Justice Bigbie — OGILVIE

Justice BigbieOF Erie SeaWolves

Age 27 R/R 6'2" / 200 lbs AA HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION328 act + 218 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†104

AVG/OBP/SLG.273 / .337 / .384

PA218

HR4

K%21

BB%7

BABIP336

ISO111

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.0	$6M	+$6M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2032	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$9M	+$8M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	ROK	FCL Tigers West	—	118	107	22	3	1	2	9	35	1	0	0	206	274	308	582	103	282	30	8	249	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	ROK	FCL Tigers West	—	118	99	25	4	1	2	17	25	1	0	0	253	368	374	741	121	315	21	14	337	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A	2 teams	—	406	368	78	19	3	2	23	140	14	4	3	212	284	296	580	84	335	34	6	262	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A	2 teams	—	406	361	97	21	5	3	30	95	14	4	3	269	348	380	728	111	356	23	7	330	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	4 teams	—	568	525	162	27	1	20	32	123	6	8	4	309	355	478	833	170	367	22	6	358	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	4 teams	—	568	504	169	28	1	20	52	87	6	8	4	335	403	514	917	179	371	15	9	402	166	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	558	508	101	21	2	6	40	119	5	8	5	199	264	283	547	85	245	21	7	245	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	558	488	121	26	2	4	60	104	5	8	5	248	336	334	670	86	304	19	11	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	452	414	107	12	0	10	32	83	2	1	2	258	315	360	675	101	298	18	7	299	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	452	399	113	16	0	12	47	69	2	1	2	283	362	414	775	130	314	15	10	347	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	27	AA	DET	—	328	294	85	13	1	5	25	71	7	6	3	289	359	391	750	102	364	22	8	328	109	+3	+0	+0	-2	+9	1.1
YTD	27	AA	DET	—	328	283	89	15	1	5	36	55	7	6	3	314	405	428	832	113	373	17	11	375	145	+17	+0	+0	-2	+9	2.5
ROS	27	AA	DET	2%	218	197	54	8	1	4	16	46	3	3	2	273	337	384	721	111	333	21	7	321	104	+1	-0	+0	-1	+6	0.6
ROS	27	MLB	DET	2%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	250	250	250	500		327	25	0	305	92	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
FULL	27	AA	DET	—	332	298	86	13	1	5	25	72	7	6	3	289	358	389	747	101	363	22	8	328	109	+3	+0	+0	-2	+9	1.1
TOT	27	AA	DET	—	546	491	139	21	2	9	41	117	10	9	5	283	350	388	739	106	353	21	7	325	107	+4	-0	+0	-3	+15	1.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	DET	33%	528	476	128	21	1	10	40	113	7	6	3	269	335	380	715	111	328	21	8	318	102	+1	+0	-1	-3	+15	1.2
2028	29	MLB	DET	46%	550	496	131	22	1	10	42	119	7	5	3	264	330	373	703	109	325	22	8	317	101	+0	-0	-1	-3	+16	1.1
2029	30	MLB	DET	54%	559	504	131	22	1	10	43	123	7	5	3	260	327	367	694	107	322	22	8	314	99	-1	-0	-2	-3	+16	1.0
2030	31	MLB	DET	58%	561	506	129	21	1	10	43	125	7	4	2	255	322	360	682	105	320	22	8	310	96	-3	+0	-3	-3	+16	0.7
2031	32	MLB	DET	61%	558	504	128	21	1	10	43	126	6	4	2	254	320	359	679	105	316	23	8	305	92	-5	+0	-4	-3	+16	0.4
2032	33	MLB	DET	62%	486	440	109	17	1	8	37	113	6	2	1	248	315	345	660	98	313	23	8	298	86	-8	+0	-4	-3	+14	-0.1
2027	28	MLB	DET	33%	176	159	42	7	0	3	13	38	2	2	1	264	328	365	692	101	323	22	7	304	91	-2	+0	-0	-1	+5	0.2
2028	29	MLB	DET	46%	254	230	61	10	1	5	19	55	3	3	1	265	329	383	712	117	320	22	7	303	90	-3	+0	-1	-2	+7	0.2
2029	30	MLB	DET	54%	301	271	69	11	1	5	23	66	4	3	1	255	322	358	680	103	317	22	8	300	88	-4	+0	-1	-2	+9	0.2
2030	31	MLB	DET	58%	326	294	75	12	1	6	25	73	4	3	1	255	322	364	686	109	314	22	8	297	85	-5	+0	-2	-2	+9	0.0
2031	32	MLB	DET	61%	339	306	77	12	1	6	26	77	4	2	1	252	318	356	675	105	311	23	8	292	81	-7	+0	-2	-2	+10	-0.2
2032	33	MLB	DET	62%	302	273	67	10	1	5	23	70	3	2	1	245	311	344	655	99	308	23	8	285	76	-8	+0	-3	-2	+9	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1702	1537	392	62	5	30	129	380	20	15	6	255	321	360	681	105	318	22	8	296	85	-29	+1	-8	-10	+48	0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	150	24	2	11	49	145	8	6	2	256	321	359	681	104	320	22	8	296	85	-11	+0	-3	-4	+18	0.0
Career	—			—	5562	5045	1280	214	14	102	400	1265	71	50	30	254	317	362	680	109	317	23	7	303	90	-60	-2	-15	-33	+158	4.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	150	25	2	12	47	148	8	6	4	254	318	364	682	110	318	23	7	303	90	-7	-0	-2	-4	+18	0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	ROK	FCL Tigers West	—	118	99	25	4	1	2	17	25	1	0	0	253	368	374	741	121	315	21	14	337	116	+2	+0	—	—	+3	0.6
2022	23	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	34	31	12	4	0	1	2	6	1	0	1	387	441	613	1.054	226	458	18	6	461	211	+4	-0	—	—	+1	0.5
2022	23	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	372	330	85	17	5	2	28	89	13	4	2	258	340	358	697	100	346	24	8	318	102	+1	+0	—	—	+11	1.1
2023	24	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	58	51	14	3	0	1	5	15	1	0	0	275	351	392	743	118	361	26	9	331	112	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2023	24	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	272	243	88	13	0	12	22	34	4	5	1	362	422	564	986	202	382	12	8	430	187	+27	+1	—	—	+8	3.6
2023	24	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	155	138	46	9	1	6	15	28	1	1	1	333	403	543	946	210	381	18	10	413	174	+13	-0	—	—	+4	1.8
2023	24	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	83	72	21	3	0	1	10	10	0	2	2	292	378	375	753	83	323	12	12	341	119	+2	-0	—	—	+2	0.4
2024	25	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	558	488	121	26	2	4	60	104	5	8	5	248	336	334	670	86	304	19	11	306	93	-5	-0	—	—	+16	1.1
2025	26	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	452	399	113	16	0	12	47	69	2	1	2	283	362	414	775	130	314	15	10	347	123	+12	-1	—	—	+13	2.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Terrence Longlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 3,282 PA	6	3,282	69	27	270	319	407	-26	-7	6.9	6.9
	/162	664	14	5	270	319	407	-5.2	-1.4	1.4	pk7: 7
#2Emil Brownlast yr '08 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,335 PA	6	2,335	57	47	263	326	406	-24	-8	5.3	5.3
#2Emil Brownlast yr '08 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,335 PA	/162	664	16	13	263	326	406	-6.7	-2.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#3Eric Karroslast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,197 PA	5	2,197	73	13	255	317	418	-19	-17	3.9	3.9
	/162	664	22	4	255	317	418	-5.7	-5.2	1.2	pk7: 4
#4Shane Spencerlast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,568 PA	5	1,568	41	13	261	325	410	-12	-6	3.6	3.6
	/162	664	17	6	261	325	410	-5.3	-2.7	1.5	pk7: 4
#5Chris Singletonlast yr '05 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,909 PA	5	1,909	28	61	265	308	392	-9	-3	3.3	3.3
	/162	664	10	21	265	308	392	-3.0	-1.2	1.2	pk7: 3
#6Jose Offermanlast yr '05 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,767 PA	5	1,767	27	15	253	342	362	-14	-2	3.2	3.2
	/162	664	10	6	253	342	362	-5.4	-0.7	1.2	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,704	30	13	259	321	365	-10	+0	2.2	2.2
	/162	664	12	5	259	321	365	-4.0	+0.0	0.9	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Justice Bigbie (OGILVIE)	27	55	40	40	45	283/350/388	106	353	9	9	21%	7%	107	+1.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brian Buscher 2008 · MLB	27	50→57	44→45	43→45	48	247/299/366	119	279	12	5	17%	6%	86	+0.8	249/314/366	117	283	12	4	16%	8%	93	+1.3	246/317/353	107	278	11	1	15%	8%	90	+0.5
●Alec Bohm 2023 · MLB	26	54→56	44→50	44→45	45	264/312/377	114	317	12	5	21%	6%	95	+1.4	269/320/413	144	303	15	5	16%	6%	108	+2.3	270/324/418	148	300	16	4	15%	6%	108	+2.2
✕Jordy Mercer 2014 · MLB	27	52→59	47→50	43→45	46	257/309/399	141	302	13	8	19%	6%	99	+1.7	253/307/373	120	293	11	5	17%	7%	92	+1.2	254/324/387	133	291	12	1	16%	8%	90	+0.9
✕Jordan Parraz 2012 · AAA	27	53→58	45→50	43→50	44	257/316/388	131	317	11	7	22%	6%	100	+1.7	234/293/380	146	295	16	10	26%	6%	89	+0.9	220/283/377	156	272	21	13	27%	6%	79	+0.1
✕Grant Green 2015 · MLB	27	55→61	44→45	43→45	41	266/301/389	123	324	11	8	22%	4%	93	+1.3	253/282/358	105	323	8	5	23%	4%	76	+0.1	250/279/343	93	323	6	2	24%	4%	68	-0.3
✕Eddy Martinez-Esteve 2010 · AA	27	55→60	41→45	42→40	50	262/317/364	102	301	8	4	16%	7%	92	+1.2	247/303/359	112	303	10	5	21%	7%	86	+0.8	250/304/356	106	303	12	0	21%	6%	81	+0.2
●Jose Castillo 2008 · MLB	27	51→61	45→50	42→50	45	251/293/377	126	290	12	5	18%	5%	86	+0.8	244/292/372	128	290	10	6	19%	6%	85	+0.7	292/319/438	146	306	19	13	12%	3%	112	+1.7
✕Alex Hassan 2015 · AAA	27	54→58	40→45	41→45	47	251/317/350	99	341	7	4	27%	8%	90	+1.0	237/292/319	82	312	5	4	24%	7%	71	-0.3	236/290/299	63	305	2	1	22%	6%	63	-0.5
✕Jason Delaney 2010 · AAA	27	52→55	43→45	44→40	49	248/314/362	114	317	9	4	24%	8%	92	+1.2	219/285/329	110	294	9	6	27%	8%	71	-0.3	173/249/271	97	238	8	2	29%	8%	39	-0.9
✕Albert Almora Jr. 2021 · MLB	27	48→58	45	44→50	45	240/285/359	119	274	13	6	18%	6%	79	+0.3	223/272/339	116	259	12	7	19%	6%	68	-0.5	223/271/321	99	270	7	14	20%	6%	59	-0.8
●Alejandro Ahumada 2006 · AAA	27	48→58	43→40	41→55	48	233/295/348	115	275	10	9	19%	7%	80	+0.4	282/323/377	95	327	7	18	15%	5%	98	+1.6	304/341/389	85	352	5	22	15%	4%	104	+1.1
✕Damek Tomscha 2019 · AAA	27	51→57	45	45→40	45	251/304/367	116	291	13	4	19%	5%	89	+1.0	214/269/330	116	279	13	4	27%	5%	65	-0.7	187/245/298	111	255	12	2	31%	5%	44	-1.3
●Brian Hernandez 2016 · AA	27	51→61	41→45	40	43	249/288/345	96	301	9	4	20%	5%	76	+0.0	260/299/367	107	319	10	4	21%	5%	86	+0.8	290/328/409	119	340	12	2	18%	5%	107	+1.6
✕Kyle Farmer 2018 · MLB	27	52→55	43→50	40→45	44	252/296/370	118	298	10	4	19%	5%	85	+0.7	235/283/358	123	290	12	6	23%	5%	78	+0.2	250/311/389	139	290	16	3	19%	5%	96	+1.2
●Chris Johnson 2012 · MLB	27	51→61	48→50	45	39	253/293/397	144	319	14	5	26%	4%	92	+1.2	277/318/418	141	353	14	5	24%	5%	108	+2.3	284/322/414	130	361	13	4	24%	5%	104	+1.9
✕Brian Barden 2008 · MLB	27	48→50	42→45	42→45	43	232/284/336	104	287	10	5	22%	6%	72	-0.2	236/287/340	104	295	10	5	22%	6%	75	-0.0	266/315/383	117	334	11	3	23%	6%	95	+0.6
✕David MacKinnon 2022 · AA	27	49→50	45	43→30	49	235/309/363	128	303	11	5	25%	9%	91	+1.1	232/305/375	143	295	14	6	25%	9%	92	+1.2	224/305/376	152	278	15	3	24%	10%	92	+0.8
✕Christian Colonel 2009 · AAA	27	51→55	47→50	43→45	45	255/295/394	139	293	14	8	18%	5%	92	+1.2	232/289/331	99	282	9	5	20%	7%	73	-0.1	228/290/308	80	275	7	2	19%	7%	65	-0.4
✕Mike Eylward 2007 · AAA	27	54→58	46→45	35→40	46	265/314/396	131	299	13	4	17%	6%	101	+1.8	246/301/359	113	291	11	3	19%	6%	85	+0.7	239/298/343	103	284	10	1	19%	6%	78	+0.2
✕Chris Nelson 2013 · MLB	27	49→52	45→50	46→50	43	243/289/369	125	298	12	7	22%	6%	82	+0.5	234/284/344	110	297	10	6	24%	6%	74	-0.1	225/277/323	98	284	9	5	23%	6%	63	-0.5