Kai Murphy

OF San Antonio Missions

Age 26 L/L 5'8" / 173 lbs AA HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	24	AASD	379	.219/.325/.262	1	8	53	—	.211/.291/.249
2026	25	AASD	183	.206/.280/.285	3	9	32	—	.178/.236/.231
2026	25	INTLAguilas de Me…	18	.286/.375/.357	0	0	90	—
2027PROJ2% MLB	26	MLBSD	3	.201/.271/.266	0	0	56	-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB	27	MLBSD	58	.202/.272/.270	1	1	58	-0.2

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

K%74

Whiff%66

Z-Con%46

Speed38

BB%22

Chase%21

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsIan Parmley (age 26) · Kyle Kasser (age 26) · Evan Marzilli (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .271 / .266

PA3

HR0

K%33

BB%7

BABIP261

ISO56

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	21	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	33	30	6	2	0	0	3	4	0	3	0	200	273	267	539	67	231	12	9	251	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK	ACL Padres	—	17	14	5	1	0	0	3	5	0	0	0	357	471	429	899	71	556	29	18	412	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	103	93	19	4	0	1	6	29	1	1	0	204	260	280	540	75	277	28	6	241	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	268	237	68	15	1	6	24	67	4	11	5	287	362	435	797	148	376	25	9	353	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	482	408	96	24	3	6	61	107	6	10	7	235	343	353	696	118	303	22	13	316	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	379	324	71	9	1	1	43	69	8	8	7	219	325	262	588	43	271	18	11	278	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	183	165	34	4	0	3	14	37	3	9	3	206	280	285	565	79	248	20	8	261	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	INTL	Aguilas de Mexicali	—	18	14	4	1	0	0	1	3	1	0	0	286	375	357	732	71	364	17	6	302	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	33	31	5	1	0	0	2	6	0	3	0	161	212	194	406	32	196	18	6	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	17	15	4	1	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	267	353	333	686	67	445	41	12	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	103	95	17	3	0	1	4	36	1	1	0	179	220	242	462	63	253	35	4	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	268	245	57	11	1	4	16	96	4	11	5	233	291	335	625	102	347	36	6	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	482	429	84	20	2	5	40	138	6	10	7	196	274	287	560	91	269	29	8	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	379	337	71	8	1	1	30	80	8	8	7	211	291	249	540	39	265	21	8	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	183	169	30	3	0	2	10	45	3	9	3	178	236	231	467	53	232	25	5	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	50	46	8	2	0	0	4	13	0	3	0	174	240	217	457	43	242	26	8	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	50	44	11	3	0	0	6	9	0	3	0	250	340	318	658	68	314	18	12	306	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	371	340	73	13	1	5	20	132	5	12	5	215	268	303	571	88	330	36	5	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	371	330	87	19	1	7	30	96	5	12	5	264	334	391	725	127	348	26	8	322	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	482	429	84	20	2	5	40	138	6	10	7	196	274	287	560	91	274	29	8	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	482	408	96	24	3	6	61	107	6	10	7	235	343	353	696	118	303	22	13	316	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	379	337	71	8	1	1	30	80	8	8	7	211	291	249	540	39	269	21	8	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA RAW	San Antonio Missions	—	379	324	71	9	1	1	43	69	8	8	7	219	325	262	588	43	271	18	11	278	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	201	183	35	4	0	3	11	50	4	9	3	191	253	262	515	71	246	25	5	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	201	179	38	5	0	3	15	40	4	9	3	212	288	291	578	78	257	20	7	265	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	50	46	8	2	0	0	4	13	0	3	0	174	240	217	457	43	281	26	8	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	371	343	73	13	1	5	20	132	5	12	5	213	268	300	569	87	321	36	5	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	482	433	84	20	2	5	40	138	6	10	7	194	274	284	558	90	269	29	8	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	379	338	71	8	1	1	30	80	8	8	7	210	291	249	539	38	265	21	8	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	201	184	35	4	0	3	11	50	4	9	3	190	253	261	513	71	232	25	5	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	23	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	482	433	84	20	2	5	40	138	6	10	7	194	274	284	558	90	269	29	8	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	379	338	71	8	1	1	30	80	8	8	7	210	291	249	539	38	265	21	8	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	201	184	35	4	0	3	11	50	4	9	3	190	253	261	513	71	232	25	5	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	SD	2%	233	211	43	7	1	2	17	56	3	5	2	204	273	271	544	67	266	24	7	251	56	-12	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	26	MLB CTX	SD	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	201	271	266	536	65	261	33	0	248	56	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	SD	27%	216	195	41	7	1	2	16	52	3	4	2	205	275	275	550	70	266	24	7	253	58	-11	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.8
2028	27	MLB CTX	SD	27%	58	53	11	2	0	1	4	14	1	1	1	202	272	270	542	68	262	24	7	250	58	-3	-0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	58	53	11	2	0	1	4	14	1	1	1	208	276	302	578	94	263	24	7	250	52	-3	-0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	594	123	22	0	11	45	157	11	11	11	207	275	300	575	93	263	24	7	250	52	-33	-2	+0	-4	+14	-2.5
Career	—	MLE		—	1857	1674	341	59	5	17	132	503	28	49	26	204	273	275	549	72	278	27	7	245	52	-19	-0	+0	-2	+8	-1.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	120	21	2	6	46	176	10	17	9	205	274	278	552	73	279	27	7	245	52	-33	-0	+0	-4	+14	-2.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kai Murphy (OGILVIE)	26	40	25	45	50	202/271/268	66	266	1	3	24%	7%	56	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ian Parmley 2016 · AA	26	43	35→30	51→50	46	204/264/258	53	274	3	13	25%	8%	49	-2.4	231/273/296	65	327	3	15	28%	5%	61	-1.5	244/278/304	60	346	2	17	29%	4%	61	-0.6
✕Kyle Kasser 2022 · A	26	46	35→30	46→50	46	218/264/280	62	266	3	9	19%	6%	54	-2.0	222/281/290	68	271	4	13	18%	8%	63	-1.3	226/291/277	51	269	3	17	16%	8%	63	-0.9
✕Evan Marzilli 2017 · AAA	26	42→46	37→40	49→50	46	199/276/277	79	285	3	14	29%	9%	59	-1.6	202/280/288	86	296	6	13	31%	9%	63	-1.3	203/282/290	87	286	6	14	29%	9%	62	-0.8
✕Ethan Chapman 2017 · AA	27	45→47	38→30	47→55	44	216/271/292	75	289	6	12	26%	7%	60	-1.6	229/282/319	90	317	9	21	29%	6%	71	-0.8	230/283/297	67	321	7	29	29%	5%	68	-0.6
✕Keith Curcio 2019 · AA	26	43→47	38→40	51→50	47	203/257/289	85	243	5	12	18%	6%	54	-2.0	211/255/300	89	277	6	12	25%	5%	56	-1.9	204/244/285	81	269	4	12	25%	5%	47	-1.7
✕Andrew Moritz 2023 · AA	26	51	36→30	47→50	45	237/292/303	66	311	4	10	24%	7%	70	-0.8	223/284/310	87	300	6	11	26%	7%	70	-0.9	190/258/265	74	259	4	10	26%	7%	47	-0.6
✕Shane Opitz 2018 · AAA	26	47	37→40	46→50	44	222/262/301	79	266	4	10	18%	5%	58	-1.7	219/278/317	98	286	7	13	24%	7%	69	-0.9	195/269/277	82	268	5	15	27%	9%	54	-0.6
✕Ender Chavez 2007 · AA	26	49→48	35→30	48→55	49	227/290/284	57	287	3	16	21%	8%	65	-1.2	231/306/302	71	292	4	14	20%	9%	76	-0.4	249/347/297	48	305	0	14	16%	11%	90	+0.1
✕River Stevens 2018 · AA	26	45→42	39→45	46→45	43	215/256/297	82	261	6	9	20%	5%	55	-1.9	221/275/321	100	263	10	10	19%	6%	69	-0.9	218/277/310	93	239	13	13	15%	7%	63	-0.4
✕Jordan Cowan 2021 · AA	26	50→51	36→30	50	47	233/291/293	60	293	4	13	21%	7%	68	-1.0	220/286/302	82	289	6	16	24%	8%	68	-1.0	212/283/286	74	280	4	18	24%	8%	60	-0.7
✕Konner Piotto 2024 · A	26	45	38→30	48→50	43	211/282/291	80	292	6	9	28%	7%	65	-1.2	213/284/295	82	305	6	10	30%	7%	66	-1.1	201/279/264	63	295	5	10	31%	8%	56	-0.5
✕Alfredo Lopez 2016 · AA	26	46	36→30	48→50	47	218/275/285	68	272	3	14	20%	7%	60	-1.6	239/283/307	68	287	4	16	17%	6%	68	-1.0	260/297/304	44	305	1	19	15%	5%	67	-0.3
✕Matt Winaker 2022 · AA	26	44→39	38→45	45	47	206/296/287	81	283	5	6	27%	8%	70	-0.8	196/285/287	91	266	7	7	27%	8%	66	-1.1	139/244/213	74	186	6	4	27%	9%	35	-1.4
✕Junior Sosa 2016 · AA	25	47	39→30	49→55	45	224/274/312	88	281	6	10	22%	6%	65	-1.2	223/287/284	61	300	3	10	24%	8%	65	-1.2	222/291/248	26	301	0	9	24%	8%	55	-1.2
✕Mickey McDonald 2021 · AA	26	44→53	35→30	51→50	41	205/262/262	57	299	2	14	31%	7%	50	-2.3	234/305/309	75	324	4	17	27%	8%	77	-0.3	242/317/312	69	332	3	19	26%	8%	80	-0.1
✕Luis Mendez 2018 · AA	25	43	37→30	47→50	45	206/268/278	72	276	5	12	26%	7%	56	-1.9	213/271/312	99	288	9	10	28%	7%	65	-1.2	202/258/285	83	268	8	7	27%	6%	51	-1.0
✕Forrestt Allday 2017 · AAA	26	49→47	36→30	43→50	49	227/301/290	62	291	3	11	22%	8%	72	-0.7	232/307/292	60	287	3	12	19%	8%	75	-0.5	231/312/281	50	286	3	12	18%	8%	72	-0.5
✕Justin Fuller 2009 · A	26	44	36→40	44→45	46	203/268/274	70	262	2	8	22%	7%	55	-1.9	209/272/298	89	280	5	9	26%	7%	62	-1.4	212/278/332	119	275	10	8	25%	7%	68	-0.4
✕Trace Loehr 2021 · AAA	26	47→49	38→40	46→50	41	225/268/307	82	295	5	10	25%	5%	62	-1.4	218/264/301	83	313	4	9	30%	5%	59	-1.6	211/249/277	66	314	0	5	31%	4%	45	-0.8
✕Ryan Walker 2018 · AA	26	47→52	36→40	51→50	46	221/281/291	70	292	3	13	24%	7%	63	-1.3	213/275/303	90	272	8	11	23%	7%	65	-1.2	187/248/253	66	226	9	9	21%	7%	40	-1.0