Elis Barreat — OGILVIE

Elis Barreat2B Charleston RiverDogs

Age 23 R/R 5'9" / 158 lbs A HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA

wRC+†52

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .262 / .291

PA76

HR1

K%29

BB%6

ISO86

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	19	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	134	114	28	5	2	1	10	24	9	6	1	246	353	351	704	105	300	18	7	298	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	134	109	32	6	2	2	15	16	9	6	1	294	421	440	861	147	326	12	11	389	156	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK	FCL Rays	—	39	35	6	0	0	0	3	10	0	0	1	171	237	171	408		231	26	8	180	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK	FCL Rays	—	39	34	7	0	0	0	4	7	0	0	1	206	289	206	495		250	18	10	234	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	2 teams	—	89	85	14	1	1	1	3	29	1	2	3	165	202	235	438	71	236	33	3	193	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	2 teams	—	89	83	19	2	1	1	5	20	1	2	3	229	281	313	594	84	290	22	6	270	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	23	MLB	TB	—	76	70	15	2	1	1	5	22	1	1	0	214	276	314	591	100	288	29	7	253	52	-4	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	TB	30%	143	132	28	4	1	2	9	41	1	2	1	212	268	303	571	91	289	29	6	263	59	-7	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.2
2027	24	MLB	TB	30%	43	40	8	1	0	1	3	12	0	1	0	200	256	300	556	100	294	28	7	258	56	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	43	40	8	1	0	1	3	12	0	1	0	200	256	300	556	100	259	28	7	258	56	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	605	121	15	0	15	45	181	0	15	0	200	255	299	555	99	259	28	7	258	56	-32	+3	+0	+2	+18	-0.9
Career	—			—	481	436	91	12	5	5	30	126	12	11	6	209	278	294	572	85	279	26	6	251	51	-27	-0	+0	+2	+14	-1.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	123	16	7	7	41	170	16	15	8	209	279	295	574	87	279	26	6	251	51	-36	-0	+0	+2	+18	-1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	19	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	134	109	32	6	2	2	15	16	9	6	1	294	421	440	861	147	326	12	11	389	156	+8	+1	—	—	+4	1.3
2023	20	ROK	FCL Rays	—	39	34	7	0	0	0	4	7	0	0	1	206	289	206	495		250	18	10	234	37	-3	-0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2024	21	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	25	22	6	0	1	1	3	5	0	0	1	273	360	500	860	227	312	20	12	376	146	+1	-0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	21	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	64	61	13	2	0	0	2	15	1	2	2	213	250	246	496	33	283	23	3	229	33	-5	-0	—	—	+2	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Elis Barreat (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	206/262/291	85	288	1	1	29%	6%	52	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Claudio Finol 2023 · AA	23	38	37→40	50→45	40	187/240/263	77	259	4	8	29%	5%	35	-2.8	204/263/296	92	292	8	10	31%	7%	53	-1.5	181/246/258	77	260	9	12	32%	7%	35	-0.7
✕Nick Quintana 2021 · A	23	39	40→45	50→45	37	189/243/279	90	293	7	9	36%	6%	40	-2.4	181/265/289	108	254	11	5	31%	9%	54	-1.4	161/255/263	101	223	11	3	31%	10%	40	-1.3
✕Shane Zeile 2016 · A	23	39	38→50	48→40	40	191/244/271	79	266	5	4	29%	6%	38	-2.6	209/257/321	112	282	9	6	28%	5%	57	-1.2	201/247/350	149	258	12	3	27%	4%	59	-0.4
✕Steven Baron 2014 · A	23	34	40→45	53→50	34	176/209/269	93	256	6	9	34%	4%	22	-3.7	215/263/298	83	301	5	9	28%	6%	53	-1.5	240/300/311	71	326	5	6	26%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Ben Gobbel 2023 · A	23	41→40	36→50	47→50	41	197/258/265	68	279	4	7	29%	6%	43	-2.2	211/270/330	119	289	13	13	30%	6%	66	-0.6	213/262/352	139	271	17	12	28%	4%	64	-0.4
✕Grae Kessinger 2021 · A	23	43→28	39→45	50	47	209/276/293	84	265	7	12	23%	8%	58	-1.2	188/256/297	109	262	13	15	32%	7%	51	-1.7	189/267/300	111	249	11	7	27%	9%	56	-0.5
✕Mariel Bautista 2021 · A	23	40→34	42→45	49→50	38	201/251/299	98	265	10	15	28%	5%	49	-1.8	209/254/332	123	305	13	11	34%	5%	59	-1.1	181/215/331	150	258	17	11	37%	3%	42	-0.5
✕Blake Hunt 2022 · AA	23	35	43→50	48→40	39	178/241/285	107	272	11	4	37%	7%	42	-2.3	203/260/325	122	275	13	4	30%	6%	60	-1.0	207/268/341	134	263	14	2	26%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Raul Siri 2018 · A	23	39	38→40	51→50	42	192/251/271	80	265	6	11	29%	7%	42	-2.3	199/264/283	84	349	5	9	41%	7%	51	-1.7	149/237/238	89	307	4	14	47%	8%	28	-0.6
✕Chris Hess 2018 · A	23	39→34	37→45	49→30	38	187/245/270	83	282	3	5	33%	6%	39	-2.5	194/251/308	114	284	11	4	34%	4%	52	-1.6	181/239/309	128	257	14	1	34%	4%	46	-1.6
✕Tate Blackman 2018 · A	23	40→34	42→45	49→40	44	198/269/304	106	269	10	4	29%	7%	59	-1.1	175/249/267	92	300	10	4	41%	8%	41	-2.3	154/232/237	84	271	10	3	44%	8%	25	-2.5
✕Justin Twine 2019 · AA	23	43→31	40→45	49→50	33	208/247/302	94	304	7	10	33%	3%	47	-1.9	211/250/301	90	315	7	12	34%	4%	48	-1.9	196/234/278	82	311	5	14	37%	3%	33	-1.5
✕Vicente Conde 2017 · AA	23	40→34	39→45	46→45	44	192/257/281	88	278	6	7	32%	8%	46	-2.0	176/250/262	86	262	7	6	32%	9%	40	-2.4	103/200/175	72	170	6	2	40%	10%	-4	-1.7
✕Grayson Greiner 2016 · A	23	37	38→45	46→30	35	180/230/254	74	285	6	3	38%	6%	28	-3.2	209/261/311	102	295	9	3	31%	6%	56	-1.3	214/272/324	110	288	10	0	28%	7%	62	-0.5
✕Riccio Torrez 2013 · A	23	36→33	40	47→45	40	182/238/273	91	226	8	7	24%	4%	37	-2.6	196/252/283	87	254	7	6	25%	4%	46	-2.0	190/245/269	79	248	6	3	25%	3%	37	-1.0
✕Matt Winn 2016 · A	23	40→34	40→50	50→30	37	196/246/288	92	293	7	7	34%	6%	43	-2.2	190/247/324	134	306	16	2	41%	7%	54	-1.4	173/233/309	136	290	16	0	44%	7%	41	-1.5
✕Alejandro Torres 2012 · A	23	37	37→40	46→40	35	182/219/253	71	267	4	5	33%	4%	22	-3.7	205/260/281	76	311	5	6	33%	6%	48	-1.9	198/265/228	30	313	0	0	34%	8%	37	-0.5
✕Jorge Saez 2014 · A	23	38	39→45	49→30	43	188/248/271	83	255	7	6	28%	7%	40	-2.4	194/261/290	96	280	8	3	31%	8%	51	-1.7	206/269/348	143	287	21	3	35%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Rowdey Jordan 2022 · A	23	43→42	39→45	43→55	43	202/267/285	82	298	6	8	32%	8%	52	-1.6	204/274/318	114	284	11	18	30%	8%	64	-0.8	199/268/331	132	272	16	23	31%	7%	62	-0.6
✕Connor Justus 2018 · A	23	41→37	38→40	46→45	45	193/275/270	77	281	5	9	31%	8%	53	-1.5	176/256/248	72	256	5	8	31%	8%	40	-2.4	158/238/217	59	235	4	6	32%	7%	21	-2.5