Carmine Lane — OGILVIE

Carmine LaneC Jupiter Hammerheads

Age 25 R/R 6'0" / 200 lbs A HR -6%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .276 / .281

PA76

HR1

K%30

BB%8

ISO78

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	22	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	77	65	17	1	0	0	11	13	1	0	0	262	377	277	654	15	327	17	14	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	77	58	20	2	0	0	17	9	1	0	0	345	494	379	873	34	408	12	22	408	171	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	69	64	8	1	1	0	5	26	0	2	0	125	188	172	360	47	211	38	7	155	-23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	69	62	10	1	1	0	7	19	0	2	0	161	246	210	456	48	233	28	10	218	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	25	MLB	MIA	—	76	69	15	2	1	1	6	22	1	1	0	217	289	319	608	101	289	29	8	258	55	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	MIA	30%	129	116	25	4	1	2	11	37	1	2	0	216	289	319	608	103	290	29	9	266	62	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2028	27	MLB	MIA	42%	220	197	41	6	1	3	19	63	2	3	1	208	284	294	579	86	290	29	9	270	65	-9	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.2
2029	28	MLB	MIA	48%	283	255	54	8	2	4	24	80	2	3	1	212	285	306	591	94	289	28	8	272	66	-11	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.2
2027	26	MLB	MIA	30%	39	36	6	1	0	0	3	11	0	1	0	167	231	194	425	28	285	28	8	257	55	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2028	27	MLB	MIA	42%	91	82	18	3	1	1	8	26	1	1	0	220	297	317	614	98	285	29	9	261	58	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
2029	28	MLB	MIA	48%	135	121	26	4	1	2	12	38	1	2	0	215	291	314	605	99	285	28	9	262	59	-6	+0	-0	+2	+4	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	265	239	50	8	2	3	23	75	2	4	0	209	284	297	581	88	290	28	9	261	58	-13	+1	-0	+5	+8	0.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	123	20	5	7	56	184	5	10	0	210	284	297	581	87	292	28	9	261	58	-31	+2	-1	+12	+18	0.0
Career	—			—	854	766	160	22	6	10	76	241	7	11	2	209	286	292	579	84	290	28	9	263	60	-39	+1	-1	+15	+24	0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	123	17	5	8	58	183	5	8	2	211	288	298	586	87	292	28	9	263	60	-30	+1	-1	+12	+18	0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	22	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	77	58	20	2	0	0	17	9	1	0	0	345	494	379	873	34	408	12	22	408	171	+6	+0	—	—	+2	0.9
2024	23	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	69	62	10	1	1	0	7	19	0	2	0	161	246	210	456	48	233	28	10	218	25	-6	+0	—	—	+2	-0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	341	5	4	211	282	303	+6	+8	0.2	0.2
	/162	664	9	8	211	282	303	+11.9	+15.6	0.4	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carmine Lane (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	203/276/281	78	289	1	1	30%	8%	55	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A	25	38	40→50	48→30	43	190/254/280	90	264	9	6	30%	7%	46	-2.0	212/278/349	137	295	17	3	32%	8%	74	-0.1	203/274/342	139	279	18	1	32%	9%	67	-0.3
✕Andrés Alvarez 2021 · A	24	41→30	37→45	48→50	42	195/261/270	74	275	4	7	29%	7%	46	-2.0	201/266/321	120	293	13	15	34%	7%	62	-0.9	177/245/298	121	254	15	15	35%	7%	45	-1.1
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	36	42→40	49→50	47	183/268/285	102	256	10	13	31%	9%	54	-1.4	203/302/300	97	289	8	11	29%	11%	72	-0.2	190/312/271	81	272	7	11	29%	13%	66	-0.4
✕Jorge Saez 2016 · A	25	38	39→45	46→30	45	184/255/268	84	265	6	3	31%	8%	43	-2.2	205/267/336	131	295	16	4	34%	8%	66	-0.6	206/269/348	143	287	21	3	35%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Robbie Shields 2013 · A	25	42→36	39→40	47→45	44	205/260/294	89	264	6	8	24%	6%	51	-1.7	196/249/271	75	276	4	7	28%	6%	40	-2.4	175/225/238	62	250	2	5	29%	6%	17	-2.4
✕Chadd Krist 2015 · A	25	39	41→40	44→45	42	192/253/287	94	265	8	6	30%	6%	47	-1.9	193/247/294	101	286	10	6	34%	6%	46	-2.0	150/200/249	98	218	12	0	36%	5%	11	-1.4
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	40	49→50	44	178/256/260	82	272	8	14	35%	9%	42	-2.3	211/287/303	92	304	7	12	30%	9%	66	-0.6	219/303/313	94	309	5	13	28%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Caleb Hamilton 2019 · A	24	34	41→45	45	46	172/252/271	98	253	7	6	33%	9%	43	-2.2	186/255/287	101	275	10	8	33%	8%	48	-1.9	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Joe Cronin 2018 · A	24	36	40→45	46→50	45	178/268/270	92	268	8	8	34%	9%	50	-1.7	186/274/284	98	291	9	9	36%	9%	56	-1.3	170/264/263	93	267	9	10	36%	9%	45	-1.0
✕Donny Sands 2021 · A	25	41	38→45	45→40	39	196/246/280	84	278	5	5	30%	6%	42	-2.3	231/288/359	128	280	14	4	22%	7%	80	+0.4	227/287/347	121	276	14	2	22%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Chris Denove 2008 · A	25	40	38→40	47→40	42	196/254/274	78	267	6	5	28%	6%	44	-2.1	232/288/322	90	290	6	4	21%	6%	70	-0.3	244/302/337	93	298	7	3	19%	6%	78	+0.1
✕Liam Spence 2023 · A	25	37	41→40	48→45	42	184/254/275	91	273	9	6	34%	8%	45	-2.1	198/269/287	89	308	7	8	35%	8%	54	-1.4	149/242/196	47	252	3	7	38%	10%	17	-0.7
✕Brian Ward 2011 · A	25	40	36→40	43→45	48	192/273/255	63	265	4	6	27%	9%	48	-1.9	220/287/306	86	274	6	8	20%	8%	66	-0.6	227/292/315	88	275	6	8	19%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Paul Witt 2023 · A	25	40	40→55	49→30	41	196/260/291	95	269	7	5	29%	6%	51	-1.7	194/245/336	142	244	17	3	28%	5%	57	-1.2	171/215/329	157	203	21	1	28%	4%	40	-1.1
✕Drake Osborn 2023 · A	25	39	44→45	49→40	42	198/262/310	112	269	11	6	30%	7%	57	-1.2	190/247/298	108	260	12	4	31%	6%	47	-1.9	181/237/285	104	244	12	2	30%	6%	37	-1.2
✕Cody Roberts 2021 · A	25	44	37→45	49→40	42	209/265/278	69	296	4	6	30%	7%	49	-1.8	208/271/314	106	317	10	4	35%	7%	62	-0.9	206/264/309	102	301	9	3	33%	6%	55	-0.5
✕Jalen Washington 2019 · A	24	40	40→45	47→45	45	195/267/287	92	272	8	7	30%	8%	53	-1.5	202/269/311	109	272	10	9	28%	7%	60	-1.0	178/248/292	114	229	11	8	26%	6%	46	-0.8
✕Tyler Reichenborn 2023 · A	25	41→43	39→45	47→50	45	200/275/283	83	276	7	13	29%	8%	56	-1.3	207/278/312	105	288	10	11	30%	8%	64	-0.8	165/242/293	128	222	16	8	33%	8%	42	-0.6
✕Seaver Whalen 2021 · A	26	40	39→50	48→50	39	196/264/283	86	269	7	6	29%	5%	52	-1.6	206/275/335	129	269	13	10	28%	4%	70	-0.3	170/246/316	147	208	17	10	27%	3%	53	-0.5
✕Jackson Cluff 2021 · A	24	39→29	42→45	51→60	39	193/259/298	104	285	9	12	34%	6%	53	-1.5	180/251/274	94	284	8	13	37%	7%	44	-2.1	181/273/314	133	265	15	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6