Carmine Lane — OGILVIE

Carmine LaneC Jupiter Hammerheads

Age 25 R/R 6'0" / 200 lbs A HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .275 / .280

PA6

HR0

K%30

BB%8

ISO78

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$0M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	22	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	77	58	20	2	0	0	17	9	1	0	0	345	494	379	873	34	408	12	22	408	163	+6	+0	—	—	+2	0.8
2024	23	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	69	62	10	1	1	0	7	19	0	2	0	161	246	210	456	48	233	28	10	218	33	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	22	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	77	65	17	1	0	0	11	13	1	0	0	262	377	277	654	15	329	17	14	308	95	-0	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2024	23	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	69	64	8	1	1	0	5	26	0	2	0	125	188	172	360	47	194	38	7	157	-8	-9	+0	—	—	+1	-0.7
2023	22	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	77	65	17	1	0	0	11	13	1	0	0	262	377	277	654	15	327	17	14	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	ROK RAW	FCL Marlins	—	77	58	20	2	0	0	17	9	1	0	0	345	494	379	873	34	408	12	22	408	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	69	64	8	1	1	0	5	26	0	2	0	125	188	172	360	47	211	38	7	157	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A RAW	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	69	62	10	1	1	0	7	19	0	2	0	161	246	210	456	48	233	28	10	218	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	77	65	17	1	0	0	11	13	1	0	0	262	377	277	654	15	329	17	14	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	69	64	8	1	1	0	5	26	0	2	0	125	188	172	360	47	194	38	7	157	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	77	65	17	1	0	0	11	13	1	0	0	262	377	277	654	15	329	17	14	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	69	64	8	1	1	0	5	26	0	2	0	125	188	172	360	47	194	38	7	157	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	25	MLB MLE	MIA	0%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	167	167	167	333		289	33	0	257	60	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	MIA	30%	129	116	25	4	1	2	11	37	1	2	0	216	289	319	608	103	289	29	9	265	66	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
2028	27	MLB MLE	MIA	42%	220	197	41	6	1	3	19	63	2	3	1	208	284	294	579	86	289	29	9	270	69	-8	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.1
2029	28	MLB MLE	MIA	48%	283	255	54	8	2	4	24	80	2	3	1	212	285	306	591	94	289	28	8	272	70	-10	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.1
2030	29	MLB MLE	MIA	49%	319	286	61	10	2	5	27	90	3	4	1	213	288	315	603	101	288	28	8	271	70	-12	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.0
2031	30	MLB MLE	MIA	50%	342	307	64	10	2	5	29	98	3	3	1	208	283	303	586	94	287	29	8	268	68	-13	+0	-2	+6	+7	-0.2
2027	26	MLB CTX	MIA	30%	39	36	6	1	0	0	3	11	0	1	0	167	231	194	425	28	282	28	8	254	66	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	27	MLB CTX	MIA	42%	91	82	17	2	1	1	8	26	1	1	0	207	286	293	578	85	282	29	9	258	69	-3	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.0
2029	28	MLB CTX	MIA	48%	135	121	26	4	1	2	12	38	1	2	0	215	291	314	605	99	282	28	9	259	70	-5	+0	-0	+2	+3	0.1
2030	29	MLB CTX	MIA	49%	157	142	29	4	1	2	13	44	1	2	1	204	276	289	564	85	281	28	8	259	70	-6	+0	-1	+3	+3	-0.0
2031	30	MLB CTX	MIA	50%	172	154	32	5	1	2	15	49	1	2	1	208	282	292	575	84	280	28	9	256	68	-7	+0	-1	+3	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	594	535	110	16	4	7	51	168	4	8	2	206	280	290	569	84	284	28	9	258	66	-22	+1	-2	+11	+13	0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	121	18	4	8	56	184	4	9	2	207	280	292	572	85	285	28	9	258	66	-24	+1	-2	+12	+14	0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	1445	1296	271	40	9	19	126	409	12	17	4	209	285	298	583	89	288	28	9	266	66	-49	+1	-4	+23	+28	-0.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	122	18	4	9	57	184	5	8	2	209	285	300	585	91	288	28	9	266	66	-24	+1	-2	+12	+14	-0.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.0	670	9	8	211	282	304	+12	+12	0.5	0.5
/162	664	9	8	+11.9	+11.9	0.5	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carmine Lane (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	203/275/280	78	289	1	1	30%	8%	60	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	177/255/257	79	269	8	14	35%	9%	48	-2.5	207/287/299	92	295	7	12	29%	9%	69	-0.9	212/301/305	93	294	5	13	27%	10%	75	-0.3
✕David Sheaffer 2019 · A	24	36	42→50	52→40	39	184/231/287	103	246	10	7	29%	5%	44	-2.8	211/256/331	120	295	12	5	31%	5%	64	-1.3	193/238/303	110	272	11	1	33%	5%	49	-0.7
✕George Soto 2011 · A	25	34	36→40	44→45	40	169/238/230	61	247	5	8	32%	6%	35	-3.4	190/261/281	91	262	7	8	28%	8%	55	-2.0	163/239/259	97	213	9	7	27%	8%	44	-1.0
✕Caleb Hamilton 2019 · A	24	35	41→45	45	45	174/251/275	101	255	8	6	33%	9%	50	-2.3	186/255/286	100	272	9	8	33%	8%	53	-2.1	141/235/256	115	206	16	3	39%	10%	39	-1.0
✕Joe Cronin 2018 · A	24	37	41→45	46→50	44	180/265/274	93	268	8	8	34%	9%	55	-1.9	186/274/283	97	289	9	9	35%	9%	61	-1.5	168/264/259	91	263	9	10	36%	9%	50	-1.1
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	36	36→40	52→50	41	176/235/239	63	249	4	15	30%	6%	35	-3.4	212/281/292	80	276	8	14	24%	8%	65	-1.2	205/280/278	73	264	8	16	24%	8%	59	-0.8
✕Cam Devanney 2022 · AA	25	36→41	40→50	44→45	40	179/245/262	83	256	8	7	32%	6%	45	-2.7	212/275/354	142	276	15	7	28%	7%	77	-0.3	214/279/364	149	276	16	7	27%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Jake Washer 2022 · A	26	36	38→60	49→30	35	174/228/249	75	289	6	8	40%	6%	34	-3.5	199/245/341	142	295	18	6	38%	5%	63	-1.4	199/243/390	191	280	31	2	41%	5%	70	-0.4
✕Chase Pinder 2021 · AA	25	40	39→45	40→45	44	192/269/271	79	282	7	5	32%	8%	56	-1.9	217/307/343	126	285	13	8	26%	10%	87	+0.4	222/324/360	138	289	14	11	26%	12%	95	+0.5
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA	25	35	41→45	50→45	39	175/237/270	95	265	8	7	36%	7%	43	-2.8	201/267/311	110	285	10	8	31%	7%	64	-1.3	188/261/294	106	261	9	5	30%	7%	54	-1.0
✕Steven Baron 2015 · AA	24	40	39→45	51→50	37	195/234/284	88	271	5	9	29%	4%	44	-2.8	228/283/306	78	309	5	8	26%	7%	68	-1.0	235/296/303	67	318	5	6	26%	7%	68	-0.5
✕Jerome Pena 2014 · A	25	39→34	39→40	46→45	41	191/251/276	85	280	7	8	33%	7%	49	-2.4	204/261/305	101	324	8	8	37%	7%	59	-1.6	189/252/304	115	318	10	7	41%	7%	54	-0.7
✕Joel Weeks 2010 · A	25	41	36→45	47→45	44	194/252/257	63	265	3	8	27%	7%	45	-2.7	219/269/298	79	283	6	5	23%	6%	61	-1.5	222/271/291	69	284	6	2	23%	6%	59	-0.6
✕Nick Quintana 2022 · A	24	33→40	43→45	47→45	45	171/253/277	106	242	11	6	33%	9%	52	-2.2	190/275/295	105	266	10	5	30%	9%	64	-1.3	176/269/273	97	244	10	3	30%	10%	54	-1.0
✕Aaron Schunk 2022 · A	25	37→44	40→45	50	33	183/233/268	86	291	7	12	38%	5%	41	-3.0	212/257/326	114	296	11	10	31%	5%	63	-1.4	218/263/335	116	292	11	10	28%	5%	65	-0.9
✕Grayson Greiner 2016 · A	23	37	38→45	46→30	37	181/234/253	73	279	6	3	36%	6%	38	-3.2	211/265/312	101	293	9	3	29%	6%	63	-1.4	217/276/324	107	289	10	0	27%	7%	67	-0.6
✕Tim Susnara 2021 · A	25	36	39→40	47→40	40	175/240/253	78	277	7	5	37%	8%	40	-3.0	200/267/305	105	333	10	6	40%	7%	63	-1.4	166/245/275	109	270	12	0	41%	7%	46	-0.6
✕Zane Gurwitz 2019 · A	24	41	39→45	48→45	39	199/243/290	92	268	6	7	28%	5%	49	-2.4	205/261/308	103	296	9	6	32%	6%	61	-1.5	197/258/298	101	284	11	4	33%	7%	55	-1.3
✕Chris Givin 2022 · AA	25	38	38→30	50→45	43	188/250/263	74	259	6	6	29%	7%	46	-2.6	203/267/280	77	271	6	7	26%	7%	57	-1.8	197/264/256	59	255	4	5	23%	8%	47	-1.2
✕David Masters 2018 · A	25	36→37	40→45	40	42	180/239/263	83	237	8	3	27%	6%	42	-2.9	203/270/318	115	280	13	3	30%	7%	67	-1.1	192/262/321	129	263	16	1	32%	7%	61	-0.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps