Corey Joyce

SS Frisco RoughRiders

Age 28 R/R 6'0" / 190 lbs AA HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	26	AACHC	389	.272/.391/.347	2	15	81	—	.242/.332/.312
2025	26	INTLAguilas Cibae…	44	.282/.364/.487	1	1	142	—
2026	27	AATEX	342	.248/.329/.409	13	11	58	—	.198/.262/.316
2027PROJ2% MLB	28	MLBTEX	5	.221/.296/.325	0	0	76	0.0
2028PROJ28% MLB	29	MLBTEX	91	.220/.295/.324	2	2	75	0.0
2029PROJ43% MLB	30	MLBTEX	148	.218/.293/.321	3	2	74	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

Chase%89

K%60

ISO58

Whiff%57

Z-Con%53

wOBA51

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsKramer Robertson (age 28) · Ivan Ochoa (age 28) · Bryson Brigman (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†76

AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .296 / .325

PA5

HR0

K%20

BB%8

BABIP290

ISO103

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	20	A	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	55	50	9	2	0	0	4	15	1	0	0	180	255	220	475	40	257	27	7	226	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	36	35	6	0	0	0	0	15	1	1	0	171	194	171	366		300	42	0	171	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	107	87	16	3	0	1	15	27	3	5	0	184	318	253	571	69	254	25	14	275	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	21	18	5	0	0	1	2	4	1	2	0	278	381	444	825	167	308	19	10	373	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	22	16	10	2	0	2	5	3	1	1	0	625	727	1.125	1.852	500	727	14	23	745	314	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	65	56	14	2	1	0	4	17	5	1	0	250	354	321	675	71	359	26	6	317	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	268	208	50	9	2	9	47	52	10	6	5	240	404	433	836	192	273	19	18	376	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	206	168	45	12	3	4	30	56	6	8	2	268	397	446	843	179	373	27	15	376	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	147	116	17	3	0	1	23	38	5	2	1	147	312	198	511	52	200	26	16	255	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	28	22	5	2	0	0	6	7	0	2	0	227	393	318	711	91	333	25	21	338	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	36	29	10	0	0	1	4	9	3	2	0	345	472	448	920	103	474	25	11	423	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	35	26	2	0	0	0	9	9	0	2	0	77	314	77	391		118	26	26	231	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA	Knoxville Smokies	—	389	323	88	16	1	2	56	81	8	15	2	272	391	347	737	74	358	21	14	344	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	INTL	Aguilas Cibaenas	—	44	39	11	5	0	1	2	6	3	1	1	282	364	487	851	205	312	14	5	378	142	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	342	298	74	9	0	13	33	78	5	11	2	248	329	409	739	161	293	23	10	329	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	20	A MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	55	51	8	2	0	0	3	19	1	0	0	157	218	196	414	39	237	35	5	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	36	35	5	0	0	0	0	18	1	1	0	143	167	143	310		281	50	0	136	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	107	94	14	3	0	1	10	38	3	5	0	149	252	213	465	64	233	36	9	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	21	19	4	0	0	1	1	6	1	2	0	211	286	368	654	158	276	29	5	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	22	17	10	2	0	2	4	4	1	1	0	588	682	1.059	1.741	471	646	18	18	632	314	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	65	57	13	2	1	0	3	21	5	1	0	228	323	298	621	70	336	32	5	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	268	223	44	8	1	9	32	69	10	6	5	197	325	363	688	166	231	26	12	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	206	177	41	9	3	3	21	68	6	8	2	232	333	367	701	136	336	33	10	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	147	124	16	3	0	1	15	49	5	2	1	129	250	177	427	48	182	33	10	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	28	24	5	2	0	0	4	8	0	2	0	208	321	292	613	83	277	29	14	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	36	30	10	0	0	1	3	11	3	2	0	333	444	433	878	100	453	31	8	358	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	35	29	2	0	0	0	6	12	0	2	0	69	229	69	298		106	34	17	157	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	389	343	83	16	1	2	38	100	8	15	2	242	332	312	644	70	333	26	10	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	342	313	62	7	0	10	22	95	5	11	2	198	262	316	578	118	245	28	6	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	55	51	8	2	0	0	3	19	1	0	0	157	218	196	414	39	250	35	5	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A RAW	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	55	50	9	2	0	0	4	15	1	0	0	180	255	220	475	40	257	27	7	226	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	164	148	24	3	0	2	11	61	5	8	0	162	244	223	467	61	259	37	7	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	164	140	27	3	0	2	17	46	5	8	0	193	299	257	556	64	272	28	10	265	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	355	297	65	11	2	10	39	94	16	8	5	219	341	370	711	152	281	26	11	317	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	355	280	74	13	3	11	56	72	16	8	5	264	415	450	865	186	315	20	16	388	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	353	301	56	11	3	4	36	117	11	10	3	186	296	282	578	96	281	33	10	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	353	284	62	15	3	5	53	94	11	10	3	218	362	345	707	127	300	27	15	325	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	99	84	16	2	0	1	12	31	3	6	0	190	313	250	563	60	288	31	12	259	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA RAW	3 teams	—	99	77	17	2	0	1	19	25	3	6	0	221	394	286	680	65	314	25	19	331	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	433	380	92	18	1	2	42	111	11	16	3	242	335	311	645	68	337	26	10	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA RAW	2 teams	—	433	362	99	21	1	3	58	87	11	16	3	273	388	362	750	88	353	20	13	347	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	342	313	62	7	0	10	22	95	5	11	2	198	262	316	578	118	249	28	6	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA RAW	Frisco RoughRiders	—	342	298	74	9	0	13	33	78	5	11	2	248	329	409	739	161	293	23	10	329	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	55	51	8	2	0	0	3	19	1	0	0	157	218	196	414	39	237	35	5	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	164	147	24	3	0	2	11	61	5	8	0	163	244	224	468	61	249	37	7	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	355	297	65	11	2	10	39	94	16	8	5	219	341	370	711	152	276	26	11	317	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	353	303	56	11	3	4	36	117	11	10	3	185	296	281	577	96	272	33	10	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	99	84	16	2	0	1	12	31	3	6	0	190	313	250	563	60	281	31	12	259	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	433	377	92	18	1	2	42	111	11	16	3	244	335	313	648	69	333	26	10	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	342	312	62	7	0	10	22	95	5	11	2	199	262	317	579	119	245	28	6	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	99	84	16	2	0	1	12	31	3	6	0	190	313	250	563	60	281	31	12	259	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	433	377	92	18	1	2	42	111	11	16	3	244	335	313	648	69	333	26	10	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	342	312	62	7	0	10	22	95	5	11	2	199	262	317	579	119	245	28	6	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	28	MLB MLE	TEX	2%	380	340	75	12	1	7	31	103	6	10	2	220	295	321	617	102	291	27	8	281	76	-11	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	28	MLB CTX	TEX	2%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	221	296	325	622	105	290	20	0	283	76	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	TEX	28%	323	289	64	11	1	6	26	88	5	7	1	219	294	320	614	101	290	27	8	280	75	-9	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.1
2029	30	MLB MLE	TEX	43%	343	307	67	11	1	6	28	93	5	6	1	218	292	317	609	99	288	27	8	277	74	-11	+1	-2	+4	+7	-0.1
2028	29	MLB CTX	TEX	28%	91	83	18	3	0	2	7	25	1	2	0	220	295	324	618	104	289	27	8	281	75	-3	+0	-0	+1	+2	0.0
2029	30	MLB CTX	TEX	43%	148	133	29	5	0	3	12	40	2	2	0	218	293	321	613	102	288	27	8	279	74	-5	+0	-1	+2	+3	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	239	216	47	8	0	5	19	65	3	4	0	218	290	324	614	106	286	27	8	280	71	-7	+1	-1	+3	+5	-0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	128	22	0	14	52	177	8	11	0	218	291	327	618	109	286	27	8	280	71	-20	+2	-4	+7	+14	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	2717	2394	503	84	8	46	239	777	66	78	16	210	299	310	609	99	288	29	9	273	71	-27	+3	-3	+10	+20	0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	573	120	20	2	11	57	186	16	19	4	209	299	309	608	99	288	29	9	273	71	-19	+2	-2	+7	+14	0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jack Hannahanlast yr '14 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,867 PA	2.8	1,867	29	6	232	315	348	+6	+29	6.2	6.2
/162	664	10	2	+2.0	+10.4	2.2	pk7: 6
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Tim Bogar'93-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,710 PA	2.6	1,710	24	13	217*	284*	324*	+11	+37	2.1	2.9
/162	664	9	5	+4.2	+14.4	0.8	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2
#6Jimmy Cooney'17-'28 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,722 PA	2.6	1,722	2	30	235*	281*	341*	+17	+8	0.5	0.5
/162	664	1	12	+6.7	+3.0	0.2	pk7: 0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.4	244	4	4	219	290	320	+3	+3	0.2	0.2
/162	664	12	12	+7.1	+8.2	0.5	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Corey Joyce (OGILVIE)	28	50	30	50	60	218/293/319	101	291	5	6	27%	8%	76	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kramer Robertson 2023 · AAA	28	44→50	42→40	54→55	52	214/310/321	106	273	10	21	24%	10%	84	+0.1	202/302/281	79	276	6	21	27%	10%	72	-0.7	174/286/217	43	249	3	23	27%	11%	50	-2.0
✕Ivan Ochoa 2011 · MLB	28	47→56	41→40	54→55	47	229/294/329	100	285	8	20	22%	7%	78	-0.3	211/263/299	88	259	5	11	20%	6%	59	-1.7	198/244/265	67	244	1	8	18%	5%	44	-1.6
✕Bryson Brigman 2023 · AAA	28	48→58	41→40	50	42	232/279/331	99	297	8	12	24%	5%	72	-0.7	240/291/329	89	299	7	12	21%	6%	76	-0.4	245/299/322	76	300	6	12	19%	6%	74	-0.3
✕Daniel Hinojosa 2012 · AAA	28	52	39→40	51→55	43	248/291/336	88	313	6	18	22%	5%	77	-0.3	226/264/308	82	313	6	17	28%	5%	61	-1.5	192/244/255	63	284	7	11	33%	6%	40	-0.7
✕Christian Lopes 2021 · AAA	28	45→52	44→45	47→50	49	221/297/339	118	273	11	13	23%	8%	82	-0.0	213/290/335	122	301	11	11	31%	8%	78	-0.3	196/279/311	115	284	11	9	32%	8%	68	-0.4
✕Levi Jordan 2024 · AAA	28	46→54	43→45	53→50	46	224/290/336	112	284	10	15	24%	7%	78	-0.3	228/287/334	106	281	9	16	22%	6%	76	-0.4	226/284/329	103	275	9	16	20%	5%	72	-0.5
✕Hunter Stovall 2024 · AAA	27	49→50	41→45	51→50	45	236/285/340	104	292	8	16	22%	6%	76	-0.4	224/268/314	90	267	9	14	19%	5%	64	-1.3	218/259/294	75	255	8	14	18%	5%	53	-1.3
✕Matthew Batten 2023 · MLB	28	48→54	41→40	56→55	46	228/294/319	91	309	9	23	28%	8%	75	-0.5	205/272/305	100	275	10	22	27%	8%	64	-1.3	187/252/281	95	249	10	22	28%	7%	50	-1.9
✕Alex De Goti 2023 · AAA	28	45→48	41→45	52→50	48	215/287/317	102	280	7	8	25%	8%	72	-0.7	199/275/278	79	270	6	10	26%	8%	59	-1.6	176/257/227	52	243	3	10	27%	8%	40	-1.3
✕Jack Dunn 2024 · AAA	27	48	38→40	53→55	53	227/314/302	74	294	6	23	23%	10%	80	-0.2	213/302/302	89	272	8	19	23%	10%	76	-0.4	196/293/279	83	238	9	16	20%	10%	65	-0.9
✕Robert Andino 2012 · MLB	28	50→54	41→45	50	46	242/292/339	97	291	8	14	19%	6%	79	-0.2	218/271/308	90	278	8	8	23%	7%	63	-1.3	198/247/279	81	256	7	4	25%	6%	47	-1.7
✕Danny Worth 2013 · MLB	27	47→51	43→45	51→50	47	227/295/343	116	300	10	16	27%	8%	81	-0.1	203/265/292	89	304	5	13	32%	7%	58	-1.7	217/283/314	97	316	7	9	31%	8%	68	-0.6
✕Nate Samson 2015 · AAA	27	47→57	43→40	48→45	46	231/286/341	110	278	10	11	21%	7%	77	-0.3	212/264/305	93	252	7	12	18%	6%	61	-1.5	180/223/224	44	208	0	11	13%	5%	23	-1.2
✕Jack Reinheimer 2021 · MLB	29	44→52	40	51→55	44	213/269/306	93	275	8	16	25%	7%	63	-1.4	205/257/288	83	287	7	20	29%	6%	54	-2.0	184/232/243	59	253	4	22	28%	5%	33	-1.5
✕Jamie Ritchie 2021 · AAA	28	50→53	42→40	49→45	49	237/313/348	112	307	9	7	24%	9%	90	+0.6	238/317/322	84	300	6	5	21%	9%	85	+0.2	234/320/292	58	297	3	2	20%	10%	77	-0.1
✕Brett Dowdy 2009 · AAA	27	48→50	42→40	50	45	235/287/339	105	282	9	13	20%	6%	77	-0.3	221/264/309	88	268	8	11	20%	5%	61	-1.5	195/229/252	57	233	4	9	18%	3%	32	-2.1
✕Alan Arredondo 2006 · AAA	28	49	41→30	51→60	39	235/273/333	98	311	8	21	27%	5%	70	-0.8	245/287/320	75	310	4	15	21%	5%	72	-0.7	257/296/319	63	321	2	16	20%	5%	71	-0.2
✕Tim Torres 2012 · AAA	28	48→49	42→45	53→55	46	232/295/342	110	310	9	16	27%	8%	80	-0.1	204/261/298	94	302	7	16	33%	7%	58	-1.7	244/310/363	118	326	11	21	27%	8%	90	+0.3
✕Jonathan Diaz 2013 · AAA	28	46→48	36→30	47→50	52	215/297/277	62	266	4	13	20%	9%	68	-1.0	212/286/276	64	265	3	12	20%	8%	63	-1.3	206/280/262	57	257	2	9	19%	8%	55	-1.3
✕Zach Humphreys 2024 · AAA	26	47	42→40	49→50	49	223/298/331	108	297	9	15	26%	9%	80	-0.1	207/280/293	86	281	6	15	26%	8%	65	-1.2	193/271/261	68	265	3	15	26%	9%	52	-0.8

Corey Joyce

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps