Ryan Nicholson

1B Tri-City Dust Devils

Age 26 L/L 6'4" / 226 lbs A+ K +5%HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	24	AALAA	143	.187/.291/.333	5	0	34	—	.155/.227/.271
2025	24	A+LAA	400	.264/.385/.448	14	1	81	—	.210/.306/.352
2026	25	AAALAA	81	.219/.278/.397	3	1	45	—	.173/.215/.293
2026	25	A+LAA	342	.256/.320/.400	9	0	50	—	.199/.249/.307
2027PROJ0% MLB	26	MLBLAA	1	.201/.262/.322	0	0	64	-0.0
2028PROJ26% MLB	27	MLBLAA	88	.202/.264/.323	2	1	65	-0.3

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Whiff%51

Z-Con%46

Max EV39

Speed36

K%28

BB%22

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsBryce Ball (age 26) · Carlos Franco (age 26) · Luke Tendler (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .262 / .322

PA1

HR0

K%32

BB%7

BABIP274

ISO118

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	23	A	Inland Empire 66ers	—	134	113	33	12	0	4	17	23	4	1	0	292	403	504	907	212	337	17	13	402	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	143	123	23	3	0	5	18	41	0	0	0	187	291	333	624	146	231	29	13	282	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	400	330	87	17	1	14	58	94	7	1	1	264	385	448	833	185	323	24	14	370	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	81	73	16	4	0	3	6	22	0	1	0	219	278	397	676	178	260	27	7	293	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A+	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	342	305	78	17	0	9	29	86	1	0	1	256	320	400	720	144	321	25	8	317	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	23	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	—	134	119	29	10	0	3	11	33	4	1	0	244	328	403	732	160	305	25	8	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	143	129	20	3	0	4	12	49	0	0	0	155	227	271	498	116	203	34	8	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	400	347	73	14	1	11	41	124	7	1	1	210	306	352	658	141	277	31	10	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	—	81	75	13	3	0	2	4	26	0	1	0	173	215	293	509	120	229	32	5	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	342	316	63	13	0	7	20	116	1	0	1	199	249	307	556	108	274	34	6	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	—	134	119	29	10	0	3	11	33	4	1	0	244	328	403	732	160	313	25	8	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A RAW	Inland Empire 66ers	—	134	113	33	12	0	4	17	23	4	1	0	292	403	504	907	212	337	17	13	402	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	543	476	93	17	1	15	53	174	7	1	1	195	285	330	615	134	267	32	10	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	543	453	110	20	1	19	76	135	7	1	1	243	360	417	777	174	299	25	14	347	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	423	391	76	16	0	9	24	142	1	1	1	194	243	304	547	110	271	34	6	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	423	378	94	21	0	12	35	108	1	1	1	249	312	399	712	151	309	26	8	313	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	—	134	118	29	10	0	3	11	33	4	1	0	246	328	407	735	161	305	25	8	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	543	478	93	17	1	15	53	174	7	1	1	195	285	328	614	134	258	32	10	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	423	395	76	16	0	9	24	142	1	1	1	192	243	301	544	109	265	34	6	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	23	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	—	134	118	29	10	0	3	11	33	4	1	0	246	328	407	735	161	305	25	8	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	543	478	93	17	1	15	53	174	7	1	1	195	285	328	614	134	258	32	10	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	423	395	76	16	0	9	24	142	1	1	1	192	243	301	544	109	265	34	6	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	LAA	0%	380	348	71	14	1	9	27	120	2	3	1	202	263	323	586	121	276	32	7	263	64	-16	+0	+0	-7	+8	-0.8
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	26	MLB CTX	LAA	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	201	262	322	584	121	274	0	0	262	64	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	LAA	26%	336	307	63	13	1	8	24	105	2	3	1	203	265	325	589	121	276	31	7	265	65	-14	+0	+0	-6	+7	-1.3
2028	27	MLB CTX	LAA	26%	88	82	16	3	0	2	6	27	0	1	0	202	264	323	587	121	274	31	7	264	65	-4	+0	+0	-2	+2	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	88	82	16	3	0	2	6	27	0	1	0	195	250	305	555	110	264	31	7	264	65	-4	+0	+0	-2	+2	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	606	118	22	0	15	44	199	0	7	0	195	249	305	555	111	263	31	7	264	65	-27	+1	+0	-12	+14	-2.3
Career	—	MLE		—	1686	1522	307	65	2	41	130	533	15	8	4	202	271	328	599	126	276	32	8	264	65	-24	+0	+0	-10	+13	-2.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	119	25	1	16	50	205	6	3	2	203	273	330	603	128	277	32	8	264	65	-27	+0	+0	-12	+14	-2.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ryan Nicholson (OGILVIE)	26	45	50	40	60	200/261/320	120	276	6	2	31%	7%	64	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Bryce Ball 2024 · AA	26	42→50	44→45	39→30	46	205/278/323	118	294	11	2	32%	9%	71	-0.8	198/267/305	107	312	9	5	36%	8%	63	-1.4	150/230/240	90	259	6	0	41%	9%	33	-1.2
✕Carlos Franco 2018 · AAA	26	45→49	45	42→45	41	220/274/334	114	311	13	3	32%	7%	72	-0.7	217/267/348	131	332	16	4	37%	6%	72	-0.7	203/250/330	127	319	16	1	40%	6%	61	-1.2
✕Luke Tendler 2018 · AA	26	41→43	46→50	39→40	42	210/264/340	130	270	13	3	27%	6%	69	-0.9	206/255/319	113	274	12	4	28%	6%	61	-1.5	197/246/300	103	260	12	3	29%	5%	51	-1.6
✕Jeremy Vasquez 2022 · AA	26	43→47	43→45	40→30	48	210/277/320	111	270	10	4	25%	8%	70	-0.9	217/277/307	90	277	7	4	23%	7%	66	-1.1	218/276/284	66	273	4	0	20%	7%	58	-1.2
✕D.J. Hicks 2016 · AA	26	43→46	43→45	40→30	45	213/275/324	110	288	10	3	29%	8%	70	-0.9	215/275/303	88	303	6	5	29%	7%	64	-1.3	213/273/286	73	303	4	2	29%	7%	57	-1.5
✕Ricky Oropesa 2016 · AA	26	44→43	45	43→30	39	219/265/340	120	296	14	2	30%	6%	69	-0.9	213/266/334	121	294	14	5	31%	6%	69	-0.9	182/241/284	103	249	14	0	32%	6%	45	-1.3
✕Connor Panas 2019 · AA	26	41→42	45	45→40	40	208/268/329	121	273	13	5	28%	6%	69	-0.9	214/277/337	123	278	12	8	27%	6%	74	-0.6	172/258/322	149	210	16	6	26%	7%	60	-0.3
✕Chantz Mack 2017 · AA	26	44→46	43→45	45	46	218/286/329	111	292	11	5	28%	8%	75	-0.5	215/290/317	102	295	9	6	28%	9%	74	-0.6	154/267/206	52	209	4	0	26%	13%	39	-0.6
✕Tristan Gray 2022 · AAA	26	42→36	47→50	42→40	42	214/275/350	136	287	14	5	30%	7%	76	-0.4	189/242/343	154	266	20	4	36%	5%	63	-1.4	197/252/324	127	261	14	3	29%	6%	61	-1.0
✕Viosergy Rosa 2016 · AA	26	42→49	44→45	46→30	48	211/285/326	115	275	12	2	27%	9%	74	-0.5	206/270/322	116	289	12	2	31%	8%	68	-1.0	200/261/318	118	281	13	0	32%	7%	62	-1.0
✕Will Robertson 2024 · AA	26	37→41	50	45	39	198/255/352	154	274	17	7	34%	6%	70	-0.9	201/266/344	143	287	16	5	34%	7%	72	-0.7	195/264/336	141	278	16	2	34%	7%	67	-0.8
✕Lazaro Alonso 2021 · AA	26	46→44	44→45	44→30	43	220/289/338	118	332	12	4	35%	8%	78	-0.3	207/286/309	102	359	9	6	40%	10%	71	-0.8	172/268/256	84	325	9	2	45%	11%	50	-0.9
✕Dillon Paulson 2023 · AA	26	44→36	46→50	45→30	49	224/293/354	130	274	15	6	24%	8%	84	+0.1	218/281/327	109	285	10	5	25%	8%	73	-0.6	211/273/307	96	276	7	0	25%	7%	62	-0.5
✕Aldrem Corredor 2022 · AA	26	45→54	43→45	46→40	41	221/269/328	107	292	10	4	28%	6%	68	-1.0	219/280/328	109	288	12	4	27%	7%	72	-0.7	210/275/307	97	271	13	0	27%	8%	64	-1.0
✕Stefan Welch 2014 · AA	25	42→43	44→45	45→40	44	211/277/327	117	279	13	5	28%	7%	72	-0.7	204/279/316	112	284	11	5	30%	8%	70	-0.8	180/264/285	106	254	10	1	31%	8%	57	-1.2
✕Danny Hayes 2017 · AAA	26	45→46	46→45	42→30	51	221/301/353	132	286	13	2	26%	10%	86	+0.3	204/275/343	139	289	16	4	33%	9%	74	-0.5	177/251/308	131	252	16	0	35%	9%	57	-1.6
✕Brendon Sanger 2019 · AA	25	42	43→45	41→45	46	208/276/318	109	276	11	5	28%	8%	69	-0.9	191/261/300	109	279	12	7	34%	8%	60	-1.6	145/223/242	97	216	12	4	37%	7%	31	-2.5
✕Erik Castro 2014 · AA	26	43→44	50	37→40	42	220/279/368	148	302	18	4	33%	7%	82	-0.0	210/273/330	120	293	13	6	31%	8%	70	-0.8	144/223/222	78	206	9	0	33%	9%	26	-1.1
✕Josh Lester 2021 · AAA	27	40→44	47→55	47→40	42	206/260/337	131	267	15	3	28%	6%	68	-1.0	204/251/378	174	262	22	5	31%	5%	74	-0.6	195/241/366	171	246	22	4	31%	5%	65	-1.0
✕Matt Skole 2016 · AAA	27	39→40	46→50	44→40	48	203/277/331	128	264	15	4	28%	9%	73	-0.6	199/263/344	145	253	18	4	28%	8%	70	-0.8	181/256/315	134	241	16	1	31%	9%	60	-1.1