Victor Acosta

SS Dayton Dragons

Age 23 S/R 5'9" / 170 lbs A+ HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

Overview

A+PROSPECTFG #790MiLBFA 2034

ETA2029FG ETA2027MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	21	A+CIN	391	.225/.340/.280	1	13	57	—	.211/.306/.262
2026	22	A+CIN	166	.257/.352/.443	4	5	89	—	.236/.321/.389
2027PROJ0% MLB	23	MLBCIN	1	.200/.282/.285	0	0	63	-0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB	24	MLBCIN	72	.207/.288/.307	1	1	69	-0.0
2029PROJ44% MLB	25	MLBCIN	142	.211/.292/.320	2	3	74	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$2M2032Arb-2$2M2033Arb-3$2M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Speed91

K%76

Z-Con%67

ISO66

wOBA59

wRC+55

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 92%

CompsGreg Miclat (age 23) · Arquímedes Gamboa (age 23) · Gabriel Maciel (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .282 / .285

PA1

HR0

K%25

BB%6

BABIP262

ISO96

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

DEFENSE55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2031	Arb-1	$2M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Arb-2	$2M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-3	$2M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$0.8M		$2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	17	ROK	DSL Padres	—	240	186	53	12	5	5	38	45	12	26	7	285	436	484	920	199	345	19	16	405	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	ACL Reds	—	165	139	33	7	2	2	21	37	3	5	7	237	350	360	709	122	307	22	13	322	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	411	347	87	20	5	2	41	85	21	12	2	251	364	354	719	104	327	21	10	332	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	404	345	64	13	5	4	44	105	12	14	6	186	299	287	586	101	253	26	11	274	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	391	325	73	11	2	1	38	73	19	13	4	225	340	280	620	55	285	19	10	290	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	166	140	36	6	4	4	11	32	10	5	2	257	352	443	795	186	302	19	7	346	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres	—	240	200	36	8	3	2	24	56	12	26	7	180	305	280	585	100	224	23	10	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	165	147	26	5	1	2	13	53	3	5	7	177	258	265	523	88	248	32	8	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	411	359	74	15	4	2	29	115	21	12	2	206	303	287	590	81	292	28	7	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	404	355	56	11	4	2	34	133	12	14	6	158	254	228	483	70	240	33	8	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	391	336	71	10	2	1	27	93	19	13	4	211	306	262	568	51	273	24	7	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	166	144	34	5	4	3	8	41	10	5	2	236	321	389	710	153	284	25	5	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres	—	240	200	36	8	3	2	24	56	12	26	7	180	305	280	585	100	234	23	10	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL Padres	—	240	186	53	12	5	5	38	45	12	26	7	285	436	484	920	199	345	19	16	405	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	165	147	26	5	1	2	13	53	3	5	7	177	258	265	523	88	258	32	8	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	ACL Reds	—	165	139	33	7	2	2	21	37	3	5	7	237	350	360	709	122	307	22	13	322	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	411	359	74	15	4	2	29	115	21	12	2	206	303	287	590	81	298	28	7	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A RAW	Daytona Tortugas	—	411	347	87	20	5	2	41	85	21	12	2	251	364	354	719	104	327	21	10	332	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	404	355	56	11	4	2	34	133	12	14	6	158	254	228	483	70	244	33	8	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ RAW	Dayton Dragons	—	404	345	64	13	5	4	44	105	12	14	6	186	299	287	586	101	253	26	11	274	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	391	336	71	10	2	1	27	93	19	13	4	211	306	262	568	51	287	24	7	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ RAW	Dayton Dragons	—	391	325	73	11	2	1	38	73	19	13	4	225	340	280	620	55	285	19	10	290	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	166	144	34	5	4	3	8	41	10	5	2	236	321	389	710	153	304	25	5	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ RAW	Dayton Dragons	—	166	140	36	6	4	4	11	32	10	5	2	257	352	443	795	186	302	19	7	346	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres	—	240	202	36	8	3	2	24	56	12	26	7	178	305	277	582	99	224	23	10	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	165	148	26	5	1	2	13	53	3	5	7	176	258	264	521	88	248	32	8	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	411	358	74	15	4	2	29	115	21	12	2	207	303	288	591	81	292	28	7	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	404	355	56	11	4	2	34	133	12	14	6	158	254	228	483	70	240	33	8	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	391	342	71	10	2	1	27	93	19	13	4	208	306	257	564	50	273	24	7	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	166	147	34	5	4	3	8	41	10	5	2	231	321	381	702	150	284	25	5	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	20	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	404	355	56	11	4	2	34	133	12	14	6	158	254	228	483	70	240	33	8	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	391	342	71	10	2	1	27	93	19	13	4	208	306	257	564	50	273	24	7	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	166	147	34	5	4	3	8	41	10	5	2	231	321	381	702	150	284	25	5	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	CIN	0%	332	295	59	10	3	3	22	81	12	7	2	199	281	282	563	83	262	24	7	261	63	-15	+1	+1	+4	+7	0.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	23	MLB CTX	CIN	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	200	282	285	567	85	262	0	0	262	63	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	CIN	30%	237	211	43	7	2	3	16	57	8	5	2	205	287	302	589	97	264	24	7	271	69	-9	+0	+1	+3	+5	0.0
2029	25	MLB MLE	CIN	44%	320	285	60	10	3	5	22	76	10	7	2	209	291	315	606	106	266	24	7	277	74	-10	+1	+2	+3	+7	0.3
2030	26	MLB MLE	CIN	51%	375	333	70	12	3	6	27	89	12	7	3	212	293	323	616	111	267	24	7	281	76	-11	+0	+2	+4	+8	0.4
2031	27	MLB MLE	CIN	52%	403	359	76	13	3	7	29	96	12	8	3	212	294	325	618	112	268	24	7	282	77	-11	+0	+2	+4	+9	0.4
2032	28	MLB MLE	CIN	53%	418	373	79	14	3	7	30	100	12	6	3	212	293	325	618	112	268	24	7	281	76	-12	+0	+1	+4	+9	0.3
2033	29	MLB MLE	CIN	53%	420	375	79	14	3	7	30	102	12	5	2	210	290	319	609	109	267	24	7	278	74	-13	+0	+1	+4	+9	0.2
2034	30	MLB MLE	CIN	56%	418	373	76	13	3	6	30	103	12	3	2	207	287	311	598	104	266	25	7	273	71	-14	-0	-0	+4	+9	-0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	CIN	30%	72	65	13	2	1	1	5	17	2	1	1	207	288	307	595	100	265	24	7	273	69	-3	-0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	CIN	44%	142	126	26	4	1	2	10	34	5	3	1	211	292	320	613	110	267	24	7	280	74	-4	+0	+1	+2	+3	0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	CIN	51%	190	169	36	6	2	3	13	45	6	4	1	213	295	329	623	115	268	24	7	284	76	-5	+0	+1	+2	+4	0.2
2031	27	MLB CTX	CIN	52%	211	188	41	7	2	4	15	50	6	4	1	214	295	331	626	117	269	24	7	284	77	-6	+0	+1	+2	+5	0.2
2032	28	MLB CTX	CIN	53%	223	199	42	7	2	4	16	54	6	3	1	214	295	331	625	116	269	24	7	284	76	-6	+0	+1	+2	+5	0.2
2033	29	MLB CTX	CIN	53%	221	197	42	7	2	4	16	54	6	3	1	212	292	324	616	113	268	24	7	280	74	-7	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.1
2034	30	MLB CTX	CIN	56%	236	210	44	7	2	4	17	58	7	2	1	209	288	317	605	108	267	25	7	276	71	-8	+0	-0	+3	+5	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1295	1154	244	40	12	22	92	312	38	20	7	211	291	324	615	113	269	24	7	281	67	-39	+1	+4	+14	+28	0.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	122	20	6	11	46	157	19	10	4	211	290	323	613	112	268	24	7	281	67	-20	+1	+2	+7	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	4555	4016	814	143	40	55	331	1160	162	120	46	203	290	299	589	97	269	25	7	267	67	-88	+2	+9	+30	+60	1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	573	116	20	6	8	47	166	23	17	7	202	289	300	589	98	269	26	7	267	67	-21	+0	+2	+7	+14	0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#2George Strickland'50-'60 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,266 PA	4.9	3,266	36	12	219*	302*	329*	+28	+19	3.8	5.0
/162	664	7	2	+5.7	+3.8	0.8	pk7: 6
#3Lennie Merullo'41-'47 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,264 PA	3.4	2,264	6	38	234*	283*	339*	+24	+15	3.3	3.3
/162	664	2	11	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	2.0	1,296	21	20	211	289	320	+14	+6	1.2	1.2
/162	664	11	10	+7.1	+3.1	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Victor Acosta (OGILVIE)	23	30→40	20→25	60	40	197/279/280	82	262	2	4	24%	7%	63	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Greg Miclat 2010 · A	23	43→53	34→30	52→60	44	203/252/255	51	267	2	16	24%	6%	44	-2.8	247/303/314	67	327	3	23	23%	7%	77	-0.3	267/326/335	68	353	2	28	23%	7%	86	+0.2
✕Arquímedes Gamboa 2021 · AA	23	39→44	37→40	51→50	46	186/263/256	70	278	4	15	32%	9%	50	-2.3	206/285/302	96	295	8	14	30%	10%	69	-0.9	202/287/292	90	293	7	15	31%	10%	64	-0.7
✕Gabriel Maciel 2022 · A	23	44→54	37→40	54→55	45	211/271/282	71	278	4	19	25%	7%	58	-1.7	222/280/303	81	282	5	13	21%	7%	66	-1.1	236/296/312	76	289	2	11	18%	7%	70	-0.3
✕River Town 2022 · A	23	43→38	37→40	54→50	43	202/278/275	73	283	3	12	28%	7%	61	-1.5	209/294/310	101	262	9	15	22%	8%	75	-0.5	204/297/299	95	251	9	15	21%	9%	72	-0.4
✕Terry Serrano 2009 · A	22	39	35→30	50→55	46	183/246/241	59	240	2	15	24%	7%	40	-3.1	207/288/279	72	316	3	15	32%	10%	64	-1.3	204/311/268	64	327	2	21	33%	13%	68	-0.5
✕Roberto Caro 2017 · A	23	42→40	36→40	53→60	42	193/258/262	69	292	2	13	32%	7%	49	-2.4	210/278/287	77	312	3	23	31%	8%	62	-1.4	208/281/283	76	299	2	32	29%	8%	61	-0.9
✕Jake Palomaki 2019 · A	24	43	39→30	52→50	49	209/276/292	83	254	7	11	20%	7%	63	-1.4	205/274/262	57	260	2	14	20%	8%	55	-1.9	222/293/268	46	282	1	17	20%	8%	61	-0.9
✕Melvin Mercedes 2015 · A	23	44→51	37→30	52→50	45	207/263/287	80	270	3	9	24%	6%	56	-1.9	221/282/281	60	287	2	10	22%	7%	61	-1.5	219/300/272	54	287	1	7	22%	9%	64	-0.7
✕J.T. Arruda 2022 · A	24	38→42	38→40	53→55	43	184/250/264	80	271	5	13	32%	8%	47	-2.6	201/277/290	89	292	6	20	30%	9%	63	-1.4	207/270/292	85	284	7	22	28%	7%	58	-1.0
✕Gerard Hall 2011 · A	23	41→39	37→40	49→50	44	196/256/272	76	277	4	12	29%	7%	50	-2.3	214/267/300	86	306	3	10	29%	7%	61	-1.5	223/273/313	90	321	0	8	28%	6%	63	-0.7
✕Ruben Santana 2021 · A	23	45	37→40	51→55	48	213/273/295	82	259	3	11	18%	7%	61	-1.5	197/256/265	68	289	4	9	31%	7%	49	-2.4	154/220/190	36	223	3	11	30%	8%	18	-1.2
✕Carlos Willoughby 2012 · A	23	45→43	36→40	57→60	48	207/277/276	69	261	2	21	20%	7%	59	-1.6	208/275/279	71	277	3	14	24%	8%	59	-1.7	195/271/248	53	265	0	13	24%	9%	49	-1.0
✕Elih Marrero 2021 · A	24	44	39→40	49→55	44	210/265/295	85	273	6	7	25%	7%	59	-1.7	215/286/290	75	307	4	21	28%	9%	66	-1.1	210/266/317	107	293	8	22	29%	6%	61	-0.4
✕Jacob Berry 2024 · AA	23	40→44	43→45	53→55	39	200/248/313	113	255	10	8	26%	4%	57	-1.8	212/270/321	109	266	10	17	23%	6%	67	-1.1	213/278/320	107	261	10	21	22%	7%	69	-0.8
✕Cam Coursey 2022 · A	23	44	38→40	52→55	48	208/273/289	81	264	5	16	22%	8%	60	-1.6	214/296/293	79	279	4	10	23%	10%	70	-0.8	207/308/266	60	270	2	4	21%	12%	69	-0.4
✕Ripken Reyes 2021 · A	24	48→46	38→40	53→50	46	223/297/310	86	266	5	12	17%	6%	75	-0.5	221/324/299	78	278	4	13	20%	7%	84	+0.2	214/332/289	75	265	4	18	19%	8%	83	+0.0
✕Roger Tomas 2008 · A	22	42	40→30	50→45	43	204/252/295	91	259	7	5	24%	6%	54	-2.0	221/263/281	60	281	3	6	21%	5%	54	-2.0	231/268/265	34	288	1	6	20%	4%	51	-0.6
✕Frainyer Chavez 2021 · A	22	44→47	36→40	50	44	210/266/274	64	282	3	15	26%	7%	54	-2.0	207/274/272	65	290	4	11	28%	8%	57	-1.8	223/291/306	84	291	8	18	25%	8%	69	-0.7
✕Rubendy Jaquez 2022 · A	23	43→41	37→40	54→55	42	204/256/279	75	278	4	21	27%	6%	52	-2.2	211/254/296	85	276	5	15	24%	5%	54	-2.0	204/233/283	79	255	4	16	21%	3%	39	-1.0
✕Louis Ott 2007 · A	22	44→48	36→30	52→45	40	203/263/271	68	301	3	10	32%	6%	53	-2.1	225/294/293	68	316	4	6	28%	8%	70	-0.9	229/306/286	56	325	4	5	28%	9%	70	-0.4

Victor Acosta

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps