Kevin Rivas — OGILVIE

Kevin RivasSS Lake County Captains

Age 23 S/R 5'8" / 183 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION69 act + 137 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†33

AVG/OBP/SLG.163 / .243 / .236

PA137

HR1

K%36

BB%9

BABIP260

ISO73

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 37

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER37

scouting grade only

EYE58

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL Indians Red	—	107	88	15	3	1	0	16	41	1	2	3	170	305	227	532	57	312	38	15	242	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK	DSL Indians Red	—	107	79	19	4	1	0	25	29	1	2	3	241	429	316	745	76	373	27	23	351	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	DSL CLE Red	—	136	122	20	2	3	0	11	71	3	10	1	164	250	230	480	66	392	52	8	225	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	DSL CLE Red	—	136	115	31	3	4	1	18	51	3	10	1	270	382	391	774	122	476	38	13	353	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	3 teams	—	157	139	11	2	1	0	17	101	1	4	3	79	185	108	293	29	289	64	11	149	-28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	3 teams	—	157	128	19	4	1	0	28	71	1	4	3	148	306	195	501	47	333	45	18	253	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	Lake County Captains	—	130	111	13	2	1	1	12	70	4	2	0	117	228	180	409	63	279	54	9	197	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	Lake County Captains	—	130	107	19	4	1	2	16	54	4	2	0	178	307	290	597	112	315	42	12	276	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	A+	CLE	—	69	63	3	1	0	0	6	44	0	0	0	48	130	63	194	16	158	64	9	120	-50	-12	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.9
YTD	23	A+	CLE	—	69	60	6	2	0	1	9	33	0	0	0	100	217	183	401	83	192	48	13	198	10	-7	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.4
ROS	23	A+	CLE	0%	137	123	20	4	1	1	12	50	1	2	1	163	243	236	478	73	259	36	9	229	33	-10	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.5
ROS	23	MLB	CLE	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						260	0	0	221	28	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	A+	CLE	—	70	64	3	1	0	0	6	44	0	0	0	47	129	62	191	16	150	63	9	122	-49	-12	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.9
TOT	23	A+	CLE	—	206	186	23	5	1	1	18	94	1	2	1	124	205	177	382	54	239	46	9	192	5	-22	+0	+0	+2	+6	-1.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	CLE	30%	332	296	53	10	2	5	30	115	3	5	1	179	261	277	538	98	266	35	9	245	46	-20	+1	+0	+4	+9	-0.7
2028	25	MLB	CLE	44%	385	343	62	12	2	6	35	130	4	6	1	181	264	280	544	99	269	34	9	253	52	-21	+1	+0	+4	+11	-0.5
2027	24	MLB	CLE	30%	101	90	15	3	0	1	9	35	1	1	0	167	250	233	483	67	267	35	9	237	40	-7	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.3
2028	25	MLB	CLE	44%	170	151	28	5	1	3	15	57	2	2	1	185	268	291	559	106	269	34	9	246	46	-10	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	272	242	43	8	1	4	24	92	3	3	1	178	260	269	529	91	264	34	9	243	44	-17	+0	+0	+3	+8	-0.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	103	19	2	10	57	220	7	7	2	178	260	270	530	92	263	34	9	243	44	-41	+1	+0	+7	+18	-1.6
Career	—			—	1384	1222	194	35	11	13	133	578	17	31	10	159	251	237	488	79	283	42	10	228	33	-105	+2	+0	+15	+39	-5.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	90	16	5	6	62	271	8	15	5	157	248	233	482	77	279	42	10	228	33	-49	+1	+0	+7	+18	-2.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL Indians Red	—	107	79	19	4	1	0	25	29	1	2	3	241	429	316	745	76	373	27	23	351	127	+3	-1	—	—	+3	0.6
2022	19	ROK	DSL CLE Red	—	136	115	31	3	4	1	18	51	3	10	1	270	382	391	774	122	476	38	13	353	128	+4	+2	—	—	+4	1.0
2024	21	A+	Lake County Captains	—	34	29	4	0	0	0	5	18	0	0	0	138	265	138	403		364	53	15	209	18	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2024	21	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	89	76	11	3	1	0	13	42	0	1	2	145	270	211	480	66	324	47	15	235	38	-6	-1	—	—	+3	-0.4
2024	21	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	34	23	4	1	0	0	10	11	1	3	1	174	441	217	659	43	333	32	29	344	122	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2025	22	A+	Lake County Captains	—	130	107	19	4	1	2	16	54	4	2	0	178	307	290	597	112	315	42	12	276	69	-4	+0	—	—	+4	-0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	272	4	4	182	262	280	+3	+3	-0.4	-0.2
	/162	664	10	10	182	262	280	+7.1	+7.3	-1.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kevin Rivas (OGILVIE)	23	20→25	32→37	45→50	58	124/205/177	54	239	1	2	46%	9%	5	-1.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Oliver Dominguez 2012 · A	23	40	40	52→45	48	194/269/288	94	262	8	15	28%	9%	54	-1.4	194/256/291	97	283	8	8	32%	7%	49	-1.8	176/234/268	92	260	7	3	34%	7%	31	-1.1
✕Jobduan Morales 2014 · A	23	38	37→40	49→40	43	181/247/254	73	273	5	4	34%	8%	36	-2.7	197/257/282	85	305	6	5	35%	7%	46	-2.0	190/250/277	88	302	6	3	37%	7%	43	-1.0
✕Yasel Antuna 2023 · AA	23	38→36	43→45	48→50	49	189/273/296	108	264	11	14	31%	10%	59	-1.1	189/270/286	97	280	9	13	33%	9%	55	-1.4	142/231/225	83	214	8	12	35%	9%	21	-1.5
✕Gerard Hall 2011 · A	23	41→39	37→40	49→50	44	195/254/270	74	274	4	12	29%	7%	42	-2.3	214/267/300	86	306	4	10	29%	6%	55	-1.4	225/274/314	90	324	0	8	29%	6%	59	-0.6
✕Nicholas Romero 2010 · A	23	40→42	41→40	50→45	46	198/272/295	97	268	9	6	28%	8%	58	-1.2	190/254/275	85	268	5	6	29%	7%	44	-2.1	176/239/256	80	250	4	4	29%	7%	32	-2.3
✕Raul Siri 2018 · A	23	39	38→40	51→50	42	192/251/271	80	265	6	11	29%	7%	42	-2.3	199/264/283	84	349	5	9	41%	7%	51	-1.7	149/237/238	89	307	4	14	47%	8%	28	-0.6
✕Arquímedes Gamboa 2021 · AA	23	38→44	36→40	51→50	45	179/255/247	68	273	4	15	33%	9%	37	-2.6	199/279/294	95	294	8	14	32%	10%	59	-1.1	198/284/290	92	298	8	15	33%	10%	58	-0.7
✕J.T. Arruda 2022 · A	24	39→41	38→40	54→55	42	186/251/269	83	279	5	13	33%	8%	41	-2.3	201/275/292	91	299	6	20	32%	9%	58	-1.2	205/267/297	93	281	9	23	29%	7%	52	-0.8
✕Connor Justus 2018 · A	23	41→37	38→40	46→45	45	193/275/270	77	281	5	9	31%	8%	53	-1.5	176/256/248	72	256	5	8	31%	8%	40	-2.4	158/238/217	59	235	4	6	32%	7%	21	-2.5
✕Jordan Pearce 2019 · A	23	38→34	39→40	46→40	47	189/260/270	81	253	8	3	28%	9%	46	-2.0	194/278/278	84	265	7	5	27%	9%	56	-1.3	170/274/238	68	231	6	3	26%	10%	43	-1.4
✕Rey Bruguera 2015 · A	23	41	38→40	43→50	40	199/252/273	74	288	6	6	32%	6%	42	-2.3	190/256/261	71	300	5	5	35%	8%	41	-2.3	147/230/190	43	242	3	0	37%	9%	10	-1.8
✕Josue Huma 2022 · A	22	42	39→40	51→50	45	203/273/286	83	281	6	10	28%	8%	56	-1.3	213/268/299	86	285	7	9	26%	7%	56	-1.3	227/271/307	79	288	8	8	23%	6%	54	-0.7
✕Wendell Soto 2015 · A	23	41→44	41→40	49→50	43	202/255/297	95	270	8	8	28%	6%	50	-1.8	195/265/275	80	291	6	11	32%	9%	49	-1.8	150/239/191	41	242	2	18	35%	10%	16	-1.4
✕Chase Simpson 2016 · A	24	41→37	42→45	51→45	45	199/269/307	108	284	9	6	32%	8%	59	-1.1	190/254/306	116	279	10	6	34%	7%	53	-1.5	164/230/284	120	238	10	3	34%	7%	34	-1.1
✕Vicente Conde 2017 · AA	23	40→34	39→45	46→45	44	192/257/281	88	278	6	7	32%	8%	46	-2.0	176/250/262	86	262	7	6	32%	9%	40	-2.4	103/200/175	72	170	6	2	40%	10%	-4	-1.7
✕Herard Gonzalez 2023 · A	22	41→40	40	49→50	42	195/266/288	93	304	8	11	36%	8%	53	-1.5	195/264/277	82	296	5	9	33%	8%	49	-1.8	170/247/233	63	264	1	7	33%	9%	29	-2.0
✕Caleb Hamilton 2019 · A	24	34	41→45	45	46	172/252/271	98	253	7	6	33%	9%	43	-2.2	186/255/287	101	275	10	8	33%	8%	48	-1.9	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Jon Murphy 2013 · A	23	38	38→30	47→50	39	185/237/262	77	264	5	13	31%	6%	33	-2.9	197/249/259	62	309	3	10	35%	6%	37	-2.6	191/245/241	50	305	2	10	36%	6%	27	-1.8
✕Grae Kessinger 2021 · A	23	43→28	39→45	50	47	209/276/293	84	265	7	12	23%	8%	58	-1.2	188/256/297	109	262	13	15	32%	7%	51	-1.7	189/267/300	111	249	11	7	27%	9%	56	-0.5
✕Mack Chambers 2022 · A	22	41	37→40	45→50	44	197/255/273	76	263	4	7	26%	7%	43	-2.2	211/273/309	98	276	8	11	25%	7%	61	-1.0	203/270/297	93	260	8	13	24%	8%	54	-0.7