Pedro Da Costa Lemos

P Everett AquaSox

Age 24 RHP 6'0" / 179 lbs A+ peak 0.1 · 2028

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	21	AModesto Nuts	31	11	90	4.32	3.64	21.2%	9.6%	—	K 15.7% · BB 11.3% · FIP 4.75
2025	22	MIX2 levels	35	0	67	3.63	3.22	25.5%	9.0%	—	K 19.1% · BB 10.5% · FIP 4.67
2026	23	MIX2 levels	14	0	27	2.67	3.10	28.8%	6.7%	—	K 23.6% · BB 5.2% · FIP 4.11
2027PROJ	24	MLBSEA	54	0	57	4.78	4.78	19.8%	10.1%	-0.2
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBSEA	25	0	26	4.69	4.66	20.5%	9.8%	-0.0
2029PROJ66% MLB	26	MLBSEA	39	0	41	4.64	4.61	20.9%	9.7%	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff45Control40Command45

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsColby Morris (age 24) · Austin Ross (age 24) · Ryan Conroy (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124116vR 108

ERA4.78

FIP4.78

K%19.8%

BB%10.1%

K-BB%9.7%

Proj IP57

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 57 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL4040

CMD4545

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	1	1	3	11	4	1	0	100%	2.7	36.4%	9.1%	27.3%	0.0%	0.00	1.18	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	1	1	3	11	4	1	0	100%	2.7	36.4%	9.1%	27.3%	0.0%	0.00	1.23	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	17	1	25	104	36	11	1	6%	1.5	23.5%	13.2%	10.3%	1.4%	2.55	3.57	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	17	1	25	104	36	11	1	6%	1.5	34.6%	10.6%	24.0%	1.0%	2.55	2.05	—
2024	21	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	31	11	90	416	88	40	8	35%	2.9	15.7%	11.3%	4.3%	2.8%	4.32	4.75	—
2024	21	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	31	11	90	416	88	40	8	35%	2.9	15.7%	11.3%	4.3%	2.8%	4.32	4.75	—
2024	21	A RAW	Modesto Nuts	31	11	90	416	88	40	8	35%	2.9	21.2%	9.6%	11.5%	1.9%	4.32	3.64	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	0	67	290	74	26	6	0%	1.9	19.1%	10.5%	8.6%	3.4%	3.63	4.67	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	0	67	290	74	26	6	0%	1.9	19.1%	10.5%	8.6%	3.4%	3.63	4.67	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	35	0	67	290	74	26	6	0%	1.9	25.5%	9.0%	16.6%	2.1%	3.63	3.22	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	0	27	104	30	7	3	0%	1.9	23.6%	5.2%	18.4%	4.3%	2.67	4.11	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	0	27	104	30	7	3	0%	1.9	23.6%	5.2%	18.4%	4.3%	2.67	4.11	—
2026	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	0	27	104	30	7	3	0%	1.9	28.8%	6.7%	22.1%	2.9%	2.67	3.10	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	SEA	54	0	57	241	48	24	7	0%	1.1	19.8%	10.1%	9.7%	3.1%	4.78	4.78	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	SEA	58	0	61	258	53	25	8	0%	1.1	20.5%	9.8%	10.8%	3.1%	4.69	4.66	-0.1
2029	26	MLB MLE	SEA	58	0	61	258	54	25	8	0%	1.1	20.9%	9.7%	11.3%	3.1%	4.64	4.61	-0.0
2028	25	MLB CTX	SEA	25	0	26	110	23	11	3	0%	1.0	20.5%	9.8%	10.8%	3.1%	4.69	4.66	-0.0
2029	26	MLB CTX	SEA	39	0	41	173	36	17	5	0%	1.1	20.9%	9.7%	11.3%	3.1%	4.64	4.61	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		64	0	67	282	59	27	9	0%	1.0	20.8%	9.7%	11.1%	3.1%	4.66	4.25	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	176	81	27	0%	1.1	20.8%	9.7%	11.1%	3.1%	4.66	4.25	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		98	13	211	925	173	98	27	13%	2.2	18.8%	10.6%	8.2%	2.9%	3.63	4.48	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		93	12	200	877	164	93	26	13%	2.2	18.8%	10.6%	8.2%	2.9%	3.63	4.48	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Pedro Da Costa Lemos (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.78	19.8%	10.1%	3.1%	—	4.64	20.7%	11.0%	122	-0.14	—	—	—
Colby Morris R 2021 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.76	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.65	4.11	105	92
Austin Ross R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	24	SU	4.41	20.7%	9.6%	3.4%	.281	5.19	21.2%	5.7%	55	+0.78	4.41	121	89
Ryan Conroy R 2021 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	22.2%	9.8%	2.8%	.353	4.75	19.3%	6.7%	54	+0.74	4.01	106	88
Andrew Bellatti R 2015 · 4.34 FIP	23	SU	4.34	19.3%	8.8%	3.2%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	2.67	278	88
Emmanuel Chapman R 2024 · 4.08 FIP	25	SW	4.08	19.7%	10.6%	2.4%	.256	4.52	17.8%	1.3%	117	+0.44	3.81	198	88
James McDonald R 2009 · 3.96 FIP	24	SU	3.96	19.3%	10.4%	2.1%	.283	4.16	20.4%	11.3%	414	+0.20	2.99	506	87
Adam Warren R 2013 · 4.09 FIP	25	SU	4.09	19.3%	8.5%	2.8%	.306	3.43	20.5%	13.1%	275	-0.66	2.65	548	87
Hector Noesí R 2011 · 3.73 FIP	24	SU	3.73	18.2%	7.3%	2.3%	.320	4.89	16.1%	8.4%	306	+1.16	3.73	613	86
Bryan Pope R 2023 · 3.96 FIP	24	SU	3.96	19.4%	9.5%	2.4%	.332	5.20	12.7%	-0.3%	22	+1.24	3.96	148	86
J.C. Flowers R 2022 · 4.02 FIP	24	SU	4.02	17.6%	8.9%	2.3%	.263	5.42	16.0%	0.0%	133	+1.40	3.59	281	86
Dylan Simmons R 2024 · 3.85 FIP	23	SU	3.85	17.8%	9.4%	1.9%	.295	5.10	12.7%	0.6%	74	+1.25	3.85	125	86
Peyton Stumbo R 2024 · 5.11 FIP	22	SU	5.11	19.0%	10.4%	4.2%	.326	4.93	15.6%	6.8%	211	-0.18	4.10	279	86
Garrett Apker R 2024 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	19.8%	11.2%	2.1%	.288	8.46	15.4%	-7.6%	11	+4.45	4.01	101	85
Ross Ohlendorf R 2008 · 4.73 FIP	25	SW	4.73	16.3%	9.3%	3.3%	.357	4.63	15.4%	7.7%	324	-0.10	3.30	617	85
Tai Tiedemann R 2019 · 3.87 FIP	23	SU	3.87	17.5%	9.8%	1.8%	.305	5.78	9.8%	-0.2%	118	+1.91	3.87	190	85
Cody Tucker R 2024 · 4.97 FIP	25	SU	4.97	22.0%	12.0%	4.0%	.272	5.36	15.8%	-1.9%	40	+0.39	4.97	105	85
Kaleb Fontenot R 2017 · 4.48 FIP	24	SU	4.48	20.7%	8.6%	3.7%	.264	3.71	14.7%	5.2%	69	-0.77	3.71	155	85
Tyler Joyner R 2019 · 3.69 FIP	23	SU	3.69	20.7%	9.9%	2.0%	.250	6.38	16.1%	5.2%	37	+2.69	3.69	114	85
Conor Steinbaugh R 2024 · 4.74 FIP	25	SU	4.74	16.0%	9.9%	3.2%	.281	6.29	15.0%	2.1%	44	+1.55	4.74	111	85
Josh Advocate R 2018 · 3.78 FIP	24	SU	3.78	18.8%	7.3%	2.4%	.291	3.71	20.4%	10.1%	75	-0.07	3.71	118	85

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	60	20.4%	9.8%	1.19	4.70
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71
Bill Scherrer ('82-'88, 1 WAR*)	1.6	62	20.7%*	10.2%*	1.19*	4.44*
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*
Kevin Quackenbush ('21)	1.0	52	21.0%	9.2%	1.04	4.41
J. C. Gutierrez ('07-'14, -0 WAR*)	1.4	57	19.8%*	8.5%*	1.19*	4.72*
Bill Pleis ('61-'66, -0 WAR*)	1.4	56	19.7%*	9.8%*	1.15*	4.53*