	2.9%	.200	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	182	74
David Lebron R 2019 · 4.28 FIP	25	SP-	4.28	18.6%	14.2%	1.7%	.336	5.56	26.7%	12.0%	62	+1.28	4.28	144	74
Orlando Rodriguez R 2021 · 4.54 FIP	25	SP-	4.54	20.8%	10.1%	3.5%	.380	4.51	19.3%	7.9%	101	-0.03	4.40	119	73
Ryan Jensen R 2001 · 5.03 FIP	25	SP-	5.03	13.5%	13.0%	2.6%	.285	4.82	13.4%	5.2%	185	-0.21	4.35	253	73
Chris Kachmar R 2021 · 4.29 FIP	24	SP	4.29	16.1%	11.4%	2.0%	.309	4.61	18.4%	9.4%	172	+0.32	4.29	360	72
Denny Bautista R 2006 · 4.71 FIP	25	SP-	4.71	13.9%	10.8%	2.6%	.298	4.58	17.5%	3.3%	74	-0.13	3.38	238	72
Jared Lyons R 2024 · 4.72 FIP	23	SP	4.72	22.1%	14.4%	3.0%	.258	4.13	17.6%	8.7%	173	-0.59	3.28	265	72

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,853 starter careers (497 from 1990-2025 + 1,356 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.8	110	21.3%	12.6%	1.20	4.86
Roy Parmelee ('29-'39, 4 WAR*)	5.6	124	24.0%*	12.7%*	1.20*	4.75*
Kazuhisa Ishii ('02-'05, 1 WAR*)	2.8	141	19.8%*	13.6%*	1.14*	4.72*
Ken Kravec ('75-'82, 5 WAR*)	4.3	123	23.6%*	10.7%*	1.11*	4.73*
Tim Lollar ('80-'86, 3 WAR*)	4.5	129	21.2%*	12.2%*	1.35*	4.94*
Daisuke Matsuzaka ('14)	4.0	99	20.9%	11.2%	0.97	4.45
John Maine ('13)	3.0	99	19.5%	10.5%	1.23	4.45