Brooks Gosswein prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Brooks Gosswein P Winston-Salem Dash

Age 27 LHP 6'2" / 205 lbs A+ peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 46 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115123vR 132

ERA5.18

FIP5.18

K%19.9%

BB%13.7%

K-BB%6.1%

ROS IP46

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 46 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	6	6	17	66	15	6	1	100%	2.8	22.7%	9.1%	13.6%	1.5%	2.65	3.16	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	6	6	17	66	15	6	1	100%	2.8	22.7%	9.1%	13.6%	1.5%	2.65	3.16	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	23	99	452	89	57	10	96%	4.1	14.7%	14.8%	-0.2%	2.5%	5.36	5.13	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	23	99	452	89	57	10	96%	4.1	19.7%	12.6%	7.1%	2.2%	5.36	4.34	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	12	66	310	61	49	7	60%	3.3	15.2%	17.9%	-2.7%	2.8%	5.32	5.61	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	12	66	310	61	49	7	60%	3.3	15.2%	17.9%	-2.7%	2.8%	5.32	5.61	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	12	66	310	61	49	7	60%	3.3	19.7%	15.8%	3.9%	2.3%	5.32	4.86	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	27	MLB	CWS	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	19.9%	13.7%	6.1%	3.0%	5.18	5.18	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	CWS	7	7	45	189	38	25	6	100%	6.4	20.1%	13.4%	6.7%	3.1%	5.14	5.18	-0.1
2027	28	MLB CTX	CWS	3	3	16	68	14	9	2	100%	5.3	20.1%	13.4%	6.7%	3.1%	5.14	5.18	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		3	3	16	69	14	9	2	100%	5.5	20.1%	13.4%	6.7%	3.1%	5.14	4.80	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	171	110	24	100%	6.0	20.1%	13.4%	6.7%	3.1%	5.14	4.80	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		50	41	182	828	128	128	21	82%	3.6	15.5%	15.5%	0.0%	2.5%	5.09	5.15	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		55	45	200	910	141	141	23	82%	3.6	15.5%	15.5%	0.0%	2.5%	5.09	5.15	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Brooks Gosswein (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.18	19.9%	13.7%	3.0%	—	5.18	20.1%	6.7%	45	+0.00	—	—	—
Brad Mills L 2011 · 5.37 FIP	26	SP-	5.37	19.8%	12.1%	4.4%	.328	5.61	18.8%	7.9%	21	+0.24	4.22	243	82
Jimmy Robbins L 2023 · 4.69 FIP	25	SP-	4.69	17.8%	15.2%	2.1%	.290	5.73	19.6%	3.8%	13	+1.04	3.85	176	77
Miguel Cienfuegos L 2023 · 5.12 FIP	26	SP	5.12	13.6%	10.5%	3.4%	.257	4.54	14.3%	5.8%	242	-0.58	2.95	313	75
Luis Ysla L 2019 · 5.78 FIP	27	SP-	5.78	18.0%	14.4%	4.3%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	3.75	378	74
Matt Lujan L 2016 · 5.05 FIP	27	SP	5.05	18.5%	11.3%	3.8%	.319	4.69	14.3%	7.9%	70	-0.36	4.06	227	74
Justin Marks L 2015 · 4.60 FIP	27	SP-	4.60	15.4%	10.5%	2.7%	.323	3.88	19.0%	9.1%	216	-0.72	3.83	324	72
Jack Snodgrass L 2015 · 4.66 FIP	27	SP-	4.66	12.6%	10.7%	2.3%	.278	5.01	15.7%	5.6%	45	+0.35	4.66	118	72
Marlon Arias L 2015 · 4.32 FIP	30	SP	4.32	16.8%	12.2%	2.0%	.330	3.73	17.2%	9.5%	22	-0.59	3.73	154	71
Aaron Rozek L 2023 · 4.87 FIP	27	SP-	4.87	17.4%	8.8%	3.9%	.311	4.34	16.7%	9.5%	356	-0.53	3.68	579	70
Ben Holmes L 2019 · 5.57 FIP	27	SP	5.57	19.7%	11.1%	5.0%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	3.09	451	70
Luis Lugo L 2021 · 5.21 FIP	27	SP-	5.21	19.5%	13.2%	3.8%	.292	—	—	—	—	—	4.29	622	69
Alex Troop L 2023 · 5.03 FIP	27	SP-	5.03	17.8%	10.9%	3.7%	.275	5.10	17.3%	10.5%	43	+0.07	2.93	379	68
Taylor Varnell L 2021 · 4.48 FIP	26	SP	4.48	20.1%	10.3%	3.2%	.278	—	—	—	—	—	2.89	248	68
Hayden Wynja L 2023 · 4.74 FIP	24	SP-	4.74	20.5%	10.5%	3.7%	.315	4.79	18.0%	7.5%	56	+0.05	4.74	154	68
Matt Walker L 2023 · 4.73 FIP	25	SP-	4.73	12.7%	10.0%	2.6%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	4.21	156	67
Luis Leroy Cruz L 2015 · 5.03 FIP	24	SP-	5.03	16.0%	10.1%	3.7%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	5.03	116	67
David Purcey L 2009 · 4.75 FIP	27	SP	4.75	17.5%	13.0%	2.7%	.322	4.13	18.2%	5.4%	68	-0.62	3.60	206	65
Garrett Schoenle L 2023 · 5.38 FIP	25	SP-	5.38	20.5%	15.0%	3.9%	.307	3.58	20.9%	12.1%	174	-1.80	2.32	362	65
Tyler Alexander L 2019 · 5.56 FIP	27	SP-	5.56	21.7%	9.8%	5.6%	.289	5.27	15.7%	5.0%	26	-0.29	5.27	128	65
Juan Pablo Oramas L 2017 · 4.56 FIP	27	SP	4.56	15.4%	12.3%	2.2%	.363	3.60	21.2%	13.2%	140	-0.96	3.46	440	64

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.5	46	20.0%	13.6%	1.17	5.16
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57