Jhon Diaz

CF Bowling Green Hot Rods

Age 24 L/L 5'8" / 160 lbs A+ HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	22	A+TB	369	.187/.262/.328	10	13	26	—	.151/.202/.267
2026	23	AATB	160	.168/.252/.315	4	2	24	—	.142/.201/.257
2026	23	A+TB	176	.208/.276/.346	5	8	28	—	.164/.207/.267
2027PROJ0% MLB	24	MLBTB	2	.177/.227/.292	0	0	43	-0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB	25	MLBTB	105	.181/.232/.299	2	2	47	-0.4
2029PROJ44% MLB	26	MLBTB	173	.184/.237/.304	4	4	50	-0.6

Next 3 projected WAR -1.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

Speed70

ISO49

BB%41

Z-Con%40

Whiff%23

K%18

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsTyler Miller (age 24) · Cody Morissette (age 24) · Jacob Pearson (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†43

AVG/OBP/SLG.177 / .227 / .292

PA2

HR0

K%50

BB%5

BABIP246

ISO116

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	DSL Rays 1	—	191	159	28	5	2	1	29	58	0	5	3	176	303	252	555	75	262	30	15	262	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	FCL Rays	—	165	151	34	7	4	2	12	52	1	9	4	225	287	364	651	139	327	32	7	289	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	392	340	80	19	6	6	42	102	3	14	10	235	325	379	704	144	314	26	11	312	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	163	146	27	1	1	3	15	50	2	7	0	185	270	267	537	82	258	31	9	251	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	269	242	53	7	2	11	21	60	2	23	7	219	287	401	688	182	240	22	8	301	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	INTL	Perth Heat	—	166	156	42	5	0	6	7	31	2	3	5	269	309	417	726	147	300	19	4	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	369	332	62	9	4	10	31	89	3	13	3	187	262	328	591	142	220	24	8	265	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	160	143	24	5	2	4	15	50	1	2	3	168	252	315	566	147	225	31	9	256	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	176	159	33	7	0	5	15	44	0	8	2	208	276	346	622	138	255	25	9	278	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rays 1	—	191	169	19	3	1	1	19	72	0	5	3	112	202	160	362	47	172	38	10	167	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	165	155	22	5	2	1	8	75	1	9	4	142	189	219	408	77	263	45	5	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	392	354	66	16	6	4	28	141	3	14	10	186	252	299	551	113	277	36	7	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	163	152	21	1	1	2	9	68	2	7	0	138	196	197	394	59	224	42	6	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	269	249	43	5	2	10	14	83	2	23	7	173	223	329	552	157	200	31	5	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	369	344	52	7	3	9	19	114	3	13	3	151	202	267	470	116	190	31	5	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	160	148	21	4	2	3	10	61	1	2	3	142	201	257	458	115	212	38	6	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	176	165	27	5	0	4	9	58	0	8	2	164	207	267	474	103	222	33	5	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rays 1	—	191	169	19	3	1	1	19	72	0	5	3	112	202	160	362	47	182	38	10	167	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rays 1	—	191	159	28	5	2	1	29	58	0	5	3	176	303	252	555	75	262	30	15	262	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	165	155	22	5	2	1	8	75	1	9	4	142	189	219	408	77	263	45	5	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	FCL Rays	—	165	151	34	7	4	2	12	52	1	9	4	225	287	364	651	139	327	32	7	289	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	392	354	66	16	6	4	28	141	3	14	10	186	252	299	551	113	291	36	7	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A RAW	Charleston RiverDogs	—	392	340	80	19	6	6	42	102	3	14	10	235	325	379	704	144	314	26	11	312	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	3 teams	—	598	555	87	8	3	17	32	209	6	33	12	157	211	274	485	117	210	35	5	215	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	3 teams	—	598	544	122	13	3	20	43	141	6	33	12	224	288	369	658	145	263	24	7	293	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	369	344	52	7	3	9	19	114	3	13	3	151	202	267	470	116	192	31	5	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	369	332	62	9	4	10	31	89	3	13	3	187	262	328	591	142	220	24	8	265	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	336	313	49	10	2	7	19	119	1	10	5	157	207	268	476	112	225	35	6	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	336	302	57	12	2	9	30	94	1	10	5	189	264	331	595	142	241	28	9	267	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rays 1	—	191	170	19	3	1	1	19	72	0	5	3	112	202	159	361	47	172	38	10	167	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	165	155	22	5	2	1	8	75	1	9	4	142	189	219	408	77	263	45	5	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	392	358	66	16	6	4	28	141	3	14	10	184	252	296	548	112	277	36	7	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	3 teams	—	598	555	87	8	3	17	32	209	6	33	12	157	211	274	485	117	209	35	5	215	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	369	344	52	7	3	9	19	114	3	13	3	151	202	267	470	116	190	31	5	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	336	313	49	10	2	7	19	119	1	10	5	157	207	268	476	112	217	35	6	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	A MLE	3 teams	—	598	555	87	8	3	17	32	209	6	33	12	157	211	274	485	117	209	35	5	215	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	369	344	52	7	3	9	19	114	3	13	3	151	202	267	470	116	190	31	5	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	336	313	49	10	2	7	19	119	1	10	5	157	207	268	476	112	217	35	6	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	TB	0%	380	354	62	11	2	9	21	128	2	8	3	175	225	292	518	117	243	34	6	232	43	-26	+0	+0	+1	+8	-1.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	TB	0%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	177	227	292	518	115	246	50	0	232	43	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	TB	30%	348	323	58	10	2	8	20	115	2	8	3	179	231	300	531	121	246	33	6	238	47	-22	+0	+0	+1	+8	-1.3
2029	26	MLB MLE	TB	44%	392	364	66	12	2	9	23	128	2	8	3	182	236	305	541	123	248	33	6	242	50	-23	+0	+0	+1	+8	-1.3
2028	25	MLB CTX	TB	30%	105	97	18	3	1	2	6	35	1	2	1	181	232	299	532	119	249	33	6	238	47	-7	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.4
2029	26	MLB CTX	TB	44%	173	160	29	5	1	4	10	56	1	4	1	184	237	304	541	121	251	32	6	242	50	-10	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	278	257	47	8	2	6	16	91	2	6	2	183	236	300	536	117	253	33	6	241	35	-17	+0	+0	+1	+6	-1.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	601	110	19	5	14	37	213	5	14	5	183	236	301	538	118	253	33	6	241	35	-39	+1	+0	+2	+14	-2.3
Career	—	MLE		—	3106	2870	470	80	23	63	185	1080	20	107	45	164	220	274	493	110	233	35	6	220	35	-66	+1	+0	+4	+23	-3.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	601	99	17	5	13	39	226	4	22	9	165	221	275	495	110	234	35	6	220	35	-41	+1	+0	+2	+14	-2.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jake Marisnicklast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,213 PA	3.3	2,213	63	81	227	280	381	+5	+54	8.3	8.1
/162	664	19	24	+1.4	+16.2	2.5	pk7: 8
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Ruben Rivera'95-'03 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,818 PA	2.7	1,818	64	50	206*	292*	376*	-1	+20	4.0	4.0
/162	664	23	18	-0.3	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 4
#4Garrett Hampsonlast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,805 PA	2.7	1,805	29	65	234	296	352	+10	+10	3.9	3.9
/162	664	11	24	+3.6	+3.7	1.4	pk7: 4
#5Rick Bosetti'76-'82 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,656 PA	2.5	1,656	17	30	243*	286*	358*	+3	+16	0.6	0.6
/162	664	7	12	+1.4	+6.5	0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.4	280	7	6	182	232	304	+1	+2	-0.8	-0.4
/162	664	16	14	+2.4	+5.9	-1.8	pk7: 0
#6Joe Simpson'75-'83 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,531 PA	2.3	1,531	9	45	237*	289*	336*	-9	+2	-2.3	-1.8
/162	664	4	20	-4.0	+1.1	-1.0	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jhon Diaz (OGILVIE)	24	30	40	50	35	174/224/290	116	243	7	7	34%	6%	43	-1.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tyler Miller 2024 · A	24	37→28	44→45	52→50	35	189/234/299	110	275	12	16	35%	5%	49	-2.4	190/235/288	98	259	9	8	29%	5%	46	-2.6	182/226/277	94	237	8	3	26%	5%	38	-1.8
✕Cody Morissette 2024 · AA	24	35→31	46→45	44→55	40	187/242/313	126	243	15	5	30%	6%	55	-1.9	190/243/309	119	252	13	15	29%	6%	55	-2.0	184/241/305	121	240	14	19	29%	6%	51	-1.4
✕Jacob Pearson 2022 · AA	24	38→39	42→40	48→50	43	192/247/294	102	256	10	11	29%	7%	52	-2.2	190/254/288	98	267	8	17	30%	7%	54	-2.0	169/239/258	89	238	7	22	30%	7%	39	-1.3
✕Ethan Wilson 2024 · AA	24	40→41	45	48→50	38	204/246/323	119	265	13	14	28%	4%	59	-1.7	202/248/315	113	265	12	12	28%	5%	57	-1.8	174/217/269	95	221	11	12	27%	5%	34	-2.2
✕Nick Decker 2024 · A	24	32	45	50	36	162/239/282	119	288	12	12	45%	8%	48	-2.5	180/245/296	116	338	11	13	46%	7%	53	-2.1	130/195/239	109	257	12	16	52%	7%	19	-1.6
✕Ismael Alcantara 2023 · AA	24	38→30	45	50	37	195/253/316	121	280	13	12	34%	6%	60	-1.6	211/268/301	90	312	8	17	33%	6%	61	-1.5	216/273/285	69	324	7	24	33%	6%	57	-1.2
✕Mike Peabody 2023 · A	24	38	44→45	47→50	38	189/265/301	112	291	12	12	37%	7%	62	-1.4	196/263/302	106	291	10	12	35%	6%	61	-1.5	171/236/270	98	250	11	12	34%	5%	41	-1.3
✕Jose Torres 2024 · AA	24	36→34	42→45	53→55	37	183/238/282	98	269	11	17	35%	6%	47	-2.6	184/237/284	100	283	11	14	37%	6%	47	-2.6	172/225/269	98	261	12	14	38%	5%	36	-1.7
✕Pat Porter 2017 · A	24	31	43→45	47→45	37	166/233/275	109	251	11	7	37%	6%	43	-2.8	190/251/288	98	289	9	8	35%	6%	53	-2.1	173/233/241	69	263	7	5	35%	6%	33	-1.3
✕Derek Jones 2014 · A	24	34→29	45	49→50	34	181/231/296	115	269	13	11	37%	5%	47	-2.5	182/240/288	106	304	11	10	41%	6%	49	-2.4	152/217/246	94	268	10	8	44%	6%	28	-2.7
✕Julian Escobedo 2023 · AA	25	39→38	41→40	48→50	41	192/258/288	96	263	8	14	29%	6%	55	-1.9	207/273/319	112	287	10	14	30%	7%	68	-1.0	180/253/308	127	261	11	20	33%	6%	55	-0.4
✕Jacob Wetzel 2024 · A	24	38→34	41→45	50	44	185/262/277	92	271	8	12	33%	8%	55	-2.0	199/275/320	121	288	9	14	31%	9%	69	-0.9	196/279/346	150	275	11	17	30%	10%	75	-0.3
✕Mateo Gil 2024 · AA	24	37→33	44→45	45	38	192/239/311	120	269	12	6	33%	6%	53	-2.1	190/231/300	110	273	11	6	33%	5%	47	-2.5	156/185/252	96	223	10	3	35%	3%	16	-2.5
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	38→30	42→45	48→50	41	192/253/286	94	259	11	15	30%	6%	53	-2.1	198/271/310	112	262	13	14	28%	8%	66	-1.1	186/264/278	92	250	9	8	27%	8%	55	-0.8
✕Seth Gray 2022 · A	24	36→37	42→40	49→50	39	178/256/274	96	282	10	6	38%	7%	53	-2.1	198/274/304	106	324	12	11	40%	8%	65	-1.2	193/273/299	105	322	13	14	41%	8%	61	-1.1
✕Fabian Pertuz 2024 · AA	23	35→36	40	51→55	36	179/227/266	87	258	7	13	33%	5%	38	-3.2	186/239/281	95	297	9	11	38%	6%	46	-2.6	156/208/244	89	265	10	7	43%	5%	24	-2.2
✕Kody Eaves 2017 · AA	24	39→43	44→45	49→50	38	194/245/316	122	281	11	11	34%	6%	57	-1.8	201/254/317	116	281	10	8	31%	6%	60	-1.6	194/246/306	112	267	10	6	30%	6%	52	-1.5
✕Jackson Cluff 2021 · A	24	40→30	42→45	51→60	40	198/262/303	106	282	9	12	32%	6%	60	-1.6	182/252/273	91	277	7	13	35%	6%	50	-2.3	178/268/298	120	261	12	28	34%	10%	60	-0.9
✕Michel Triana 2023 · A	23	35→27	44→45	49→50	35	178/240/295	117	283	12	9	40%	6%	51	-2.3	178/237/278	100	283	9	9	38%	6%	45	-2.7	102/161/158	56	170	2	6	39%	6%	-13	-1.9
✕Carlos Herrera 2021 · AA	24	40→44	41→45	47→50	36	197/237/299	101	281	8	11	32%	4%	49	-2.4	212/249/324	112	295	9	16	30%	4%	59	-1.6	206/235/323	117	284	9	21	30%	3%	51	-1.3

Jhon Diaz

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps