Donye Evans — OGILVIE

Donye Evans P Lakeland Flying Tigers

Age 24 RHP 6'6" / 220 lbs A peak 0.1 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 11 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119111vR 103

ERA4.52

FIP4.52

K%22.6%

BB%10.5%

K-BB%12.1%

ROS IP12

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 11 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers	4	0	3	19	2	4	1	0%	0.8	10.5%	21.1%	-10.5%	5.3%	13.50	7.77	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers	4	0	3	19	2	4	1	0%	0.8	10.5%	21.1%	-10.5%	5.3%	13.50	7.77	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	FCL Tigers	4	0	3	19	2	4	1	0%	0.8	10.5%	21.1%	-10.5%	5.3%	13.50	9.40	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	1	25	104	30	12	0	5%	1.2	19.9%	12.1%	7.8%	0.0%	2.16	2.95	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	1	25	104	30	12	0	5%	1.2	19.9%	12.1%	7.8%	0.0%	2.16	2.95	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	1	25	104	30	12	0	5%	1.2	28.8%	11.5%	17.3%	0.0%	2.16	2.14	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	28	0	38	155	33	18	2	0%	1.4	17.3%	11.2%	6.1%	1.9%	2.61	4.10	—
YTD	24	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	28	0	38	155	33	18	2	0%	1.4	17.3%	11.2%	6.1%	1.9%	2.61	4.10	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	A RAW	DET	25	0	33	137	32	13	2	0%	1.3	23.4%	9.5%	13.9%	1.5%	2.70	3.13	—
2026	24	A+ RAW	DET	3	0	5	18	1	5	0	0%	1.6	5.6%	27.8%	-22.2%	0.0%	1.93	6.15	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	DET	36	0	38	159	37	16	5	0%	1.0	23.0%	9.9%	13.1%	2.9%	4.44	4.40	+0.1
2027	25	MLB CTX	DET	15	0	16	68	16	7	2	0%	1.1	23.0%	9.9%	13.1%	2.9%	4.44	4.40	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		15	0	16	68	16	7	2	0%	1.1	23.0%	9.9%	13.1%	2.9%	4.44	4.02	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	199	87	25	0%	1.1	23.0%	9.9%	13.1%	2.9%	4.44	4.02	+1.3
Career	—	MLE		53	1	66	278	50	34	4	2%	1.3	17.8%	12.2%	5.6%	1.4%	2.98	3.92	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		160	3	200	838	149	102	12	2%	1.3	17.8%	12.2%	5.6%	1.4%	2.98	3.92	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Donye Evans (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.52	22.6%	10.5%	2.9%	—	4.40	23.0%	13.1%	38	-0.12	—	—	—
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	92
Vince Vannelle R 2022 · 3.71 FIP	24	SU	3.71	19.9%	8.6%	2.2%	.282	5.30	15.3%	4.5%	76	+1.59	3.71	105	88
Jonathan Brand R 2023 · 3.95 FIP	23	SU	3.95	22.7%	10.8%	2.5%	.236	4.79	19.7%	9.4%	160	+0.84	3.34	198	87
Austin Smith R 2022 · 3.88 FIP	23	SU	3.88	22.7%	10.0%	2.6%	.274	5.15	16.3%	0.7%	52	+1.27	3.88	148	87
Stephen Jones R 2021 · 3.62 FIP	24	SU	3.62	23.8%	11.0%	2.1%	.304	4.53	21.5%	9.8%	142	+0.91	3.62	309	86
Chris Jefferson R 2022 · 3.53 FIP	25	SU	3.53	22.4%	10.2%	1.9%	.330	4.99	16.5%	3.9%	101	+1.46	3.53	140	86
Kyle Schepel R 2015 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	23.1%	10.7%	3.9%	.233	3.64	22.1%	10.4%	120	-0.99	3.54	156	86
Kyle Martin R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	24	SU	3.61	21.2%	9.6%	2.0%	.345	3.51	22.4%	12.5%	172	-0.10	3.01	214	85
Cole Gordon R 2019 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.0%	12.7%	2.3%	.243	5.19	20.9%	9.5%	83	+1.10	4.09	112	85
Jason Stoffel R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	26	SU	3.61	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.49	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.12	3.49	103	85
Cre Finfrock R 2019 · 4.63 FIP	23	SU	4.63	23.0%	11.7%	3.6%	.278	6.31	16.7%	-8.5%	36	+1.68	4.27	103	84
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	84
Cameron Gann R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	24	SU	4.22	21.4%	12.4%	2.5%	.296	5.36	21.1%	6.8%	23	+1.14	3.58	146	84
Colby Morris R 2021 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.76	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.65	4.11	105	84
Alex Palsha R 2016 · 3.84 FIP	24	SU	3.84	20.6%	10.4%	2.1%	.288	3.83	15.3%	4.4%	77	-0.01	3.40	134	83
Jackson McClelland R 2018 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	23.2%	11.6%	2.7%	.253	5.41	17.0%	2.6%	83	+1.30	3.02	174	83
Nolan Clenney R 2021 · 3.73 FIP	25	SU	3.73	25.5%	8.4%	3.1%	.340	4.36	22.2%	13.5%	185	+0.63	3.73	223	83
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	83
Bryan Garcia R 2019 · 4.64 FIP	24	SU	4.64	21.0%	10.7%	3.6%	.253	4.90	16.8%	6.1%	190	+0.26	2.59	319	83
Brandon Cunniff R 2015 · 4.28 FIP	26	SU	4.28	24.5%	13.2%	2.9%	.256	4.32	20.3%	9.0%	115	+0.04	3.89	180	83