LJ McDonough

P Columbus Clingstones

Age 27 RHP 6'3" / 200 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	24	MIX2 levels	33	47	4.21	3.23	30.7%	15.3%	—	K 22.6% · BB 16.7% · FIP 4.54
2025	25	MIX2 levels	39	47	4.60	3.36	23.2%	11.4%	—	K 18.5% · BB 12.6% · FIP 4.16
2026	26	AAATL	35	43	7.59	5.00	26.6%	20.2%	—	K 21.6% · BB 22.2% · FIP 5.60
2027PROJ	27	MLBATL	25	26	5.50	5.50	21.0%	17.7%	-0.3
2028PROJ38% MLB	28	MLBATL	9	9	5.43	5.47	21.1%	17.0%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsZane Russell (age 24) · Haden Erbe (age 25) · Derek Eitel (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 138129vR 121

ERA5.50

FIP5.50

K%21.0%

BB%17.7%

K-BB%3.3%

Proj IP26

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 26 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	6	0	7	39	8	5	0	0%	1.2	20.5%	12.8%	7.7%	0.0%	4.91	2.99	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	6	0	7	39	8	5	0	0%	1.2	20.5%	12.8%	7.7%	0.0%	4.91	2.96	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	0	47	215	66	33	3	0%	1.4	22.6%	16.7%	6.0%	2.3%	4.21	4.54	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	0	47	215	66	33	3	0%	1.4	22.6%	16.7%	6.0%	2.3%	4.21	4.54	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	0	47	215	66	33	3	0%	1.4	30.7%	15.3%	15.3%	1.4%	4.21	3.23	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	47	220	51	25	3	0%	1.2	18.5%	12.6%	5.8%	1.9%	4.60	4.16	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	47	220	51	25	3	0%	1.2	18.5%	12.6%	5.8%	1.9%	4.60	4.16	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	39	0	47	220	51	25	3	0%	1.2	23.2%	11.4%	11.8%	1.4%	4.60	3.36	—
2026	26	AA MLE	Columbus Clingstones	35	0	43	218	58	44	5	0%	1.2	21.6%	22.2%	-0.7%	2.8%	7.59	5.60	—
2026	26	AA MLE	Columbus Clingstones	35	0	43	218	58	44	5	0%	1.2	21.6%	22.2%	-0.7%	2.8%	7.59	5.60	—
2026	26	AA RAW	Columbus Clingstones	35	0	43	218	58	44	5	0%	1.2	26.6%	20.2%	6.4%	2.3%	7.59	5.00	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	ATL	25	0	26	110	23	19	3	0%	1.0	21.0%	17.7%	3.3%	2.8%	5.50	5.50	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	ATL	24	0	25	106	22	18	3	0%	1.0	21.1%	17.0%	4.2%	3.0%	5.43	5.47	-0.3
2028	28	MLB CTX	ATL	9	0	9	38	8	6	1	0%	1.0	21.1%	17.0%	4.2%	3.0%	5.43	5.47	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	9	40	8	7	1	0%	1.0	21.1%	17.0%	4.2%	3.0%	5.43	5.09	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	170	149	21	0%	1.1	21.1%	17.0%	4.2%	3.0%	5.43	5.09	-1.3
Career	—	MLE		113	0	144	692	144	117	15	0%	1.3	20.8%	16.9%	3.9%	2.2%	5.38	4.67	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		157	0	200	961	200	162	21	0%	1.3	20.8%	16.9%	3.9%	2.2%	5.38	4.67	-2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
LJ McDonough (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.50	21.0%	17.7%	2.8%	—	5.47	21.1%	4.2%	25	-0.03	—	—	—
Zane Russell R 2024 · 4.95 FIP	24	SU	4.95	22.7%	18.3%	2.6%	.314	5.36	18.2%	6.7%	71	+0.41	4.63	108	84
Haden Erbe R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	25	SU	5.28	18.4%	16.5%	3.0%	.320	5.19	17.8%	0.5%	40	-0.09	5.19	116	83
Derek Eitel R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	27	SU	4.35	18.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.338	4.26	19.7%	5.0%	113	-0.09	3.96	138	83
Stevie Branche R 2024 · 5.67 FIP	27	SU	5.67	19.3%	17.6%	3.6%	.320	—	—	—	—	—	3.23	162	82
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	82
Tyler Davis R 2024 · 6.02 FIP	25	SU	6.02	21.0%	18.8%	4.2%	.317	3.78	21.9%	10.2%	111	-2.24	3.20	137	81
Gregory Infante R 2015 · 4.54 FIP	28	SU	4.54	16.9%	15.7%	1.6%	.290	3.78	21.3%	12.7%	181	-0.76	2.97	230	81
Mitchell Stumpo R 2023 · 6.35 FIP	27	SU	6.35	20.6%	20.8%	4.3%	.368	4.77	22.6%	15.5%	34	-1.58	3.97	158	81
Vic Black R 2015 · 5.28 FIP	27	SU	5.28	17.5%	19.3%	2.2%	.358	6.03	9.0%	-11.6%	29	+0.75	3.16	107	80
Jake Gilbert R 2022 · 4.65 FIP	25	SU	4.65	18.2%	16.2%	1.9%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	103	79
Brad Goldberg R 2017 · 4.38 FIP	27	SU	4.38	18.4%	15.4%	1.6%	.331	3.14	30.3%	13.3%	36	-1.24	3.14	197	79
Luis García R 2014 · 5.50 FIP	27	SU	5.50	17.4%	18.8%	2.7%	.286	3.26	20.5%	11.4%	208	-2.24	2.33	662	79
Dennis Sarfate R 2008 · 4.42 FIP	27	SU	4.42	24.0%	16.7%	2.2%	.263	4.81	19.8%	5.9%	23	+0.39	4.42	103	79
Conor Grammes R 2024 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	18.3%	17.9%	1.3%	.303	5.60	15.3%	-11.6%	22	+1.05	4.11	171	78
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	78
Cole McDonald R 2024 · 5.01 FIP	27	SU	5.01	20.9%	12.7%	3.8%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	153	78
Kevin Lenik R 2019 · 4.91 FIP	27	SU	4.91	21.7%	14.9%	3.2%	.205	—	—	—	—	—	3.00	107	78
Thad Weber R 2013 · 5.18 FIP	28	SU	5.18	16.4%	13.1%	3.3%	.244	4.52	12.2%	6.0%	308	-0.66	4.40	378	78
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	78
Jake Haberer R 2022 · 5.24 FIP	27	SU	5.24	24.3%	16.0%	4.0%	.324	5.08	16.4%	0.9%	62	-0.16	3.46	183	78

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	25	21.1%	17.3%	1.12	5.47
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Armando Almanza ('05)	1.1	54	24.4%	14.3%	1.43	4.82
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Dave Jolly ('53-'57, -0 WAR*)	1.5	58	20.2%*	14.3%*	0.91*	4.33*