Kevin Rivas — OGILVIE

Kevin RivasSS Lake County Captains

Age 23 S/R 5'8" / 183 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION115 act + 16 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†27

AVG/OBP/SLG.067 / .125 / .067

PA16

HR0

K%44

BB%6

BABIP249

ISO76

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 37

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER37

scouting grade only

EYE59

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	DSL Indians Red	—	107	79	19	4	1	0	25	29	1	2	3	241	429	316	745	76	373	27	23	351	124	+3	-1	—	—	+2	0.5
2022	19	ROK	DSL CLE Red	—	136	115	31	3	4	1	18	51	3	10	1	270	382	391	774	122	476	38	13	353	125	+4	+2	—	—	+3	0.9
2024	21	A+	Lake County Captains	—	34	29	4	0	0	0	5	18	0	0	0	138	265	138	403		364	53	15	209	28	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2024	21	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	89	76	11	3	1	0	13	42	0	1	2	145	270	211	480	66	324	47	15	235	45	-6	-1	—	—	+2	-0.5
2024	21	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	34	23	4	1	0	0	10	11	1	3	1	174	441	217	659	43	333	32	29	344	119	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2025	22	A+	Lake County Captains	—	130	107	19	4	1	2	16	54	4	2	0	178	307	290	597	112	315	42	12	276	73	-4	+0	—	—	+3	-0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Indians Red	—	107	88	15	3	1	0	16	42	1	2	3	170	305	227	532	57	289	39	15	241	49	-6	-1	—	—	+2	-0.5
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Red	—	136	122	21	2	3	1	11	72	3	10	1	172	257	262	520	90	392	53	8	220	35	-11	+2	—	—	+3	-0.6
2024	21	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	34	30	2	0	0	0	4	24	0	0	0	67	176	67	243		333	71	12	130	-26	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2024	21	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	89	81	7	2	1	0	8	61	0	1	2	86	169	136	304	49	287	69	9	130	-26	-13	-1	—	—	+2	-1.2
2024	21	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	34	27	3	1	0	0	6	16	1	3	1	111	294	148	442	37	266	47	18	224	38	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2025	22	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	130	112	13	2	1	1	11	72	4	2	0	116	220	179	399	62	269	55	8	198	20	-12	+0	—	—	+3	-0.9
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Indians Red	—	107	88	15	3	1	0	16	42	1	2	3	170	305	227	532	57	319	39	15	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL Indians Red	—	107	79	19	4	1	0	25	29	1	2	3	241	429	316	745	76	373	27	23	351	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Red	—	136	122	21	2	3	1	11	72	3	10	1	172	257	262	520	90	408	53	8	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Red	—	136	115	31	3	4	1	18	51	3	10	1	270	382	391	774	122	476	38	13	353	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	3 teams	—	157	138	11	2	1	0	18	100	1	4	3	80	191	109	300	29	289	64	11	150	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	3 teams	—	157	128	19	4	1	0	28	71	1	4	3	148	306	195	501	47	333	45	18	253	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	130	112	13	2	1	1	11	72	4	2	0	116	220	179	399	62	286	55	8	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	Lake County Captains	—	130	107	19	4	1	2	16	54	4	2	0	178	307	290	597	112	315	42	12	276	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Indians Red	—	107	89	15	3	1	0	16	42	1	2	3	169	305	225	529	56	289	39	15	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Red	—	136	121	21	2	3	1	11	72	3	10	1	174	257	264	522	91	392	53	8	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	3 teams	—	157	137	11	2	1	0	18	100	1	4	3	80	191	109	301	29	292	64	11	150	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	130	114	13	2	1	1	11	72	4	2	0	114	220	175	396	61	269	55	8	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	21	A MLE	3 teams	—	157	137	11	2	1	0	18	100	1	4	3	80	191	109	301	29	292	64	11	150	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	130	114	13	2	1	1	11	72	4	2	0	114	220	175	396	61	269	55	8	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	A+ MLE	CLE	—	115	104	6	1	0	1	11	67	0	1	0	58	148	96	244	38	139	58	10	124	-30	-18	+0	+0	+1	+2	-1.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A+ RAW	CLE	—	81	68	5	2	0	1	13	41	0	0	0	74	222	147	369	74	154	51	16	192	-30	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	AA RAW	CLE	—	18	17	2	0	0	1	1	6	0	1	0	118	167	294	461	176	100	33	6	205	-30	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	AAA RAW	CLE	—	16	15	2	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	133	188	133	321		182	25	6	157	-30	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	23	A+ MLE	CLE	0%	16	15	1	0	0	0	1	7	0	0	0	67	125	67	192		250	44	6	208	27	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
TOT	23	A+ MLE	CLE	—	131	119	7	1	0	1	12	74	0	1	0	59	145	92	237	34	136	56	9	135	-23	-19	+0	+0	+1	+3	-1.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	CLE	30%	332	296	46	9	1	5	30	135	3	5	1	155	240	243	483	88	258	41	9	225	38	-24	+1	+0	+4	+7	-1.3
2027	24	MLB CTX	CLE	30%	101	90	13	3	0	1	9	41	1	1	0	144	230	211	441	67	257	41	9	217	38	-7	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	101	90	13	3	0	1	9	41	1	1	0	144	230	211	441	67	245	41	9	217	27	-7	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	83	19	0	6	58	264	6	6	0	143	228	207	436	64	244	41	9	217	27	-48	+1	+0	+7	+14	-2.6
Career	—	MLE		—	878	771	107	18	7	7	87	428	12	23	8	139	237	208	444	69	292	49	10	208	27	-26	+1	+0	+4	+8	-1.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	571	79	13	5	5	64	317	9	17	6	138	236	205	441	67	292	49	10	208	27	-48	+1	+0	+7	+14	-2.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kevin Rivas (OGILVIE)	23	20→25	32→37	45→50	59	139/227/206	67	250	2	3	43%	9%	27	-1.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dreily Guerrero 2014 · A	23	36	36→30	48→55	33	174/220/234	60	292	4	8	40%	5%	28	-3.9	193/236/284	91	346	8	12	44%	5%	45	-2.7	165/195/259	94	322	8	16	50%	4%	21	-1.3
✕Jobduan Morales 2014 · A	23	37	37→40	49→40	42	180/245/252	72	276	5	4	35%	8%	42	-2.9	199/259/286	87	302	7	5	34%	7%	55	-2.0	195/254/288	94	300	7	3	35%	7%	53	-1.0
✕Shaver Hansen 2011 · A	23	37	40	53→45	36	178/236/271	93	295	7	10	40%	6%	43	-2.8	202/250/291	89	306	6	8	34%	6%	52	-2.2	202/244/283	81	297	4	6	32%	5%	46	-1.6
✕Yeison Coca 2022 · AAA	23	38→29	37→40	46→50	36	181/235/251	70	303	5	12	40%	6%	38	-3.2	190/252/263	73	309	4	13	37%	7%	47	-2.6	161/230/217	56	266	1	16	37%	8%	27	-2.1
✕Austin Bernard 2019 · A	23	36	42→40	44→45	39	182/248/284	101	274	10	5	36%	7%	51	-2.3	175/266/276	101	288	9	8	38%	10%	57	-1.8	137/252/238	101	223	9	7	39%	12%	41	-1.6
✕Chad McClanahan 2021 · A	23	37→30	38→40	45	42	179/253/254	75	277	6	7	35%	8%	46	-2.6	179/251/273	94	358	9	6	48%	8%	49	-2.4	127/210/209	82	277	9	1	53%	9%	19	-2.3
✕Channy Ortiz 2023 · A	24	39	37→40	45	41	187/258/260	73	283	4	9	33%	7%	49	-2.4	200/256/281	81	284	5	9	30%	6%	52	-2.2	191/237/259	68	265	4	9	28%	5%	37	-1.5
✕Chris Okey 2018 · A	23	34	38→45	48→40	35	169/226/243	74	276	6	5	39%	6%	33	-3.6	182/236/280	98	272	10	4	35%	6%	45	-2.7	205/259/305	100	287	9	2	30%	5%	56	-0.6
✕Yuber Rodriguez 2007 · A	23	37→30	36→40	49→50	40	178/240/240	62	276	4	15	35%	7%	37	-3.3	191/242/273	82	305	6	11	37%	6%	45	-2.7	180/227/261	81	289	6	8	38%	5%	33	-1.5
✕Tyler Esplin 2022 · A	23	38→39	37→40	49→45	41	181/245/253	71	281	4	6	35%	7%	42	-2.9	200/258/285	85	310	4	6	34%	7%	54	-2.0	204/265/288	85	331	0	0	36%	8%	54	-0.5
✕Jose Dilone 2023 · A	22	37	37→30	51→55	41	173/253/240	67	291	5	13	39%	8%	43	-2.8	207/284/292	85	367	6	11	41%	9%	66	-1.1	210/300/295	85	416	8	12	46%	10%	69	-0.2
✕Robertico Medina 2016 · A	22	35	39→40	51→45	40	167/256/251	85	295	7	9	42%	9%	47	-2.5	187/276/261	74	337	5	6	41%	10%	57	-1.8	149/259/185	36	298	2	3	44%	13%	32	-1.3
✕J.C. Cardenas 2017 · A	23	37	38→30	46→40	39	182/236/261	79	276	6	5	35%	7%	40	-3.0	187/234/255	68	313	5	6	39%	6%	38	-3.2	160/201/196	36	286	1	3	42%	4%	9	-2.5
✕Yasel Antuna 2023 · AA	23	37→35	43→45	48→50	48	187/270/293	106	259	11	14	30%	10%	61	-1.5	189/270/286	97	275	9	13	32%	9%	59	-1.6	143/232/224	81	211	7	12	33%	10%	31	-1.5
✕Brock Carpenter 2018 · A	23	37	41→40	48→30	42	183/257/279	96	281	10	6	36%	8%	53	-2.1	199/261/302	103	329	8	6	39%	7%	59	-1.6	183/243/303	120	312	8	3	41%	7%	49	-0.8
✕Francisco Hernandez 2023 · A	23	38	38→40	50	38	175/247/252	77	309	5	14	42%	8%	43	-2.8	188/243/273	85	309	6	13	38%	7%	46	-2.6	151/189/225	74	251	5	14	41%	4%	10	-2.0
✕Vicente Conde 2017 · AA	23	40→35	39→40	46→45	44	193/259/279	85	278	5	7	31%	8%	53	-2.1	176/250/260	84	258	6	6	31%	9%	46	-2.6	104/202/173	69	167	5	2	38%	10%	8	-1.6
✕Alvaro Gonzalez 2023 · A	22	37	38→30	41→40	40	175/261/255	80	292	6	4	39%	8%	51	-2.3	178/262/263	85	293	7	6	38%	8%	52	-2.2	118/211/171	53	191	3	5	36%	8%	11	-1.1
✕Ricky Aracena 2021 · A	23	40→37	37→30	48→55	38	195/241/263	68	271	6	14	30%	5%	42	-2.9	193/252/278	85	301	5	19	35%	7%	50	-2.3	173/235/255	82	275	3	25	35%	7%	36	-2.4
✕Herard Gonzalez 2023 · A	22	42→40	41→40	49→50	44	197/272/291	94	306	8	11	36%	9%	61	-1.5	194/262/274	80	295	5	9	33%	8%	53	-2.1	167/238/227	59	259	1	7	33%	8%	32	-2.3