Jairo Mendez — OGILVIE

Jairo MendezOF ACL Royals

Age 23 L/L 6'0" / 155 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 45 proj PA

wRC+†39

AVG/OBP/SLG.182 / .240 / .279

PA45

HR1

K%37

BB%6

ISO97

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL Royals Blue	—	138	123	18	2	2	2	11	59	2	7	4	146	228	244	472	98	250	43	8	214	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK	DSL Royals Blue	—	138	117	28	3	4	3	17	39	2	7	4	239	346	410	756	171	325	28	12	335	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	DSL KC Stewart	—	180	161	31	6	1	1	14	76	1	11	3	193	261	261	522	68	349	42	8	236	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	DSL KC Stewart	—	180	154	43	10	2	2	21	51	1	11	3	279	369	409	778	130	398	28	12	344	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK	ACL Royals	—	107	99	18	3	2	2	6	49	1	4	4	182	236	313	549	131	327	46	6	243	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK	ACL Royals	—	107	96	28	5	3	3	9	34	1	4	4	292	358	500	858	208	417	32	8	373	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK	ACL Royals	—	49	46	5	1	1	1	2	32	0	2	0	109	146	239	385	130	286	65	4	124	-47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK	ACL Royals	—	49	45	7	1	1	1	3	24	0	2	0	156	208	289	497	133	286	49	6	218	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	23	MLB	KC	—	45	42	8	1	1	1	3	17	0	1	0	190	244	333	578	143	288	38	7	237	39	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	KC	30%	104	95	18	3	1	2	7	37	1	2	0	189	252	305	558	116	290	36	7	249	48	-6	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
2027	24	MLB	KC	30%	31	29	5	1	0	0	2	11	0	0	0	172	226	207	433	34	287	35	6	240	42	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	31	29	5	1	0	0	2	11	0	0	0	172	226	207	433	34	278	35	6	240	42	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	608	105	21	0	0	42	231	0	0	0	173	226	207	433	35	279	36	6	240	42	-43	+0	+0	-4	+18	-2.9
Career	—			—	623	566	98	16	8	9	43	270	5	27	11	173	238	277	515	104	303	43	7	226	31	-49	+1	+0	-4	+18	-3.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	102	17	8	9	45	282	5	28	11	173	237	274	511	102	303	43	7	226	31	-51	+1	+0	-4	+18	-3.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL Royals Blue	—	138	117	28	3	4	3	17	39	2	7	4	239	346	410	756	171	325	28	12	335	114	+2	-0	—	—	+4	0.6
2022	19	ROK	DSL KC Stewart	—	180	154	43	10	2	2	21	51	1	11	3	279	369	409	778	130	398	28	12	344	121	+4	+1	—	—	+5	1.1
2023	20	ROK	ACL Royals	—	107	96	28	5	3	3	9	34	1	4	4	292	358	500	858	208	417	32	8	373	144	+5	-1	—	—	+3	0.8
2024	21	ROK	ACL Royals	—	49	45	7	1	1	1	3	24	0	2	0	156	208	289	497	133	286	49	6	218	25	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jairo Mendez (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	182/240/279	96	288	1	1	37%	6%	39	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Estee Harris 2008 · A	23	37→31	40→50	49→50	36	182/234/272	91	293	8	13	39%	6%	35	-2.8	218/265/340	122	373	12	12	42%	5%	66	-0.6	212/254/349	137	373	14	14	45%	4%	59	-0.4
✕Izzy Wilson 2021 · A	23	40→33	41→45	52→55	38	184/253/283	98	326	9	15	43%	8%	46	-2.0	202/264/342	140	304	18	21	37%	7%	66	-0.6	186/250/332	146	267	20	25	37%	7%	54	-0.8
✕Leandro Emiliani 2023 · A	23	35	44→45	48→30	37	181/242/296	115	280	12	3	38%	6%	45	-2.1	192/250/291	99	312	9	4	39%	6%	46	-2.0	162/220/236	74	276	5	0	41%	6%	20	-1.6
✕Seth Gray 2022 · A	24	36	43→45	49→50	38	178/256/281	102	283	11	6	38%	7%	48	-1.9	195/273/305	110	331	12	11	42%	8%	61	-1.0	188/271/297	108	330	13	14	43%	8%	55	-1.0
✕Chase Luttrell 2023 · A	23	40	40→45	49→45	33	187/237/273	86	325	8	7	43%	6%	36	-2.7	194/244/306	112	277	11	7	33%	6%	48	-1.9	178/230/293	115	247	12	6	32%	5%	36	-1.2
✕Jonny Butler 2022 · A	23	44→31	40→45	50→55	43	208/271/296	88	303	7	9	32%	8%	56	-1.3	195/261/304	109	286	9	16	33%	7%	55	-1.4	172/247/285	113	246	10	19	32%	8%	41	-1.3
✕Andy Yerzy 2021 · A	23	35	38→50	49→40	35	174/224/252	77	276	5	7	37%	5%	25	-3.5	182/265/327	145	260	18	6	36%	8%	64	-0.8	160/246/298	138	227	19	4	38%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Nick Decker 2023 · A	23	35	44→45	49→50	39	170/253/281	111	303	12	11	45%	9%	46	-2.0	165/237/285	120	313	13	13	48%	7%	40	-2.4	131/202/256	125	245	14	14	50%	7%	16	-1.5
✕D.J. Wilson 2019 · A	22	36	42→55	50	39	182/240/287	105	275	9	13	36%	7%	41	-2.3	183/249/284	101	305	9	14	40%	7%	44	-2.1	110/193/203	93	185	13	21	46%	8%	1	-1.4
✕Michel Triana 2023 · A	23	35→26	45→50	49→50	36	179/246/303	123	286	13	9	40%	6%	49	-1.8	178/241/281	103	288	9	9	39%	7%	40	-2.4	101/165/157	56	173	2	6	41%	7%	-25	-1.9
✕Corey Ray 2018 · A	23	39→36	40→50	50→55	35	187/238/282	95	311	7	16	40%	6%	39	-2.5	185/242/313	128	326	13	19	44%	6%	50	-1.8	179/237/328	149	298	16	20	44%	6%	48	-1.1
✕Cole Roederer 2022 · A	22	41→31	40→45	50	44	197/272/291	94	298	8	13	34%	8%	56	-1.3	201/266/318	117	303	13	11	35%	7%	61	-1.0	180/254/293	113	270	13	11	36%	8%	49	-1.0
✕Cameron Baranek 2018 · A	23	41	38→40	49→50	37	194/248/275	81	296	4	10	34%	6%	41	-2.3	196/247/275	79	311	6	12	36%	6%	40	-2.4	183/233/254	71	290	6	14	37%	5%	26	-1.3
✕Brandon Dulin 2015 · A	22	36→30	42→45	51→40	35	184/234/285	101	260	9	7	32%	4%	38	-2.6	197/245/314	117	277	13	4	33%	5%	50	-1.7	189/240/316	127	261	17	1	34%	5%	46	-1.1
✕Ryan Aguilar 2019 · A	24	34→40	38→45	51→50	40	170/234/250	80	268	6	6	37%	8%	29	-3.2	180/258/271	91	308	9	9	41%	8%	46	-2.0	180/274/287	107	300	13	12	40%	10%	54	-0.9
✕Mark Contreras 2018 · A	23	42→37	41→50	50→55	32	201/243/296	95	321	8	8	39%	4%	44	-2.1	185/247/293	108	278	10	12	35%	6%	46	-2.0	197/258/338	141	284	18	24	36%	6%	60	-0.8
✕Jay Jabs 2018 · A	23	37	43→45	53→40	38	185/236/297	112	273	10	6	35%	6%	42	-2.3	187/240/295	108	292	9	6	37%	6%	43	-2.2	112/165/208	96	183	7	0	42%	4%	-12	-1.3
✕Ross Adolph 2021 · A	24	40→32	40	45→50	40	183/270/277	93	321	8	9	41%	8%	53	-1.5	199/291/318	119	355	12	10	43%	8%	72	-0.2	183/288/300	118	335	12	11	44%	9%	64	-0.3
✕Reynaldo Rivera 2021 · A	24	38→32	43→50	50→30	36	188/242/300	112	301	11	5	40%	6%	46	-2.0	193/253/371	178	360	24	4	50%	6%	70	-0.3	149/214/350	201	255	31	0	54%	6%	48	-1.1
✕Cam Gibson 2017 · A	23	36→41	43→45	53→55	40	184/244/291	108	267	11	17	34%	7%	44	-2.1	196/257/315	119	271	11	17	30%	7%	56	-1.3	191/254/304	113	261	10	19	29%	7%	49	-1.4