Daniel Ouderkirk

P Inland Empire 66ers

Age 27 RHP 6'9" / 256 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	23	ROKSEA	3	0	3	0.00	0.77	45.5%	9.1%	—	K 45.5% · BB 9.1% · FIP 0.41
2025	25	AModesto Nuts	2	0	2	0.00	1.10	25.0%	0.0%	—	K 25.0% · BB 0.0% · FIP 0.99
2026	26	MIX2 levels	13	2	16	8.44	5.54	16.7%	21.4%	—	K 11.5% · BB 26.1% · FIP 6.35
2027PROJ	27	MLBSEA	9	0	9	5.99	5.99	18.9%	19.6%	-0.1
2028PROJ36% MLB	28	MLBSEA	7	0	7	5.87	5.90	19.2%	18.7%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsHaden Erbe (age 25) · Vic Black (age 27) · Luis García (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 147139vR 131

ERA5.99

FIP5.99

K%18.9%

BB%19.6%

K-BB%-0.7%

Proj IP9

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 9 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	23	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	3	0	3	11	5	1	0	0%	1.0	45.5%	9.1%	36.4%	0.0%	0.00	0.41	—
2023	23	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	3	0	3	11	5	1	0	0%	1.0	45.5%	9.1%	36.4%	0.0%	0.00	0.77	—
2025	25	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	2	0	2	8	2	0	0	0%	1.0	25.0%	0.0%	25.0%	0.0%	0.00	0.99	—
2025	25	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	2	0	2	8	2	0	0	0%	1.0	25.0%	0.0%	25.0%	0.0%	0.00	0.99	—
2025	25	A RAW	Modesto Nuts	2	0	2	8	2	0	0	0%	1.0	25.0%	0.0%	25.0%	0.0%	0.00	1.10	—
2026	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	2	16	84	14	18	1	15%	1.2	11.5%	26.1%	-14.5%	1.7%	8.44	6.35	—
2026	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	2	16	84	14	18	1	15%	1.2	11.5%	26.1%	-14.5%	1.7%	8.44	6.35	—
2026	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	2	16	84	14	18	1	15%	1.2	16.7%	21.4%	-4.8%	1.2%	8.44	5.54	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	SEA	9	0	9	38	7	7	1	0%	1.0	18.9%	19.6%	-0.7%	2.9%	5.99	5.99	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	SEA	19	0	20	84	16	16	3	0%	1.1	19.2%	18.7%	0.5%	3.0%	5.87	5.90	-0.3
2028	28	MLB CTX	SEA	7	0	7	30	6	6	1	0%	1.0	19.2%	18.7%	0.5%	3.0%	5.87	5.90	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	6	6	1	0%	1.0	19.2%	18.7%	0.5%	3.0%	5.87	5.52	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	165	165	28	0%	1.1	19.2%	18.7%	0.5%	3.0%	5.87	5.52	-2.3
Career	—	MLE		18	2	21	103	17	23	1	11%	1.2	16.2%	22.2%	-6.0%	1.4%	6.43	5.30	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		171	19	200	981	159	218	14	11%	1.2	16.2%	22.2%	-6.0%	1.4%	6.43	5.30	-3.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Daniel Ouderkirk (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.99	18.9%	19.6%	2.9%	—	5.90	19.2%	0.5%	20	-0.09	—	—	—
Haden Erbe R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	25	SU	5.28	18.4%	16.5%	3.0%	.320	5.19	17.8%	0.5%	40	-0.09	5.19	116	82
Vic Black R 2015 · 5.28 FIP	27	SU	5.28	17.5%	19.3%	2.2%	.358	6.03	9.0%	-11.6%	29	+0.75	3.16	107	81
Luis García R 2014 · 5.50 FIP	27	SU	5.50	17.4%	18.8%	2.7%	.286	3.26	20.5%	11.4%	208	-2.24	2.33	662	80
Tyler Davis R 2024 · 6.02 FIP	25	SU	6.02	21.0%	18.8%	4.2%	.317	3.78	21.9%	10.2%	111	-2.24	3.20	137	80
Stevie Branche R 2024 · 5.67 FIP	27	SU	5.67	19.3%	17.6%	3.6%	.320	—	—	—	—	—	3.23	162	80
Mitchell Stumpo R 2023 · 6.35 FIP	27	SU	6.35	20.6%	20.8%	4.3%	.368	4.77	22.6%	15.5%	34	-1.58	3.97	158	78
Brian Glowicki R 2022 · 5.39 FIP	27	SU	5.39	18.2%	15.9%	3.3%	.229	—	—	—	—	—	2.31	189	78
Zane Russell R 2024 · 4.95 FIP	24	SU	4.95	22.7%	18.3%	2.6%	.314	5.36	18.2%	6.7%	71	+0.41	4.63	108	77
Jeremy Guthrie R 2006 · 4.92 FIP	27	SU	4.92	15.1%	15.1%	2.1%	.349	4.57	14.8%	8.1%	566	-0.35	4.08	1,834	77
Harrison Cooney R 2018 · 6.60 FIP	26	SU	6.60	18.8%	21.9%	4.2%	.237	—	—	—	—	—	4.65	186	77
Mitchell Osnowitz R 2017 · 5.30 FIP	26	SU	5.30	16.5%	18.7%	2.2%	.366	5.43	19.2%	7.7%	42	+0.13	4.54	132	77
Thad Weber R 2013 · 5.18 FIP	28	SU	5.18	16.4%	13.1%	3.3%	.244	4.52	12.2%	6.0%	308	-0.66	4.40	378	77
David Holman R 2017 · 5.53 FIP	27	SU	5.53	15.6%	12.7%	3.9%	.324	5.45	9.6%	0.5%	107	-0.08	5.28	129	77
Connor Law R 2021 · 6.15 FIP	27	SU	6.15	16.2%	17.2%	4.1%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	3.19	110	76
Julian Arballo R 2015 · 5.13 FIP	27	SU	5.13	15.1%	13.8%	2.8%	.335	4.46	12.6%	0.6%	116	-0.67	4.45	214	76
Trey Haley R 2016 · 4.98 FIP	26	SU	4.98	14.0%	16.5%	1.8%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	3.14	111	75
Andrew Bechtold R 2023 · 5.39 FIP	27	SU	5.39	14.5%	22.7%	1.1%	.389	4.21	19.2%	7.5%	86	-1.18	3.56	104	75
Jordan Gore R 2022 · 5.37 FIP	27	SU	5.37	15.2%	18.5%	2.2%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	3.20	113	75
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	75
Chris Jefferson R 2024 · 5.65 FIP	27	SU	5.65	16.4%	13.6%	4.0%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	3.53	140	75