Dylan DeLucia

P Akron RubberDucks

Age 26 RHP 5'11" / 220 lbs AA peak 0.2 · 2028

Overview

AAPROSPECTFG #913

ETA2029FG ETA2027MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	23	MIX3 levels	13	13	49	2.55	2.78	26.9%	6.2%	—	K 21.6% · BB 7.4% · FIP 3.88
2025	24	MIX2 levels	24	22	108	3.57	3.99	23.8%	9.4%	—	K 18.8% · BB 10.6% · FIP 5.01
2026	25	AACLE	29	17	88	6.62	4.91	21.2%	10.2%	—	K 17.1% · BB 11.2% · FIP 5.64
2027PROJ	26	MLBCLE	21	21	128	5.20	5.20	18.2%	10.4%	-0.4
2028PROJ38% MLB	27	MLBCLE	8	8	47	5.13	5.15	18.5%	10.2%	-0.1
2029PROJ60% MLB	28	MLBCLE	12	12	73	5.12	5.16	18.7%	10.1%	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff55Command55FB velo45

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 95%

CompsLuis Santos (age 26) · Forrest Snow (age 26) · D.J. Houlton (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132124vR 116

ERA5.20

FIP5.20

K%18.2%

BB%10.4%

K-BB%7.8%

Proj IP128

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 128 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5055

CMD4555

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	13	13	49	193	52	12	4	100%	3.8	21.6%	7.4%	14.2%	3.0%	2.55	3.88	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	13	13	49	193	52	12	4	100%	3.8	21.6%	7.4%	14.2%	3.0%	2.55	3.88	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	13	13	49	193	52	12	4	100%	3.8	26.9%	6.2%	20.7%	2.1%	2.55	2.78	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	22	108	446	106	42	14	92%	4.5	18.8%	10.6%	8.2%	3.9%	3.57	5.01	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	22	108	446	106	42	14	92%	4.5	18.8%	10.6%	8.2%	3.9%	3.57	5.01	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	22	108	446	106	42	14	92%	4.5	23.8%	9.4%	14.3%	3.1%	3.57	3.99	—
2026	25	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	29	17	88	411	87	42	16	59%	3.0	17.1%	11.2%	5.9%	4.7%	6.62	5.64	—
2026	25	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	29	17	88	411	87	42	16	59%	3.0	17.1%	11.2%	5.9%	4.7%	6.62	5.64	—
2026	25	AA RAW	Akron RubberDucks	29	17	88	411	87	42	16	59%	3.0	21.2%	10.2%	10.9%	3.9%	6.62	4.91	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	CLE	21	21	128	540	98	56	19	100%	6.1	18.2%	10.4%	7.8%	3.5%	5.20	5.20	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	CLE	21	21	126	534	99	54	19	100%	6.0	18.5%	10.2%	8.4%	3.5%	5.13	5.15	-0.4
2029	28	MLB MLE	CLE	20	20	123	518	97	52	19	100%	6.1	18.7%	10.1%	8.5%	3.6%	5.12	5.16	-0.4
2030	29	MLB MLE	CLE	20	20	117	494	92	51	18	100%	5.9	18.6%	10.2%	8.4%	3.7%	5.18	5.25	-0.5
2031	30	MLB MLE	CLE	18	18	110	465	85	49	18	100%	6.1	18.3%	10.5%	7.9%	3.9%	5.30	5.40	-0.6
2028	27	MLB CTX	CLE	8	8	47	198	37	20	7	100%	5.9	18.5%	10.2%	8.4%	3.5%	5.13	5.15	-0.1
2029	28	MLB CTX	CLE	12	12	73	308	58	31	11	100%	6.1	18.7%	10.1%	8.5%	3.6%	5.12	5.16	-0.2
2030	29	MLB CTX	CLE	14	14	83	350	65	36	13	100%	5.9	18.6%	10.2%	8.4%	3.7%	5.18	5.25	-0.3
2031	30	MLB CTX	CLE	14	14	86	363	67	38	14	100%	6.1	18.3%	10.5%	7.9%	3.9%	5.30	5.40	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		48	48	290	1223	227	126	45	100%	6.0	18.5%	10.3%	8.3%	3.7%	5.19	4.88	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	157	87	31	100%	6.0	18.5%	10.3%	8.3%	3.7%	5.19	4.88	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		66	52	246	1050	196	108	43	79%	3.7	18.7%	10.3%	8.4%	4.1%	4.46	5.05	-1.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		54	42	200	854	159	88	35	79%	3.7	18.7%	10.3%	8.4%	4.1%	4.46	5.05	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Dylan DeLucia (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.20	18.2%	10.4%	3.5%	—	5.19	18.6%	8.4%	366	-0.01	—	—	—
Luis Santos R 2017 · 4.76 FIP	26	SP-	4.76	19.7%	9.7%	3.8%	.262	3.93	22.1%	13.0%	127	-0.83	3.53	472	86
Forrest Snow R 2015 · 5.03 FIP	26	SP-	5.03	16.1%	8.2%	4.1%	.263	4.14	21.8%	14.2%	256	-0.89	3.02	406	86
D.J. Houlton R 2005 · 4.85 FIP	25	SP-	4.85	15.6%	8.5%	3.6%	.297	4.74	18.6%	12.4%	28	-0.11	4.74	157	83
Nick Pasquale R 2017 · 4.74 FIP	26	SP-	4.74	16.8%	12.7%	2.6%	.306	3.80	17.9%	6.3%	50	-0.94	3.19	308	82
Derek True R 2024 · 4.90 FIP	23	SP-	4.90	18.5%	10.5%	3.7%	.333	4.95	17.6%	5.9%	73	+0.05	4.50	170	82
Logan Evans R 2024 · 4.17 FIP	23	SP-	4.17	17.8%	10.3%	2.3%	.257	4.17	17.9%	10.2%	125	+0.00	4.17	232	80
Kenten Egbert R 2024 · 4.26 FIP	23	SP-	4.26	19.6%	9.6%	2.9%	.257	4.34	10.8%	3.5%	133	+0.08	4.04	231	79
David Griffin R 2022 · 4.71 FIP	26	SP-	4.71	16.6%	9.8%	3.2%	.285	5.83	14.2%	5.0%	81	+1.12	4.43	239	79
Andrew Quezada R 2023 · 5.33 FIP	26	SP-	5.33	14.4%	9.5%	4.1%	.344	4.90	12.7%	5.3%	173	-0.43	4.40	412	79
Jared Mortensen R 2015 · 4.42 FIP	27	SP-	4.42	16.9%	7.8%	3.2%	.287	4.99	20.9%	2.1%	72	+0.57	4.42	200	79
Cody Sedlock R 2021 · 5.05 FIP	26	SP-	5.05	19.9%	10.9%	4.1%	.301	4.21	20.1%	7.1%	80	-0.84	4.21	378	78
Matthew Shepherd R 2015 · 4.98 FIP	25	SP-	4.98	13.7%	9.5%	3.3%	.390	—	—	—	—	—	4.98	116	78
Bubba Derby R 2019 · 5.42 FIP	25	SP-	5.42	18.0%	10.1%	4.7%	.287	5.14	19.4%	11.0%	71	-0.28	3.68	550	78
Tyler Uberstine R 2022 · 4.19 FIP	23	SP-	4.19	19.5%	10.5%	2.6%	.302	4.27	22.8%	15.4%	121	+0.08	2.98	262	78
Frank Batista R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	26	SP-	4.29	12.1%	8.2%	2.1%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	4.29	118	76
Alejandro Martinez R 2015 · 4.46 FIP	26	SP-	4.46	17.5%	10.9%	2.7%	.393	4.24	9.2%	3.9%	53	-0.22	4.24	166	76
Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2015 · 5.24 FIP	27	SP-	5.24	11.6%	9.8%	3.4%	.263	4.28	15.3%	5.2%	167	-0.96	4.01	272	76
Nic Swanson R 2024 · 4.91 FIP	25	SP	4.91	19.3%	11.8%	3.5%	.286	5.43	19.9%	6.5%	132	+0.52	4.29	438	75
Justin Armbruester R 2024 · 5.73 FIP	25	SP	5.73	20.2%	11.1%	5.3%	.289	1.49	27.5%	21.9%	15	-4.24	1.49	373	75
Zach Fruit R 2024 · 4.29 FIP	24	SP	4.29	19.3%	14.1%	1.9%	.258	5.03	15.4%	-0.2%	44	+0.74	4.29	151	75

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,853 starter careers (497 from 1990-2025 + 1,356 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.0	121	18.5%	10.3%	1.41	5.18
Don Black ('43-'48, 0 WAR*)	4.0	133	17.4%*	10.4%*	1.28*	5.32*
Jeff Robinson ('87-'92, 0 WAR*)	3.5	118	18.3%*	10.9%*	1.38*	5.14*
Kevin Foster ('01)	2.5	127	18.9%	10.0%	1.55	4.86
Matt Beech ('98)	1.5	98	20.2%	10.0%	1.59	5.37
Bill Grahame ('08-'10, 0 WAR*)	1.7	116	17.7%*	9.3%*	1.52*	5.11*
Brandon Claussen ('06)	1.6	105	16.0%	8.5%	1.37	5.04