Manuel De La Rosa

Manuel De La Rosa P FCL Rays

Age 24 LHP 6'0" / 155 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 8 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 106114vR 122

ERA4.68

FIP4.68

K%23.0%

BB%11.9%

K-BB%11.1%

ROS IP8

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 8 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rays 1	14	9	51	212	73	27	1	64%	3.6	23.4%	15.9%	7.5%	0.7%	3.38	3.54	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rays 1	14	9	51	212	73	27	1	64%	3.6	34.4%	12.7%	21.7%	0.5%	3.38	2.07	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	13	1	33	134	37	16	0	8%	2.6	18.8%	14.9%	3.9%	0.0%	4.05	3.41	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	FCL Rays	13	1	33	134	37	16	0	8%	2.6	27.6%	11.9%	15.7%	0.0%	4.05	2.32	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	16	1	29	141	40	22	0	6%	1.8	19.3%	19.5%	-0.2%	0.0%	3.14	3.94	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	FCL Rays	16	1	29	141	40	22	0	6%	1.8	28.4%	15.6%	12.8%	0.0%	3.14	2.61	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	11	0	16	82	14	18	0	0%	1.5	13.2%	24.2%	-11.0%	0.0%	7.88	5.05	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	11	0	16	82	14	18	0	0%	1.5	13.2%	24.2%	-11.0%	0.0%	7.88	5.05	—
2024	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	11	0	16	82	14	18	0	0%	1.5	17.1%	22.0%	-4.9%	0.0%	7.88	4.72	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	TB	8	0	8	34	8	4	1	0%	1.0	23.0%	11.9%	11.1%	3.0%	4.68	4.68	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	TB	19	0	20	84	20	9	3	0%	1.1	23.4%	10.9%	12.5%	3.0%	4.57	4.52	+0.0
2028	25	MLB CTX	TB	9	0	9	38	9	4	1	0%	1.0	23.4%	10.9%	12.5%	3.0%	4.57	4.52	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	36	8	4	1	0%	1.1	23.4%	10.9%	12.5%	3.0%	4.57	4.14	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	187	94	23	0%	1.1	23.4%	10.9%	12.5%	3.0%	4.57	4.14	+1.0
Career	—	MLE		54	11	129	569	113	101	2	20%	2.4	19.8%	17.8%	2.1%	0.3%	4.06	3.83	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		84	17	200	884	175	157	2	20%	2.4	19.8%	17.8%	2.1%	0.3%	4.06	3.83	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Manuel De La Rosa (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.68	23.0%	11.9%	3.0%	—	4.52	23.4%	12.5%	20	-0.16	—	—	—
Harry Gustin L 2024 · 3.91 FIP	22	SU	3.91	20.7%	11.0%	2.1%	.331	4.33	22.9%	12.7%	109	+0.42	3.70	152	81
Sean Mellen L 2022 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	21.3%	10.4%	2.5%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	101	78
Randy Labaut L 2021 · 4.95 FIP	24	SU	4.95	23.2%	14.0%	3.7%	.240	4.66	19.4%	5.9%	190	-0.29	1.91	302	78
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	75
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	75
Garrett Irvin L 2023 · 4.42 FIP	24	SU	4.42	23.2%	11.6%	3.3%	.283	4.32	17.7%	2.9%	39	-0.10	4.32	110	75
Jonathan Sánchez L 2007 · 4.18 FIP	24	SU	4.18	26.1%	11.3%	3.4%	.348	3.85	24.3%	13.1%	515	-0.33	3.65	895	75
Houston Harding L 2022 · 5.30 FIP	24	SU	5.30	20.2%	10.5%	4.7%	.307	4.87	17.3%	4.9%	158	-0.43	3.41	239	75
Matt Walker L 2022 · 4.54 FIP	24	SW	4.54	17.7%	12.8%	2.4%	.338	4.73	12.7%	2.7%	41	+0.19	4.21	156	75
Brandon Hughes L 2021 · 3.68 FIP	25	SU	3.68	27.0%	11.1%	2.7%	.300	4.59	24.3%	15.3%	149	+0.91	3.68	206	75
Russell Smith L 2023 · 5.26 FIP	24	SU	5.26	23.3%	12.8%	4.5%	.343	4.00	19.0%	5.1%	53	-1.26	4.00	175	74
Fred Schlichtholz L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	12.8%	2.6%	.368	4.13	18.5%	8.4%	80	-0.10	3.49	175	74
Brad Mills L 2010 · 4.22 FIP	25	SW	4.22	18.4%	12.2%	2.0%	.273	5.37	19.8%	7.7%	18	+1.15	4.22	243	74
Jared Tobey L 2019 · 3.99 FIP	23	SU	3.99	21.0%	12.1%	2.1%	.320	5.43	22.4%	8.2%	73	+1.44	3.99	158	74
Pedro Feliciano L 2003 · 3.74 FIP	26	SU	3.74	19.7%	8.3%	2.3%	.309	3.52	20.2%	11.1%	79	-0.22	2.69	378	74
R.C. Orlan L 2015 · 3.93 FIP	24	SU	3.93	21.0%	10.9%	2.2%	.326	4.62	17.2%	5.0%	119	+0.69	1.71	206	74
Brian Marconi L 2021 · 3.89 FIP	24	SU	3.89	25.3%	12.3%	2.5%	.265	5.02	20.3%	2.1%	57	+1.13	3.89	101	74
Hector Mercado L 2000 · 4.79 FIP	26	SU	4.79	21.7%	13.3%	3.3%	.270	4.22	22.9%	10.0%	111	-0.57	3.47	125	74
Will Ohman L 2001 · 4.66 FIP	23	SU	4.66	22.2%	11.1%	3.7%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	350	73
Graeme Stinson L 2022 · 3.56 FIP	24	SU	3.56	23.0%	10.5%	1.9%	.275	4.85	19.5%	3.9%	45	+1.29	3.56	146	73