Gunner Mayer

P Tacoma Rainiers

Age 27 RHP 6'6" / 190 lbs AAA

Overview

AAAPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	24	MIX2 levels	43	55	4.12	3.05	30.5%	14.4%	—	K 23.2% · BB 17.3% · FIP 4.32
2025	25	AAPHI	39	52	5.19	4.02	26.5%	13.7%	—	K 21.5% · BB 15.0% · FIP 4.72
2026	26	AAASEA	32	34	5.24	4.88	32.5%	15.3%	—	K 27.9% · BB 13.8% · FIP 5.18
2027PROJ	27	MLBSEA	57	60	5.10	5.10	25.4%	15.2%	-0.4
2028PROJ43% MLB	28	MLBSEA	24	25	5.07	5.11	25.1%	14.8%	-0.2
2029PROJ59% MLB	29	MLBSEA	31	33	5.11	5.18	24.8%	14.6%	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff50Control35Command45

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 93%

CompsDennis Sarfate (age 27) · Beck Wheeler (age 27) · Jacob Bosiokovic (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130122vR 114

ERA5.10

FIP5.10

K%25.4%

BB%15.2%

K-BB%10.2%

Proj IP60

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL3535

CMD4545

K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	19	ROK MLE	GCL Phillies West	4	2	8	36	10	3	0	50%	2.1	27.8%	8.3%	19.4%	0.0%	5.40	1.81	—
2019	19	ROK RAW	GCL Phillies West	4	2	8	36	10	3	0	50%	2.1	27.8%	8.3%	19.4%	0.0%	5.40	1.78	—
2021	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	7	26	134	38	22	5	54%	2.0	19.5%	20.8%	-1.2%	5.2%	8.89	6.96	—
2021	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	7	26	134	38	22	5	54%	2.0	28.4%	16.4%	11.9%	3.7%	8.89	5.19	—
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	12	54	230	73	30	10	71%	3.2	23.8%	14.8%	9.1%	6.2%	4.67	6.39	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	12	54	230	73	30	10	71%	3.2	31.7%	13.0%	18.7%	4.3%	4.67	4.47	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	23	20	77	357	79	54	4	87%	3.4	17.0%	17.4%	-0.4%	1.6%	5.47	4.76	—
2023	23	A+ RAW	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	23	20	77	357	79	54	4	87%	3.4	22.1%	15.1%	7.0%	1.1%	5.47	3.82	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	0	55	236	72	34	3	0%	1.3	23.2%	17.3%	5.9%	1.8%	4.12	4.32	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	0	55	236	72	34	3	0%	1.3	23.2%	17.3%	5.9%	1.8%	4.12	4.32	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	43	0	55	236	72	34	3	0%	1.3	30.5%	14.4%	16.1%	1.3%	4.12	3.05	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	39	0	52	249	66	34	6	0%	1.3	21.5%	15.0%	6.4%	2.8%	5.19	4.72	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	39	0	52	249	66	34	6	0%	1.3	21.5%	15.0%	6.4%	2.8%	5.19	4.72	—
2025	25	AA RAW	Reading Fightin Phils	39	0	52	249	66	34	6	0%	1.3	26.5%	13.7%	12.9%	2.4%	5.19	4.02	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	32	0	34	157	51	24	7	0%	1.1	27.9%	13.8%	14.2%	4.9%	5.24	5.18	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	32	0	34	157	51	24	7	0%	1.1	27.9%	13.8%	14.2%	4.9%	5.24	5.18	—
2026	26	AAA RAW	Tacoma Rainiers	32	0	34	157	51	24	7	0%	1.1	32.5%	15.3%	17.2%	4.5%	5.24	4.88	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	SEA	57	0	60	253	64	39	8	0%	1.1	25.4%	15.2%	10.2%	3.3%	5.10	5.10	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	SEA	55	0	58	244	61	36	8	0%	1.0	25.1%	14.8%	10.3%	3.4%	5.07	5.11	-0.4
2029	29	MLB MLE	SEA	52	0	55	233	58	34	8	0%	1.1	24.8%	14.6%	10.2%	3.5%	5.11	5.18	-0.4
2028	28	MLB CTX	SEA	24	0	25	106	27	16	4	0%	1.0	25.1%	14.8%	10.3%	3.4%	5.07	5.11	-0.2
2029	29	MLB CTX	SEA	31	0	33	139	34	20	5	0%	1.1	24.8%	14.6%	10.2%	3.5%	5.11	5.18	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		54	0	57	241	60	35	8	0%	1.1	24.9%	14.7%	10.2%	3.5%	5.09	4.77	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	210	123	28	0%	1.1	24.9%	14.7%	10.2%	3.5%	5.09	4.77	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		171	41	307	1399	304	227	46	24%	1.8	21.7%	16.2%	5.5%	3.3%	5.31	5.13	-0.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		111	27	200	911	198	148	30	24%	1.8	21.7%	16.2%	5.5%	3.3%	5.31	5.13	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Gunner Mayer (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.10	25.4%	15.2%	3.3%	—	5.14	24.9%	10.2%	113	+0.04	—	—	—
Dennis Sarfate R 2008 · 4.42 FIP	27	SU	4.42	24.0%	16.7%	2.2%	.263	4.81	19.8%	5.9%	23	+0.39	4.42	103	83
Beck Wheeler R 2016 · 4.42 FIP	27	SU	4.42	24.9%	14.5%	2.9%	.360	5.40	15.3%	3.1%	58	+0.98	3.46	173	80
Jacob Bosiokovic R 2021 · 3.93 FIP	27	SU	3.93	26.4%	14.3%	2.3%	.274	4.80	21.7%	10.2%	69	+0.87	3.84	181	80
Peyton Gray R 2021 · 4.27 FIP	26	SU	4.27	29.2%	14.1%	3.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	160	79
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.35	15.0%	3.8%	156	+0.89	4.46	215	78
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	78
Cody Tucker R 2024 · 4.97 FIP	25	SU	4.97	22.0%	12.0%	4.0%	.272	5.36	15.8%	-1.9%	40	+0.39	4.97	105	78
Jake Stinnett R 2019 · 4.23 FIP	27	SW	4.23	21.1%	12.2%	2.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	356	76
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	76
Jose De La Torre R 2013 · 5.22 FIP	27	SU	5.22	28.3%	18.9%	3.9%	.308	3.87	17.6%	6.6%	110	-1.35	2.64	141	76
Sean Isaac R 2018 · 4.20 FIP	25	SW	4.20	24.2%	16.3%	2.0%	.292	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	155	76
Cole McDonald R 2024 · 5.01 FIP	27	SU	5.01	20.9%	12.7%	3.8%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	153	76
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	75
Fernando Baez R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	24.3%	21.2%	3.0%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	129	75
Christopher Troye R 2024 · 5.46 FIP	25	SU	5.46	24.2%	17.0%	4.1%	.282	5.61	19.1%	-3.8%	30	+0.15	3.42	158	75
Noah Denoyer R 2023 · 5.24 FIP	25	SW	5.24	22.2%	14.0%	4.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	3.26	181	75
Jake Haberer R 2022 · 5.24 FIP	27	SU	5.24	24.3%	16.0%	4.0%	.324	5.08	16.4%	0.9%	62	-0.16	3.46	183	75
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	75
Nelson L. Alvarez R 2024 · 4.12 FIP	26	SU	4.12	23.2%	13.1%	2.4%	.282	4.70	18.5%	9.4%	35	+0.58	2.58	233	75
Cristofer Ogando R 2021 · 4.83 FIP	27	SU	4.83	26.8%	10.9%	4.8%	.281	4.90	20.6%	9.0%	53	+0.07	3.23	179	74

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	57	25.1%	14.9%	1.33	5.09
Armando Almanza ('05)	1.1	54	24.4%	14.3%	1.43	4.82
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Amir Garrett ('24)	1.7	55	26.7%	13.3%	1.52	4.95
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*