Spencer Horwitz — OGILVIE

Spencer Horwitz1B Pittsburgh Pirates

Age 28 L/R 5'10" / 204 lbs MLB BB +7% Svc 1.884 · Ctrl thru 2030 peak 1.7 · 2026

wRC+†vL 56122vR 141

AVG/OBP/SLG.255 / .342 / .418

PA531

HR15

K%19

BB%11

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

55→55

PWR

50→50

SPD

35→35

EYE

60↘55

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.7peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2023

Service 1.884 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.7	$14M	+$13M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.2	$10M	+$9M
2028	Arb-1	$2M	+0.9	$4M	+$2M
2029	Arb-2	$3M	+0.6	$3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Arb-3	$3M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$8M		$31M	+$24M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A+	3 teams	559	486	130	32	1	13	62	107	6	8	5	.267	.357	.418	.775	.150	.315	19	11	.339	117	+11	-0	+0	-10	+16	1.7
2022	24	AA	2 teams	483	425	107	29	1	11	51	117	5	7	2	.252	.339	.402	.741	.151	.321	24	11	.324	106	+3	+1	+0	-9	+14	0.9
2023	25	AAA	2 teams	528	456	132	27	1	11	57	101	9	9	2	.289	.379	.425	.805	.136	.346	19	11	.353	128	+17	+1	+1	-9	+15	2.4
2024	26	MLB	2 teams	640	554	153	40	1	15	72	119	10	3	3	.276	.369	.433	.803	.157	.325	19	11	.350	126	+19	-1	+0	-11	+18	2.6
2025	27	MLB	3 teams	462	412	108	26	0	12	46	84	2	0	1	.262	.339	.413	.752	.150	.302	18	10	.325	107	+3	-0	-3	-8	+13	0.5
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	28	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	76	62	16	2	0	2	12	13	1	0	0	.258	.387	.387	.774	.129	.292	17	16	.347	124	+2	+0	+0	-1	+2	0.3
ROS	28	MLB	PIT	455	395	103	23	1	13	52	83	5	2	1	.261	.354	.423	.777	.162	.295	18	11	.344	121	+11	+0	-2	-8	+13	1.4
TOT	28	MLB	PIT	531	457	119	25	1	15	64	96	6	2	1	.260	.359	.418	.777	.158	.298	18	12	.345	122	+13	+0	-2	-9	+15	1.7
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	29	MLB	PIT	530	459	118	26	1	15	60	84	6	1	0	.257	.350	.416	.767	.159	.282	16	11	.342	120	+12	+0	-4	-9	+15	1.4
2028	30	MLB	PIT	518	448	113	25	0	14	59	84	6	0	0	.252	.347	.402	.749	.150	.281	16	11	.339	117	+10	+0	-5	-9	+15	1.1
2029	31	MLB	PIT	503	436	109	24	0	14	57	84	5	0	0	.250	.343	.401	.745	.151	.280	17	11	.335	115	+8	+0	-6	-9	+14	0.8
2030	32	MLB	PIT	484	421	103	23	0	12	55	83	5	0	0	.245	.339	.385	.724	.140	.278	17	11	.330	110	+6	+0	-6	-9	+14	0.5
2031	33	MLB	PIT	454	395	95	21	0	11	51	81	5	0	0	.241	.335	.377	.712	.137	.276	18	11	.323	106	+3	+0	-7	-8	+13	0.1
2032	34	MLB	PIT	408	355	83	18	0	9	46	76	4	0	0	.234	.328	.361	.689	.127	.273	19	11	.316	100	-0	+0	-7	-7	+12	-0.3
2033	35	MLB	PIT	353	308	70	15	0	7	39	70	3	0	0	.227	.320	.344	.664	.117	.270	20	11	.307	93	-3	+0	-8	-6	+10	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6377	5550	1424	329	6	157	707	1173	71	30	14	.257	.348	.403	.751	.146	.298	18	11	.334	114	+100	+0	-47	-114	+181	12.3
/ 162G	—			650	566	146	34	1	16	72	120	7	3	1	.258	.349	.406	.755	.148	.300	18	11	.334	114	+10	+0	-5	-12	+18	1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	16	16	6	2	0	2	0	2	0	0	0	.375	.375	.875	1.250	.500	.333	12	0	.534	267	+3	+0	—	—	+0	0.4
2021	23	A+	Vancouver Canadians	469	389	113	28	1	10	70	66	5	4	5	.290	.405	.445	.850	.154	.324	14	15	.379	148	+26	-1	—	—	+13	3.8
2021	23	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	74	64	24	4	0	1	9	11	1	4	0	.375	.459	.484	.944	.109	.442	15	12	.425	183	+7	+1	—	—	+2	1.0
2022	24	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	202	171	42	14	0	2	30	41	1	4	1	.246	.361	.363	.724	.117	.312	20	15	.333	113	+3	+0	—	—	+6	0.9
2022	24	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	281	232	69	19	1	10	43	54	4	3	1	.297	.416	.517	.933	.220	.347	19	15	.409	171	+23	+0	—	—	+8	3.1
2023	25	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	44	39	10	2	0	1	4	12	1	0	0	.256	.341	.385	.726	.128	.346	27	9	.330	111	+1	+0	+1	-9	+1	-0.7
2023	25	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	484	392	132	30	1	10	78	72	8	9	2	.337	.456	.495	.951	.158	.386	15	16	.421	180	+44	+1	—	—	+14	6.0
2024	26	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	381	328	87	19	0	12	42	70	7	0	0	.265	.361	.433	.794	.168	.300	18	11	.353	128	+12	+0	+0	-11	+11	1.2
2024	26	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	259	212	71	22	2	4	44	41	3	3	3	.335	.456	.514	.970	.179	.401	16	17	.431	188	+26	-1	—	—	+7	3.3
2025	27	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	411	364	99	26	0	11	44	73	2	0	1	.272	.354	.434	.788	.162	.313	18	11	.352	127	+13	-0	-3	-8	+12	1.3
2025	27	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	33	31	10	2	0	1	1	7	0	0	0	.323	.344	.484	.828	.161	.375	21	3	.354	129	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2025	27	AA	Altoona Curve	18	16	2	1	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	.125	.222	.188	.410	.062	.143	11	11	.199	11	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			836	731	196	47	0	24	90	155	10	0	1	.268	.356	.431	.787	.163	.309	19	11	.351	127	+25	-0	-2	-29	+24	1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Spencer Horwitz (OGILVIE)	28	55	50	35	55	.256/.349/.414	.158	.283	15	2	16%	11%	121	+2.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Dan Johnson 2008 · MLB	28	49→53	52→60	39→30	62	.248/.342/.417	.169	.263	19	2	15%	12%	118	+3.0	.249/.342/.444	.195	.271	25	2	18%	12%	125	+3.5	.235/.328/.424	.190	.254	26	0	19%	12%	113	+2.3
✕Robert Fick 2003 · MLB	29	53→54	52→55	38→40	53	.266/.332/.437	.172	.287	19	2	15%	8%	119	+3.1	.255/.325/.405	.150	.273	16	3	13%	9%	108	+2.3	.249/.326/.380	.131	.266	13	1	12%	9%	96	+0.8
●Ross Gload 2005 · MLB	29	57→58	50→55	37→40	52	.283/.344/.439	.156	.314	17	5	16%	8%	124	+3.4	.289/.332/.463	.174	.316	19	6	15%	6%	125	+3.5	.296/.331/.467	.171	.319	17	6	13%	4%	124	+1.5
✕Steve Cox 2002 · MLB	27	53→51	51→50	40	53	.265/.343/.434	.169	.294	19	5	17%	9%	123	+3.3	.254/.330/.406	.152	.293	16	6	19%	9%	110	+2.4	.251/.330/.392	.141	.290	15	5	18%	9%	101	+1.9
●Jay Gibbons 2005 · MLB	28	50→54	54→60	38→30	52	.258/.316/.437	.178	.269	21	2	14%	8%	112	+2.6	.265/.316/.453	.188	.277	22	2	14%	7%	117	+2.9	.264/.314/.455	.191	.273	23	0	13%	6%	112	+1.7
●Doug Mientkiewicz 2002 · MLB	28	59→62	48→50	36→40	57	.292/.372/.447	.155	.326	15	4	15%	10%	137	+4.3	.275/.368/.416	.141	.303	12	4	13%	12%	128	+3.7	.265/.363/.395	.130	.289	10	3	11%	12%	114	+2.4
✕Daryle Ward 2003 · MLB	28	52→56	54→60	38→30	48	.266/.317/.448	.183	.295	22	3	19%	7%	116	+2.8	.250/.304/.403	.153	.275	17	3	16%	7%	98	+1.6	.259/.324/.444	.185	.273	22	0	14%	8%	108	+1.2
●Jesse Winker 2020 · MLB	26	55→61	49→55	37→45	57	.272/.355/.424	.152	.302	16	3	16%	10%	125	+3.5	.263/.363/.460	.197	.291	24	3	18%	12%	137	+4.3	.250/.363/.438	.188	.277	23	1	18%	14%	127	+2.4
●Raul Lopez 2008 · AAA	29	56→62	47→50	37→40	52	.276/.331/.414	.139	.299	15	4	14%	7%	112	+2.6	.269/.324/.416	.147	.296	17	5	15%	8%	110	+2.4	.279/.338/.432	.153	.303	18	3	14%	8%	120	+1.6
✕Ryan Garko 2009 · MLB	28	53→57	51→55	39→30	50	.266/.340/.424	.158	.295	19	2	17%	7%	120	+3.1	.242/.315/.381	.139	.267	17	2	16%	7%	98	+1.6	.226/.300/.349	.122	.256	16	0	18%	7%	80	+0.2
✕Colin Moran 2021 · MLB	28	53→57	52→55	39→30	48	.268/.328/.434	.166	.318	20	2	22%	8%	117	+2.9	.241/.309/.392	.151	.303	19	3	26%	9%	98	+1.6	.225/.298/.353	.128	.287	17	1	26%	9%	79	+0.1
✕Chris Carter 2011 · MLB	28	51→57	51→55	41→40	46	.260/.303/.417	.157	.279	19	3	15%	5%	102	+1.8	.254/.295/.412	.158	.271	19	5	15%	5%	97	+1.5	.270/.299/.408	.138	.283	18	1	12%	4%	96	+0.6
✕Hyun Soo Kim 2017 · MLB	29	58	45	40→30	57	.282/.360/.411	.128	.320	12	5	16%	10%	124	+3.4	.251/.326/.354	.103	.301	9	5	18%	9%	95	+1.4	.224/.302/.280	.055	.282	2	0	19%	9%	61	-0.4
●Lucas Duda 2014 · MLB	28	47→54	51→65	40→30	54	.240/.333/.404	.164	.296	19	3	25%	11%	111	+2.5	.248/.345/.454	.206	.296	26	3	24%	11%	129	+3.7	.250/.350/.475	.225	.288	29	1	23%	11%	128	+2.7
●Travis Lee 2003 · MLB	28	52→55	48→55	44→45	57	.256/.335/.403	.148	.290	15	6	17%	11%	111	+2.5	.265/.334/.427	.162	.298	17	7	16%	10%	117	+2.9	.259/.333/.421	.162	.288	17	7	16%	10%	110	+1.9
✕Ike Davis 2015 · MLB	28	43→53	55→60	37→40	59	.229/.329/.416	.186	.264	23	3	23%	13%	113	+2.6	.221/.300/.361	.140	.278	15	3	25%	10%	86	+0.8	.211/.278/.331	.120	.269	12	0	25%	9%	68	-0.2
●Andrew Benintendi 2022 · MLB	28	51→61	49→55	43→50	51	.256/.323/.412	.155	.302	16	10	21%	8%	108	+2.3	.270/.334/.392	.122	.312	11	10	16%	9%	108	+2.3	.262/.329/.376	.114	.301	10	9	16%	9%	98	+1.5
✕Alex Verdugo 2023 · MLB	27	57→58	46→50	43→45	51	.277/.333/.411	.134	.311	13	5	15%	8%	112	+2.6	.254/.313/.388	.134	.285	12	4	15%	8%	98	+1.6	.242/.303/.369	.127	.271	12	4	15%	8%	87	+0.7
✕Hee-Seop Choi 2006 · MLB	27	48→49	55	40→30	57	.246/.348/.441	.194	.294	22	4	24%	12%	127	+3.6	.225/.313/.385	.160	.271	19	4	23%	10%	98	+1.6	.175/.271/.299	.124	.210	15	0	24%	11%	58	-0.5
●Kole Calhoun 2017 · MLB	29	53→56	51→60	43→50	50	.267/.330/.436	.169	.310	19	4	20%	8%	118	+3.0	.241/.321/.407	.166	.284	20	5	22%	10%	107	+2.2	.221/.311/.434	.213	.247	29	5	24%	11%	104	+1.6

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)