Andrew Dalquist

P San Antonio Missions

Age 26 RHP 6'1" / 175 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	24	AACWS	43	56	3.20	4.38	21.2%	16.9%	—	K 17.2% · BB 18.6% · FIP 5.44
2026	25	AASD	15	21	7.71	6.20	27.5%	22.5%	—	K 22.2% · BB 24.8% · FIP 6.95
2027PROJ	26	MLBSD	57	60	6.11	6.11	18.8%	20.0%	-1.0
2028PROJ38% MLB	27	MLBSD	21	22	5.96	5.97	19.2%	19.0%	-0.3
2029PROJ60% MLB	28	MLBSD	32	34	5.89	5.93	19.4%	18.4%	-0.5

Next 3 projected WAR -1.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff40Control25Command30

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsJesús Reyes (age 26) · Hunter Dollander (age 26) · Will Bednar (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 149141vR 133

ERA6.11

FIP6.11

K%18.8%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%-1.3%

Proj IP60

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL2525

CMD3030

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	18	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	3	3	3	13	2	2	0	100%	1.0	15.4%	15.4%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	3.75	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	ACL White Sox	3	3	3	13	2	2	0	100%	1.0	15.4%	15.4%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	3.77	—
2021	20	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	23	23	83	394	79	56	1	100%	3.6	14.8%	16.8%	-1.9%	0.4%	4.99	4.17	—
2021	20	A RAW	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	23	23	83	394	79	56	1	100%	3.6	20.1%	14.2%	5.8%	0.3%	4.99	3.38	—
2022	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	26	104	477	80	64	23	100%	4.0	13.0%	15.3%	-2.3%	6.3%	6.49	7.39	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	26	104	477	80	64	23	100%	4.0	16.8%	13.4%	3.4%	4.8%	6.49	6.28	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	22	15	62	294	60	49	9	68%	2.8	15.7%	19.2%	-3.5%	3.8%	7.69	6.27	—
2023	22	A+ RAW	Winston-Salem Dash	22	15	62	294	60	49	9	68%	2.8	20.4%	16.7%	3.7%	3.1%	7.69	5.42	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	38	0	47	200	52	26	2	0%	1.2	21.1%	14.3%	6.8%	1.3%	3.06	3.84	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	38	0	47	200	52	26	2	0%	1.2	21.1%	14.3%	6.8%	1.3%	3.06	3.84	—
2024	23	AA RAW	Birmingham Barons	38	0	47	200	52	26	2	0%	1.2	26.0%	13.0%	13.0%	1.0%	3.06	3.10	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	43	0	56	236	50	40	4	0%	1.3	17.2%	18.6%	-1.5%	2.6%	3.20	5.44	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	43	0	56	236	50	40	4	0%	1.3	17.2%	18.6%	-1.5%	2.6%	3.20	5.44	—
2025	24	AA RAW	Birmingham Barons	43	0	56	236	50	40	4	0%	1.3	21.2%	16.9%	4.2%	1.7%	3.20	4.38	—
2026	25	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	15	0	21	102	28	23	4	0%	1.4	22.2%	24.8%	-2.6%	4.7%	7.71	6.95	—
2026	25	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	15	0	21	102	28	23	4	0%	1.4	22.2%	24.8%	-2.6%	4.7%	7.71	6.95	—
2026	25	AA RAW	San Antonio Missions	15	0	21	102	28	23	4	0%	1.4	27.5%	22.5%	4.9%	3.9%	7.71	6.20	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	SD	57	0	60	253	48	51	8	0%	1.1	18.8%	20.0%	-1.3%	3.1%	6.11	6.11	-1.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	SD	56	0	59	247	48	47	8	0%	1.0	19.2%	19.0%	0.2%	3.1%	5.96	5.97	-0.9
2029	28	MLB MLE	SD	54	0	57	240	47	44	8	0%	1.1	19.4%	18.4%	1.0%	3.2%	5.89	5.93	-0.8
2028	27	MLB CTX	SD	21	0	22	93	18	18	3	0%	1.0	19.2%	19.0%	0.2%	3.1%	5.96	5.97	-0.3
2029	28	MLB CTX	SD	32	0	34	144	28	26	5	0%	1.1	19.4%	18.4%	1.0%	3.2%	5.89	5.93	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		53	0	56	236	46	44	7	0%	1.1	19.3%	18.6%	0.7%	3.2%	5.92	5.57	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	165	158	25	0%	1.1	19.3%	18.6%	0.7%	3.2%	5.92	5.57	-2.4
Career	—	MLE		170	67	376	1716	274	295	56	39%	2.2	16.0%	17.2%	-1.2%	3.3%	5.45	5.72	-1.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		90	36	200	912	146	157	30	39%	2.2	16.0%	17.2%	-1.2%	3.3%	5.45	5.72	-3.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Andrew Dalquist (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.11	18.8%	20.0%	3.1%	—	5.95	19.3%	0.6%	115	-0.16	—	—	—
Jesús Reyes R 2019 · 5.71 FIP	26	SU	5.71	15.9%	15.7%	3.6%	.283	5.11	17.5%	5.6%	118	-0.60	3.85	554	75
Hunter Dollander R 2023 · 6.77 FIP	26	SU	6.77	17.6%	18.3%	5.2%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	106	74
Will Bednar R 2024 · 6.40 FIP	24	SW	6.40	23.8%	23.1%	4.3%	.240	3.83	25.5%	9.4%	115	-2.57	3.38	202	74
Drew Conover R 2024 · 6.25 FIP	23	SW	6.25	15.6%	29.8%	1.3%	.272	5.19	12.6%	-3.4%	106	-1.06	4.49	145	74
Lucas Erceg R 2021 · 5.61 FIP	26	SP-	5.61	17.1%	18.1%	3.0%	.258	3.36	25.0%	13.8%	193	-2.25	2.10	351	73
Jake Eddington R 2024 · 5.02 FIP	23	SW	5.02	18.8%	24.1%	0.8%	.316	4.83	16.6%	-1.5%	105	-0.19	4.70	135	73
Adrian Chaidez R 2023 · 4.96 FIP	24	SW	4.96	19.4%	16.3%	2.6%	.262	—	—	—	—	—	4.96	144	72
Jeremy Guthrie R 2006 · 4.92 FIP	27	SU	4.92	15.1%	15.1%	2.1%	.349	4.57	14.8%	8.1%	566	-0.35	4.08	1,834	72
Fernando Baez R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	24.3%	21.2%	3.0%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	129	71
Haden Erbe R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	25	SU	5.28	18.4%	16.5%	3.0%	.320	5.19	17.8%	0.5%	40	-0.09	5.19	116	71
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	71
Robbie Peto R 2023 · 5.75 FIP	25	SW	5.75	15.3%	13.4%	4.1%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	5.39	232	71
Blake Hickman R 2018 · 6.57 FIP	24	SW	6.57	12.9%	17.8%	4.2%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	4.19	156	71
Tyler Davis R 2024 · 6.02 FIP	25	SU	6.02	21.0%	18.8%	4.2%	.317	3.78	21.9%	10.2%	111	-2.24	3.20	137	71
Stephen Johnson R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	16.7%	12.7%	3.4%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	141	71
Julian Arballo R 2015 · 5.13 FIP	27	SU	5.13	15.1%	13.8%	2.8%	.335	4.46	12.6%	0.6%	116	-0.67	4.45	214	70
Vanny Valenzuela R 2015 · 6.82 FIP	27	SW	6.82	12.4%	14.8%	5.3%	.314	4.29	15.8%	4.6%	70	-2.53	3.26	118	70
Clate Schmidt R 2019 · 5.66 FIP	25	SU	5.66	13.5%	13.9%	3.5%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.51	160	70
Brad Case R 2023 · 5.46 FIP	26	SW	5.46	15.4%	17.4%	2.6%	.341	3.96	10.6%	4.5%	37	-1.50	3.78	393	70
Brady Schanuel R 2022 · 5.51 FIP	25	SW	5.51	17.9%	23.5%	1.7%	.200	—	—	—	—	—	3.91	132	69

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	58	19.1%	19.2%	1.21	5.99
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Lloyd Allen ('69-'75, -5 WAR*)	1.5	59	19.8%*	13.9%*	0.79*	5.99*