Nate BaezC
Portland Sea Dogs
Age 25
R/R
5'11" / 191 lbs
AA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 1.3 · 2028
wRC+†75
AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .285 / .335
PA320
HR7
SB7
K%28
BB%7
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
45→45
PWR
45→45
SPD
45→45
EYE
48↘30
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.3peak
2029
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +1.2 | $10M | +$10M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +1.1 | $10M | +$9M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.9 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $1M | +0.7 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1M | +0.4 | $2M | +$1.0M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $7M | +0.1 | $0.5M | -$7M |
| Totals | $12M | $30M | +$18M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | 58 | 53 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .245 | .298 | .434 | .732 | .189 | .355 | 36 | 5 | .310 | 95 | -0 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | 0.2 |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | 125 | 104 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 58 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .192 | .323 | .260 | .582 | .067 | .413 | 46 | 14 | .277 | 70 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | 0.2 |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 317 | 286 | 51 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 115 | 8 | 0 | 0 | .178 | .254 | .294 | .548 | .115 | .261 | 36 | 7 | .240 | 42 | -21 | +0 | +0 | +6 | +9 | -0.6 |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | 2 teams | 396 | 351 | 80 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 88 | 8 | 3 | 0 | .228 | .307 | .342 | .649 | .114 | .280 | 22 | 8 | .285 | 77 | -10 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +11 | 0.9 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 63 | 54 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .204 | .306 | .333 | .640 | .130 | .286 | 30 | 10 | .288 | 79 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | 0.2 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | BOS | 257 | 230 | 49 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 73 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .213 | .290 | .339 | .629 | .126 | .283 | 28 | 8 | .283 | 75 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +7 | 0.5 |
| TOT | 25 | MLB | BOS | 320 | 284 | 60 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 92 | 7 | 7 | 2 | .211 | .293 | .338 | .631 | .127 | .283 | 29 | 8 | .284 | 75 | -9 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +9 | 0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB 11% | BOS | 355 | 316 | 70 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 29 | 86 | 7 | 5 | 1 | .222 | .301 | .351 | .652 | .130 | .276 | 24 | 8 | .295 | 84 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +10 | 1.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB 26% | BOS | 382 | 340 | 76 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 32 | 93 | 7 | 6 | 1 | .224 | .303 | .359 | .662 | .135 | .277 | 24 | 8 | .298 | 86 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +11 | 1.3 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB 38% | BOS | 396 | 352 | 78 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 34 | 96 | 7 | 6 | 1 | .222 | .303 | .352 | .655 | .131 | .277 | 24 | 9 | .298 | 86 | -6 | +1 | -1 | +7 | +11 | 1.2 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB 47% | BOS | 398 | 354 | 78 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 34 | 98 | 7 | 5 | 1 | .220 | .301 | .350 | .652 | .130 | .277 | 25 | 9 | .296 | 85 | -7 | +1 | -1 | +7 | +11 | 1.1 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB 56% | BOS | 397 | 353 | 78 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 34 | 99 | 7 | 5 | 1 | .221 | .302 | .351 | .653 | .130 | .276 | 25 | 9 | .293 | 83 | -8 | +1 | -2 | +7 | +11 | 0.9 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB 66% | BOS | 373 | 332 | 72 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 94 | 6 | 4 | 0 | .217 | .297 | .343 | .641 | .127 | .274 | 25 | 9 | .289 | 80 | -9 | +1 | -3 | +7 | +11 | 0.7 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB 76% | BOS | 347 | 308 | 66 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 90 | 6 | 3 | 0 | .214 | .297 | .331 | .628 | .117 | .273 | 26 | 9 | .285 | 76 | -9 | +1 | -4 | +6 | +10 | 0.4 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB 83% | BOS | 310 | 276 | 57 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 82 | 5 | 2 | 0 | .207 | .287 | .319 | .605 | .112 | .271 | 26 | 8 | .279 | 72 | -10 | +0 | -4 | +6 | +9 | 0.1 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB 90% | BOS | 262 | 234 | 48 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 72 | 4 | 2 | 0 | .205 | .285 | .316 | .601 | .111 | .269 | 27 | 8 | .273 | 67 | -10 | +0 | -5 | +5 | +7 | -0.2 |
| 2036 | 35 | MLB | BOS | 209 | 187 | 38 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 59 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .203 | .280 | .316 | .596 | .112 | .267 | 28 | 8 | .266 | 61 | -9 | +0 | -6 | +4 | +6 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4582 | 4076 | 874 | 164 | 21 | 98 | 384 | 1224 | 83 | 48 | 7 | .214 | .295 | .337 | .632 | .123 | .279 | 27 | 8 | .285 | 76 | -123 | +7 | -25 | +82 | +130 | 7.2 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 578 | 124 | 23 | 3 | 14 | 54 | 174 | 12 | 7 | 1 | .215 | .295 | .337 | .632 | .123 | .279 | 27 | 8 | .285 | 76 | -17 | +1 | -4 | +12 | +18 | 1.0 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | 58 | 52 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .288 | .351 | .538 | .889 | .250 | .343 | 26 | 7 | .382 | 150 | +3 | -0 | — | — | +2 | 0.5 |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | 125 | 97 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 40 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .268 | .427 | .381 | .809 | .113 | .429 | 32 | 20 | .374 | 144 | +6 | +0 | — | — | +4 | 1.0 |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 317 | 276 | 66 | 10 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 89 | 8 | 0 | 0 | .239 | .333 | .420 | .754 | .181 | .305 | 28 | 10 | .336 | 115 | +6 | +0 | — | — | +9 | 1.5 |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | 212 | 190 | 45 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 35 | 5 | 2 | 0 | .237 | .303 | .400 | .703 | .163 | .260 | 17 | 6 | .308 | 94 | -2 | +0 | — | — | +6 | 0.5 |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 184 | 148 | 49 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 30 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .331 | .459 | .453 | .912 | .122 | .397 | 16 | 17 | .412 | 173 | +15 | +0 | — | — | +5 | 2.1 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Nate Baez (OGILVIE) | 25 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 30 | .213/.285/.335 | .122 | .284 | 7 | 3 | 28% | 7% | 74 | -0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Tyler Marlette 2018 · AA |
25 | 42→43 | 47→50 | 44→45 | 40 | .216/.261/.349 | .133 | .281 | 15 | 4 | 29% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .218/.270/.346 | .128 | .292 | 15 | 6 | 29% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .213/.267/.335 | .123 | .281 | 16 | 5 | 29% | 6% | 61 | -0.8 |
|
✕John Hester 2009 · AA |
25 | 43 | 48→55 | 46→50 | 38 | .220/.261/.367 | .148 | .290 | 15 | 6 | 30% | 5% | 71 | -0.3 | .241/.286/.384 | .143 | .314 | 13 | 9 | 26% | 5% | 85 | +0.7 | .240/.291/.371 | .131 | .312 | 11 | 8 | 26% | 6% | 80 | +0.2 |
|
✕Anthony Recker 2009 · AA |
25 | 45→48 | 47→50 | 42→45 | 39 | .222/.277/.361 | .139 | .321 | 14 | 3 | 34% | 6% | 76 | +0.1 | .223/.281/.368 | .145 | .315 | 16 | 4 | 33% | 7% | 80 | +0.4 | .223/.288/.377 | .154 | .295 | 18 | 4 | 30% | 8% | 83 | +0.3 |
|
✕Carlos M. Rodriguez 2007 · AAA |
25 | 43→44 | 46→55 | 42→40 | 40 | .215/.275/.333 | .118 | .303 | 15 | 6 | 33% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .231/.288/.340 | .109 | .327 | 12 | 5 | 31% | 7% | 76 | +0.0 | .225/.287/.410 | .185 | .314 | 26 | 2 | 36% | 7% | 91 | +0.5 |
|
✕Matt Lawson 2011 · AA |
25 | 49→52 | 43→45 | 46→50 | 41 | .236/.289/.347 | .110 | .312 | 10 | 8 | 27% | 6% | 77 | +0.1 | .243/.303/.350 | .107 | .317 | 8 | 9 | 24% | 6% | 84 | +0.6 | .240/.309/.326 | .086 | .313 | 5 | 13 | 23% | 7% | 79 | +0.1 |
|
✕Kungkuan Giljegiljaw 2019 · AA |
25 | 45 | 45 | 47→30 | 42 | .227/.277/.345 | .118 | .288 | 13 | 2 | 26% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .215/.264/.331 | .116 | .306 | 12 | 4 | 32% | 5% | 63 | -0.8 | .186/.232/.294 | .108 | .284 | 12 | 0 | 38% | 4% | 37 | -1.0 |
|
✕Daniel Sanchez 2019 · AAA |
26 | 46 | 44→45 | 46→30 | 38 | .229/.263/.342 | .113 | .286 | 13 | 8 | 25% | 4% | 65 | -0.7 | .238/.297/.366 | .128 | .282 | 14 | 7 | 20% | 6% | 86 | +0.8 | .243/.311/.361 | .117 | .280 | 13 | 0 | 18% | 6% | 89 | +0.3 |
|
✕Riley Adams 2021 · AA |
25 | 45→42 | 45→50 | 49→40 | 42 | .211/.292/.334 | .123 | .324 | 12 | 6 | 36% | 8% | 77 | +0.1 | .215/.302/.369 | .154 | .315 | 16 | 4 | 34% | 8% | 90 | +1.0 | .209/.298/.376 | .166 | .299 | 17 | 0 | 33% | 8% | 89 | +0.4 |
|
✕Grant Psomas 2008 · AA |
25 | 44→48 | 49→50 | 45 | 44 | .226/.285/.380 | .154 | .288 | 16 | 7 | 27% | 7% | 85 | +0.7 | .197/.262/.335 | .138 | .288 | 14 | 7 | 34% | 7% | 63 | -0.8 | .140/.212/.269 | .129 | .220 | 12 | 2 | 41% | 8% | 24 | -1.4 |
|
✕Matt Duffy 2014 · AA |
25 | 46→49 | 48→50 | 42→40 | 39 | .233/.297/.374 | .142 | .292 | 16 | 3 | 26% | 5% | 89 | +1.0 | .233/.286/.367 | .134 | .293 | 16 | 3 | 25% | 5% | 82 | +0.5 | .226/.278/.355 | .129 | .286 | 16 | 2 | 26% | 5% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Trey Harris 2021 · AA |
25 | 50→51 | 45 | 47→45 | 43 | .244/.299/.374 | .130 | .297 | 12 | 8 | 22% | 5% | 89 | +0.9 | .226/.279/.332 | .106 | .290 | 11 | 7 | 25% | 5% | 69 | -0.4 | .219/.274/.308 | .089 | .288 | 9 | 7 | 26% | 5% | 58 | -0.7 |
|
✕Aramis Garcia 2018 · AA |
25 | 42→41 | 48→50 | 46→45 | 39 | .215/.262/.352 | .137 | .281 | 16 | 3 | 29% | 5% | 68 | -0.5 | .214/.260/.359 | .145 | .304 | 18 | 2 | 35% | 5% | 69 | -0.4 | .195/.233/.324 | .130 | .253 | 18 | 3 | 31% | 3% | 46 | -0.6 |
|
✕Andruw Monasterio 2022 · AAA |
25 | 46→52 | 42→45 | 45→55 | 42 | .222/.281/.326 | .104 | .316 | 9 | 9 | 31% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .234/.307/.345 | .111 | .312 | 10 | 16 | 26% | 9% | 85 | +0.7 | .238/.318/.339 | .101 | .307 | 9 | 23 | 23% | 9% | 85 | +0.4 |
|
✕Hunter Feduccia 2022 · AA |
25 | 44→47 | 45→50 | 45→40 | 48 | .220/.287/.342 | .122 | .280 | 13 | 4 | 26% | 8% | 76 | +0.0 | .217/.289/.360 | .143 | .287 | 16 | 3 | 28% | 9% | 82 | +0.5 | .226/.315/.344 | .118 | .304 | 11 | 2 | 27% | 11% | 86 | +0.5 |
|
✕Rylan Bannon 2021 · AAA |
25 | 43→45 | 47→50 | 45→50 | 46 | .219/.287/.360 | .141 | .280 | 15 | 7 | 27% | 8% | 80 | +0.4 | .196/.275/.339 | .143 | .247 | 18 | 12 | 27% | 9% | 71 | -0.3 | .193/.292/.339 | .145 | .253 | 18 | 12 | 29% | 11% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Nick Raposo 2023 · AA |
25 | 46 | 45 | 47→40 | 43 | .226/.287/.354 | .128 | .308 | 12 | 6 | 29% | 7% | 79 | +0.3 | .211/.269/.329 | .118 | .268 | 12 | 4 | 25% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .196/.258/.296 | .100 | .241 | 11 | 2 | 23% | 7% | 48 | -0.8 |
|
✕Salomon Manriquez 2007 · AA |
24 | 47→48 | 47→50 | 46→30 | 40 | .235/.276/.368 | .134 | .302 | 14 | 2 | 27% | 5% | 77 | +0.1 | .236/.282/.372 | .136 | .294 | 16 | 3 | 25% | 5% | 81 | +0.4 | .238/.281/.363 | .125 | .283 | 15 | 1 | 21% | 5% | 75 | -0.0 |
|
✕Joshua Fuentes 2018 · AA |
25 | 48→54 | 47→50 | 44→45 | 39 | .238/.279/.377 | .140 | .294 | 14 | 7 | 24% | 4% | 82 | +0.5 | .236/.267/.371 | .135 | .312 | 13 | 5 | 28% | 3% | 74 | -0.1 | .228/.257/.357 | .129 | .307 | 12 | 3 | 29% | 3% | 64 | -0.5 |
|
✕Cameron Rupp 2014 · AAA |
25 | 44→50 | 45→55 | 44→30 | 39 | .219/.271/.337 | .118 | .303 | 13 | 3 | 31% | 6% | 67 | -0.5 | .215/.272/.350 | .135 | .292 | 15 | 3 | 30% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .233/.300/.403 | .170 | .301 | 20 | 1 | 29% | 8% | 90 | +0.6 |
|
✕Wes Hodges 2010 · AAA |
25 | 49→52 | 46→50 | 44→45 | 42 | .243/.288/.373 | .130 | .302 | 14 | 6 | 24% | 5% | 84 | +0.6 | .228/.260/.347 | .119 | .288 | 12 | 4 | 25% | 4% | 65 | -0.7 | .220/.248/.336 | .117 | .278 | 12 | 1 | 26% | 3% | 54 | -1.0 |