Elis Barreat — OGILVIE

Elis Barreat2B Charleston RiverDogs

Age 23 R/R 5'9" / 158 lbs A HR +6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .263 / .293

PA7

HR0

K%29

BB%6

ISO87

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	19	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	134	109	32	6	2	2	15	16	9	6	1	294	421	440	861	147	326	12	11	389	149	+8	+1	—	—	+3	1.2
2023	20	ROK	FCL Rays	—	39	34	7	0	0	0	4	7	0	0	1	206	289	206	495		250	18	10	234	45	-3	-0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2024	21	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	25	22	6	0	1	1	3	5	0	0	1	273	360	500	860	227	312	20	12	376	141	+1	-0	—	—	+1	0.1
2024	21	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	64	61	13	2	0	0	2	15	1	2	2	213	250	246	496	33	283	23	3	229	41	-4	-0	—	—	+1	-0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	134	115	28	5	2	1	9	24	9	6	1	243	346	348	694	104	276	18	7	297	87	-2	+1	—	—	+3	0.2
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	39	35	6	0	0	0	3	10	0	0	1	171	237	171	408		206	26	8	178	7	-4	-0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2024	21	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	25	23	5	0	1	1	2	7	0	0	1	217	280	435	715	217	268	28	8	281	76	-1	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	21	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	64	62	11	2	0	0	1	22	1	2	2	177	203	210	413	32	258	34	2	174	4	-7	-0	—	—	+1	-0.6
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	134	115	28	5	2	1	9	24	9	6	1	243	346	348	694	104	297	18	7	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	DSL Tampa Bay	—	134	109	32	6	2	2	15	16	9	6	1	294	421	440	861	147	326	12	11	389	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	39	35	6	0	0	0	3	10	0	0	1	171	237	171	408		231	26	8	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	FCL Rays	—	39	34	7	0	0	0	4	7	0	0	1	206	289	206	495		250	18	10	234	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	89	85	16	2	1	1	3	29	1	2	3	188	225	271	495	82	273	33	3	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	89	83	19	2	1	1	5	20	1	2	3	229	281	313	594	84	290	22	6	270	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	134	115	28	5	2	1	9	24	9	6	1	243	346	348	694	104	276	18	7	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	39	36	6	0	0	0	3	10	0	0	1	167	237	167	404		206	26	8	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	89	85	16	2	1	1	3	29	1	2	3	188	225	271	495	82	261	33	3	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	39	36	6	0	0	0	3	10	0	0	1	167	237	167	404		206	26	8	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	89	85	16	2	1	1	3	29	1	2	3	188	225	271	495	82	261	33	3	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	23	MLB MLE	TB	0%	7	7	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	143	143	143	286		288	29	0	254	58	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	TB	30%	143	132	28	4	1	2	9	41	1	2	1	212	268	303	571	91	289	29	6	263	64	-6	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
2027	24	MLB CTX	TB	30%	43	40	8	1	0	1	3	12	0	1	0	200	256	300	556	100	298	28	7	264	64	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	43	40	8	1	0	1	3	12	0	1	0	200	256	300	556	100	259	28	7	264	58	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	605	121	15	0	15	45	181	0	15	0	200	255	299	555	99	259	28	7	264	58	-27	+3	+0	+2	+14	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	412	374	79	11	4	4	24	106	11	10	6	211	279	294	573	83	281	26	6	253	58	-6	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	590	124	17	6	6	38	167	17	16	9	210	278	290	567	80	280	26	6	253	58	-28	+0	+0	+2	+14	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Elis Barreat (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	207/263/293	86	288	1	1	29%	6%	58	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Claudio Finol 2023 · AA	23	38	37→40	50→45	40	186/240/263	77	257	4	8	28%	6%	42	-2.9	207/267/299	92	292	8	10	30%	7%	61	-1.5	192/260/271	78	271	9	12	31%	7%	51	-0.6
✕Blake Hunt 2022 · AA	23	35	43→45	49→40	39	180/241/289	109	274	11	4	37%	7%	49	-2.4	201/257/318	117	274	12	4	30%	6%	62	-1.4	208/275/351	144	265	17	1	28%	7%	74	-0.2
✕Steven Baron 2014 · A	23	35	40→45	53→50	34	179/213/275	95	257	7	9	33%	4%	34	-3.5	216/264/299	83	296	5	9	27%	6%	59	-1.7	237/293/310	73	315	4	8	24%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Jason Lopez 2021 · A	23	40	43→50	46→45	38	201/248/313	112	281	10	7	32%	5%	57	-1.8	196/259/294	98	295	9	10	34%	8%	57	-1.8	166/232/250	84	247	9	10	35%	8%	35	-0.9
✕Grae Kessinger 2021 · A	23	43→31	39→45	50	47	208/276/293	85	264	7	12	23%	8%	63	-1.4	191/260/296	105	257	12	15	29%	8%	59	-1.7	179/261/273	93	244	9	8	29%	9%	52	-0.9
✕Nick Quintana 2021 · A	23	39→40	39→45	49→45	36	186/240/271	86	298	6	9	38%	6%	44	-2.8	182/266/288	106	256	11	5	31%	9%	59	-1.6	164/257/264	101	226	11	3	30%	10%	49	-1.3
✕Tate Blackman 2018 · A	23	40→35	42→45	49→40	44	198/269/304	106	269	10	4	29%	7%	63	-1.3	179/252/275	96	301	10	4	41%	8%	51	-2.3	159/236/248	88	274	11	3	43%	8%	37	-2.3
✕Grayson Greiner 2016 · A	23	37	38→45	46→30	37	181/234/253	73	279	6	3	36%	6%	38	-3.2	211/265/312	101	293	9	3	29%	6%	63	-1.4	217/276/324	107	289	10	0	27%	7%	67	-0.6
✕Mariel Bautista 2021 · A	23	41→36	42→45	49→50	39	204/254/301	97	266	10	15	27%	5%	57	-1.8	211/256/332	121	306	12	11	34%	5%	64	-1.3	186/219/331	145	265	16	11	36%	3%	51	-0.5
✕Ben Gobbel 2023 · A	23	42→41	36→45	47→50	41	197/257/265	68	280	4	7	30%	6%	49	-2.4	211/269/323	112	288	12	13	30%	6%	68	-1.0	212/261/335	123	271	15	11	27%	4%	64	-0.9
✕Raul Siri 2018 · A	23	39	38→40	51→50	42	192/251/271	80	265	6	11	29%	7%	49	-2.4	199/265/283	84	347	5	9	41%	7%	57	-1.8	146/235/232	85	299	4	14	47%	8%	34	-0.6
✕Jorge Saez 2014 · A	23	38	39→45	49→30	43	188/248/271	83	255	7	6	28%	7%	47	-2.5	196/263/293	97	280	8	3	31%	8%	58	-1.7	207/270/340	133	282	19	3	33%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Camden Duzenack 2019 · A	24	39→36	39→50	46→50	41	191/253/278	87	253	5	11	26%	6%	51	-2.2	186/241/310	124	254	15	9	32%	5%	55	-2.0	211/259/339	128	274	14	10	28%	5%	64	-0.6
✕Riccio Torrez 2013 · A	23	37→35	41→40	47→45	40	187/241/282	95	234	9	7	24%	4%	48	-2.5	200/255/288	88	257	7	6	24%	4%	54	-2.0	195/249/276	81	251	5	3	23%	3%	47	-1.0
✕Alejandro Torres 2012 · A	23	37	37→40	46→40	35	182/219/253	71	267	5	5	33%	4%	31	-3.7	206/261/282	76	313	5	6	33%	6%	54	-2.0	206/271/236	30	326	0	0	34%	7%	47	-0.4
✕Andrés Alvarez 2021 · A	24	41→31	37→45	48→50	42	196/261/270	74	275	4	7	29%	7%	52	-2.2	202/269/324	122	288	13	15	33%	8%	68	-1.0	182/251/303	121	254	14	15	33%	8%	55	-1.1
✕Tyler Grimes 2013 · A	23	37	42→40	46→40	40	180/259/284	104	282	9	8	37%	8%	55	-1.9	203/277/297	94	309	7	5	34%	7%	65	-1.2	203/279/289	86	310	6	2	34%	7%	62	-0.8
✕Shane Zeile 2016 · A	23	40	38→50	48→40	41	192/245/272	80	264	5	4	28%	6%	46	-2.6	208/256/314	106	282	8	6	28%	5%	59	-1.6	202/246/338	136	263	9	3	26%	4%	60	-0.6
✕Andy Yerzy 2021 · A	23	35	38→50	49→40	35	174/226/251	77	275	5	7	37%	5%	34	-3.5	188/272/333	145	263	18	6	34%	9%	72	-0.7	166/252/300	134	233	18	4	36%	9%	55	-1.0
✕Matt Winn 2016 · A	23	40→34	40→45	50→30	37	197/245/288	92	293	7	7	34%	6%	50	-2.3	187/244/309	122	304	14	2	40%	7%	55	-2.0	153/215/263	110	288	11	0	48%	7%	31	-1.6