Jared McKenzie — OGILVIE

Jared McKenzieOF Wilmington Blue Rocks

Age 26 L/L 6'0" / 180 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†40

AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .225 / .280

PA1

HR0

K%31

BB%3

BABIP264

ISO84

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE20

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	21	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	73	70	28	7	1	2	1	19	2	11	0	400	425	614	1.039	214	531	26	1	455	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	420	378	80	19	2	6	29	116	9	6	6	212	284	320	604	108	285	28	7	274	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	317	286	71	11	2	4	17	92	7	11	5	248	306	343	649	94	345	29	5	289	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	40	35	11	1	0	2	4	3	1	2	1	314	400	514	914	200	300	8	10	405	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	17	16	3	2	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	188	235	312	548	125	300	35	6	245	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	109	102	17	4	2	1	5	38	0	2	0	167	206	275	480	108	250	35	5	211	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	208	194	39	6	2	4	9	59	2	7	2	201	244	314	558	113	263	28	4	247	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	21	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	73	70	22	5	1	1	1	27	2	11	0	314	342	457	800	143	493	37	1	347	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	420	389	66	15	2	5	18	156	9	6	6	170	224	257	481	87	256	37	4	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	317	293	56	8	2	3	10	124	7	11	5	191	235	263	498	72	296	39	3	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	40	36	10	1	0	2	3	4	1	2	1	278	350	472	822	194	263	10	8	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	17	16	2	1	0	0	1	9	0	0	0	125	176	188	364	62	218	53	6	136	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	109	103	16	4	2	1	4	47	0	2	0	155	187	262	449	107	258	43	4	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	208	198	28	4	1	3	5	80	2	7	2	141	171	217	388	76	214	38	2	176	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	73	70	22	5	1	1	1	27	2	11	0	314	342	457	800	143	500	37	1	347	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A RAW	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	73	70	28	7	1	2	1	19	2	11	0	400	425	614	1.039	214	531	26	1	455	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	420	389	66	15	2	5	18	156	9	6	6	170	224	257	481	87	263	37	4	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ RAW	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	420	378	80	19	2	6	29	116	9	6	6	212	284	320	604	108	285	28	7	274	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	374	346	68	10	2	5	13	136	8	13	6	197	243	280	523	84	301	36	3	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	374	337	85	14	2	6	22	101	8	13	6	252	313	359	672	107	338	27	6	299	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	317	301	44	8	3	4	9	127	2	9	2	146	176	233	409	86	231	40	3	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	317	296	56	10	4	5	14	97	2	9	2	189	231	301	531	111	259	31	4	235	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	73	70	22	5	1	1	1	27	2	11	0	314	342	457	800	143	493	37	1	347	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	420	390	66	15	2	5	18	156	9	6	6	169	224	256	480	87	256	37	4	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	374	350	68	10	2	5	13	136	8	13	6	194	243	277	520	83	289	36	3	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	317	303	44	8	3	4	9	127	2	9	2	145	176	231	407	86	229	40	3	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	374	350	68	10	2	5	13	136	8	13	6	194	243	277	520	83	289	36	3	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	317	303	44	8	3	4	9	127	2	9	2	145	176	231	407	86	229	40	3	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	WSH	0%	367	349	66	13	2	5	12	113	3	7	2	191	226	282	507	91	265	31	3	227	40	-26	+1	+0	-2	+8	-1.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	26	MLB CTX	WSH	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	190	225	280	505	89	264	0	0	226	40	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	WSH	26%	262	248	48	10	2	3	10	80	2	5	1	192	229	285	515	93	265	31	4	230	42	-18	+1	+0	-2	+6	-1.4
2028	27	MLB CTX	WSH	26%	68	65	13	3	0	1	2	21	1	1	0	192	229	283	512	91	265	31	3	230	42	-5	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	68	65	13	3	0	1	2	21	1	1	0	200	235	292	528	92	279	31	3	230	35	-5	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	621	125	29	0	10	19	201	10	10	0	201	237	296	533	95	280	31	3	230	35	-45	+2	+0	-4	+14	-3.3
Career	—	MLE		—	1696	1592	292	57	11	21	59	603	25	49	16	183	224	273	497	89	276	36	3	220	35	-36	+1	+0	-3	+11	-2.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	610	112	22	4	8	23	231	10	19	6	184	226	272	498	89	277	36	4	220	35	-46	+2	+0	-4	+14	-3.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jared McKenzie (OGILVIE)	26	30	35	50	20	189/224/279	90	265	3	5	31%	3%	40	-1.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ryan Scott 2018 · A	25	38→34	41→40	50→45	37	190/250/290	100	279	9	8	34%	5%	53	-2.1	177/234/276	99	267	9	6	35%	6%	43	-2.8	132/188/218	87	196	8	2	36%	6%	11	-3.2
✕Daniel Lockhart 2019 · AA	26	39→40	40	52→50	42	193/243/287	94	251	7	10	26%	6%	49	-2.4	204/257/306	102	266	9	9	26%	6%	59	-1.7	186/236/274	88	233	9	5	24%	5%	41	-1.4
✕Kevin Merrell 2022 · AAA	26	40→39	39→40	55	40	196/247/282	86	273	7	17	30%	6%	49	-2.4	224/278/352	128	274	16	11	24%	6%	78	-0.3	226/273/357	131	245	21	6	18%	6%	76	-0.1
✕Jackson Cluff 2023 · AA	26	36→30	40→45	48→60	36	177/240/265	88	277	7	11	37%	6%	44	-2.8	185/267/299	114	279	11	21	35%	9%	61	-1.5	178/268/298	120	261	12	28	34%	10%	60	-0.9
✕Scott Hurst 2022 · AAA	26	39→32	39→40	43→50	39	188/247/271	83	296	7	8	37%	7%	47	-2.5	223/298/326	103	303	10	19	28%	9%	79	-0.2	241/324/345	105	302	11	25	23%	10%	89	+0.3
✕Julian Escobedo 2023 · AA	25	39→38	41→40	48→50	41	192/258/288	96	263	8	14	29%	6%	55	-1.9	207/273/319	112	287	10	14	30%	7%	68	-1.0	180/253/308	127	261	11	20	33%	6%	55	-0.4
✕Jacob Pearson 2023 · AA	25	38→39	40	50	44	189/254/282	93	253	8	19	28%	7%	53	-2.1	197/260/302	105	290	9	15	33%	7%	59	-1.6	131/193/248	117	214	11	13	43%	7%	18	-0.8
✕Bryson Horne 2024 · AA	25	37	42→45	48→45	33	189/228/289	100	288	10	4	38%	5%	43	-2.8	189/228/290	101	288	11	7	37%	5%	44	-2.8	177/214/274	97	261	12	6	36%	4%	33	-1.8
✕Drew Hedman 2012 · A	26	41	39→40	45	38	198/254/283	85	289	7	7	32%	6%	52	-2.2	196/264/311	115	285	11	10	33%	7%	63	-1.4	156/236/285	129	221	14	12	35%	8%	47	-1.3
✕Luke Brown 2024 · A	25	38	42→40	51→50	39	189/254/291	102	278	10	15	34%	6%	55	-2.0	185/251/296	111	283	12	14	37%	7%	55	-2.0	123/197/221	98	179	15	16	40%	8%	15	-1.9
✕Ryan Ripken 2019 · A	26	42→41	39→40	46→40	37	206/234/283	77	266	8	3	26%	3%	43	-2.8	204/235/291	87	290	8	4	31%	4%	46	-2.6	185/214/262	77	275	6	1	34%	3%	28	-1.5
✕Zach Watson 2023 · AA	26	36→33	44→45	51→50	32	185/225/299	115	282	13	13	39%	4%	45	-2.7	196/242/313	117	288	12	15	35%	5%	55	-2.0	167/210/287	121	227	14	24	33%	4%	35	-1.2
✕Wes Darvill 2018 · AA	26	41→40	41→40	49→45	46	203/262/297	94	259	8	10	25%	7%	58	-1.7	205/253/295	90	286	8	7	29%	6%	54	-2.0	167/207/218	52	233	5	0	30%	5%	17	-1.3
✕Cale Iorg 2012 · AAA	26	36→41	41→45	46→50	33	183/217/277	94	261	9	13	34%	3%	36	-3.3	179/219/272	93	271	8	13	36%	4%	36	-3.3	123/157/185	63	197	3	8	38%	3%	-10	-1.9
✕Parker Chavers 2023 · A	25	42	40	51→55	34	205/242/304	99	296	7	11	33%	4%	52	-2.2	201/265/297	96	283	9	21	30%	7%	60	-1.6	191/266/274	83	265	7	25	29%	9%	52	-1.2
✕Jordan Betts 2018 · AA	26	36→28	44→45	46→40	35	183/230/295	112	279	11	5	38%	6%	46	-2.6	201/249/309	108	295	11	5	34%	5%	57	-1.8	188/232/279	91	267	11	0	33%	5%	41	-1.8
✕Trey Martin 2018 · AA	25	40→39	38→40	48→55	34	197/232/271	75	287	6	14	33%	4%	40	-3.0	201/249/300	99	314	9	15	37%	6%	54	-2.0	180/233/274	94	291	8	19	39%	6%	42	-2.0
✕Ben Ramirez 2024 · AAA	25	40→39	42→40	46→45	39	199/253/301	102	286	11	4	33%	6%	56	-1.9	195/242/278	83	288	6	8	33%	5%	46	-2.6	177/217/242	64	261	4	10	32%	4%	25	-1.6
✕Kyle Marinconz 2021 · A	25	41→37	39→40	47→50	44	198/259/282	84	263	6	10	26%	7%	54	-2.0	205/267/295	90	271	8	11	26%	6%	60	-1.6	169/239/225	56	218	6	12	24%	6%	32	-1.0
✕Chris Roller 2023 · AA	26	38	39→45	50→55	41	184/249/269	85	263	6	14	31%	6%	47	-2.5	191/270/312	121	306	13	16	39%	8%	66	-1.1	174/262/298	124	289	14	19	41%	9%	58	-1.1