Raul Guzman — OGILVIE

Raul Guzman3B FCL Cardinals

Age 23 R/R 6'0" / 180 lbs ROK HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 51 proj PA

wRC+†48

AVG/OBP/SLG.176 / .256 / .256

PA4

HR0

K%38

BB%8

ISO80

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	DSL Cardinals Red	—	143	105	20	3	1	2	31	50	7	4	1	190	406	295	701	105	340	35	22	343	118	+3	+0	—	—	+3	0.7
2022	19	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	61	54	9	3	0	0	3	28	4	1	1	167	262	222	485	56	346	46	5	235	45	-4	-0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2023	20	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	67	48	10	1	0	3	16	22	2	2	0	208	424	417	841	208	292	33	24	382	145	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.6
2024	21	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	72	61	10	1	0	0	9	31	2	1	0	164	292	180	472	16	333	43	12	239	48	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals Red	—	143	117	13	2	1	1	19	72	7	4	1	111	273	171	444	60	258	50	13	215	32	-12	+0	—	—	+3	-0.8
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	61	55	4	1	0	0	2	40	4	1	1	73	164	91	255	18	263	66	3	124	-30	-9	-0	—	—	+1	-0.8
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	67	54	8	1	0	2	10	32	2	2	0	148	303	278	581	130	228	48	15	258	61	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	21	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	72	65	6	1	0	0	5	44	2	1	0	92	181	108	288	15	270	61	7	139	-20	-10	+0	—	—	+2	-0.9
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals Red	—	143	117	13	2	1	1	19	72	7	4	1	111	273	171	444	60	273	50	13	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals Red	—	143	105	20	3	1	2	31	50	7	4	1	190	406	295	701	105	340	35	22	343	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	61	55	4	1	0	0	2	40	4	1	1	73	164	91	255	18	267	66	3	124	-30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	FCL Cardinals	—	61	54	9	3	0	0	3	28	4	1	1	167	262	222	485	56	346	46	5	235	-30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	67	54	8	1	0	2	10	32	2	2	0	148	303	278	581	130	286	48	15	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	FCL Cardinals	—	67	48	10	1	0	3	16	22	2	2	0	208	424	417	841	208	292	33	24	382	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	72	65	6	1	0	0	5	44	2	1	0	92	181	108	288	15	286	61	7	139	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK RAW	FCL Cardinals	—	72	61	10	1	0	0	9	31	2	1	0	164	292	180	472	16	333	43	12	239	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals Red	—	143	116	13	2	1	1	19	72	7	4	1	112	273	172	445	60	258	50	13	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	61	55	4	1	0	0	2	40	4	1	1	73	164	91	255	18	263	66	3	124	-30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	67	55	8	1	0	2	10	32	2	2	0	145	303	273	576	127	228	48	15	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	72	65	6	1	0	0	5	44	2	1	0	92	181	108	288	15	270	61	7	139	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	67	55	8	1	0	2	10	32	2	2	0	145	303	273	576	127	228	48	15	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	72	65	6	1	0	0	5	44	2	1	0	92	181	108	288	15	270	61	7	139	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	23	MLB MLE	STL	0%	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0						289	50	0	239	48	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	STL	30%	105	94	19	3	1	2	9	38	1	1	0	202	279	319	598	117	290	36	9	251	56	-6	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.3
2027	24	MLB CTX	STL	30%	32	29	5	1	0	0	3	12	0	0	0	172	250	207	457	34	290	38	9	239	56	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	32	29	5	1	0	0	3	12	0	0	0	172	250	207	457	34	294	38	9	239	25	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	589	101	20	0	0	61	244	0	0	0	171	249	205	455	34	293	38	9	239	25	-34	+0	+0	+2	+14	-1.8
Career	—	MLE		—	452	389	50	8	2	5	45	228	16	9	2	129	247	198	445	69	285	50	10	205	25	-6	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	559	72	12	3	7	65	328	23	13	3	129	247	199	446	70	286	50	10	205	25	-34	+1	+0	+2	+14	-1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Raul Guzman (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	176/256/256	80	289	1	1	38%	8%	48	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brock Carpenter 2018 · A	23	37	41→40	48→30	42	183/257/279	96	281	10	6	36%	8%	53	-2.1	199/261/302	103	329	8	6	39%	7%	59	-1.6	183/243/303	120	312	8	3	41%	7%	49	-0.8
✕Tyler Grimes 2013 · A	23	37	42→40	46→40	40	180/259/284	104	282	9	8	37%	8%	55	-1.9	203/277/297	94	309	7	5	34%	7%	65	-1.2	203/279/289	86	310	6	2	34%	7%	62	-0.8
✕Caleb Hamilton 2018 · A	23	35	42→45	44→45	46	175/265/284	109	271	9	5	36%	10%	58	-1.7	184/252/283	99	266	8	7	31%	8%	52	-2.2	141/235/256	115	206	16	3	39%	10%	39	-1.0
✕Carlos Pelegrin 2023 · A	23	37	40→45	46→50	37	173/245/259	86	317	8	6	45%	8%	45	-2.7	197/258/295	98	353	9	8	43%	7%	57	-1.8	177/236/278	101	329	11	10	46%	6%	41	-1.0
✕Chris Okey 2018 · A	23	34	38→45	48→40	35	169/226/243	74	276	6	5	39%	6%	33	-3.6	182/236/280	98	272	10	4	35%	6%	45	-2.7	205/259/305	100	287	9	2	30%	5%	56	-0.6
✕Nick Quintana 2021 · A	23	39→40	39→45	49→45	36	186/240/271	86	298	6	9	38%	6%	44	-2.8	182/266/288	106	256	11	5	31%	9%	59	-1.6	164/257/264	101	226	11	3	30%	10%	49	-1.3
✕Daniel Berg 2008 · A	23	37	39→40	45→40	39	180/245/262	82	274	6	4	35%	6%	45	-2.7	203/273/290	87	311	6	4	34%	7%	61	-1.5	202/279/286	84	310	6	2	34%	7%	60	-0.7
✕James Parker 2023 · A	23	36→24	42→50	50→45	35	179/234/285	106	296	10	7	41%	6%	45	-2.7	181/245/307	126	336	15	7	47%	8%	55	-1.9	140/215/281	141	262	20	4	52%	8%	36	-1.7
✕Brandon Parker 2022 · A	23	37	44→45	49→50	37	176/253/291	115	310	12	6	44%	8%	55	-1.9	195/273/319	124	308	13	9	38%	8%	69	-0.9	183/260/306	123	288	14	11	39%	7%	59	-0.8
✕Cooper Johnson 2022 · A	24	37	39→45	46→40	45	175/266/262	87	290	6	5	38%	10%	53	-2.1	177/262/279	102	299	9	5	40%	9%	56	-1.9	158/248/280	122	245	14	3	39%	9%	48	-0.8
✕Brady Allen 2023 · A	23	42→40	40→45	49→45	43	196/274/284	87	315	8	6	38%	9%	61	-1.5	197/265/324	127	300	13	6	36%	8%	67	-1.1	189/256/327	139	282	15	5	37%	7%	62	-1.1
✕Julio Carrion 2022 · A	23	39	38→40	50→45	42	188/269/267	79	279	6	5	33%	7%	55	-1.9	186/259/280	94	342	9	5	45%	7%	55	-2.0	160/236/251	91	316	11	4	49%	7%	37	-1.3
✕Romer Cuadrado 2021 · A	23	42→35	41→40	46→45	38	201/256/296	95	307	8	5	36%	6%	56	-1.9	206/256/310	104	365	13	5	44%	6%	59	-1.6	180/229/264	84	331	14	0	48%	6%	36	-1.7
✕Fabian Pertuz 2023 · A	22	37→34	40	49→55	33	186/229/277	91	285	8	9	37%	4%	41	-3.0	175/226/265	90	273	8	12	37%	5%	38	-3.2	148/203/228	80	231	8	13	38%	5%	19	-2.4
✕Matt Winn 2016 · A	23	40→34	40→45	50→30	37	197/245/288	92	293	7	7	34%	6%	50	-2.3	187/244/309	122	304	14	2	40%	7%	55	-2.0	153/215/263	110	288	11	0	48%	7%	31	-1.6
✕Chris Baker 2018 · A	23	36→30	41→40	48→45	35	181/230/280	99	273	9	6	36%	5%	42	-2.9	188/236/278	90	298	8	7	38%	5%	45	-2.7	170/215/247	77	274	8	5	40%	5%	28	-1.2
✕Joe Cronin 2018 · A	24	37	41→45	46→50	44	180/265/274	93	268	8	8	34%	9%	55	-1.9	186/274/283	97	289	9	9	35%	9%	61	-1.5	168/264/259	91	263	9	10	36%	9%	50	-1.1
✕Omar Meregildo 2021 · A	23	41→33	44→45	44→30	38	195/259/310	115	314	11	4	39%	7%	61	-1.5	189/257/327	138	301	18	4	41%	7%	65	-1.2	172/244/311	139	265	20	2	41%	7%	54	-1.4
✕Jeremy Eierman 2021 · A	24	34→26	42→50	50→45	33	174/221/277	103	286	10	9	42%	5%	38	-3.2	186/241/326	140	295	17	10	41%	5%	58	-1.7	164/222/309	144	249	20	10	42%	5%	45	-1.1
✕Joe Donovan 2023 · A	24	34	44→45	51→40	35	174/244/287	113	284	12	7	41%	6%	51	-2.3	196/253/305	109	312	10	5	38%	5%	57	-1.8	193/247/308	115	295	10	0	36%	4%	53	-0.8