Justice BigbieOF
Erie SeaWolves
Age 27
R/R
6'2" / 200 lbs
AA
HR +5%H +3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 0.4 · 2026
wRC+†96
AVG/OBP/SLG.246 / .305 / .358
PA250
HR5
K%20
BB%7
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
55→55
PWR
40→40
SPD
40→40
EYE
46↘45
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.5peak
2027
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.5M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.1 | $0.5M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $2M | $-4M | -$5M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | ROK | FCL Tigers West | 118 | 107 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 35 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .196 | .265 | .299 | .564 | .103 | .268 | 30 | 8 | .247 | 47 | -7 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +3 | -0.4 |
| 2022 | 23 | A | 2 teams | 406 | 368 | 81 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 136 | 14 | 4 | 3 | .220 | .291 | .310 | .601 | .090 | .342 | 33 | 6 | .265 | 61 | -18 | -0 | +0 | -2 | +12 | -0.9 |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | 4 teams | 568 | 524 | 163 | 26 | 1 | 19 | 33 | 116 | 6 | 8 | 4 | .311 | .359 | .473 | .832 | .162 | .365 | 20 | 6 | .360 | 133 | +21 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +16 | 3.5 |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | 558 | 507 | 107 | 22 | 2 | 4 | 41 | 122 | 5 | 8 | 5 | .211 | .277 | .286 | .563 | .075 | .267 | 22 | 7 | .253 | 52 | -30 | -0 | +0 | -3 | +16 | -1.9 |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | 452 | 413 | 109 | 13 | 0 | 10 | 33 | 85 | 2 | 1 | 2 | .264 | .321 | .368 | .689 | .104 | .307 | 19 | 7 | .303 | 90 | -5 | -1 | +0 | -3 | +13 | 0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | 71 | 67 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 2 | .343 | .371 | .358 | .730 | .015 | .426 | 20 | 4 | .324 | 106 | +0 | -0 | +0 | -0 | +2 | 0.2 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | DET | 179 | 164 | 43 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 36 | 1 | 2 | 2 | .262 | .316 | .354 | .670 | .091 | .318 | 20 | 7 | .306 | 92 | -2 | -0 | +0 | -1 | +5 | 0.2 |
| TOT | 27 | MLB | DET | 250 | 231 | 66 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 50 | 1 | 4 | 4 | .286 | .332 | .355 | .687 | .069 | .350 | 20 | 6 | .311 | 96 | -1 | -1 | +0 | -2 | +7 | 0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB 9% | DET | 333 | 304 | 81 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 60 | 2 | 3 | 3 | .266 | .324 | .372 | .696 | .105 | .308 | 18 | 7 | .310 | 95 | -2 | -1 | -1 | -2 | +9 | 0.4 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB 19% | DET | 352 | 322 | 84 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 66 | 2 | 3 | 2 | .261 | .318 | .370 | .688 | .109 | .306 | 19 | 7 | .309 | 95 | -2 | -0 | -1 | -2 | +10 | 0.4 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB 29% | DET | 363 | 331 | 86 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 70 | 2 | 2 | 2 | .260 | .319 | .369 | .688 | .109 | .305 | 19 | 7 | .307 | 93 | -3 | -0 | -2 | -2 | +10 | 0.3 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB 40% | DET | 358 | 327 | 84 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 71 | 2 | 1 | 2 | .257 | .315 | .364 | .679 | .107 | .304 | 20 | 7 | .304 | 90 | -4 | -1 | -3 | -2 | +10 | 0.1 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB 49% | DET | 345 | 315 | 80 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 70 | 2 | 0 | 1 | .254 | .313 | .356 | .668 | .102 | .303 | 20 | 7 | .299 | 87 | -5 | -0 | -4 | -2 | +10 | -0.1 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB 57% | DET | 318 | 290 | 72 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 66 | 2 | 0 | 1 | .248 | .308 | .341 | .649 | .093 | .302 | 21 | 7 | .294 | 83 | -6 | -0 | -4 | -2 | +9 | -0.4 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB 68% | DET | 277 | 253 | 62 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 60 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .245 | .305 | .336 | .641 | .091 | .301 | 22 | 7 | .288 | 79 | -7 | +0 | -5 | -2 | +8 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4627 | 4225 | 1073 | 169 | 15 | 82 | 321 | 993 | 43 | 32 | 27 | .254 | .313 | .359 | .672 | .105 | .312 | 21 | 7 | .299 | 87 | -69 | -4 | -20 | -28 | +131 | 1.0 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 594 | 151 | 24 | 2 | 12 | 45 | 139 | 6 | 4 | 4 | .254 | .313 | .362 | .675 | .108 | .311 | 21 | 7 | .299 | 87 | -10 | -1 | -3 | -4 | +18 | 0.1 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | ROK | FCL Tigers West | 118 | 99 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .253 | .368 | .374 | .741 | .121 | .315 | 21 | 14 | .337 | 116 | +2 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 0.6 |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | West Michigan Whitecaps | 34 | 31 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .387 | .441 | .613 | 1.054 | .226 | .458 | 18 | 6 | .461 | 211 | +4 | -0 | — | — | +1 | 0.5 |
| 2022 | 23 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 372 | 330 | 85 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 89 | 13 | 4 | 2 | .258 | .340 | .358 | .697 | .100 | .346 | 24 | 8 | .318 | 102 | +1 | +0 | — | — | +11 | 1.1 |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | 58 | 51 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .275 | .351 | .392 | .743 | .118 | .361 | 26 | 9 | .331 | 112 | +1 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 0.2 |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | 272 | 243 | 88 | 13 | 0 | 12 | 22 | 34 | 4 | 5 | 1 | .362 | .422 | .564 | .986 | .202 | .382 | 12 | 8 | .430 | 187 | +27 | +1 | — | — | +8 | 3.6 |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | West Michigan Whitecaps | 155 | 138 | 46 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 28 | 1 | 1 | 1 | .333 | .403 | .543 | .946 | .210 | .381 | 18 | 10 | .413 | 174 | +13 | -0 | — | — | +4 | 1.8 |
| 2023 | 24 | INTL | Salt River Rafters | 83 | 72 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 2 | .292 | .378 | .375 | .753 | .083 | .323 | 12 | 12 | .341 | 119 | +2 | -0 | — | — | +2 | 0.4 |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | 558 | 488 | 121 | 26 | 2 | 4 | 60 | 104 | 5 | 8 | 5 | .248 | .336 | .334 | .670 | .086 | .304 | 19 | 11 | .306 | 93 | -5 | -0 | — | — | +16 | 1.1 |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | 452 | 399 | 113 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 47 | 69 | 2 | 1 | 2 | .283 | .362 | .414 | .775 | .130 | .314 | 15 | 10 | .347 | 123 | +12 | -1 | — | — | +13 | 2.5 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Justice Bigbie (OGILVIE) | 27 | 55 | 40 | 40 | 45 | .246/.305/.358 | .111 | .296 | 5 | 2 | 20% | 7% | 87 | +0.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Albert Almora Jr. 2021 · MLB |
27 | 49→59 | 45 | 42→50 | 45 | .242/.285/.361 | .120 | .275 | 13 | 5 | 18% | 5% | 79 | +0.3 | .223/.271/.340 | .117 | .257 | 13 | 7 | 18% | 6% | 68 | -0.5 | .227/.275/.326 | .099 | .275 | 7 | 14 | 19% | 5% | 61 | -0.6 |
|
✕Mike Vento 2006 · AAA |
28 | 50→51 | 45 | 39→30 | 45 | .243/.300/.368 | .125 | .292 | 11 | 4 | 21% | 6% | 88 | +0.9 | .245/.298/.367 | .122 | .298 | 12 | 5 | 21% | 6% | 87 | +0.8 | .240/.284/.362 | .121 | .290 | 12 | 3 | 21% | 5% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Alex Hassan 2015 · AAA |
27 | 52→56 | 41→45 | 41→45 | 49 | .247/.318/.349 | .103 | .328 | 8 | 4 | 26% | 9% | 90 | +1.0 | .238/.295/.322 | .084 | .312 | 5 | 4 | 23% | 7% | 73 | -0.1 | .234/.291/.295 | .061 | .302 | 2 | 1 | 22% | 7% | 62 | -0.5 |
|
✕Jordan Parraz 2012 · AAA |
27 | 53→56 | 45→50 | 42→50 | 45 | .255/.316/.385 | .130 | .311 | 11 | 7 | 21% | 6% | 98 | +1.6 | .234/.293/.370 | .136 | .295 | 14 | 10 | 25% | 6% | 85 | +0.7 | .220/.283/.363 | .143 | .275 | 19 | 13 | 26% | 6% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Jantzen Witte 2017 · AAA |
27 | 52→53 | 42→45 | 43→45 | 45 | .247/.299/.360 | .112 | .299 | 7 | 6 | 20% | 6% | 84 | +0.6 | .236/.293/.339 | .103 | .304 | 8 | 7 | 24% | 7% | 76 | +0.1 | .244/.295/.369 | .125 | .315 | 14 | 6 | 26% | 6% | 82 | +0.4 |
|
✕Damek Tomscha 2019 · AAA |
27 | 50→57 | 45 | 45→40 | 45 | .249/.301/.368 | .119 | .286 | 13 | 4 | 18% | 5% | 89 | +0.9 | .221/.275/.344 | .123 | .281 | 14 | 4 | 26% | 5% | 71 | -0.3 | .193/.251/.312 | .119 | .258 | 14 | 2 | 30% | 5% | 49 | -1.0 |
|
✕Mike Eylward 2007 · AAA |
27 | 53→57 | 46→45 | 36→40 | 46 | .260/.311/.391 | .131 | .294 | 13 | 4 | 17% | 6% | 98 | +1.6 | .248/.302/.361 | .113 | .291 | 11 | 3 | 18% | 6% | 87 | +0.8 | .240/.299/.343 | .103 | .285 | 10 | 1 | 19% | 6% | 79 | +0.2 |
|
✕Brian Barden 2008 · MLB |
27 | 48→50 | 43→45 | 43→45 | 43 | .234/.285/.343 | .109 | .290 | 10 | 6 | 23% | 5% | 75 | -0.0 | .234/.285/.337 | .103 | .292 | 10 | 5 | 22% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .264/.311/.380 | .116 | .332 | 11 | 3 | 23% | 5% | 93 | +0.5 |
|
●Neil Sellers 2009 · AA |
27 | 49→58 | 45→50 | 39→40 | 44 | .241/.287/.367 | .126 | .281 | 12 | 4 | 19% | 5% | 82 | +0.5 | .245/.294/.376 | .131 | .286 | 14 | 4 | 19% | 6% | 87 | +0.8 | .236/.289/.360 | .124 | .276 | 12 | 2 | 19% | 6% | 79 | +0.2 |
|
✕David MacKinnon 2022 · AA |
27 | 47→50 | 45 | 43→30 | 49 | .231/.306/.363 | .133 | .298 | 12 | 5 | 26% | 9% | 89 | +1.0 | .234/.307/.383 | .149 | .297 | 15 | 5 | 25% | 9% | 95 | +1.4 | .228/.308/.387 | .160 | .282 | 16 | 3 | 24% | 10% | 96 | +1.0 |
|
✕Rangel Ravelo 2019 · AAA |
27 | 50→55 | 46→50 | 40→45 | 47 | .250/.309/.383 | .134 | .289 | 14 | 3 | 19% | 7% | 95 | +1.4 | .249/.314/.400 | .151 | .289 | 17 | 3 | 20% | 7% | 102 | +1.9 | .262/.342/.414 | .153 | .303 | 18 | 0 | 19% | 9% | 116 | +1.3 |
|
✕Ty Wright 2012 · AAA |
27 | 51→55 | 45 | 45 | 44 | .253/.293/.375 | .122 | .287 | 12 | 6 | 17% | 4% | 86 | +0.8 | .240/.285/.360 | .120 | .282 | 12 | 7 | 19% | 5% | 79 | +0.3 | .232/.279/.342 | .110 | .272 | 11 | 6 | 18% | 5% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Kyle Farmer 2018 · MLB |
27 | 51→54 | 43→50 | 41→45 | 43 | .246/.289/.362 | .116 | .293 | 9 | 4 | 19% | 5% | 81 | +0.4 | .236/.284/.360 | .124 | .288 | 12 | 6 | 22% | 5% | 79 | +0.3 | .249/.310/.388 | .139 | .288 | 17 | 3 | 19% | 5% | 94 | +1.1 |
|
✕Christian Colonel 2009 · AAA |
27 | 51→55 | 47→50 | 43→45 | 45 | .251/.293/.388 | .137 | .289 | 14 | 8 | 18% | 5% | 89 | +1.0 | .235/.289/.337 | .102 | .283 | 9 | 5 | 20% | 7% | 75 | -0.0 | .229/.291/.309 | .080 | .277 | 7 | 2 | 19% | 7% | 65 | -0.4 |
|
●Brian Hernandez 2016 · AA |
27 | 50→60 | 40→45 | 40 | 43 | .243/.284/.335 | .092 | .297 | 8 | 4 | 21% | 5% | 71 | -0.3 | .252/.292/.353 | .101 | .311 | 9 | 4 | 21% | 5% | 79 | +0.3 | .280/.319/.393 | .113 | .329 | 11 | 2 | 18% | 5% | 99 | +1.2 |
|
✕Jason Delaney 2010 · AAA |
27 | 53→56 | 43→45 | 44→40 | 49 | .253/.321/.368 | .115 | .324 | 9 | 4 | 24% | 9% | 96 | +1.5 | .221/.288/.329 | .108 | .299 | 9 | 6 | 27% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .171/.248/.265 | .095 | .238 | 8 | 2 | 30% | 9% | 37 | -1.0 |
|
✕Brian Buscher 2008 · MLB |
27 | 50→57 | 44→45 | 43→45 | 48 | .246/.299/.360 | .114 | .282 | 11 | 5 | 17% | 6% | 85 | +0.7 | .252/.316/.370 | .118 | .286 | 12 | 4 | 16% | 8% | 95 | +1.4 | .248/.319/.356 | .108 | .280 | 12 | 1 | 15% | 8% | 91 | +0.6 |
|
✕Brian Van Kirk 2013 · AA |
27 | 47→52 | 45 | 45 | 46 | .231/.294/.353 | .123 | .296 | 13 | 7 | 26% | 8% | 81 | +0.4 | .239/.312/.334 | .095 | .306 | 8 | 8 | 22% | 9% | 84 | +0.6 | .256/.353/.320 | .064 | .317 | 4 | 5 | 18% | 13% | 94 | +0.6 |
|
●Andy Ibáñez 2021 · AAA |
28 | 48→55 | 47→50 | 39→45 | 46 | .239/.293/.370 | .130 | .280 | 15 | 6 | 20% | 6% | 85 | +0.7 | .249/.301/.399 | .150 | .283 | 15 | 7 | 18% | 6% | 96 | +1.5 | .252/.306/.406 | .155 | .284 | 16 | 5 | 17% | 7% | 97 | +1.1 |
|
✕Scott Savastano 2013 · AAA |
27 | 48→58 | 43→45 | 44→45 | 44 | .236/.289/.354 | .118 | .296 | 10 | 6 | 23% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .218/.269/.319 | .101 | .285 | 9 | 9 | 26% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .197/.244/.272 | .075 | .255 | 7 | 10 | 25% | 5% | 39 | -0.9 |