Carson Palmquist

Carson Palmquist P Rochester Red Wings

Age 25 LHP 6'3" / 206 lbs AAA peak 0.5 · 2027 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION58 act + 11 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114122vR 130

ERA4.73

FIP5.12

K%18.4%

BB%12.7%

K-BB%5.7%

ROS IP11

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 69 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—45

STUF5050

CTRL2045

CMD4045

K†4550

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1091.2

Whiff%

p3022.5%

p3019.2%

xwOBA vs

p290.337

SL+1.3 (31%)

SI (10%)

CH (3%)

CT-4.6 (13%)

FB-14.1 (52%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	21	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	1	0	1	5	1	2	0	0%	1.0	20.0%	40.0%	-20.0%	0.0%	0.00	6.48	—
2022	21	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	1	0	1	5	1	2	0	0%	1.0	20.0%	40.0%	-20.0%	0.0%	0.00	7.10	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	19	92	391	134	37	13	100%	4.9	26.7%	10.8%	15.9%	3.9%	3.90	4.37	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	19	92	391	134	37	13	100%	4.9	26.7%	10.8%	15.9%	3.9%	3.90	4.37	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	19	92	391	134	37	13	100%	4.9	34.3%	9.5%	24.8%	3.3%	3.90	3.23	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	27	118	496	144	60	15	100%	4.4	23.6%	12.2%	11.4%	3.5%	3.98	4.55	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	27	118	496	144	60	15	100%	4.4	23.6%	12.2%	11.4%	3.5%	3.98	4.55	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	27	118	496	144	60	15	100%	4.4	29.0%	12.1%	16.9%	3.0%	3.98	3.84	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	17	112	513	121	67	17	49%	3.2	20.5%	12.2%	8.2%	3.2%	5.95	4.68	-0.2
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	17	112	513	121	67	17	49%	3.2	20.5%	12.2%	8.2%	3.2%	5.95	4.68	-0.2
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	35	17	112	513	121	67	17	49%	3.2	23.6%	13.1%	10.5%	3.3%	5.95	4.71	-0.2
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			20	13	51	253	42	33	11	65%	2.5	16.6%	13.0%	3.6%	4.3%	8.53	6.22	-0.8
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	35	14	58	269	52	35	3	40%	1.7	17.0%	12.0%	5.0%	1.2%	6.05	3.84	—
YTD	25	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	35	14	58	269	52	35	3	40%	1.7	17.0%	12.0%	5.0%	1.2%	6.05	3.84	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	AAA RAW	WSH	24	8	42	191	37	27	2	33%	1.7	19.4%	14.1%	5.2%	1.0%	5.40	3.83	—
2026	25	MLB RAW	WSH	11	6	16	78	15	8	1	55%	1.5	19.2%	10.3%	9.0%	1.3%	7.71	3.48	+0.3
SO FAR	25	MLB RAW	WSH	11	6	16	78	15	8	1	55%	1.5	19.2%	10.3%	9.0%	1.3%	7.71	3.48	+0.3
ROS	25	MLB MLE	WSH	10	0	11	45	8	6	2	0%	1.1	18.4%	12.7%	5.7%	3.6%	4.73	5.12	-0.1
ROS	25	MLB CTX	WSH	10	0	11	46	9	6	2	0%	1.1	18.4%	12.7%	5.7%	3.6%	4.73	5.12	-0.1
2026 TOT	25	MLB MLE	WSH	—	—	69	314	60	41	5	—	—	19.2%	13.0%	6.2%	1.5%	5.85	4.04	+0.5
FULL	25	MLB A+C	WSH	—	—	27	114	60	41	5	—	—	52.8%	35.7%	17.2%	4.0%	14.85	5.38	+0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	WSH	24	24	145	611	121	72	20	100%	6.0	19.9%	11.8%	8.0%	3.3%	4.98	5.12	-0.4
2028	27	MLB MLE	WSH	24	24	146	619	124	72	21	100%	6.1	20.0%	11.6%	8.4%	3.3%	5.02	5.09	-0.3
2029	28	MLB MLE	WSH	24	24	146	619	124	72	21	100%	6.1	20.0%	11.6%	8.4%	3.4%	5.07	5.13	-0.4
2030	29	MLB MLE	WSH	23	23	140	591	115	69	21	100%	6.1	19.4%	11.7%	7.7%	3.6%	5.18	5.27	-0.6
2031	30	MLB MLE	WSH	22	22	132	555	104	67	21	100%	6.0	18.7%	12.0%	6.8%	3.8%	5.36	5.48	-0.9
2027	26	MLB CTX	WSH	23	23	137	578	115	69	19	100%	6.0	19.9%	11.8%	8.0%	3.3%	4.98	5.12	-0.3
2028	27	MLB CTX	WSH	23	23	139	587	117	68	20	100%	6.0	20.0%	11.6%	8.4%	3.3%	5.02	5.09	-0.3
2029	28	MLB CTX	WSH	23	23	139	587	117	68	20	100%	6.0	20.0%	11.6%	8.4%	3.4%	5.07	5.13	-0.4
2030	29	MLB CTX	WSH	22	22	133	562	109	66	20	100%	6.0	19.4%	11.7%	7.7%	3.6%	5.18	5.27	-0.6
2031	30	MLB CTX	WSH	21	21	125	528	99	63	20	100%	6.0	18.7%	12.0%	6.8%	3.8%	5.36	5.48	-0.8
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		142	125	735	3142	609	373	111	88%	5.2	19.4%	11.9%	7.5%	3.5%	5.35	4.91	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		39	34	200	855	166	101	30	88%	5.2	19.4%	11.9%	7.5%	3.5%	5.35	4.91	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		117	77	381	1674	373	200	52	66%	3.3	22.3%	11.9%	10.4%	3.1%	4.84	4.44	-3.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		61	40	200	879	196	105	27	66%	3.3	22.3%	11.9%	10.4%	3.1%	4.84	4.44	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Carson Palmquist (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.52	18.9%	12.8%	3.7%	—	5.11	20.0%	8.3%	438	-0.41	—	—	—
Irwin Delgado L 2015 · 4.77 FIP	26	SW	4.77	14.4%	9.6%	3.0%	.349	3.53	16.2%	7.6%	237	-1.24	3.52	383	73
Nate Peterson L 2023 · 4.46 FIP	23	SP-	4.46	18.4%	11.4%	2.7%	.284	5.04	17.2%	5.3%	241	+0.58	4.27	315	71
Hayden Wynja L 2023 · 4.74 FIP	24	SP-	4.74	20.5%	10.5%	3.7%	.315	4.79	18.0%	7.5%	56	+0.05	4.74	154	70
Joe Adametz L 2023 · 5.89 FIP	23	SW	5.89	19.0%	15.0%	4.5%	.158	4.32	14.8%	5.5%	224	-1.57	3.66	248	70
Lewis Thorpe L 2021 · 4.60 FIP	25	SP-	4.60	12.1%	10.5%	2.2%	.225	—	—	—	—	—	3.49	379	68
Adam Tulloch L 2023 · 4.51 FIP	23	SP-	4.51	20.3%	14.1%	2.4%	.313	4.62	18.1%	1.5%	150	+0.11	4.24	246	68
Matt Walker L 2023 · 4.73 FIP	25	SP-	4.73	12.7%	10.0%	2.6%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	4.21	156	67
Larson Kindreich L 2023 · 5.29 FIP	24	SW	5.29	21.5%	18.8%	3.0%	.269	4.68	23.0%	9.0%	79	-0.61	4.16	214	67
Garrett Schoenle L 2023 · 5.38 FIP	25	SP-	5.38	20.5%	15.0%	3.9%	.307	3.59	20.9%	12.2%	172	-1.79	2.32	359	67
Rob Zastryzny L 2017 · 4.88 FIP	25	SW	4.88	17.5%	8.2%	4.0%	.328	4.46	18.1%	8.9%	169	-0.42	3.34	634	66
Braeden Fausnaught L 2023 · 4.77 FIP	24	SW	4.77	16.9%	16.4%	1.8%	.287	4.60	17.9%	9.7%	179	-0.17	4.43	242	65
Zac Lowther L 2021 · 4.57 FIP	25	SP-	4.57	20.9%	10.6%	3.5%	.328	5.67	17.8%	7.2%	44	+1.10	3.09	375	65
Colin Rodgers L 2018 · 4.36 FIP	24	SW	4.36	16.8%	9.7%	2.6%	.346	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	313	65
Chaz Hebert L 2017 · 4.46 FIP	24	SP-	4.46	15.6%	8.7%	2.9%	.260	—	—	—	—	—	3.80	167	65
Zack Thompson L 2023 · 4.50 FIP	25	SP-	4.50	22.8%	12.9%	3.1%	.355	4.69	23.0%	10.8%	107	+0.19	2.03	402	65
Sean Nolin L 2015 · 4.88 FIP	25	SP	4.88	14.5%	9.5%	3.3%	.273	3.79	20.7%	11.3%	40	-1.09	3.79	309	65
Seth Lonsway L 2023 · 5.20 FIP	24	SP-	5.20	13.8%	15.3%	2.4%	.317	4.17	15.2%	4.4%	313	-1.03	3.35	498	65
Edgar Barclay L 2023 · 4.71 FIP	25	SW	4.71	23.8%	12.1%	3.8%	.307	5.59	15.7%	5.5%	157	+0.88	2.06	402	65
Kohl Drake L 2023 · 4.81 FIP	23	SW	4.81	16.3%	11.9%	2.9%	.391	4.32	21.8%	12.5%	292	-0.49	3.32	327	64
Avery Weems L 2022 · 4.87 FIP	25	SP-	4.87	21.3%	8.6%	4.5%	.323	5.13	20.5%	12.3%	38	+0.26	2.46	227	63

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	4.2	139	19.5%	11.9%	1.35	5.12
Julio Teheran ('23)	5.2	147	20.4%	8.8%	1.34	4.12
James Kaprielian ('23)	1.6	105	20.5%	9.6%	1.26	4.58
Dan Straily ('19)	2.7	136	20.0%	8.9%	1.72	4.54
Josiah Gray ('23)	1.9	126	22.6%	10.8%	1.88	4.64
Mike Foltynewicz ('21)	4.0	134	21.4%	7.7%	1.46	4.45
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98