Justice Bigbie — OGILVIE

Justice BigbieOF Erie SeaWolves

Age 27 R/R 6'2" / 200 lbs AA HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION489 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†103

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .300 / .222

PA10

HR0

K%20

BB%10

BABIP330

ISO101

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$7M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1.0M	+$0.3M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$1M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	22	ROK	FCL Tigers West	—	118	99	25	4	1	2	17	25	1	0	0	253	368	374	741	121	315	21	14	337	114	+2	+0	—	—	+3	0.5
2022	23	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	34	31	12	4	0	1	2	6	1	0	1	387	441	613	1.054	226	458	18	6	461	198	+4	-0	—	—	+1	0.4
2022	23	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	372	330	85	17	5	2	28	89	13	4	2	258	340	358	697	100	346	24	8	318	101	+1	+0	—	—	+8	0.9
2023	24	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	58	51	14	3	0	1	5	15	1	0	0	275	351	392	743	118	361	26	9	331	110	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2023	24	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	272	243	88	13	0	12	22	34	4	5	1	362	422	564	986	202	382	12	8	430	177	+25	+1	—	—	+6	3.2
2023	24	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	155	138	46	9	1	6	15	28	1	1	1	333	403	543	946	210	381	18	10	413	166	+12	-0	—	—	+3	1.6
2023	24	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	83	72	21	3	0	1	10	10	0	2	2	292	378	375	753	83	323	12	12	341	117	+2	-0	—	—	+2	0.3
2024	25	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	558	488	121	26	2	4	60	104	5	8	5	248	336	334	670	86	304	19	11	306	94	-4	-0	—	—	+12	0.8
2025	26	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	452	399	113	16	0	12	47	69	2	1	2	283	362	414	775	130	314	15	10	347	121	+11	-1	—	—	+10	2.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	22	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers West	—	118	107	21	3	1	2	9	36	1	0	0	196	265	299	564	103	262	31	8	245	52	-7	+0	—	—	+3	-0.4
2022	23	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	34	32	11	4	0	1	1	8	1	0	1	344	382	562	945	219	415	24	3	378	142	+2	-0	—	—	+1	0.2
2022	23	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	372	337	69	15	3	1	21	129	13	4	2	205	278	276	554	71	326	35	6	253	57	-19	+0	—	—	+8	-1.1
2023	24	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	58	53	13	2	0	1	3	18	1	0	0	245	298	340	638	94	325	31	5	274	72	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2023	24	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	272	252	84	13	0	9	14	44	4	5	1	333	378	492	870	159	367	16	5	372	138	+12	+1	—	—	+6	1.9
2023	24	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	155	143	39	7	1	5	10	38	1	1	1	273	325	441	765	168	337	25	6	339	116	+3	-0	—	—	+3	0.6
2024	25	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	558	507	107	22	2	4	41	122	5	8	5	211	277	286	563	75	263	22	7	251	56	-29	-0	—	—	+12	-1.8
2025	26	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	452	414	106	13	0	9	32	81	2	1	2	256	312	353	665	97	293	18	7	295	86	-8	-1	—	—	+10	0.2
2021	22	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers West	—	118	107	21	3	1	2	9	36	1	0	0	196	265	299	564	103	271	31	8	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	ROK RAW	FCL Tigers West	—	118	99	25	4	1	2	17	25	1	0	0	253	368	374	741	121	315	21	14	337	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	406	368	80	19	3	2	23	137	14	4	3	217	289	302	591	84	339	34	6	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A RAW	2 teams	—	406	361	97	21	5	3	30	95	14	4	3	269	348	380	728	111	356	23	7	330	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	4 teams	—	568	524	160	26	1	18	33	117	6	8	4	305	353	462	815	156	360	21	6	350	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA RAW	4 teams	—	568	504	169	28	1	20	52	87	6	8	4	335	403	514	917	179	371	15	9	402	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	558	507	107	22	2	4	41	122	5	8	5	211	277	286	563	75	267	22	7	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA RAW	Toledo Mud Hens	—	558	488	121	26	2	4	60	104	5	8	5	248	336	334	670	86	304	19	11	306	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	452	414	106	13	0	9	32	81	2	1	2	256	312	353	665	97	296	18	7	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA RAW	Erie SeaWolves	—	452	399	113	16	0	12	47	69	2	1	2	283	362	414	775	130	314	15	10	347	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers West	—	118	107	21	3	1	2	9	36	1	0	0	196	265	299	564	103	262	31	8	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	406	366	80	19	3	2	23	137	14	4	3	219	289	303	592	85	333	34	6	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	4 teams	—	568	524	160	26	1	18	33	117	6	8	4	305	353	462	815	156	352	21	6	350	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	558	507	107	22	2	4	41	122	5	8	5	211	277	286	563	75	263	22	7	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	452	415	106	13	0	9	32	81	2	1	2	255	312	352	664	96	293	18	7	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	24	AA MLE	4 teams	—	568	524	160	26	1	18	33	117	6	8	4	305	353	462	815	156	352	21	6	350	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	558	507	107	22	2	4	41	122	5	8	5	211	277	286	563	75	263	22	7	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	452	415	106	13	0	9	32	81	2	1	2	255	312	352	664	96	293	18	7	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	27	AA MLE	DET	—	489	444	131	20	1	6	34	88	7	9	4	295	355	385	740	90	354	18	7	326	107	+4	+0	+0	-3	+11	1.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	AA RAW	DET	—	378	329	109	18	1	7	39	60	7	8	3	331	413	456	869	125	385	16	10	388	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	27	AAA RAW	DET	—	111	99	26	4	0	1	11	12	0	1	1	263	336	333	670	71	291	11	10	305	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	27	AA MLE	DET	2%	10	9	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	222	300	222	522		335	20	10	321	103	+0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
TOT	27	AA MLE	DET	—	499	453	133	20	1	6	35	90	7	9	4	294	354	382	735	88	353	18	7	326	107	+4	+0	+0	-3	+11	1.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	DET	33%	506	459	126	20	1	8	37	98	5	6	3	275	335	375	710	100	330	19	7	320	103	+2	+0	-1	-3	+11	0.9
2028	29	MLB MLE	DET	46%	527	477	129	21	1	9	39	104	6	6	3	270	333	375	709	105	325	20	7	317	101	+1	+0	-1	-3	+11	0.8
2029	30	MLB MLE	DET	54%	536	485	129	21	1	9	40	108	6	5	2	266	330	369	699	103	321	20	7	314	98	-1	+0	-2	-3	+12	0.6
2030	31	MLB MLE	DET	58%	537	486	127	21	1	9	40	110	6	5	2	261	325	364	689	103	316	20	7	308	95	-3	+0	-3	-3	+12	0.3
2031	32	MLB MLE	DET	61%	534	484	124	20	1	8	40	111	5	4	2	256	319	351	671	95	313	21	7	303	91	-6	+0	-4	-3	+12	-0.1
2027	28	MLB CTX	DET	33%	169	153	42	7	0	3	12	33	2	2	1	275	335	379	714	105	325	20	7	307	103	+1	+0	-0	-1	+4	0.3
2028	29	MLB CTX	DET	46%	244	221	59	9	1	4	18	48	3	3	1	267	331	371	702	104	320	20	7	304	101	+0	+0	-1	-1	+5	0.4
2029	30	MLB CTX	DET	54%	288	261	69	11	1	5	22	58	3	3	1	264	329	372	700	107	316	20	8	301	98	-1	+0	-1	-2	+6	0.3
2030	31	MLB CTX	DET	58%	312	283	73	12	1	5	23	64	3	3	1	258	320	360	681	102	311	21	7	296	95	-2	+0	-2	-2	+7	0.2
2031	32	MLB CTX	DET	61%	324	294	75	12	1	5	24	68	3	2	1	255	318	354	671	99	308	21	7	291	91	-3	+0	-2	-2	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1337	1212	318	51	4	22	99	271	14	13	5	262	325	366	691	103	320	20	7	299	91	-5	+1	-6	-8	+29	1.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	589	155	25	2	11	48	132	7	6	2	263	326	368	694	105	321	20	7	299	91	-3	+0	-3	-4	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	4752	4320	1111	186	12	78	335	1026	56	47	26	257	319	360	679	103	318	22	7	302	91	-8	+0	-10	-16	+57	2.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	591	152	25	2	11	46	140	8	6	4	257	319	362	681	105	318	22	7	302	91	-2	+0	-3	-4	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rob Mackowiaklast yr '08 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,618 PA	3.9	2,618	64	49	259	332	405	-11	-3	8.7	8.9
/162	664	16	12	-2.7	-0.8	2.2	pk7: 9
#2Casey McGeheelast yr '16 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,061 PA	4.6	3,061	67	7	258	318	386	+3	+7	8.3	8.3
/162	664	15	2	+0.7	+1.4	1.8	pk7: 8
#3Alejandro De Azalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,819 PA	4.2	2,819	51	89	259	325	396	-6	-12	7.0	7.2
/162	664	12	21	-1.4	-2.8	1.7	pk7: 7
#4Chris Denorfialast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,339 PA	3.5	2,339	40	55	272	330	392	-20	+2	6.0	6.4
/162	664	11	16	-5.5	+0.5	1.7	pk7: 7
#5Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	2.0	1,343	22	12	265	324	366	-8	+0	2.2	2.2
/162	664	11	6	-4.0	+0.0	1.1	pk7: 2
#6Raimel Tapialast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,959 PA	3.0	1,959	28	60	275	319	389	-21	-13	2.1	2.1
/162	664	9	20	-7.1	-4.4	0.7	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Justice Bigbie (OGILVIE)	27	55	40	40	45	277/336/372	95	335	4	4	19%	7%	103	+0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jordan Parraz 2012 · AAA	27	52→56	44→45	43→50	45	252/312/375	123	310	10	7	21%	6%	95	+1.0	229/290/357	128	290	13	10	25%	6%	83	+0.1	215/278/343	129	269	16	13	26%	6%	73	-0.3
✕Eddy Martinez-Esteve 2010 · AA	27	55→60	40→45	42→40	50	262/317/359	97	300	7	4	15%	7%	93	+0.8	250/307/364	114	304	10	5	20%	7%	91	+0.6	258/316/374	116	310	13	0	20%	7%	92	+0.3
✕Jantzen Witte 2017 · AAA	27	52→54	41→45	43→45	46	248/300/355	107	298	6	6	19%	6%	85	+0.2	233/290/331	98	302	7	7	24%	7%	76	-0.4	244/294/361	116	313	12	6	25%	6%	82	+0.0
✕Alex Hassan 2015 · AAA	27	53→56	40→45	41→45	48	247/317/344	97	333	7	4	26%	9%	89	+0.5	234/293/313	79	308	4	4	24%	7%	73	-0.6	232/289/290	58	300	2	1	22%	7%	65	-0.7
●Alejandro Ahumada 2006 · AAA	27	48→58	42→40	41→55	49	232/296/342	109	276	9	9	19%	7%	81	-0.1	281/323/371	90	327	6	18	15%	5%	97	+1.1	302/340/382	80	351	4	22	15%	4%	102	+0.8
✕Jason Delaney 2010 · AAA	27	52→55	42→45	44→40	50	249/316/359	110	316	8	4	23%	8%	93	+0.8	220/286/325	105	294	8	6	26%	8%	74	-0.6	173/252/260	87	238	7	2	28%	9%	45	-1.0
✕Vasili Spanos 2008 · AA	27	52→58	44→45	45→40	43	253/312/376	123	305	11	4	21%	5%	95	+1.0	237/298/365	128	293	11	6	22%	6%	88	+0.4	230/303/366	136	286	11	1	22%	6%	88	+0.2
✕Kyle Farmer 2018 · MLB	27	52→55	43→50	40→45	44	252/295/368	116	295	9	4	18%	5%	86	+0.3	236/285/360	124	290	12	6	22%	5%	81	-0.1	251/312/389	138	292	16	3	19%	5%	96	+0.9
✕Edgar Gonzalez 2006 · AAA	28	51→58	43→45	41→50	45	245/301/366	121	312	9	7	24%	7%	88	+0.5	261/317/383	122	322	11	10	21%	7%	98	+1.2	267/325/386	119	324	11	9	20%	7%	99	+1.0
●Alec Bohm 2023 · MLB	26	54→56	43→50	44→45	45	264/312/376	112	319	11	5	21%	6%	95	+0.9	270/321/412	142	305	15	5	16%	6%	107	+1.8	271/324/416	145	301	15	4	15%	6%	106	+1.7
✕Ray Chang 2011 · AA	27	53→55	41→40	40	50	255/319/359	104	293	7	3	15%	7%	94	+0.9	236/285/312	76	280	5	4	17%	5%	70	-0.9	250/298/315	65	302	2	1	17%	6%	73	-0.3
✕Brian Hernandez 2015 · AA	26	54→61	40→45	40	43	257/300/347	90	316	7	5	21%	5%	83	+0.1	248/288/340	92	307	8	4	21%	5%	77	-0.3	276/316/379	103	327	9	2	18%	5%	94	+0.7
✕David Bacani 2006 · AAA	27	51→45	42→45	41→50	46	244/307/356	112	303	8	8	22%	7%	89	+0.5	225/301/324	99	269	8	10	18%	7%	80	-0.1	209/294/287	78	248	5	10	17%	7%	69	-0.8
✕Guillermo Heredia 2018 · MLB	27	54→58	40→45	37→45	51	257/328/349	92	293	8	5	15%	7%	95	+1.0	236/312/352	116	281	11	7	19%	8%	91	+0.6	223/309/343	120	276	10	3	21%	9%	85	+0.1
✕Jorge Padilla 2007 · AAA	27	54→63	40→45	43→50	44	259/304/350	91	317	7	8	20%	5%	86	+0.3	281/332/383	102	327	9	15	16%	6%	104	+1.6	300/353/397	97	342	9	18	14%	6%	112	+1.6
✕Damek Tomscha 2019 · AAA	27	50→57	44→45	45→40	45	248/300/362	113	286	12	4	18%	5%	88	+0.4	215/270/328	113	278	12	4	26%	5%	69	-0.9	191/248/297	107	258	11	2	30%	5%	51	-1.3
✕Grant Green 2015 · MLB	27	54→58	44→45	43→45	41	264/301/388	123	322	10	8	21%	4%	93	+0.8	252/282/357	105	320	8	5	23%	4%	79	-0.2	248/277/340	92	318	6	2	23%	4%	70	-0.6
✕Brian Barden 2008 · MLB	27	48→50	42→45	42→45	43	232/285/336	104	287	10	5	22%	6%	76	-0.4	235/287/339	104	294	10	5	23%	6%	77	-0.3	265/312/381	117	333	11	3	23%	5%	94	+0.4
✕Christian Colonel 2010 · AAA	28	50→55	43→50	41→45	46	246/293/360	114	284	11	6	18%	6%	84	+0.1	222/290/315	93	282	8	6	22%	8%	73	-0.6	217/291/291	75	278	4	2	22%	9%	65	-0.5
✕Garrett Weber 2016 · AAA	27	53→57	42→45	44→40	42	256/303/366	110	325	9	4	24%	5%	89	+0.5	232/286/322	90	307	8	5	25%	6%	73	-0.6	212/270/257	45	288	3	0	26%	6%	49	-1.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps