Cameron Weston

P Syracuse Mets

Age 26 RHP 6'2" / 215 lbs AAA

Overview

AAARP40-MANROOKIEFG #951

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	23	MIX2 levels	27	18	109	2.97	2.96	28.9%	7.3%	—	K 23.2% · BB 8.1% · FIP 3.48
2025	24	AAABAL	29	26	135	4.59	4.25	22.0%	11.7%	—	K 18.9% · BB 10.6% · FIP 4.53
2026	25	MIX2 levels	36	7	59	7.06	4.33	27.0%	11.2%	0.2	K 23.2% · BB 9.9% · FIP 4.54
2027PROJ	26	MLBBAL	67	0	70	4.79	4.79	20.8%	10.3%	-0.2
2028PROJ55% MLB	27	MLBBAL	65	0	68	4.76	4.78	20.9%	10.1%	-0.2
2029PROJ70% MLB	28	MLBBAL	83	0	87	4.78	4.82	20.9%	10.1%	-0.3

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.2 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff49Control45Command49FB velo45

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 94%

CompsCarlos Torres (age 26) · Mitch Neunborn (age 26) · Tyler Yates (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124116vR 108

ERA4.79

FIP4.79

K%20.8%

BB%10.3%

K-BB%10.5%

Proj IP70

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL4545

CMD4550

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	21	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	5	0	11	43	11	3	1	0%	2.3	25.6%	7.0%	18.6%	2.3%	3.18	3.10	—
2022	21	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	5	0	11	43	11	3	1	0%	2.3	25.6%	7.0%	18.6%	2.3%	3.18	3.10	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	3	43	182	50	13	1	23%	3.3	22.5%	8.2%	14.2%	0.8%	3.35	2.69	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	3	43	182	50	13	1	23%	3.3	27.5%	7.1%	20.3%	0.5%	3.35	1.98	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	18	109	440	127	32	11	67%	4.0	23.2%	8.1%	15.1%	2.4%	2.97	3.48	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	18	109	440	127	32	11	67%	4.0	23.2%	8.1%	15.1%	2.4%	2.97	3.48	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	18	109	440	127	32	11	67%	4.0	28.9%	7.3%	21.6%	2.5%	2.97	2.96	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	29	26	135	605	133	71	16	90%	4.7	18.9%	10.6%	8.3%	3.1%	4.59	4.53	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	29	26	135	605	133	71	16	90%	4.7	18.9%	10.6%	8.3%	3.1%	4.59	4.53	—
2025	24	AAA RAW	Norfolk Tides	29	26	135	605	133	71	16	90%	4.7	22.0%	11.7%	10.2%	2.6%	4.59	4.25	—
2026	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	7	59	285	77	32	10	19%	1.6	23.2%	9.9%	13.3%	3.9%	7.06	4.54	+0.0
2026	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	7	59	285	77	32	10	19%	1.6	23.2%	9.9%	13.3%	3.9%	7.06	4.54	+0.0
2026	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	7	59	285	77	32	10	19%	1.6	27.0%	11.2%	15.8%	3.5%	7.06	4.33	+0.2
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			1	0	1	3	1	1	0	0%	1.0	33.3%	33.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	4.10	+0.0
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	BAL	67	0	70	296	61	30	10	0%	1.0	20.8%	10.3%	10.5%	3.2%	4.79	4.79	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	BAL	118	0	124	524	109	53	17	0%	1.1	20.9%	10.1%	10.8%	3.3%	4.76	4.78	-0.3
2029	28	MLB MLE	BAL	118	0	124	524	109	53	17	0%	1.1	20.9%	10.1%	10.8%	3.3%	4.78	4.82	-0.4
2030	29	MLB MLE	BAL	113	0	118	500	103	51	17	0%	1.0	20.7%	10.2%	10.5%	3.5%	4.85	4.92	-0.5
2031	30	MLB MLE	BAL	106	0	111	470	96	49	17	0%	1.1	20.4%	10.4%	10.0%	3.7%	4.98	5.08	-0.7
2028	27	MLB CTX	BAL	65	0	68	287	60	29	9	0%	1.0	20.9%	10.1%	10.8%	3.3%	4.76	4.78	-0.2
2029	28	MLB CTX	BAL	83	0	87	367	77	37	12	0%	1.0	20.9%	10.1%	10.8%	3.3%	4.78	4.82	-0.3
2030	29	MLB CTX	BAL	88	0	92	388	80	39	13	0%	1.0	20.7%	10.2%	10.5%	3.5%	4.85	4.92	-0.4
2031	30	MLB CTX	BAL	89	0	93	393	80	41	14	0%	1.0	20.4%	10.4%	10.0%	3.7%	4.98	5.08	-0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		325	0	341	1440	298	147	49	0%	1.1	20.7%	10.2%	10.5%	3.4%	4.84	4.53	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		191	0	200	844	175	86	29	0%	1.0	20.7%	10.2%	10.5%	3.4%	4.84	4.53	+0.0
Career	—	MLE		110	54	357	1555	334	146	43	49%	3.2	21.5%	9.4%	12.1%	2.8%	4.31	3.98	-1.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		62	30	200	870	187	81	24	49%	3.2	21.5%	9.4%	12.1%	2.8%	4.31	3.98	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Cameron Weston (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.79	20.8%	10.3%	3.2%	—	4.84	20.8%	10.7%	366	+0.05	—	—	—
Carlos Torres R 2009 · 5.24 FIP	26	SP-	5.24	16.9%	11.5%	3.9%	.284	3.59	18.2%	7.3%	67	-1.65	2.89	604	76
Mitch Neunborn R 2023 · 3.65 FIP	26	SP-	3.65	24.5%	9.5%	2.6%	.232	5.11	17.6%	6.7%	206	+1.46	3.65	248	75
Tyler Yates R 2004 · 4.47 FIP	26	SW	4.47	15.4%	9.6%	2.6%	.333	3.64	22.5%	13.5%	116	-0.83	3.23	248	75
David Pauley R 2008 · 4.30 FIP	25	SW	4.30	16.4%	7.5%	3.0%	.429	4.30	13.8%	7.3%	165	+0.00	3.51	210	73
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	72
P.J. Walters R 2010 · 4.93 FIP	25	SW	4.93	17.1%	7.8%	4.2%	.293	5.05	14.1%	5.6%	101	+0.12	3.97	230	71
Danny Kirwin R 2024 · 4.19 FIP	24	SW	4.19	17.9%	9.9%	2.4%	.262	5.33	16.8%	4.6%	91	+1.14	4.16	161	70
Cameron Foster R 2024 · 4.83 FIP	25	SW	4.83	17.4%	11.5%	3.2%	.321	3.09	25.5%	17.5%	60	-1.74	2.50	213	70
Noah Bremer R 2021 · 4.39 FIP	25	SW	4.39	18.0%	9.4%	2.9%	.292	5.82	13.1%	1.2%	46	+1.43	3.19	271	70
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	70
Sam Lewis R 2018 · 4.33 FIP	26	SW	4.33	16.7%	9.6%	2.6%	.323	3.41	21.0%	10.2%	48	-0.92	2.21	224	70
Tyler Ivey R 2022 · 5.63 FIP	26	SW	5.63	23.0%	11.3%	5.5%	.395	5.16	15.8%	5.1%	122	-0.47	2.93	304	69
Alfonso Sanchez R 2015 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.5%	9.1%	3.2%	.346	4.85	14.0%	5.3%	138	-0.11	4.51	224	68
John Ely R 2011 · 4.38 FIP	25	SW	4.38	23.2%	10.7%	3.4%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	4.20	113	68
Chris Kachmar R 2023 · 4.82 FIP	26	SW	4.82	20.5%	7.8%	4.5%	.319	4.65	18.4%	7.3%	248	-0.17	4.29	360	68
Michael Knorr R 2024 · 5.56 FIP	24	SP-	5.56	21.6%	12.5%	4.9%	.314	4.95	22.3%	9.7%	83	-0.61	4.30	181	68
Nolan Sanburn R 2017 · 4.55 FIP	26	SW	4.55	15.0%	10.4%	2.5%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	169	67
Jake Lyons R 2023 · 4.13 FIP	24	SW	4.13	20.1%	8.5%	3.0%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	4.13	174	67
Sam LeCure R 2010 · 4.35 FIP	26	SW	4.35	17.1%	10.1%	2.6%	.289	3.07	25.1%	17.2%	196	-1.28	2.69	472	67
Ricky Castro R 2024 · 3.99 FIP	24	SP-	3.99	20.4%	8.6%	2.8%	.287	5.11	19.0%	10.6%	178	+1.12	3.99	241	67

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 3,327 pitcher careers (1,251 from 1990-2025 + 2,076 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.7	110	20.7%	10.2%	1.31	4.82
Cy Moore ('29-'34, 1 WAR*)	2.3	93	21.3%*	9.8%*	1.25*	4.95*
Jeff Juden ('99)	2.7	107	18.8%	10.5%	1.23	4.81
Hy Vandenberg ('35-'45, -1 WAR*)	1.5	97	22.1%*	10.1%*	1.18*	4.99*
Mickey Mahler ('77-'86, 0 WAR*)	2.0	81	20.4%*	10.3%*	1.20*	4.87*
Zack Godley ('21)	2.8	95	22.1%	9.6%	1.16	4.92
Robert Person ('03)	4.5	128	19.8%	11.2%	1.29	4.64