Carson Palmquist
P
Albuquerque Isotopes
+0.0
WAR
INJURED · Reassigned to Minors (RM)
Age 25
LHP
6'3" / 206 lbs
AAA
ERA6.66
FIP5.17
xFIP6.57
SIERA6.00
K%21.8%
BB%12.7%
K-BB%9.1%
IP112
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
OFP—40
STUF5050
CTRL3545
CMD4045
K†4545
FB Velo
p1090.4
Whiff%
p1921.0%
K%
p1015.4%
xwOBA vs
p100.378
SL+1.3 (31%)
SI (10%)
CH (3%)
CT-4.6 (13%)
FB-14.1 (52%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | ACL Rockies | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | 19 | 19 | 92 | 391 | 134 | 37 | 13 | 26.7% | 10.8% | 4.0% | 3.90 | 4.39 | +0.9 |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | 27 | 27 | 118 | 496 | 144 | 60 | 15 | 24.0% | 13.0% | 3.5% | 3.98 | 4.66 | +0.9 |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 35 | 17 | 112 | 513 | 121 | 67 | 17 | 21.4% | 13.5% | 3.5% | 5.95 | 4.91 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | 5 | 0 | 9 | 41 | 9 | 8 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | COL | 45 | — | 45 | 189 | 34 | 25 | 7 | 18.1% | 13.3% | 3.9% | 6.93 | 5.78 | -0.4 |
| 2026 Total | 25 | MLB | COL | — | — | 54 | 230 | 43 | 33 | 7 | 18.8% | 14.4% | 3.2% | 5.73 | 4.78 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | COL | 22 | 22 | 119 | 501 | 97 | 64 | 19 | 19.3% | 12.7% | 3.8% | 6.04 | 5.55 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | COL | 22 | 22 | 122 | 514 | 100 | 63 | 19 | 19.5% | 12.3% | 3.8% | 5.66 | 5.46 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | COL | 22 | 22 | 122 | 515 | 101 | 63 | 19 | 19.6% | 12.2% | 3.8% | 5.50 | 5.43 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | COL | 22 | 22 | 119 | 504 | 97 | 61 | 19 | 19.2% | 12.1% | 3.8% | 5.47 | 5.48 | -0.2 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB | COL | 21 | 21 | 116 | 489 | 91 | 60 | 19 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.8% | 5.53 | 5.57 | -0.4 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB | COL | 20 | 20 | 112 | 472 | 85 | 58 | 18 | 18.0% | 12.3% | 3.9% | 5.61 | 5.67 | -0.5 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB | COL | 19 | 19 | 107 | 453 | 79 | 57 | 18 | 17.4% | 12.5% | 4.0% | 5.72 | 5.79 | -0.6 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB | COL | 19 | 19 | 102 | 432 | 72 | 55 | 18 | 16.7% | 12.7% | 4.1% | 5.84 | 5.91 | -0.7 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB | COL | 18 | 18 | 97 | 411 | 66 | 53 | 17 | 16.0% | 12.9% | 4.2% | 5.97 | 6.05 | -0.9 |
| 2036 | 35 | MLB | COL | 17 | 17 | 92 | 387 | 59 | 51 | 17 | 15.3% | 13.1% | 4.3% | 6.11 | 6.20 | -1.0 |
| 2037 | 36 | MLB | COL | 16 | 16 | 86 | 362 | 53 | 48 | 16 | 14.5% | 13.3% | 4.4% | 6.26 | 6.37 | -1.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 87 | 63 | 332 | 1446 | 343 | 186 | 51 | 23.7% | 12.9% | 3.5% | 4.50 | 4.65 | +2.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 52 | 38 | 200 | 870 | 206 | 112 | 31 | 23.7% | 12.9% | 3.5% | 4.50 | 4.65 | +1.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Carson Palmquist (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.78 | 18.1% | 13.3% | 3.9% | — | 5.48 | 19.4% | 7.1% | 362 | -0.30 | — | — | — |
| Frank Garces L 2026 · 5.62 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.62 | 16.7% | 13.3% | 4.1% | .267 | 4.40 | 16.9% | 8.9% | 114 | -1.22 | 4.40 | 306 | 81 |
| Mitchell Tyranski L 2026 · 5.18 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.18 | 20.4% | 13.6% | 3.8% | .269 | 4.08 | 20.7% | 6.1% | 103 | -1.10 | 3.46 | 145 | 80 |
| Mike Minor L 2029 · 5.65 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.65 | 19.2% | 11.8% | 4.9% | .330 | 3.73 | 23.2% | 16.4% | 443 | -1.92 | 2.38 | 807 | 79 |
| Ty Madrigal L 2026 · 5.77 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.77 | 17.6% | 15.2% | 4.1% | .304 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.54 | 107 | 78 |
| Tim Hill L 2027 · 5.14 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.14 | 18.7% | 10.1% | 4.3% | .298 | 3.01 | 21.8% | 15.3% | 184 | -2.13 | 2.56 | 551 | 78 |
| Kyle Ryan L 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.65 | 16.2% | 12.4% | 2.5% | .350 | 4.49 | 21.0% | 12.2% | 143 | -0.16 | 2.84 | 489 | 76 |
| Travis Bergen L 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.73 | 21.5% | 10.3% | 3.9% | .259 | 4.49 | 22.9% | 4.6% | 47 | -0.24 | 2.48 | 143 | 76 |
| Will Lamb L 2026 · 5.74 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.74 | 15.3% | 11.7% | 4.5% | .280 | 5.75 | 20.0% | 6.0% | 67 | +0.01 | 3.67 | 178 | 75 |
| Sean Nolin L 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.93 | 14.5% | 9.5% | 3.4% | .273 | 3.85 | 20.7% | 11.3% | 40 | -1.08 | 3.85 | 309 | 75 |
| Graeme Stinson L 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.89 | 19.5% | 15.6% | 2.7% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 146 | 75 |
| Bryan Harper L 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.91 | 15.2% | 9.4% | 3.5% | .236 | 4.42 | 17.1% | 5.3% | 92 | -0.49 | 4.19 | 133 | 75 |
| Paul Fry L 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.71 | 21.2% | 11.7% | 3.5% | .338 | 3.49 | 24.6% | 14.6% | 159 | -1.22 | 1.78 | 560 | 74 |
| Joe Kemlage L 2025 · 5.32 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.32 | 17.6% | 11.7% | 4.0% | .349 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.41 | 128 | 73 |
| Brandon Neeck L 2026 · 6.35 FIP | 25 | SU | 6.35 | 16.8% | 16.7% | 4.6% | .298 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 133 | 73 |
| T.J. Sikkema L 2026 · 5.93 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.93 | 16.1% | 13.2% | 4.6% | .245 | 3.85 | 17.2% | 9.5% | 159 | -2.08 | 3.50 | 300 | 73 |
| Max Schuh L 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.69 | 19.2% | 13.6% | 2.7% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 118 | 73 |
| Chris Reed L 2026 · 4.92 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.92 | 15.4% | 14.5% | 2.3% | .284 | 4.70 | 16.4% | 6.6% | 81 | -0.22 | 4.70 | 137 | 73 |
| Chandler Jozwiak L 2026 · 5.32 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.32 | 16.9% | 15.3% | 3.1% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.87 | 161 | 72 |
| Fabian Williamson L 2027 · 5.30 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.30 | 17.4% | 17.9% | 2.5% | .289 | 4.18 | 20.0% | 8.2% | 77 | -1.12 | 3.42 | 154 | 72 |
| Winston Lavendier L 2025 · 5.06 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.06 | 17.8% | 12.9% | 3.4% | .344 | 4.95 | 14.2% | 4.7% | 21 | -0.11 | 2.98 | 179 | 72 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.